August MLB Thread

axx

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A's tank game strong... they accidentally took the lead in the Top of the 7th but St Louis has scored 4 so far to take the lead back.

Inside-the-park HR, thanks to some shoddy fielding by the Mariners.
Nearly every ITPHR should be ruled an error. This one no different. Lost it in the lights.
 

derekson

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It could be worse. You could be an Angels' fan. I just got a text from my Angel fan buddy. 12-0 loss to Texas tonight.
I may have to talk him off the ledge.
They're beginning to look bad for not trading Ohtani and getting a return. He definitely would've brought more in return than a draft pick.
 

Sad Sam Jones

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When the no-hitter was still intact, I almost posted that I give Singer a 51% chance of getting a win.
 

jmcc5400

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That could be a beak breaking loss for the M's.
It feels like this loss was a ripple effect of the O's series, which stretched the Seattle bullpen on Saturday and Sunday.

Also nice job from the KC announcing crew calling the bunt.
 

Tokyo Sox

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Probable dumb question warning: Cards/A's, all the scoring was finished by the end of the 7th, with STL scoring 4 runs in the bottom half to go up 7-5, which was the final.

VerHagen started the 8th for STL, going 0.2 IP scoreless, and is being credited with a hold. Makes sense.
Romero finished the 8th and then closed it out in the 9th, preserving a 2-run lead by throwing 1.1 scoreless, and is being credited with...the W? In both MLB and ESPN box scores.

Shouldn't Gallegos who finished the 7th be getting a BS and a W, with Romero getting a Save? I know official scorers have discretion with who gets credited for a W in some situations, but this one seems pretty cut & dried?
 

jon abbey

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Probable dumb question warning: Cards/A's, all the scoring was finished by the end of the 7th, with STL scoring 4 runs in the bottom half to go up 7-5, which was the final.

VerHagen started the 8th for STL, going 0.2 IP scoreless, and is being credited with a hold. Makes sense.
Romero finished the 8th and then closed it out in the 9th, preserving a 2-run lead by throwing 1.1 scoreless, and is being credited with...the W? In both MLB and ESPN box scores.

Shouldn't Gallegos who finished the 7th be getting a BS and a W, with Romero getting a Save? I know official scorers have discretion with who gets credited for a W in some situations, but this one seems pretty cut & dried?
When the relief pitcher who should get the W has a bad pitching line, the official scorer has the leeway to award the W to another reliever and they seem in those cases to always give it to the one with the best pitching line, in this case Romero. This year they seem to be doing this a bit more frequently (although fantasy players would know much better than me), maybe to try to help 'wins' be taken slightly more seriously again? MLB could start with dropping the 5 inning minimum rule for SPs in this new era, if that was what they are aiming for.
 

derekson

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Probable dumb question warning: Cards/A's, all the scoring was finished by the end of the 7th, with STL scoring 4 runs in the bottom half to go up 7-5, which was the final.

VerHagen started the 8th for STL, going 0.2 IP scoreless, and is being credited with a hold. Makes sense.
Romero finished the 8th and then closed it out in the 9th, preserving a 2-run lead by throwing 1.1 scoreless, and is being credited with...the W? In both MLB and ESPN box scores.

Shouldn't Gallegos who finished the 7th be getting a BS and a W, with Romero getting a Save? I know official scorers have discretion with who gets credited for a W in some situations, but this one seems pretty cut & dried?
The scorer has the ability to award the win to "the most effective pitcher" but I'm not sure Verhagen can get a Hold in that situation.
 

Tokyo Sox

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The Angels could have traded for an entire AAA team. Instead they’ll get nothing when he leaves and still finish in 4th.
Yeah. Not moving him was always going to be a huge mistake, but if it's any consolation, they were always going to make it.

When the relief pitcher who should get the W has a bad pitching line, the official scorer has the leeway to award the W to another reliever and they seem to always give it to the one with the best pitching line, in this case Romero. This year they seem to be doing this a bit more frequently (although fantasy players would know much better than me), maybe to try to help 'wins' be taken slightly more seriously again?
Thanks yeah - re the bolded, I'm sure I asked a similar question earlier this year. In years past I think it would be a very clear BS, W for Gallegos, and S for Romero. The trend towards greater individual discretion seems strange though.
 

jon abbey

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The Angels could have traded for an entire AAA team. Instead they’ll get nothing when he leaves and still finish in 4th.
He has more leverage right now over his employer than maybe an employee has ever had. If I were him, I would instruct my agent to tell the Angels "Stay out of the bidding, we will conduct it without you. Once there is a top bid, we will bring it back to you, and if you will match that offer plus add $200M for back wages (additional years to be agreed on), then I will happily come back and do my best for the only MLB team I have played for. Otherwise, it was fun, see you a few times each season."

Possibly never in the history of US sports has a new CBA fucked over one player as much as Ohtani with the new CBA agreed upon the year before he was eligible to come to the US. It was completely aimed at him and him alone too, and it probably cost him something like $200M in the open market, give or take. I have been irritated about this since so I can only imagine how it must bother him on some level, so being able to claw that back (and he would make so much more than that for LAA if he stays healthy) would really make me so happy.
 

jon abbey

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The scorer has the ability to award the win to "the most effective pitcher" but I'm not sure Verhagen can get a Hold in that situation.
Yeah, that's strange, but maybe the point is that Verhagen did his job with the lead either way so changing the W to a different pitcher shouldn't affect him. It all seems somewhat random, heh.
 

derekson

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He has more leverage right now over his employer than maybe an employee has ever had. If I were him, I would instruct my agent to tell the Angels "Stay out of the bidding, we will conduct it without you. Once there is a top bid, we will bring it back to you, and if you will match that offer plus add $200M for back wages (additional years to be agreed on), then I will happily come back and do my best for the only MLB team I have played for. Otherwise, it was fun, see you a few times each season."

Possibly never in the history of US sports has a new CBA fucked over one player as much as Ohtani with the new CBA agreed upon the year before he was eligible to come to the US. It was completely aimed at him and him alone too, and it probably cost him something like $200M in the open market, give or take. I have been irritated about this since so I can only imagine how it must bother him on some level, so being able to claw that back (and he would make so much more than that for LAA if he stays healthy) would really make me so happy.
I don't see a world where the Angels would pay that kind of premium or where Ohtani would take them over a team that is set up to win in the next 5 years.
 

derekson

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Yeah, that's strange, but maybe the point is that Verhagen did his job with the lead either way so changing the W to a different pitcher shouldn't affect him. It all seems somewhat random, heh.
I understand not just giving the win to the guy who blew the hold; that's bothered me for awhile now when the rules allow the scorer to assign it to a reliever that pitched well. Even if wins aren't the best stat statistically they still mean something.
 

jon abbey

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I don't see a world where the Angels would pay that kind of premium or where Ohtani would take them over a team that is set up to win in the next 5 years.
Yeah, I have been saying for a long time I think he is a lock to the Dodgers, I just love the claw-back idea in theory.
 

Tokyo Sox

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Possibly never in the history of US sports has a new CBA fucked over one player as much as Ohtani with the new CBA agreed upon the year before he was eligible to come to the US. It was completely aimed at him and him alone too, and it probably cost him something like $200M in the open market, give or take. I have been irritated about this since so I can only imagine how it must bother him on some level, so being able to claw that back (and he would make so much more than that for LAA if he stays healthy) would really make me so happy.
Hmm dunno about this. My recollection was that it was not aimed at him but more at LatAm players, and he just got caught up in it. I could be misremembering. But at the time not every team even believed that he could do both at an elite level. The book was yeah he'll probably succeed as a pitcher but he can't hit MLB pitching, just bust him inside all day. Then like so many Japanese pitchers he inevitably got hurt and missed time on the mound anyway.

I'm sure the CBA cost him multiple tens of millions of dollars, but imho 200mm significantly overstates it.

Yeah, I have been saying for a long time I think he is a lock to the Dodgers, I just love the claw-back idea in theory.
This I agree with, but it's going to be fun to see. I really really really don't want him to go back to the Angels though. I'd like to see him win.
 

jon abbey

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I'm sure the CBA cost him multiple tens of millions of dollars, but imho 200mm significantly overstates it.
Jeff Sullivan at Fangraphs went into it before he signed originally, I posted about it back in your original thread:

"Jeff Sullivan at Fangraphs took a shot at guessing what he would sign for if he was a genuine FA, he ends up around 6/200, and he says he thinks even at that, he would still immediately be one of the most valuable properties in MLB (actual value minus contract) and if he is a 4.5 WAR per year player, he would be worth around 6/273."

https://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/were-a-month-from-ohtani-changing-the-landscape-of-baseball/"

https://sonsofsamhorn.net/index.php?threads/going-to-laaa-in-2018-shohei-ohtani.16199/page-3#post-2554446

It is true that $200M might be high because he started getting paid well in year 5, but I don't think it is far off.
 

Tokyo Sox

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Jeff Sullivan at Fangraphs went into it before he signed originally, I posted about it back in your original thread:

"Jeff Sullivan at Fangraphs took a shot at guessing what he would sign for if he was a genuine FA, he ends up around 6/200, and he says he thinks even at that, he would still immediately be one of the most valuable properties in MLB (actual value minus contract) and if he is a 4.5 WAR per year player, he would be worth around 6/273."

https://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/were-a-month-from-ohtani-changing-the-landscape-of-baseball/"

https://sonsofsamhorn.net/index.php?threads/going-to-laaa-in-2018-shohei-ohtani.16199/page-3#post-2554446

It is true that $200M might be high because he started getting paid well in year 5, but I don't think it is far off.
Thanks, fun to re-read a bit of that thread. I still don't think it was aimed specifically at him, but you could be closer on the total dollar figure it cost him, who knows.

Also, not that any of us had any idea just how good he'd become, but I did enjoy seeing this in there:
So glad the Sox didn’t wind up with this guy. Save Ichiro, none of these guys have worked out even close to their hype.
 

Max Power

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Just about every superstar player was underpaid by hundreds of millions of dollars by their original team. That's how the economics of the game work. It would be more fair to everyone if younger players were paid more, but the players didn't exactly make that a priority in the last CBA.
 

budcrew08

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Just a regular squeeze, no? The runner didn't break for home until after the bunt.

I can't remember the last time I've seen a legit suicide squeeze.
In real time, I thought the runner took off on the pitch, but on replay, yeah it was more of a safety squeeze. Still a great play.
 

NJ_Sox_Fan

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Thanks, fun to re-read a bit of that thread. I still don't think it was aimed specifically at him, but you could be closer on the total dollar figure it cost him, who knows.

Also, not that any of us had any idea just how good he'd become, but I did enjoy seeing this in there:
Really nailed that one huh? Yikes.