Game Balls vs Chargers

Traut

lost his degree
Lifetime Member
SoSH Member
Jul 20, 2005
12,789
My Desk
The idea that this is a moribund franchise is bizarre to me. If you ignore QB and one true offensive weapon (just for argument sake), and Gonzalez/Judon are healthy, is there really a significant gap in talent between the the Pats roster spots 3-53 and those of playoff contenders like Houston, Indy, Denver, Jacksonville or Cleveland? Sure some of those teams are a bit better (Cleveland) but it’s not the chasm a lot of people seem to be suggesting

a franchise QB and a good (not even elite) WR and health on D and this team is in the playoff mix. Not on Philly or SF’s level. Not on the same level as Dallas and Miami either. But a solid enough team that can get into the playoffs? Yeah I’d say so.

Of course, that applies to a lot of teams. But a franchise QB moves the needle a lot. Houston had a garbage roster last year and they’re in the mix this year thanks to nailing their franchise QB and adding a quality (not elite) weapon in Dell. Anderson has been good too of course but their resurgence has been because their offense has gone from putrid to very good.

there have been very few rosters across the league the past 20 years which have been truly moribund 3+ year rebuild projects. There is way too much parity in the league and most teams are “only” a franchise QB and one or two other guys away from being in the mix.

not saying it’s easy to find the missing pieces. But the talent level outside of QB and top of WR depth chart isn’t awful. It’s average, maybe a little above average on defense. Put a Stroud and Dell on this team and they probably have 6-7 wins with a real shot at the wild card, especially if Judon and Gonzalez (or one of them) was healthy.

no roster is going to look good with bottom of the league QB play and arguably their two best defensive players out for the year.
Serious question - do you watch the games?

They have no offense. Their special teams suck. And the defense is okay when they play shitty offenses.

The next time they make the playoffs, Gonzalez may be the only current guy on the roster.

Other than that the best you can say is that it is possible their offensive line isn't terrible.

This team is a roster, front office, and possibly coaching overhaul away from sniffing the playoffs.
 

Dogman

Yukon Cornelius
Moderator
SoSH Member
Mar 19, 2004
15,208
Missoula, MT
We are now at the point where ownership, the entire roster, and the entire coaching staff needs to change to sniff the playoffs?

There is hyperbole, over the top nonsense, hot takez, talk radio garbage, social media crap. And now this. Wow.
 

Salva135

Cassandra
Oct 19, 2008
1,572
Boston
He didn't say ownership. The argument started with "if you ignore QB and true offensive weapon" and the argument was rightfully criticized.
 

ManicCompression

Member
SoSH Member
May 14, 2015
1,393
Houston, Indy, Denver, Jacksonville or Cleveland?
These are all really different teams, and they also have injuries you could point to that make them look closer to the Patriots. They also DO have better players than the patriots - Ward and Garrett are like the dream version of gonzalez and judon, plus Chubb, cooper, etc.

You also can’t expect a defense to stay healthy all season, particularly a 31 year old edge.

a franchise QB and a good (not even elite) WR and health on D and this team is in the playoff mix.
What makes you think the current brain trust can identify a franchise QB, a good WR, and why would the D be healthier next year with Judon older?

If I had two million dollars, I’d feel a lot better about retirement, too. It’s the acquisition of these things that’s the hard part and we have multiple years of descending to a well below average offense when the direction should have been up after the Cam season. I get that you think Bill has just had a bad string of luck, but can you truly not comprehend how someone could look at the trend and wonder if he’s still firing on all cylinders?
 

lexrageorge

Member
SoSH Member
Jul 31, 2007
18,244
What makes you think the current brain trust can identify a franchise QB, a good WR, and why would the D be healthier next year with Judon older?

If I had two million dollars, I’d feel a lot better about retirement, too. It’s the acquisition of these things that’s the hard part and we have multiple years of descending to a well below average offense when the direction should have been up after the Cam season. I get that you think Bill has just had a bad string of luck, but can you truly not comprehend how someone could look at the trend and wonder if he’s still firing on all cylinders?
Regarding the D, Gonzalez will be back, and Judon is not going to be that old. I guess some of us weigh 20 years of success over 2 down seasons. It's certainly reasonable to think that Bill armed with the likely #2 pick in the draft (and similarly high picks in most of the other rounds) and probably the largest amount of available cap space in the league could get this team back to respectability in the next couple of seasons.

Now, it would still not surprise me one bit if Kraft does decide to move on after this fiasco of a season. Just saying moving on from Bill is not the slam dunk argument that some here seem to think.
 

Justthetippett

New Member
Aug 9, 2015
2,517
At times today it felt like preseason with Bill and the coaching staff prioritizing assessing players over trying to win. He's either checked out, frustrated into brain fog, or playing chess and effectively tanking. Either way there's zero zip in the game plan or in-game strategy.
 

ManicCompression

Member
SoSH Member
May 14, 2015
1,393
I guess some of us weigh 20 years of success over 2 down seasons.
Yeah, sure, there's more data pointing one way, but all those seasons aren't equal. IMO, the degradation of the coaching staff and front office and inability to backfill those positions with adequate replacements is a major differentiator between, say 2012 and 2023.

Point is, I understand why people want to keep BB, but there's an attitude from some on the board that you have to be stupid or irrational to want to move off of him when I think it's a pretty reasonable position.
 

8slim

has trust issues
SoSH Member
Nov 6, 2001
24,962
Unreal America
Point is, I understand why people want to keep BB, but there's an attitude from some on the board that you have to be stupid or irrational to want to move off of him when I think it's a pretty reasonable position.
That’s SoSH. Anyone who didn’t like the job Bloom was doing was considered an idiot for not seeing the plan. And 2021!

I’d still be stunned if Bill isn’t here next season, but I’d understand why if he isn’t.
 

Van Everyman

Member
SoSH Member
Apr 30, 2009
27,123
Newton
Zero question in my mind that the 2024 draft is the most important one in franchise history. They absolutely, positively, 100% need to not screw it up. They HAVE to get it right. I think there's many ways they could get it right, and a lot more ways they could get it wrong, but when you end up with the kind of draft slot they'll have, they have have HAVE to get it right.
So what happens if they do screw if up? They suck and do it again a year later. And maybe the draft then is better.

I want the Pats to be a good too. I want some urgency fixing the problems. But the world isn’t going to end if they have two terrible years in a row. They might even get some great draft capital out of stinking for more than one year. We’ve seen the Red Sox do this repeatedly.
 

ragnarok725

Member
SoSH Member
Nov 28, 2003
6,386
Somerville MA
The defense is clearly playoff caliber, even missing a couple of its best players. With further talent infusion from FA or draft, they will have a good F next year.

The offense is the worst in the league by a landslide, and will take multiple seasons to make respectable.

But if they hit hard in the draft they could turn things around quicker than people think. The Texans this year are the model.
 

ManicCompression

Member
SoSH Member
May 14, 2015
1,393
That’s SoSH. Anyone who didn’t like the job Bloom was doing was considered an idiot for not seeing the plan. And 2021!
But just think. If we draft a young QB, find a good wide receiver, and have a healthy D, we could almost be as good as a team on their 4th QB missing Nick Chubb, Amari Cooper, and Denzel Ward!
 

Salva135

Cassandra
Oct 19, 2008
1,572
Boston
That’s SoSH. Anyone who didn’t like the job Bloom was doing was considered an idiot for not seeing the plan. And 2021!

I’d still be stunned if Bill isn’t here next season, but I’d understand why if he isn’t.
This is the biggest supporter board of BB in the Internet, bar none. Far more than the Pats fans board and others.

SOSH is the home for sports nerds, and BB with his long snapper and Paul Brown lectures is the sports nerd's nerd.

There's a tremendous overlap in those who enjoy the analytics of the sport and those who delight in BB's decision-making and approaches to the game over the years.

The draft forum on this board is literally a comedic homage to the head-scratching decision-making of BB's draft choices that, until a few years ago, never mattered if they succeeded or not because Tom Brady always delivered.
 

cornwalls@6

Less observant than others
SoSH Member
Apr 23, 2010
6,298
from the wilds of western ma
This is the biggest supporter board of BB in the Internet, bar none. Far more than the Pats fans board and others.

SOSH is the home for sports nerds, and BB with his long snapper and Paul Brown lectures is the sports nerd's nerd.

There's a tremendous overlap in those who enjoy the analytics of the sport and those who delight in BB's decision-making and approaches to the game over the years.

The draft forum on this board is literally a comedic homage to the head-scratching decision-making of BB's draft choices that, until a few years ago, never mattered if they succeeded or not because Tom Brady always delivered.
Maybe you should go to one of those other boards and regale them with your keen insights and analysis.
 

DennyDoyle'sBoil

Found no thrill on Blueberry Hill
SoSH Member
Sep 9, 2008
43,027
AZ
This is the biggest supporter board of BB in the Internet, bar none. Far more than the Pats fans board and others.

SOSH is the home for sports nerds, and BB with his long snapper and Paul Brown lectures is the sports nerd's nerd.

There's a tremendous overlap in those who enjoy the analytics of the sport and those who delight in BB's decision-making and approaches to the game over the years.

The draft forum on this board is literally a comedic homage to the head-scratching decision-making of BB's draft choices that, until a few years ago, never mattered if they succeeded or not because Tom Brady always delivered.
Are you lost? This is a goat/gameball thread.

It has little to do with being nerds. It has everything to do with there being a significant and healthy number (though dwindling) of members who are comfortable with saying or thinking “I don’t know.” E.g., I am not sure what exactly is wrong with the Patriots, whose fault it is, or how to fix it. That doesn’t make me a nerd. It makes me someone prepared to have a discussion and listen. It’s harder to listen, though, when some posters think discussion just means repeating the same point over and over and over, with emotion but no analysis, in the mistaken belief that speaking loudly and often is the same as speaking persuasively.
 

Salva135

Cassandra
Oct 19, 2008
1,572
Boston
Are you lost? This is a goat/gameball thread.

It has little to do with being nerds. It has everything to do with there being a significant and healthy number (though dwindling) of members who are comfortable with saying or thinking “I don’t know.” E.g., I am not sure what exactly is wrong with the Patriots, whose fault it is, or how to fix it. That doesn’t make me a nerd. It makes me someone prepared to have a discussion and listen. It’s harder to listen, though, when some posters think discussion just means repeating the same point over and over and over, with emotion but no analysis, in the mistaken belief that speaking loudly and often is the same as speaking persuasively.
I don't know what's wrong with the Patriots. I do know they scored 0 points today. I do know the guy who picked every person on the field today who failed to score a single point in an NFL game. My spidey sense is that it's this person's fault. I don't know how to fix it.
 

nattysez

Member
SoSH Member
Sep 30, 2010
8,511
Regarding the D, Gonzalez will be back, and Judon is not going to be that old. I guess some of us weigh 20 years of success over 2 down seasons. It's certainly reasonable to think that Bill armed with the likely #2 pick in the draft (and similarly high picks in most of the other rounds) and probably the largest amount of available cap space in the league could get this team back to respectability in the next couple of seasons.
I'm old enough to remember when people were saying stuff like this before the 2021 off-season. But I'm sure BB will nail it this time.
 

Valek123

Member
SoSH Member
Jul 13, 2005
985
Upper Valley
I don't know what's wrong with the Patriots. I do know they scored 0 points today. I do know the guy who picked every person on the field today who failed to score a single point in an NFL game. My spidey sense is that it's this person's fault. I don't know how to fix it.
Skip the rest of the season in franchise mode, draft a stud QB and build it back up.

Defense has been good to great honestly with a negative outcome offense, and there are some bright spots on the offensive side of the ball.

The problem is the QB play is so god awful nothing else matters. After a while the players lose it, always feeling the pressure of needing to be absolutely perfect to attempt to stand a chance. The season hopefully will end with no injuries that will carry into next year. Both Zappa and Mac will be gone, a veteran will be brought in to show the kid the ropes and a new QB will rise.

It will not take much for the team to love the next after Mac, and it will be fun to see the worst to first recovery next year. The gems that exist are so covered in crap they are hard to see and a new season will show the way forward.

Until then, just press skip or flip the expectations and hope for the losses. Sometimes rock bottom is the only way forward.
 

Salva135

Cassandra
Oct 19, 2008
1,572
Boston
Skip the rest of the season in franchise mode, draft a stud QB and build it back up.

Defense has been good to great honestly with a negative outcome offense, and there are some bright spots on the offensive side of the ball.

The problem is the QB play is so god awful nothing else matters. After a while the players lose it, always feeling the pressure of needing to be absolutely perfect to attempt to stand a chance. The season hopefully will end with no injuries that will carry into next year. Both Zappa and Mac will be gone, a veteran will be brought in to show the kid the ropes and a new QB will rise.

It will not take much for the team to love the next after Mac, and it will be fun to see the worst to first recovery next year. The gems that exist are so covered in crap they are hard to see and a new season will show the way forward.

Until then, just press skip or flip the expectations and hope for the losses. Sometimes rock bottom is the only way forward.
So that's it? Is it that simple? BB drafts Maye and then Jabril is saying, "we used to be ass, now we bussin?" I don't think this is going to play out the way you think it could. Would be nice, but it's not likely.
 

twibnotes

Member
SoSH Member
Jul 16, 2005
20,367
I don't know what's wrong with the Patriots. I do know they scored 0 points today. I do know the guy who picked every person on the field today who failed to score a single point in an NFL game. My spidey sense is that it's this person's fault. I don't know how to fix it.
Amen to this.

The notion that an opinion is invalid if the poster doesn’t have the alternative perfectly mapped out is really annoying. Most people don’t have time to research up and coming NFL GMs, but that doesn’t make it wrong to surmise that BB, though a legend, has struggled considerably to build an offense post-Brady (in all respects: drafting, signings, coaching) and at age 71 he might not be the best guy to drive the rebuild.
 

SWHB

New Member
Jul 15, 2005
178
I'm old enough to remember when people were saying stuff like this before the 2021 off-season. But I'm sure BB will nail it this time.
That's the big question, right? Is BB's (and his assembled staff's) ability to assess talent on the offensive side of the ball as hopeless as it's looked, or is a good chunk of it bad luck and not indicative of future performance? The problem is it seems very hard to tell - even organizations with great offensive minds have stretches where they make bad assessments on that side of the ball - take the haul the 49ers traded for Lance, or the Chiefs recent drafts.

Take JJSS: KC seems to be struggling to replace his production, but clearly he hasn't played well in NE and looks to have lost a step. Is that a talent misevaluation, or a failure to predict his injury recovery? If the latter, was it the medical staff making a bad call, or was it just unlucky that JJSS wasn't able to return to his previous level this year? Regardless, BB is ultimately accountable for the decision to sign him, but to me there's a big difference between the scenario where his medical staff correctly assess that most players recover well from this sort of injury leading to BB making a good decision that unfortunately didn't pan out vs. BB going out on a limb where no other personnel evaluator would, but we'll never know which it was. And not all of BB's recent evaluations on that side of the ball have been terrible: the Elliott and Bourne acquisitions and drafting Douglas all seem like good (but not great) moves, though not nearly enough to make up for the overall level of suck.
 

SMU_Sox

queer eye for the next pats guy
SoSH Member
Jul 20, 2009
8,969
Dallas
Well, things weren't all bad this weekend... SMU WON THE AMERICAN CONFERENCE CHAMPIONSHIP!!! Oh but this is the Pats thread.

I think at this point it's finding what you have on the roster. Maybe you don't want Onwenu there at RT?? Honestly if they trot him out there next week don't we think defenses are going to tee-off on them the same way? Onwenu might be ok in a neutral score game. He might be able to even give you some good games. But ultimately in a game where he has to do a lot of true pass sets you're going to see where he is weak. Dudes a fantastic OG. I want him re-signed. He is toughness personified. Sidy Sow has been decent at RG. That complicates things because Sow is a lot like Onwenu. Do they recommit to Sow at RT?

So much depends on the new regime. I could see a new regime thinking - why spend big bucks on a RG//Onwenu when we have Sow on the roster.
 

Justthetippett

New Member
Aug 9, 2015
2,517
Well, things weren't all bad this weekend... SMU WON THE AMERICAN CONFERENCE CHAMPIONSHIP!!! Oh but this is the Pats thread.

I think at this point it's finding what you have on the roster. Maybe you don't want Onwenu there at RT?? Honestly if they trot him out there next week don't we think defenses are going to tee-off on them the same way? Onwenu might be ok in a neutral score game. He might be able to even give you some good games. But ultimately in a game where he has to do a lot of true pass sets you're going to see where he is weak. Dudes a fantastic OG. I want him re-signed. He is toughness personified. Sidy Sow has been decent at RG. That complicates things because Sow is a lot like Onwenu. Do they recommit to Sow at RT?

So much depends on the new regime. I could see a new regime thinking - why spend big bucks on a RG//Onwenu when we have Sow on the roster.
Watching Thuney play so well in KC makes me hopeful they'll hang onto Owenu instead of letting him walk. Keep developing Sow, Mafi, Strange, etc. Injuries have been an issue on the line, and they need continuity and depth. I'd be fine if they over invest (within reason) on the line, particularly with a young QB likely arriving next year.
 

Smiling Joe Hesketh

Throw Momma From the Train
Moderator
SoSH Member
May 20, 2003
35,912
Deep inside Muppet Labs
At times today it felt like preseason with Bill and the coaching staff prioritizing assessing players over trying to win. He's either checked out, frustrated into brain fog, or playing chess and effectively tanking. Either way there's zero zip in the game plan or in-game strategy.
Honestly I think he's still coaching like they are scrapping for a playoff slot and trying to maximize the percentages on each drive choice. He's still coaching for field position and small wins, which is fine if it's a close game involving Tom Brady and not so fine when it's Bailey Zappe and you're starting 6 drives within your own 10 yard line.
 

Cellar-Door

Member
SoSH Member
Aug 1, 2006
34,935
The Patriots are losing to the dregs of the NFL.
Sure, but this team has more talent than last year's Texans for example, so hitting on a QB in the top 3 could well bring a major turnaround.

The "good" thing about this year is that they are tied to basically nothing in terms of bad deals long-term, they have their picks, and they have good talent under contract on one side of the ball.

This year is a perfect storm of suck.. the offense was aiming for mediocrity, came up way short, injuries to basically all the best players on both sides (Judon, Gonzalez, Brown, Bourne, Pop, Rham, the rest of the O-line, etc.) and the QB going full David Carr.

However, that means they're actually decently positioned for a quick turnaround. Lot of cap space, in position to draft a potential franchise QB, returning talent on D, the young interior linemen appear to be developing... it's not a hopeless mire like CAR or something.
 

Justthetippett

New Member
Aug 9, 2015
2,517
Sure, but this team has more talent than last year's Texans for example, so hitting on a QB in the top 3 could well bring a major turnaround.

The "good" thing about this year is that they are tied to basically nothing in terms of bad deals long-term, they have their picks, and they have good talent under contract on one side of the ball.

This year is a perfect storm of suck.. the offense was aiming for mediocrity, came up way short, injuries to basically all the best players on both sides (Judon, Gonzalez, Brown, Bourne, Pop, Rham, the rest of the O-line, etc.) and the QB going full David Carr.

However, that means they're actually decently positioned for a quick turnaround. Lot of cap space, in position to draft a potential franchise QB, returning talent on D, the young interior linemen appear to be developing... it's not a hopeless mire like CAR or something.
I agree with this but I'd say a lot depends on the coaching staff and any changes that are made. If BB (and Mayo and Steve) leave, then I don't think we can assume the Defense remains constant. The personnel there is OK, but they also benefit from a good scheme. If we bring in an outside coach as HC, then who knows how that affects each side of the ball. If we just bring in Josh to replace BOB or a new OC and then leave the defensive staff largely intact and BB remains, then maybe we isolate the issues that need to be fixed and so on.

It will be a fascinating off season. The expanded playoff field also makes it even more likely to have a quick turnaround, at least to playoff contention. Actual championship contention is obviously a longer journey.
 

NickEsasky

Please Hammer, Don't Hurt 'Em
Silver Supporter
SoSH Member
Jul 24, 2001
9,211
Sure, but this team has more talent than last year's Texans for example, so hitting on a QB in the top 3 could well bring a major turnaround.
Agreed on defense but I am not sure that's true on offense. Pierce would be a nice addition here and Nico Collins and Brandin Cooks are better than anything we have at receiver. Davis Mills would likely be an upgrade on both Mac and Zappe too.
 

DJnVa

Dorito Dawg
SoSH Member
Dec 16, 2010
54,199
He had 6 snaps. Saw a tweet saying the game plan was heavy on WRs so he didn't get much playing time.
And our WRs had 7 catches on 13 targets. Laughable.

I will say this, on a podcast someone asked about what the game plan would be for this game and he said that if the Patriots were trying to win, this game would have Zappe throw 10 times and Stevenson/Zeke would get 40 carries. If the Patriots were actually doing some evaluation of Zappe then they'd let him throw the ball some.
 

BaseballJones

ivanvamp
SoSH Member
Oct 1, 2015
24,772
And our WRs had 7 catches on 13 targets. Laughable.

I will say this, on a podcast someone asked about what the game plan would be for this game and he said that if the Patriots were trying to win, this game would have Zappe throw 10 times and Stevenson/Zeke would get 40 carries. If the Patriots were actually doing some evaluation of Zappe then they'd let him throw the ball some.
They did try to run a lot with Stevenson and that was effective until Stevenson got hurt.
 

rodderick

Member
SoSH Member
Apr 24, 2009
12,926
Belo Horizonte - Brazil
This offense is averaging the fewest points per game of any team since 2011, fourth fewest since at least 2003, they are just in their own stratosphere of awful right now. I still think horrid QB play is the main issue, but everything sucks to varying degrees.
 

Deathofthebambino

Drive Carefully
SoSH Member
Apr 12, 2005
42,092
Agreed on defense but I am not sure that's true on offense. Pierce would be a nice addition here and Nico Collins and Brandin Cooks are better than anything we have at receiver. Davis Mills would likely be an upgrade on both Mac and Zappe too.
Nico Collins is criminally underrated around here. Dude is a 6'4 monster who is a deep threat any time he's on the field. He was battling injuries his first two seasons. Then they went and grabbed a sleeper in the third round in Tank Dell, who excels at the things that Collins doesn't do well, intermediate and short route running, and he's a threat to take it to the house any time it's in his hands. Schultz was an absolute steal for them, he's on a one year/6mil deal. In addition to being a good receiver, PFF had him rated as the #6 run blocking TE in football last year. He should be getting paid this offseason. The only reason Dell wasn't taken higher than the 3rd was because of where he played, his size and he had some drops on tape that weren't pretty.

And they're doing all this with a 2nd round WR they took from Alabama, Metchie, who might be a Tyquan level bust.
 

johnmd20

mad dog
Lifetime Member
SoSH Member
Dec 30, 2003
62,088
New York City
Nico Collins is criminally underrated around here. Dude is a 6'4 monster who is a deep threat any time he's on the field. He was battling injuries his first two seasons. Then they went and grabbed a sleeper in the third round in Tank Dell, who excels at the things that Collins doesn't do well, intermediate and short route running, and he's a threat to take it to the house any time it's in his hands. Schultz was an absolute steal for them, he's on a one year/6mil deal. In addition to being a good receiver, PFF had him rated as the #6 run blocking TE in football last year. He should be getting paid this offseason. The only reason Dell wasn't taken higher than the 3rd was because of where he played, his size and he had some drops on tape that weren't pretty.

And they're doing all this with a 2nd round WR they took from Alabama, Metchie, who might be a Tyquan level bust.
To be fair to Metchie, he had cancer last year, which caused him to miss his rookie season.
 

Deathofthebambino

Drive Carefully
SoSH Member
Apr 12, 2005
42,092
They did try to run a lot with Stevenson and that was effective until Stevenson got hurt.
Define "effective?"

Dude had 9 carries for 39 yards, and a long run of 9 yards.

Zeke had a long run of 8 yards.

Last week, Rham was more effective, going 21-98, but he broke off a big one for 15 yards. LOL

In Germany, Rham had 20 carries, with a long run of 9

Rham had the lone one (64 yards) against Washington, but besides that play, he had 8 carries for 23 yards.


The whole season has been like this.

You guys want to hear a stat.

Rhamondre Stevenson has had 156 rushing attempts this season. That touchdown run against Washington, is the ONLY run he's had longer than 15 yards.

This is not effective running in today's NFL. This is defenses telling you "we'll let you get your 3, 4, 7 yard runs all day long, because we know you can't sustain it or break a long one for an entire drive, so the minute we get you into 3rd and 6, you're fucked."

Isaiah Pacheco breaks more tackles on a given run than our backs do in most games.
 

Deathofthebambino

Drive Carefully
SoSH Member
Apr 12, 2005
42,092
Isaiah Pacheco is on a team that can complete passes more than five yards past the line of scrimmage. It's hard to break tackles when you never have space.
Wouldn't the definition of "breaking a tackle" involve no space?

If it's all about the QB, tell me how Saquon Barkley has a rush of over 15 yards in EVERY SINGLE GAME this season except one? His long runs this season, by game, are 19, 36, 21, 26, 34, 12, 34, 16 and 18. Let me repeat, Rhamondre Stevenson, who has had almost the exact same number of carries (165-156) has a total of 1 carry over 15 yards.
 

Salva135

Cassandra
Oct 19, 2008
1,572
Boston
That's the big question, right? Is BB's (and his assembled staff's) ability to assess talent on the offensive side of the ball as hopeless as it's looked, or is a good chunk of it bad luck and not indicative of future performance? The problem is it seems very hard to tell - even organizations with great offensive minds have stretches where they make bad assessments on that side of the ball - take the haul the 49ers traded for Lance, or the Chiefs recent drafts.

Take JJSS: KC seems to be struggling to replace his production, but clearly he hasn't played well in NE and looks to have lost a step. Is that a talent misevaluation, or a failure to predict his injury recovery? If the latter, was it the medical staff making a bad call, or was it just unlucky that JJSS wasn't able to return to his previous level this year? Regardless, BB is ultimately accountable for the decision to sign him, but to me there's a big difference between the scenario where his medical staff correctly assess that most players recover well from this sort of injury leading to BB making a good decision that unfortunately didn't pan out vs. BB going out on a limb where no other personnel evaluator would, but we'll never know which it was. And not all of BB's recent evaluations on that side of the ball have been terrible: the Elliott and Bourne acquisitions and drafting Douglas all seem like good (but not great) moves, though not nearly enough to make up for the overall level of suck.
Very good points. I'm more and more coming around to the idea that the NFL is just one big crapshoot. Not just the draft, but every personnel transaction that has similar risk parameters. When you hit on the GOAT you get away with just about everything - the good moves look historically great, the bad moves are quickly forgotten. This affects the legacy of owners, coaches, coordinators and everyone who doesn't get to step on the field and create their own destinies.
 

Salva135

Cassandra
Oct 19, 2008
1,572
Boston
Honestly I think he's still coaching like they are scrapping for a playoff slot and trying to maximize the percentages on each drive choice. He's still coaching for field position and small wins, which is fine if it's a close game involving Tom Brady and not so fine when it's Bailey Zappe and you're starting 6 drives within your own 10 yard line.
Why in God's name are they elevating Malik to the active roster and giving him zero snaps in a game where they can't score a single point. Not a single package.

Normally you would blame the OC for this but Foxboro is extra fucking special in being a black hole of information so as fans we don't know where the fits on the spectrum of BOB and BB sat down for hours analyzing game film and determined he wasn't qualified to step into this game to Malik did a dutch oven in BB's hotel bed the night before.
 

Harry Hooper

Well-Known Member
Lifetime Member
SoSH Member
Jan 4, 2002
34,615
Why in God's name are they elevating Malik to the active roster and giving him zero snaps in a game where they can't score a single point. Not a single package.

Normally you would blame the OC for this but Foxboro is extra fucking special in being a black hole of information so as fans we don't know where the fits on the spectrum of BOB and BB sat down for hours analyzing game film and determined he wasn't qualified to step into this game to Malik did a dutch oven in BB's hotel bed the night before.
According to Zolak on the radio this morning, he believes that if it had been 50 and sunny yesterday that Malik would have gotten some snaps as QB.
 

Salva135

Cassandra
Oct 19, 2008
1,572
Boston
According to Zolak on the radio this morning, he believes that if it had been 50 and sunny yesterday that Malik would have gotten some snaps as QB.
That's a nice thought but it doesn't make any sense, haha. Yesterday was exactly the conditions to design some RPO stuff and get him involved. Just incredible decision making going on in Foxboro right now. I've seen this team not really try too hard this season but this is the first I believe they truly checked out. Nobody cares anymore and it's unclear if Kraft is on board with all of this.
 

ZMart100

Member
SoSH Member
Aug 15, 2008
3,220
I figured his package was probably for the red area. They probably don't trust his arm and don't believe anyone else would fear it. So the idea would be to give him plays where the box will naturally be stacked due to the short field. Obviously that didn't really come up.
 

Salva135

Cassandra
Oct 19, 2008
1,572
Boston
I figured his package was probably for the red area. They probably don't trust his arm and don't believe anyone else would fear it. So the idea would be to give him plays where the box will naturally be stacked due to the short field. Obviously that didn't really come up.
Even lining him up would cause the defense to account for him which could have cascading effects. They scored zero fucking points and as far I can tell they didn't change the game plan at all throughout the game. They lost their RB1 but that still doesn't account for pretty much just letting Zappe run around all day and look like shit. I didn't see any sort of adjustments which makes me wonder what's really going on. They have to do this charade 5 more times.
 

Salem's Lot

Andy Moog! Andy God Damn Moog!
SoSH Member
Jul 15, 2005
14,650
Gallows Hill
Watching Thuney play so well in KC makes me hopeful they'll hang onto Owenu instead of letting him walk. Keep developing Sow, Mafi, Strange, etc. Injuries have been an issue on the line, and they need continuity and depth. I'd be fine if they over invest (within reason) on the line, particularly with a young QB likely arriving next year.
Even though Owenu was asked to play tackle all year, if Belichick is still here, I’m sure he’ll remind him that he’s a guard at contract time. It’s just the way he does business.
 

Toe Nash

Member
SoSH Member
Jul 28, 2005
5,638
02130
One minor point about the team building and the defense which I can't emphasize enough (I'll stop after this) is that yes, the defense should be good again next year, and they'll probably have a good team if they can turn around the offense, but rosters just turn over constantly. Of the top 14 in defensive snaps in 2020 (everyone over 40% of snaps), only 6 are still on the roster. One of those is JC Jackson who left and came back, and another is Adrian Philips who is a backup now. Going to 2019 there are just 2 (Jackson and Jonathan Jones).

I am fairly confident that Belichick can continue to identify and develop good defensive players but the starting defense in 2025 is likely going to have a lot of new faces, and there is no guarantee it will be good regardless of the coach (especially if they devote more resources to offense as they should). If he has a couple bad drafts /offseasons on the defensive side it would make the team bad really quickly. And Bill has had seasons with poor defenses for sure. The flip side of course is that one can dig out of holes fairly quickly if you have a couple good offseasons in a row.

You just need to constantly be identifying and acquiring talent because careers are so short and there is so much roster churn. Having true stars that are worth whatever contract they command can help create consistently competitive teams as we know, but we don't have any of those really. So if there is something systematically wrong with how they identify offensive talent they need to get it fixed because nothing else will matter. Or just go on autodraft and pick the consensus BPA...
 

ManicCompression

Member
SoSH Member
May 14, 2015
1,393
Wouldn't the definition of "breaking a tackle" involve no space?

If it's all about the QB, tell me how Saquon Barkley has a rush of over 15 yards in EVERY SINGLE GAME this season except one? His long runs this season, by game, are 19, 36, 21, 26, 34, 12, 34, 16 and 18. Let me repeat, Rhamondre Stevenson, who has had almost the exact same number of carries (165-156) has a total of 1 carry over 15 yards.
To your first point, not really - yes, you need to be close to a defender to miss a tackle, but it doesn't do any good if there are three other players waiting to tackle you after you discard a players hand from your thigh. Did you watch the game last night? Pacheco was getting three yards past the line before defenders touched him. Rhamondre gets very few opportunities like that.

To your second point, if you're asking whether Rhamondre Stevenson is as good and physically gifted as Saquon Barkley, the answer is obviously no. Not a single person in this forum believes that. If Saquon Barkley was on this team, I'm confident he would have less long runs than he has with the Giants because our offense is somehow shittier, but he would have more long runs than Rhamondre.