hehehe
I think we've discovered that treating game to game 3p% as a Bernoulli variable of a fixed likelihood is not a good model. which, yeah - it depends on who is shooting the threes in each game, where they are etc etc.
2023-2024 Celtics Wins Poll
- Thread starter Light-Tower-Power
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I think we've discovered that treating game to game 3p% as a Bernoulli variable of a fixed likelihood is not a good model. which, yeah - it depends on who is shooting the threes in each game, where they are etc etc.
I can see 58, maybe 59. But there's always the injury risk hanging out there, they're thin on bigs, and all teams go through a crappy stretch or two (plus, of course, if they're smart they won't prioritize regular season wins over playoff longevity).
I think you're going to slide on this by the skin of your teeth. Currently 49-14, so would take 15-4 to get to 64-18.
Ale is going to have bingo when it's all said and done.
I was at 52-55. Just thought we outperformed last year and would be more injured this year. Did not expect the team to reach Ubuntu levels of teamwork this fast. Could not possibly be happier to have been wrong.
Dammit, I was hoping no one would revive this thread! Cs have the single easiest remaining schedule in the league, and only have to close the season 15-4 or better to get to 64 wins and make me eat a “wild harvest stuffed logz.” C’mon Joe Mazz, get these guys some rest games!!
Me too. I thought they could hit the level of chemistry they have now, but that it would take a lot longer to find it, and they could/would scuffle in the meantime.
It's also helped that they've been very fortunate in terms of health. Their 8 man lineup has been nearly perfect in that regard - Holiday (elbow or shoulder, can't remember exactly) and White (personal reasons) both missed two straight in November, KP missed four straight (calf) around the same time and back to back games in late January (ankle), and that's it. Nobody else has missed as many as two straight games, and most absences were really just for rest.
Not that they haven't been excellent when missing 1-2 guys, but it's a lot easier to maximize your wins when it's mid-March and none of your core group has suffered any major injuries.
Not that they haven't been excellent when missing 1-2 guys, but it's a lot easier to maximize your wins when it's mid-March and none of your core group has suffered any major injuries.
60-64 and bet the OVER (54.5)
The rest of my Over/Unders are fine.
Knicks & Kings both look good.
Bucks will struggle to get to 55, despite @the moops protestations
The "Fence" ones are working but got lucky with Philly.
#amIright
The rest of my Over/Unders are fine.
Knicks & Kings both look good.
Bucks will struggle to get to 55, despite @the moops protestations
The "Fence" ones are working but got lucky with Philly.
#amIright
You certainly nailed the East top 4. Was pretty bold assuming Philly wouldn't be in the mix, and that Cleveland would be.
Thanks. Not sure the Knicks can hold off Orlando with so many guys down
Philly is much more cooked than I thought. They are incredibly Embiid dependent (9-20 without him). They go from a 50-win team to a 30-win team with JoJo sidelined. That's his MVP case if he ever plays 65 games in a season again (doubtful).
Wondering WTF Morey has up his sleeve this summer, besides FA money?
Middleton is toast, hearing he just can't get right after an ankle injury. Bucks better make a playoff run this season, that group is aging quickly.
I feel like I’d need to at least buy one from Amazon in honor of Rocco. Then I might try a bite, but given that one of the main ingredients is wood chips, probably leave the rest for the squirrels.You have a plan for how to do this in case the Cs do reach 64?
Hoping for 63-19…
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An extended rest will be all right with me, but I'll be at least a little disappointed if we don't get to play the OKC home match.
BUMP. 54-14, so 10-4 needed for the log. I'm sure you're rooting HARD for a Bucks win tomorrow.
Nine of Bostons’ 16 losses were either OT or one possession losses (3 points or less). It takes a lot to beat this team. Boston has to do a lot of bad things, and the opposition has to do a lot of good things to squeeze out a win. Not being able to score in last possessions in one possession losses is concerning.
With five home games left, 2-4 seems very unlikely. They play at 90% at home and three of their opponents are bad teams that should be trying to avoid wins. The Knicks, Bucks, and Sacramento are all likely to show up to their games since they are all playing for seeding and lack separation. The Knicks will be playing us on night 1 of a B2B and have two easy games to close out their season after, so it’s also possible they rest players against us if they are in a reasonable place from a seeding perspective. The Kings will be on the second night of a road B2B with the Knicks tonight, so while I expect them to show up I wouldn’t expect them to be at their best.
That, coupled with how well this team plays when it sits half its top 6, means that I’d bet on 4-2 or better to close out the season.
Boston got to 60+ wins the way championship teams in the past got there, by winning over 90% of home games, and beating up on non-playoff teams (which now includes play-in teams)
Boston is 44-6 against non playoff and play-in teams. They have lost only three home games.
Boston is 44-6 against non playoff and play-in teams. They have lost only three home games.
Sorry, but I'm obsessed with the Celtics Net Rtg concerning All-Time greatness. One game left to finish 3rd All-Time.
Is 64 + a double-digit win on Sunday against a Wizards team (1-8 over the last 2 weeks) too much to ask for?
https://www.statmuse.com/nba/ask/best-net-rating-in-nba-history-by-season
Is 64 + a double-digit win on Sunday against a Wizards team (1-8 over the last 2 weeks) too much to ask for?
https://www.statmuse.com/nba/ask/best-net-rating-in-nba-history-by-season
11.6 Net Rtg tied for 3rd All-Time with the Warriors
Highest ORtg in the history of the NBA
That's spectacular.
One Wild Harvest Stuffed Logz, just ordered on Amazon! We’ll see what I can do about making it edible, lol.Just make sure there's video of the ceremony.
You Celtics are good … real good. The best? We shall see.
I gotta say, in my defense, I was totally onboard with the Cs being the best team in the league. I just thought given the depth of talent in the league, the increased focus on player rest, and the nature of three point variance, 62+ wins was a crazy tough lift for anyone. And that applied to 29 of the 30 teams. I did not have the Cs being 14 games better than anyone else in the East on my bingo card!
Anyway, congrats, and let the real season begin…
You’re a good person. Seems like it’s mostly edible (we eat sawdust more than one thinks) but to my mind, a small taste would be sufficient to honor Rocco.
What a season!
microwaveable? It can't be any worse than a Hot Pocket if you slather it in tomato sauce. JK
It's been a long winter, donate it to your local park. The squirrels will thank you.
Your mea culpa is more than sufficient...
yeah, or - wasn't there some charity that Rocco's widow asked people to donate to in lieu of stuff for the funeral? Whatever one that was, I'll match some dollars going to there if someone is so inclined. His passion for the Cs is a wonderful legacy that made fans (or bigger fans) out of some here, and he would've loved this season so much.
Looks like the inside is relatively edible, actually. Hoping the poplar (“filet mignon of wood shavings” as it may be) is mostly in the hard shell (which is apparently edible, for rabbits and squirrels, anyway….)
My other issue is the plastic packet came open in the soft Amazon pack, but what are the chances anyone would want to tamper with squirrel food? Hmm…
My other issue is the plastic packet came open in the soft Amazon pack, but what are the chances anyone would want to tamper with squirrel food? Hmm…
The presentation there is worthy of a Michelin Star, and got a big laugh from me.
Rocky and Bullwinkle better realize how good they've got it.
Rocky and Bullwinkle better realize how good they've got it.
Okay, had a little taste with coffee this morning. A good mouthful for a chipmunk, if not a rabbit or giant NYC squirrel. Not bad at all! Possibly even tasty enough to make it an unsatisfying L for some, but I figure that and the $5 price tag (together with the risk that the Amazon delivery guy is a squirrel hater who poisoned the open packet) covers my Port Cellar debt. I assume (hope?) that’s farther than our dear Rocco went with his famous promise?
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In a world where an overwhelming majority of people cannot admit that they were wrong, Sam Ray Not is an OG.
Just for this I'll root for the Dubs tonight.
And yeah I think we were too busy celebrating the title to hold Rocco to his particulars. It just lives on in legend.
I believe that is correct - Rocco never followed through on his vow. https://sonsofsamhorn.net/index.php?threads/celtics-vs-warriors-nba-finals.36673/page-22#post-5044688