Just noticed JBJ has 15sb for his career and hasn't been caught. In the minors, he was 35/58. Thought it was interesting even if it means very little.
Probably means he is more disciplined in when he decides to run. Or is allowed to.Just noticed JBJ has 15sb for his career and hasn't been caught. In the minors, he was 35/58. Thought it was interesting even if it means very little.
The cool thing is that he can name the kid Jackie Bradley III, either way.Is it a boy or girl?
Lol.They used a surrogate. Why do you think we haven't seen Sandoval in so long?
Neither, it appears to be a Baby Panda.Is it a boy or girl?
Except Mookie's 3 HR game was in MayJBJ was rightfully named May AL Player of the Month.
Mookie's off to the races to win June's award. Pretty neat.
Except Mookie's 3 HR game was in May
I was hoping he would be JBJJ (Jackie Bradley Junior Jr)The cool thing is that he can name the kid Jackie Bradley III, either way.
Also, shouldn't you (MadStork) already know the answer to this, given your screen name?
Yay! Hope everyone is happy and healthy.It's a girl.
And he'll be back tomorrow.
It's entirely possible that he is. In the minors he was always a high OBP guy without the power. It's not all that unusual for guys to grow into power in their mid 20s. Maybe this is what he really is.Going into July his OPS was .942. His OPS atm is .944. Where is the regression? Is he really a .900+ ops player?
It's entirely possible that he is. In the minors he was always a high OBP guy without the power. It's not all that unusual for guys to grow into power in their mid 20s. Maybe this is what he really is.
On the other hand, looking at his monthly splits, he had a 1.175 OPS in April and his .872 in July is his second highest month.
That, plus the extended period of abject awfulness that may be making everybody a little wary of taking his current level of play at face value. I mean, consider the fact that even now, after almost a year of All-Star offense, his career wRC+ is still under 100.And if this is his true talent level, just how valuable is he? Why is he a side note to Betts and Bogaerts? The 3 years in age?
Including tonight's game since the beginning of 2015 compared to 2013-2014.. I mean, consider the fact that even now, after almost a year of All-Star offense, his career wRC+ is still under 100.
And using the beginning of 2015 actually soft-pedals the turnaround, because his career line continued to get worse all the way through August 8 last year. On the morning of August 9, 2015, his career slash was .188/.268/.268. Since then it's .302/.379/.575. This is, roughly speaking, like turning yourself over the course of one year from Ed Brinkman into Hank Aaron.Including tonight's game since the beginning of 2015 compared to 2013-2014.
168 Games, 642 PA, .283/.366/.532 100 runs, 42 doubles, 10 3bs, 25 HRs, 103 RBI, 10/11 SB, 64bb/143K. 133 OPS+ 6.3 WAR* (doesn't include tonight)
127 Games, 530 PA, .196/.268/.280 063 runs, 24 doubles, 02 3bs, 04 HRs, 040 RBI, 10/10 SB, 41bb/152K. 053 OPS+ 0.4 WAR
No, OBP = SLG. If you want them as 4-part slash lines, .188/.268/.268/.536 vs. .302/.379/.575/.954.his career slash had OBP = OPS?
Slash is average, obp and slugging %. His obp was equal to his slugging, not OPS.his career slash had OBP = OPS? that's basically impossible in a long term sample, so tha'ts wrong.
Still, yeah.
The 20th anniversary of the day Jerry Garcia ascended to join the celestial choir. That powerful mojo is elevating JBJ to greatness. I predict a long, strange career for him, with a lot of really good highs.August 9, 2015
"August thus far" is the definition of small sample size. He's still a few at bats away from the whole season being a fairly reliable sample size for OPS, let alone BABIP. Likewise cutting sub-season results into even tinier splits (home/away, lineup position, etc) is pretty much the definition of junk math.JBJ is having a really cold August thus far, OPSing .712.
JBJ is a human, not a computerized simulation. Small samples are likely to be incorrect in judging a player's value or abilities, however they can still be indicative of a change occurring."August thus far" is the definition of small sample size. He's still a few at bats away from the whole season being a fairly reliable sample size for OPS, let alone BABIP.
How about the 70 games since his hitting streak ended: ..239 with an OPS of .781."August thus far" is the definition of small sample size. He's still a few at bats away from the whole season being a fairly reliable sample size for OPS, let alone BABIP. Likewise cutting sub-season results into even tinier splits (home/away, lineup position, etc) is pretty much the definition of junk math.
( http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/when-samples-become-reliable/ has some discussion of how large samples need to be for the stats to be somewhat reliable when discussing various statistics).
I was thinking about a comp for JBJ the other day, and I came up with Torii Hunter. Good not great offensive player, great defensive player for most of his career. Career slash of 277 AVG 331 OBP 461 SLG. I think JBJ may hit for a lower average with a slightly higher OBP and similar or slightly higher SLG, but I don't think I would be interested in trading him if he is going to have a Torii Hunter type of career, even if he is at the peak of his value.How about the 70 games since his hitting streak ended: ..239 with an OPS of .781.
The discussions last year were "how low does JBJ's offensive have to be to support his defense to justify his spot on the roster." I think he's just reverting back to the mean and when all is said and done he will be a .260 or so hitter with 20-25 HRs a year and gold glove caliber defense. The interesting thing will be if DD thinks his stock will never be higher and trade him this offseason.
So you're willing to admit that JBJ's current "cold snap" is still .074 OPS higher than his MLB career line.JBJ is a human, not a computerized simulation. Small samples are likely to be incorrect in judging a player's value or abilities, however they can still be indicative of a change occurring.
When a young player with a history like JBJ (e.g. a career MLB OPS of .638) is in the midst of a cold snap, I think it's important analyze things and see whether it's bad luck, an injury (which could be the explanation), bad habits returning (I haven't seen recent screengrabs, but we did have quite a hitch in his swing initially), or something else. I still wonder if there's some correlation with the shift in line up position, which has been gradually occurring has he's cooled off from his red hot, bottom of the line up May.
Maybe if there's a dramatic change. Even that's dubious. But look at your example: a .712 OPS so far in August. Post on June 17 and he had a .717 for the month. On April 23 he had a .582 for the month. On July 19th it was .729.JBJ is a human, not a computerized simulation. Small samples are likely to be incorrect in judging a player's value or abilities, however they can still be indicative of a change occurring.
I think that's a pretty interesting observation. If that's the case, I wonder if it's better to have him or someone else at #5?He had a bad game at the plate yesterday after a terrible travel schedule. Also, as the team's de facto #5 hitter, he's recently been facing LHRP specialists 1-2 PA per game more than he did while hitting 9th.
Better Joey Votto.I think that's a pretty interesting observation. If that's the case, I wonder if it's better to have him or someone else at #5?
Update, JBJ is now 7-9 in stolen bases. Caught twice.Just noticed JBJ has 15sb for his career and hasn't been caught. In the minors, he was 35/58. Thought it was interesting even if it means very little.
Is it? It's the entire Redsox team. Most players upon being promoted to Boston have much better success rates.He isn't that fast and the amazing part is that someone with slightly above average speed can steal bases at such a high percentage.
7 successful out of 9 attempts is a small sample size. Some of the successful ones could even be because of things like the ball getting away from the catcher a bit. I'd like to see a comparison of his running speed on the bases vs. in the OF. He looks plenty fast in the outfield, at least when he's busting it vs. his gliding to a can o' corn. Running the bases, he swings his arms kind of too far away from his body. Cue shots from the Elaine/Raquel Welch Seinfeld episode. But he definitely looks faster in the OF.He isn't that fast and the amazing part is that someone with slightly above average speed can steal bases at such a high percentage.
As long as Leon is still raking, it seems like #5 might be a worthy experiment with him. It would also be interesting to see if JBJ starts heating up again at the bottom of the line up.Better Joey Votto.
But until that happy event, it's still better to use JBJ (.250/.336/.375 vs LHP) than Shaw (.196/.242/.391) or especially Holt (.100/.250/.100).
More realistically, you'll have to wait for Chris Young to come off the DL before there's a notably better candidate.
Maybe Leon, but he's been a rock anchoring the bottom of the lineup.
Split G GS PA AB R H 2B 3B HR RBI SB CS BB SO BA OBP SLG OPS TB GDP HBP SH SF IBB ROE BAbip tOPS+ sOPS+
April/March 23 23 89 81 11 22 6 4 1 13 1 0 5 21 .272 .326 .481 .807 39 1 2 0 1 0 0 .350 83 121
May 27 27 114 97 17 37 7 0 8 24 2 0 17 15 .381 .474 .701 1.175 68 1 0 0 0 3 0 .392 166 218
June 24 24 102 87 15 19 6 2 4 13 4 1 11 25 .218 .333 .471 .805 41 0 4 0 0 0 0 .259 83 111
July 25 25 103 94 18 28 6 0 4 12 0 0 7 18 .298 .350 .489 .839 46 2 1 0 1 0 1 .329 91 128
August 16 16 67 60 10 12 2 0 3 8 0 1 5 18 .200 .284 .383 .667 23 1 2 0 0 0 1 .231 52 76