2023-24 Celtics

HomeRunBaker

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On ESPN, I see 47% for October (I know, unsustainable) then 28% for November and 32% for December. So, that's two months of 30% or so.
Last nights 0-7 dropped him 5 pct points for the month. He def began on fire which wasn't sustainable then cooled off in November but this variance has been normalized in Dec to that 35-37% range sans last night.
 

jmcc5400

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KP sure has been cold from 3 lately. He really takes long threes, too. I wonder if he really needs to be 3 feet past the arc to keep the spacing or if he could make things a little easier on himself by moving a little more in.
On the latest Old Man and the Three, Legler and JJ talk about how Porzingis’s range from three opens up the rest of the offense (differentiating from Horford’s “inch behind the line” range), which I think is the point HRB was making as well.
 

HomeRunBaker

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On the latest Old Man and the Three, Legler and JJ talk about how Porzingis’s range from three opens up the rest of the offense (differentiating from Horford’s “inch behind the line” range), which I think is the point HRB was making as well.
Isn't it crazy how the game has changed? 20 years ago I was preaching spacing on here and guys like Mark Blount provided it (at that time) by stepping out to 17-18 ft, then came Horford which opened things up immensely and now we're on to Kristaps which is mind blowing.
 

lovegtm

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He made Wemby basically a non-factor defensively, which makes 0-7 just the small price of doing business.

Interested to see how OKC uses Chet vs him.
 

wade boggs chicken dinner

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This prompted me to see how often this was happening - in the 20 games they've played together, they average 12 minutes of double big. That really surprised me just how much it's been used, especially considering that Al only averages about 27 minutes a game. So nearly half of his minutes are in a double big lineup.
Eye test suggests that JMazz uses 2BIGZ lineups a lot. According to NBA.com,
  • Al/KP have played 239 minutes in 20 games
  • Al/Luke have played 51 minutes in 10 games
  • Al/Queta have played 51 minutes in 8 games
  • KP/Luke have played 13 minutes in 4 games
  • KP/Queta have played 8 minutes in 1 game
  • Luke/Queta played less than 1 minutes in 1 game

So 360-ish minutes total; Cs have played 1440. So maybe not a lot but still significant I would think.
 

InstaFace

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This prompted me to see how often this was happening - in the 20 games they've played together, they average 12 minutes of double big. That really surprised me just how much it's been used, especially considering that Al only averages about 27 minutes a game. So nearly half of his minutes are in a double big lineup.
Last night, it looked to me like the game plan was to have Al contest Wemby on the perimeter (or whoever he got switched onto), and KP to stay low to contest drives, and so in combination that's how they'd play vs Wemby. I think Al was matching Wembanyama minute for minute, too, so once the former was done for the night, so was the latter. Made sense given how they were handling the "threat" from every other Spur.
 

HomeRunBaker

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This team hasn't even scratched the surface of its potential. If they remain healthy we could see a historic regular season run at some point. They are that good at both ends and well coached with an actual staff this year.
 

wade boggs chicken dinner

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This team hasn't even scratched the surface of its potential. If they remain healthy we could see a historic regular season run at some point. They are that good at both ends and well coached with an actual staff this year.
Agree with your statement. They are shooting 37.4% on 3P shots, good for 11th in the league. Which is fine, but they can shoot better as JT is shooting 34.6%, JB is shooting 35.8% and KP is shooting 32.3% on a total of 18.3 3P shots a game. There's going to be a stretch when they get hot on 3Pers and they are going to demolish teams. Let's hope it's the playoffs.
 

HomeRunBaker

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Agree with your statement. They are shooting 37.4% on 3P shots, good for 11th in the league. Which is fine, but they can shoot better as JT is shooting 34.6%, JB is shooting 35.8% and KP is shooting 32.3% on a total of 18.3 3P shots a game. There's going to be a stretch when they get hot on 3Pers and they are going to demolish teams. Let's hope it's the playoffs.
This is why people don't need to go game thread crazy following losses when we don't play well, take a schedule loss or really any other reason. I'd prefer these losses to a 20-game win streak leading into the playoffs to be peaking in the spring. Also bc our losses are fairly easy to spot which is good...but that's for another thread.
 

benhogan

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Agree with your statement. They are shooting 37.4% on 3P shots, good for 11th in the league. Which is fine, but they can shoot better as JT is shooting 34.6%, JB is shooting 35.8% and KP is shooting 32.3% on a total of 18.3 3P shots a game. There's going to be a stretch when they get hot on 3Pers and they are going to demolish teams. Let's hope it's the playoffs.
The Cs are undefeated when they shoot above 32% from 3.

https://www.celticsblog.com/2024/1/1/24021410/entering-a-banner-year-10-takeaways-from-boston-celtics-san-antonio-spurs-jayson-tatum-jaylen-brown

Loved #10 Payton Pritchard, dime-dropper.
Joe has PP on-ball initiating. Like it
 

lars10

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We don't have a Following Former Celtics thread or a Celtics Nostalgia thread, but if we did, this would go there:

View: https://twitter.com/PodcastPShow/status/1741923617599103462

That team WAS loaded, though. Those 5 starters, plus Smart, Scary Terry, Mook Morris, Aron Baynes. Really makes you wonder why Coach Brad couldn't make it click.
Two things:
1. They were the classic paper vs. on the court example
2. Hayweird was a shadow of his former self. He only started 18 games and played 10 less minutes per game than his previous healthy season and scored 11.5 per game..which was a little more than half of what he scored pre-injury. One of, if not THE, worst years of the middle of his career.

also.. Kyrie as stated above.
 

HomeRunBaker

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That team WAS loaded, though. Those 5 starters, plus Smart, Scary Terry, Mook Morris, Aron Baynes. Really makes you wonder why Coach Brad couldn't make it click.
This was discussed ad nauseum at the time about how all those guys were playing for contracts.....Morris, Kyrie, Rozier, Jaylen's extension coming up so he needed to get numbers, and I think there was a 5th guy too. That was a disaster of a situation for Brad or any coach to handle.
 

benhogan

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This was discussed ad nauseum at the time about how all those guys were playing for contracts.....Morris, Kyrie, Rozier, Jaylen's extension coming up so he needed to get numbers, and I think there was a 5th guy too. That was a disaster of a situation for Brad or any coach to handle.
Indeed there was...Al Horford, who promptly left for the 76ers.

It's all right because Danny's contingency plan was to max Kembaya plus add Enes Kanter. All DAR needed to do after that was release a dirt-cheap Aron Baynes :eek:

Some of Brad's finest work has been immediately extending players (or letting Grant go).
 

lovegtm

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Indeed there was...Al Horford, who promptly left for the 76ers.

It's all right because Danny's contingency plan was to max Kembaya plus add Enes Kanter. All DAR needed to do after that was release a dirt-cheap Aron Baynes :eek:

Some of Brad's finest work has been immediately extending players (or letting Grant go).
It's funny that the one recent extension Brad *didn't* make was giving DWhite the max he could this offseason, and now that's going to come back and bite him, at least somewhat.
 

NomarsFool

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It's funny that the one recent extension Brad *didn't* make was giving DWhite the max he could this offseason, and now that's going to come back and bite him, at least somewhat.
The majority of this board, I believe, was in favor of a bigger role for DWhite last season but I'm pretty sure it would be a small minority who foresaw this leap forward from him this season. You just don't see that very often from 29 year old players in the NBA.
 

lovegtm

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The majority of this board, I believe, was in favor of a bigger role for DWhite last season but I'm pretty sure it would be a small minority who foresaw this leap forward from him this season. You just don't see that very often from 29 year old players in the NBA.
Yes, I don't think Brad made the wrong decision. It's just funny that "extension = good" has been such a reliable rule for him and the one time he didn't he (surprisingly) should have.
 

pjheff

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It's funny that the one recent extension Brad *didn't* make was giving DWhite the max he could this offseason, and now that's going to come back and bite him, at least somewhat.
Would extending White in October have in any way impacted the calculus when it comes to Tatum’s supermax and the luxury tax? Could this simply be an order of operations type of decision?
 

Auger34

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Bingo. This was the "leader" that was supposed to wrangle all of the personalities together...who was recruiting players to go play with him in Brooklyn.

I believe the "2nd leader" was Morris...who is one of the biggest clowns in the NBA. Then there was the whole Hayward subplot (he wasn't very good and Brad kept him as a starter which was an issue with the team)
 

lovegtm

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Would extending White in October have in any way impacted the calculus when it comes to Tatum’s supermax and the luxury tax? Could this simply be an order of operations type of decision?
If you're going to pay White, then no, no tax implications (besides the fact that now he's probably going to make more on his next deal).
 

lexrageorge

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Would extending White in October have in any way impacted the calculus when it comes to Tatum’s supermax and the luxury tax? Could this simply be an order of operations type of decision?
The league doesn't start counting the extension dollars against the tax until it takes effect. Jaylen Brown, for example, still counts as $31.8M against the team's cap and luxury tax.

Do we know if there were any talks with White's agent regarding an extension? It's possible that White's agent could have advised him to wait a year, knowing the team would be relying on him more with Marcus Smart out of the picture.
 

DavidTai

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The league doesn't start counting the extension dollars against the tax until it takes effect. Jaylen Brown, for example, still counts as $31.8M against the team's cap and luxury tax.

Do we know if there were any talks with White's agent regarding an extension? It's possible that White's agent could have advised him to wait a year, knowing the team would be relying on him more with Marcus Smart out of the picture.
https://celticswire.usatoday.com/2023/10/17/celtics-are-discussing-a-contract-extension-with-derrick-white/
 

lovegtm

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The league doesn't start counting the extension dollars against the tax until it takes effect. Jaylen Brown, for example, still counts as $31.8M against the team's cap and luxury tax.

Do we know if there were any talks with White's agent regarding an extension? It's possible that White's agent could have advised him to wait a year, knowing the team would be relying on him more with Marcus Smart out of the picture.
The reports were that the two sides were very engaged this fall, which they wouldn't have been if White was uninterested in an extension at any price.
 

lexrageorge

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The reports were that the two sides were very engaged this fall, which they wouldn't have been if White was uninterested in an extension at any price.
Thanks. Seems like Stevens wasn't willing to commit the $$$ it would take in October. Understandable, given that White has never been as good as he has been this season. Anyway, not a problem until summer/early fall.
 

HomeRunBaker

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Yes, I don't think Brad made the wrong decision. It's just funny that "extension = good" has been such a reliable rule for him and the one time he didn't he (surprisingly) should have.
Thanks. Seems like Stevens wasn't willing to commit the $$$ it would take in October. Understandable, given that White has never been as good as he has been this season. Anyway, not a problem until summer/early fall.
It takes two to tango. White's agent didn't agree to whatever it was that Brad put on the table. Can't blame Brad without knowing what was offered. Looks like White betting on himself is going to pay off handsomely.
 

Euclis20

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Bingo. This was the "leader" that was supposed to wrangle all of the personalities together...who was recruiting players to go play with him in Brooklyn.

I believe the "2nd leader" was Morris...who is one of the biggest clowns in the NBA. Then there was the whole Hayward subplot (he wasn't very good and Brad kept him as a starter which was an issue with the team)
I think I remember hearing the bolded too, but it looks odd in hindsight. He started just 18 games that season, only 3 of which came after Thanksgiving. Of course the former all-star in his prime was going to start coming back from injury, and Brad gave him a month to work it out before benching him. All other issues aside, that team just couldn't work without Hayward playing at an all-star level. Tatum/Brown weren't ready, Morris/Rozier were playing for contracts, Kyrie at his best was a terrific offensive player that gave a lot of it back on defense. Horford was great but just a borderline all-star, and Smart was nothing more than a good role player. Without anyone resembling a top 10 player, they didn't have a shot at winning anything. Hayward was supposed to make the jump into being that guy, and the injury just killed him.
 

benhogan

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I think I remember hearing the bolded too, but it looks odd in hindsight. He started just 18 games that season, only 3 of which came after Thanksgiving. Of course the former all-star in his prime was going to start coming back from injury, and Brad gave him a month to work it out before benching him. All other issues aside, that team just couldn't work without Hayward playing at an all-star level. Tatum/Brown weren't ready, Morris/Rozier were playing for contracts, Kyrie at his best was a terrific offensive player that gave a lot of it back on defense. Horford was great but just a borderline all-star, and Smart was nothing more than a good role player. Without anyone resembling a top 10 player, they didn't have a shot at winning anything. Hayward was supposed to make the jump into being that guy, and the injury just killed him.
Smart's RFA didn't go great for St. Marcus. Players talk amongst themselves. Danny could have been seen as being unreasonable, cold, & "cheap" towards the heart & soul of the Celtics.

At least Brad came in and immediately extended Marcus

https://www.thescore.com/nba/news/1567352
 

lovegtm

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It takes two to tango. White's agent didn't agree to whatever it was that Brad put on the table. Can't blame Brad without knowing what was offered. Looks like White betting on himself is going to pay off handsomely.
I agree it takes two to tango. My points were that a) there was a limit to what the Celtics could offer (3/85), and b) it's likely White would have taken the upper end of that, given that he and his agent definitely seem to have engaged.

No one knew that White would be this, so it's understandable that a deal wasn't reached.

White's improvement at 29 makes me more optimistic that Jaylen's at 27 is real.
 

DavidTai

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Technically, wouldn't it take three to agree in this case? Ownership would have to be willing to pay what Brad offered or the agent wanted. Especially with the tax penalties.
 

HomeRunBaker

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Technically, wouldn't it take three to agree in this case? Ownership would have to be willing to pay what Brad offered or the agent wanted. Especially with the tax penalties.
By two I was referring to Celtics organization and Team White. There are obv multiple people involved and influencing on both sides.
 

jablo1312

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16 games this month in the next 29 days. Some real tough ones too. Big stretch but if they can come out neutral w/ MIL/PHI in the standings at the end of January they'll be looking in good shape for the 1 seed.

Side note, the thunder are the 3rd best team in the NBA by adjusted net rating...and the celtics are 4 point favorites IN OKC tn. Indicative of how strong this team is when everyone's playing.
 

Eddie Jurak

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Well, well, well. The return of the no-defense third quarter and the Tatum/Brown turnoverfest has not been welcome. These are the kind of teams that worry me. Not the older teams like Milwaukees and LA teams.
 

Red Averages

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By two I was referring to Celtics organization and Team White. There are obv multiple people involved and influencing on both sides.
I think something that doesn’t get discussed on here enough is:

- The Celtics operate their business at a loss. They made money a few years ago when under the cap and making a long run with the extra playoff revenue.
- They are going to be deeper in a loss this year and next.
- The person running business ops (Wyc) isn’t actually that liquid. His father put together the ownership group 20 years ago, most of Wyc’s net worth is tied up in the Celtics and a few other PE investments. Pags on the other hand had his wealth surge after they bought the team, but he’s not fully running the show.

Now my understanding is that they’ve been greenlit to do what it takes for the next two years, but adding more long term deals is likely a tough sell for Brad to ownership at the movement.
 

Bunt4aTriple

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I think something that doesn’t get discussed on here enough is:

- The Celtics operate their business at a loss. They made money a few years ago when under the cap and making a long run with the extra playoff revenue.
- They are going to be deeper in a loss this year and next.
- The person running business ops (Wyc) isn’t actually that liquid. His father put together the ownership group 20 years ago, most of Wyc’s net worth is tied up in the Celtics and a few other PE investments. Pags on the other hand had his wealth surge after they bought the team, but he’s not fully running the show.

Now my understanding is that they’ve been greenlit to do what it takes for the next two years, but adding more long term deals is likely a tough sell for Brad to ownership at the movement.
Hopefully, the $300m expansion check will grease the wheels.
 

Salem's Lot

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I think something that doesn’t get discussed on here enough is:

- The Celtics operate their business at a loss. They made money a few years ago when under the cap and making a long run with the extra playoff revenue.
- They are going to be deeper in a loss this year and next.
- The person running business ops (Wyc) isn’t actually that liquid. His father put together the ownership group 20 years ago, most of Wyc’s net worth is tied up in the Celtics and a few other PE investments. Pags on the other hand had his wealth surge after they bought the team, but he’s not fully running the show.

Now my understanding is that they’ve been greenlit to do what it takes for the next two years, but adding more long term deals is likely a tough sell for Brad to ownership at the movement.
This is pretty concerning. Don’t they still have to sign Tatum long term? Are they going to be able to do that?
 

CaptainLaddie

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Well, well, well. The return of the no-defense third quarter and the Tatum/Brown turnoverfest has not been welcome. These are the kind of teams that worry me. Not the older teams like Milwaukees and LA teams.
Seriously. The third quarter Celtics of yesteryear suck and might be the most frustrating thing about the Celtics in the last decade.
 

Red Averages

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This is pretty concerning. Don’t they still have to sign Tatum long term? Are they going to be able to do that?
Of course.
But think of it as any financial decision. You’re operating at a loss. Someone on your team says, hey we want to go into a deeper loss and commit to that loss for more years, but we hope to get more revenue in 3 years. Are you committing to that today? Or do you say, OK we don’t *need* to do anything now. So let’s get as much flexibility as possible… let’s call this 900 2nd round picks so the pack of our roster is as cheap as can possibly be… let’s get guys that are mostly already signed in the top 7 rotation. Let’s get through the year and see how we do. A championship would make me want to keep spending at a loss. A 2nd round exit and no clarity on future revenue maybe not as easy as a convo. So I think the goal is to avoid causing any freak outs, build the flexibility and cross that bridge when we get there.
 

DGreenwood

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Wyc has already indicated that Tatum will get the supermax when eligible.
Yeah, this is the biggest of no-brainers. There is no chance they don't supermax Tatum. How much they are willing to spend on the rest of the roster in years to come is the question.
 
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Light-Tower-Power

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Well, well, well. The return of the no-defense third quarter and the Tatum/Brown turnoverfest has not been welcome. These are the kind of teams that worry me. Not the older teams like Milwaukees and LA teams.
Tatum was incredible in the fourth on both ends.

Not much about tonight concerns me. Jaylen's 0-8 from deep with most of them wide open misses is a reminder of the unfortunate reality that he is not the strong outside shooter he was earlier in his career. Would be nice if he could shoot 38-39% like he did from '19-'21 but it looks like he's settling in as a high volume 34-36% guy. Not ideal but it is what it is.
 

RorschachsMask

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Tatum’s turnovers were a low pass that Holiday fumbled out of bounds, a defensive rebound that got knocked away, an illegal screen, and a tipped lob to Kornet lol. I’d say that the 30/13/8 makes up for it.

Thunder shot 45% from three, Jaylen and Holiday struggled, and the Celtics lost by 4. Doesn’t matter in the least, there’s nothing to take from it.