Week 37: Bon Voyage Roy Hodgson

candylandriots

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Tomorrow night will be Roy Hodgson's last home game as manager for Crystal Palace, and likely for his career. He announced his retirement today. He was pretty much the perfect manager for the team, and he'll always have my eternal thanks for cleaning up the mess on aisle deBoer. I'm glad there will be some fans in the stadium tomorrow night to give him a proper send-off and thank him for the excellent work he's done, both for Palace and in his long career.

There wasn't a really good place to put this, as it seems any year I make a dedicated Crystal Palace thread for me to talk to myself about the team, they end up in a relegation battle. Hoping we see more of the team that played the 2nd half against Villa for the final two matches, and send Roy off the best way possible.

https://www.theguardian.com/football/2021/may/18/roy-hodgson-to-leave-crystal-palace-and-retire-as-a-manager-at-end-of-season
 

67YAZ

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45 years on the sideline! Incredible career. Think of all the players he has worked with, from Tyrick Mitchell all the way back to Ralf Edstrom.
 

Morgan's Magic Snowplow

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SocrManiac

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On the last few games of the season, the offside line is flipped. De Gea and his two nearest defenders would be the ones off if De Gea didn't have the ball. Obviously.
 

67YAZ

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So, Phil Foden - is he the mythical English price who was promised?
 

the1andonly3003

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Pep and Potter have a heated conversation after the final whistle.
probably threatening Potter that he plans to take Bissouma this transfer window

and the more wins Potter gets, the more the Spurs want him...and the faster Kane wants out

edit: also want to add that Peacock viewers get Peter Drury/Karen Carney on the call...we are quite spoiled with how much access XFinity/Peacock customers get (even if its less free than when NBC first got the deal)
 

PedroSpecialK

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The pen not given to Werner vs. the pen given just about sums it up for VAR

having said that, please score 10 more Chelsea
 

Tuff Ghost

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was this Tuchel's master plan? let Leicester win the FA Cup, and beat them in the league while Leicester is still on a trophy high?
Ha, yeah, I did not feel great about Leicester winning this one after reading lines like this.
Vardy celebrating on the way home with some Desperados beers in the car with his family. The forward would go to bed with his winner’s medal round his neck, just as he did in 2016, and wake for a McDonald’s breakfast.
https://theathletic.com/2592228/2021/05/17/rodgers-postcards-vardys-dogs-and-tielemans-messenger-the-inside-story-of-how-leicester-city-won-the-fa-cup/?source=user_shared_article
 

Tuff Ghost

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What a year for Iheanacho. He came into today #1 in the Premier League in goals/90 (0.74), #1 in non-penalty goals/90 (0.74), and #4 in non-penalty goals minus non-penalty expected goals (+4.6).
 

PedroSpecialK

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Mike Dean somehow with not the worst refereeing display of the day.

Becomes pretty simple for Liverpool: win out and they're in, barring a 4+ goal victory for Leicester over Spurs; Liverpool have the h2h tiebreaker if they are tied on GD.

Hopefully having a de facto manager-less Palace at Anfield on the last day allows them to run up the score
 

SoxFanInCali

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Mike Dean somehow with not the worst refereeing display of the day.

Becomes pretty simple for Liverpool: win out and they're in, barring a 4+ goal victory for Leicester over Spurs; Liverpool have the h2h tiebreaker if they are tied on GD.

Hopefully having a de facto manager-less Palace at Anfield on the last day allows them to run up the score
The next tiebreaker after GD is goals scored. Leicester have 66, Liverpool 63 (with Liverpool having played one game less, of course).

If Liverpool win tomorrow, they will have at least a +2 in GD, but If Leicester manage to end up with the same GD as Liverpool they likely will end up with more goals scored (unless Liverpool win 5-4 tomorrow or something crazy like that).
 

shawnrbu

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In the unlikely event Leicester and Liverpool have the same goal differential, goals scored is the next tiebreaker, which Leicester will likely have the advantage if they make up the goal differential.
 

the1andonly3003

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how does Brendan Rodgers always get himself into these situations: final matchday with everything on the line. Hope he gets better results than when he was at Merseyside
 

PedroSpecialK

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The next tiebreaker after GD is goals scored. Leicester have 66, Liverpool 63 (with Liverpool having played one game less, of course).

If Liverpool win tomorrow, they will have at least a +2 in GD, but If Leicester manage to end up with the same GD as Liverpool they likely will end up with more goals scored (unless Liverpool win 5-4 tomorrow or something crazy like that).
Oh wow, missed that... squeaky bum time yet again
 

67YAZ

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Oh, I haven’t missed that Crystal Palace could be Liverpool’s spoiler yet again.
 

dirtynine

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Brighton 3 - 2 City is proof that a) eventually even terrible finishers get lucky and b) fans make a difference.
 

Tuff Ghost

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Brighton 3 - 2 City is proof that a) eventually even terrible finishers get lucky and b) fans make a difference.
And perhaps also, (d.) Neal Maupay is their unlucky Brady Bunch tiki and his absence cleansed their xG curse, despite Pascal Groß's best attempt to keep the curse alive with his epic whiff. (And yes, also, (e.) 80+ minutes versus 10 men helps.)

View: https://youtu.be/Jk35OtVY9pM



41203

I cannot help but wonder what a universe in which Iheanacho and Maupay switched places looks like. Brighton honestly may be fighting for a European spot.
41204
 

Tuff Ghost

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I'm kind of fascinated by Maupay's season. He had 4 goals in the first four matches, and since then he has had 4 goals and 10 xG, for a -6 deficit of actual goals versus xG. He was not this bad (or unlucky, your choice) last year when he scored 10 G on 11.6 xG.

Looking at matches where he was expected to have 0.7 xG or more, but did not score, you can see the following possible loss of points for Brighton:
  • Matchweek 5, away vs Crystal Palace, 1-1 draw
    • Maupay: 6 shots, 0.7 xG, 0 G
    • Potential cost: 2 points
  • Matchweek 10, home vs Liverpool, 1-1 draw
  • Matchweek 20, home vs Fulham, 0-0 draw
    • Maupay: 4 shots, 0.7 xG, 0 G
    • Potential cost: 2 points
  • Matchweek 33, away vs Sheffield United, 0-1 loss
    • Maupay: 4 shots, 1.4 xG, 0 G
    • Potential cost: 1-3 points
In those 4 matches, he had 3.6 xG and 0 G. If he had put up one goal in each of those matches, Brighton would have 7 more points. It's not fair to judge someone's worst games, I know, but in total, he's had a pretty rough season overall. If you look for matches where he scored a goal with less than 0.5 xG, he added 1 point to Brighton's season:
  • Matchweek 2, away vs Newcastle, 3-0 win
    • Maupay: 2 goals, 1 xG
    • Benefit of extra goal: 0 points (would have won 1-0 w/o his goals)
  • Matchweek 15, away vs West Ham, 2-2 draw
    • Maupay: 1 goal, 0.4 xG
    • Benefit: 1 point
  • Matchweek 29, home vs Newcastle, 3-0 win
    • Maupay: 1 goal, 0.4 xG
    • Benefit: 0 points (would have won 2-0)
 

dirtynine

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I appreciate the breakdown. The way he started I assumed he’d be winning them extra points all year, not costing. If you just watch Brighton’s defense, build-up and possession game they easily look like a side who could have 50+ points. The optimist in me says that means they’re a shrewd signing away from sniffing top 10 (or even Europe??) next year.
 

Tuff Ghost

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Aston Villa with Jack Grealish on the pitch is a completely different team from when he is out. He may go down easy, but I really enjoy watching him play.

Aston Villa during Jack Grealish's 22 starts before he got hurt: 1.64 goals/match, 1.56 xG/match
During the 14 matches he did not start before today (12 DNP, 2 times off bench): 1.07 goals/match, 1.11 xG/match
 

Zososoxfan

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Bergy with an excellent effort to get Spurs ahead, which Spurs then Spursily give right back on an OG.

What is this lineup monsieur Mason? Tanganga, Dier, Winks, Dele, and Bergy?!?
 

Zososoxfan

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Is there a rule that refs have to wait for a player to stand before giving him a card? Always seem silly in these situations that the ref lurks over a player rather than getting into position and speeding things up.