#DFG: Canceling the Noise

Is there any level of suspension that you would advise Tom to accept?


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Koufax

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Scriblerus said:
Where is Robert Kraft in all this?  It has gone beyond "integrity of the game" and is a witch hunt that is damaging not only the Patriots brand, but the NFL.
He undoubtedly has his own army of lawyers and investigators working overtime on this and he won't come out in public until he knows what happened.  It will come out. 
 

soxhop411

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Corsi said:
It literally took Ted Wells 4 months to figure out if there was bullying in the Dolphins lockerroom, so don't expect anything on this anytime soon.
Lovely
 

SumnerH

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fairlee76 said:
But do we know that the refs checked the balls with a gauge pre-game?  Rather than just by feel?  I very well could have missed a statement to that effect, but all I have read so far is they they "inspected" them, with no specifics given.
That was fact #1 of the stipulated facts (all balls fine pre-game) for the purposes of that post.
 

bakahump

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SumnerH said:
What facts are we stipulating? All balls fine pre-game, Pats balls 2 PSI low at halftime, Colts balls fine at halftime? Possible (not probable) other options:

3) Temperature fluctuation theory with a low-precision gauge; requires further explanation of the Colts' balls (are they sitting in front of a heater? Did they test too high post-game, indicating that they were filled outdoors to begin with?)
4) A flat out bad/broken gauge used at halftime
5) A measurement fuck-up at halftime like looking at the metric side of the gauge or something
6) Someone else let the air out (either someone who likes the Pats and thought it'd help, or someone who doesn't and wanted to frame them)
7) Pats filled the ball in the sauna, to game the system within the rules (still looks terrible with Brady and Belichick's denials unless you believe it could happen without their knowledge).

None seem particularly likely. #3-5 get ruled out if the balls didn't return to proper pressure after the game (Peter King has posted that "All 24 footballs were checked by pressure gauge after the game. All 24 checked at the correct pressure," but he probably meant "12 Pats backup balls and 12 Colts" rather than "all 24 Pats balls"). Assuming they're DOA, then #6 is the other vaguely plausible possibility.
 
Why not:
Balls where not checked as thoroughly as indicated by the NFL?
 
They where submitted at 11.8  Who knows why....but in theory ITS THE REFS responibility to fill them to proper levels at the initial (2:15) check.  They either dont check....or say "Close enough" (maybe they are lazy and dont want to pump up 12-24 footballs.)
 
They dont.
 
Balls are used in cold weather....
 
Balls are measured at half time "2lbs" low (say 11 PSI).  Colts who submitted theres at 13.2 PSI are fine the Pre, Half and End game checks.
 
Patriots obviously cheated because the League CANNOT afford this to blow back on the Officals, the arbiters of the game.
 

SumnerH

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amarshal2 said:
Right.  There are a slew of highly unlikely scenarios, many of which the NFL will never know (e.g., your 3-5).  You're #6 is my rogue ball boy.  #7, while different, is not a better reality.
#6 encompasses a lot more than just a rogue ball boy. It could be the Colts letting out the air out of the Pats' balls after tipping off the NFL to look at them.

(I don't think that's at all likely, just throwing out technical possibilities).
 

Erik Hanson's Hook

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I'll get flamed for this...but that will at least help me believe my fears are unfounded:
 
Do we have any reason to fear all the *unbiased* officiating that's sure to come our way in 9 days? The NFL has got to be pissed, especially now that BB's and TB's denials have pretty much placed the blame at the officials' feet.
 
I'm thinking the last thing the NFL wants to do is hand New England the Lombardi trophy come 10pm on 2/1. But I'm sure I'm just being paranoid...right?
 

Myt1

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RedOctober3829 said:
Sweet comparison: murder and deflated footballs.
And, like, a trial with evidence and authentication and testimony and stuff vs. an anonymous source.

Mort's story may very well be right. Volin's statement that the officials definitely gauge checked the balls before the game may be as well.

But I remember lots of sources and rumors talking about how the book was going to get thrown at Belichick for having a tape of a pre-Super Bowl practice, too. And that all fizzled out. So I'm skeptical, mostly because I'd have expected the real stuff to leak by now if there was actually someone that had the goods, either by direct evidence or circumstantial evidence and physics. I think the most likely scenario is that testing is generally half-assed because nobody cares about this, and the NFL's trying to figure out how to deal with the fact that they have a rule in place that makes fast pitch wiffle ball tournament ball scuffing seem professional.
 

nattysez

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Ed Hillel said:
 
You want to tell me with an honest face that someone would deflate balls on the Patriots sideline without his knowledge?
 
 
They've hired a fucking law firm, will probably conduct like a 100 interviews, and are scrubbing computer and phone data. If it turns out Brady lied in this kind of investigation, he's going to get destroyed by Goodell. You think they're doing this to dole out a 100k fine? I don't think it's what he should do, but I think it's what he will do. He is going to cave to the public reaction because it's all he cares about at this point.
 
Given that he said yesterday he hadn't talked to the NFL yet, I'm not sure why you conclude he's "lied in the investigation." 
 

lexrageorge

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Ed Hillel said:
 
You want to tell me with an honest face that someone would deflate balls on the Patriots sideline without his knowledge?
 
 
They've hired a fucking law firm, will probably conduct like a 100 interviews, and are scrubbing computer and phone data. If it turns out Brady lied in this kind of investigation, he's going to get destroyed by Goodell. You think they're doing this to dole out a 100k fine? I don't think it's what he should do, but I think it's what he will do.
Well, as of yesterday, Brady hadn't even been interviewed.  So there was no chance for him to lie.
 
He will have his agent and the NFLPA with him during any interview with the NFL's army of lawyers.  
 
Sure, there is a bad scenario out there where Brady could get into some trouble.  But that seems unlikely.
 

dcdrew10

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Ralphwiggum said:
 
Holy fuck you people have lost your minds.
 
Even if they have video of Brady deflating footballs do you think the penalty for that is going to be worse than, say, a first time violation of the PED policy?
 
Never, ever discount Roger Goodell's added punishments to Mike Vick and the Saints because they lied to him. He takes as a personal affront when NFL people lie to him; it's worse than the crime itself (in his bloated head).
 

Corsi

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According to a Patriots source, the NFL sent a letter to the team around noon Monday informing them that an investigation would take place after it confirmed that they had been using underinflated footballs.
 
NFL investigators arrived to the Patriots facility in Foxborough on Tuesday, and spoke with full- and part-time employees. The investigators also reviewed footage from stadium security cameras and cell phones. They conducted a few followup interviews on Wednesday and then left town.
 
While the investigators had not questioned Patriots quarterback Tom Brady prior to his media session Thursday afternoon, they have spoken with Anderson and his crew, another source said.
 
Once the footballs were approved for game use, they remained in the officials locker room until about 10 minutes prior to kickoff, at which point officials handed 12 of them to the ball boys for each team.
 
The 12 backup balls for each team stayed in the officials’ locker room during the first half. According to a report from WEEI, the officials swapped out the Patriots’ footballs at halftime and used their backups, which were properly inflated, in the second half.
 
http://www.bostonglobe.com/sports/2015/01/23/patriots-footballs-were-inspected-approved-before-afc-title-game/FxnyFsD2KjSEWETZKLTqeL/story.html
 

SumnerH

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RedOctober3829 said:
I'll ask this for the 100th time: why can the QB wear a glove to enhance his grip but can't have the ball at a different PSI?
Because it's a sport, and sports have arbitrary rules, and those were the rules established for the game.
 

Ed Hillel

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nattysez said:
 
Given that he said yesterday he hadn't talked to the NFL yet, I'm not sure why you conclude he's "lied in the investigation." 
 
I haven't, I'm just saying that if it does turn out he had knowledge of what was happening.
 

amarshal2

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SumnerH said:
#6 encompasses a lot more than just a rogue ball boy. It could be the Colts letting out the air out of the Pats' balls after tipping off the NFL to look at them.

(I don't think that's at all likely, just throwing out technical possibilities).
 
I feel like the definition of rogue supports me in this case but I suppose I should have let it be known that "rogue ball boy" is my umbrella term for "somebody deflated the balls without the approval of Bill or Tom".
 
rogue

rōɡ/

noun
 


  1. 1.

    a dishonest or unprincipled man.
     
     
     


 

NWsoxophile

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Could whoever posted that Joe Montana and Dan Marino said that the deflation is no big deal provide a link. I can't find any sign of it in google searches. Thanks.
 

Koufax

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The NFL letter quoted in post 5608 above references two separate gauges.  Sorry, the quote function isn't working for me or I'd have quoted it here. 
 

SumnerH

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bakahump said:
Balls where not checked as thoroughly as indicated by the NFL?
That contradicts the assumptions in play for the premise. But, yes, in real life the idea that those facts are incorrect is still in play.
 

GregHarris

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Can we get the cell tower pings too?  Looks like two pings came from Leakin Park, so is possible they did the deflating there.  Better check Jay's testimony.
 

DJnVa

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Grimace-HS said:
 
 
 
Two great videos, thanks for posting.
 
A video of the process the officials use when THERE IS A CAMERA ROLLING strikes me as it would be a bit more "by the books" the usual. And even with that we get a "close enough" quote.
 
Awesome.
 

Rusty13

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While the evidence thus far supports the conclusion that footballs that were under-inflated were used by the Patriots in the first half
 
Wait, did the Pats use the Colts balls in the first half or not?  Was that ever confirmed or debunked?  I must have missed that.
 

loshjott

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bluefenderstrat said:
Ted Wells and the "forensic expert" investigative firm are DROOLING.   Billable hours for everyone!
 
Renaissance Associates
 
Corporate investigations, preparation for regulatory or government inquires, dispute resolution and litigation support are highly complex and go well beyond routine fact finding and evidence gathering. Renaissance Associates provides clients the unique benefits of investigative leadership.
 
The main take away for me in this whole mess is the way, way, way over-inflated (ha ha) sense of self-importance the NFL has.  Though I guess I'm part of the problem.
 

Hoya81

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Seems like the Pats turned over all security camera footage from the stadium, which would reveal if someone broke into the refs locker room or if the ball boys took a detour somewhere after getting the balls. If that doesn't reveal anything, that would move tampering to have been done on the field during the game.
 

Gambler7

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Rusty13 said:
 
Wait, did the Pats use the Colts balls in the first half or not?  Was that ever confirmed or debunked?  I must have missed that.
Jackson said that he noticed they were using the Colts ball at some point in the first half.
 "Shortly after, Jackson noticed that the Patriots were using the Colts' footballs late in the first half. "
 

Steve Dillard

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So, the investigation means they have no smoking gun, and Godell is just covering his ass for a "we did everything we could to find something" if something ever comes out.
 

Koufax

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RedOctober3829 said:
Good point here:
 
No.  Assume that the ballboy is the villan.  He wouldn't know that the balls had been reinflated and would have no reason to let yet more air out of them.
 

steveluck7

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Steve Dillard said:
So, the investigation means they have no smoking gun, and Godell is just covering his ass for a "we did everything we could to find something" if something ever comes out.
Yep.
We conducted 40 interviews (got nothing useable)
We spoke with officials (they told us what you'd expect)
We spoke to Patriots employees (they didn't give us anything)
 
So here we are, 5 days later with no evidence but we must press on!!
 

simplyeric

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Ed Hillel said:
 
You want to tell me with an honest face that someone would deflate balls on the Patriots sideline without his knowledge?
 
 
They've hired a fucking law firm, will probably conduct like a 100 interviews, and are scrubbing computer and phone data. If it turns out Brady lied in this kind of investigation, he's going to get destroyed by Goodell. You think they're doing this to dole out a 100k fine? I don't think it's what he should do, but I think it's what he will do. He is going to cave to the public reaction because it's all he cares about at this point. If it turns out either lied, Brady and/or Belichick are going to get destroyed. Rationality was thrown out the window long ago with this entire thing.
 
With that army of investigators, could they also be getting ready to say "look, we threw an army of investigators at this.  We really really cannot find any evidence of wrongdoing other than inexplicable pressure readings.  Remember when we said "that is all" in the elevator caase, and it turned out there was that other video?  Well, this time, we're really really sure that this is all, because we threw two separate investigation/lawyer groups out there and came up with nothing.  Sorry guys.  
 
 
oh, and we're gonna go ahead and fine the Paatriots $100k per ball, just because"
 

DourDoerr

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A few things:
 
- I'm impressed at how the Pats during and after the taping scandal never pointed fingers at any other player/team and have done the same in this case.  You'd think the rest of the league would respect that.
 
- I'm disappointed at how chickenshit the rest of the league appears if this is truly the NFL equivalent of pine tar in the seventies/eighties.  If that's so, it's beyond petty to let the Patriots hang out there by themselves.  Have a renewed respect for Aaron Rodgers. 
 
- I'm amazed at the imprecision of the language used by professional writers and the stunning lack of relevant follow-up questions at professional broadcasters.  Shouldn't the Patriots be "alleged to have deflated the footballs?"  Again, if so, it's shocking how easily that's been tossed aside to the Patriots "have deflated the footballs."  As always, it's innocent until proven guilty.
 
- If Brady and BB lied at their PC's, then the person who did deflate has to be absolutely trustworthy to neither crack under oath and be susceptible to any kind of monetary rewards to give up his/her story.  I'd guess nothing less than a blood relation would fit the bill. 
 
- Finally, and somewhat goofily, I alway use spit on the needle and hole of the football before inserting it as lubricant.  Is it possible that one could use DNA to find out if someone unauthorized had handled the football (and I did say this was goofy)?
 

Morning Woodhead

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Hoya81 said:
Seems like the Pats turned over all security camera footage from the stadium, which would reveal if someone broke into the refs locker room or if the ball boys took a detour somewhere after getting the balls. If that doesn't reveal anything, that would move tampering to have been done on the field during the game.
 
And I would hope, if they knowingly did something to the footballs they would know it was on the tapes they had to turn over.   I can't imagine they would then turn around and hold Baghdad Bob press conferences on Wednesday.  
 
That tells me they have nothing to hide.  But I still don't have confidence the NFL will rule that way.
 

Koufax

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GregHarris said:
Is that really an indication that it was a sting operation? 
Measuring each ball twice with different gauges before the game and then at half-time?  Without BB's knowledge?  How could that NOT be a sting operation?
 

Ed Hillel

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simplyeric said:
 
With that army of investigators, could they also be getting ready to say "look, we threw an army of investigators at this.  We really really cannot find any evidence of wrongdoing other than inexplicable pressure readings.  Remember when we said "that is all" in the elevator caase, and it turned out there was that other video?  Well, this time, we're really really sure that this is all, because we threw two separate investigation/lawyer groups out there and came up with nothing.  Sorry guys.  
 
 
oh, and we're gonna go ahead and fine the Paatriots $100k per ball, just because"
 
I completely agree. It's just that the scary thing is that it's now a really high-stakes game. Only the NFL could turn an air-deflation scandal that was previously punished by a memo into something of this magnitude.
 

pappymojo

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The answer you will receive is that this is about a pattern of behavior from the organization and not one specific incident.  It is a bullshit answer, but that is what you will receive.  
 
Is the organization the NFL, and is the pattern of behavior about constantly fucking up investigations and punishments?
 

C4CRVT

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I find this whole thing unbelievably entertaining. I don't care how it turns out, I'm loving every minute of it.
 
I would love to join in the chorus of "I'm so sick of this" but I'm not.
 
Let go of the notion that any of this is going to make some kind of linear sense like things do for you in your every day world. Enjoy the ride.
 
And Ed, you need to chill out brother. Brady will be fine.
 

NortheasternPJ

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Maybe they will find footage of John Harbaugh on the sidelines deflating the balls to setup the Pats. Seems likely as anything at this point. 
 

steveluck7

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In that clip we've al probablys een 100 times when the refs swap balls at the start of the 3rd quarter, you get the shot of the ballboy with a ball covered by a towel, obviously to keep it as dry as possible.
I'm waiting for the tweet to come out with "what's he doing to the ball under the towel?"
 

kartvelo

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shepard50 said:
What we know:
 
  • The balls dropped 2lbs of pressure PSI sometime between 10 minutes before the game and the end of the first half.
  • The balls were in the Patriots possession during that time, or in the field of play.
  • Brady likes the ball less inflates, especially in the cold.
 
Assumption:
 
Someone on the Patriots staff deflated the balls with or without Brady's knowledge.
 
Resolution:
 
Who cares?! Why not just lay that out and take the hit and move on. How are denials going to in any way help. The punishment will be minor relative to the reputational hit of obsfucation.
For the thousandth time, we do not know any such thing.
 

Red(s)HawksFan

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Koufax said:
Measuring each ball twice with different gauges before the game and then at half-time?  Without BB's knowledge?  How could that NOT be a sting operation?
 
A sting operation, or at least a well run one, would have had the pre-game and halftime measurements recorded to the hundreth of a decimal if they could.  That's really the only way they can play "gotcha" on the Pats here.  Because without records of the measurements that can be backed up by science in terms of "could this have been naturally caused deflation by temp changes, etc?" what do they have?
 
Were they singling out the Pats here?  Probably.  Calling it a sting operation might be taking it a bit too far.