Am I the only one that hates the idea of a knuckleballer out of the pen? Perhaps I've been permanently scarred by Wake and his various roles over the years, but I find their inconsistencies are only easy to handle in a spot starter role.
At least having Vazquez and Hannigan as the regular catchers mitigates the usual defensive challenges presented by a knuckler out of the pen...Adrian's Dome said:Am I the only one that hates the idea of a knuckleballer out of the pen? Perhaps I've been permanently scarred by Wake and his various roles over the years, but I find their inconsistencies are only easy to handle in a spot starter role.
Adrian's Dome said:Am I the only one that hates the idea of a knuckleballer out of the pen? Perhaps I've been permanently scarred by Wake and his various roles over the years, but I find their inconsistencies are only easy to handle in a spot starter role.
Adrian's Dome said:Am I the only one that hates the idea of a knuckleballer out of the pen? Perhaps I've been permanently scarred by Wake and his various roles over the years, but I find their inconsistencies are only easy to handle in a spot starter role.
Have you ever watched a knuckler pitch? There's a reason they're a rare sight.BoredViewer said:
I'm not sure those perceived inconsistencies really exist.
I'm sure you're not the only one, but I'm of the opposite opinion. I would think their inconsistencies would be easier to manage in a bullpen role. When a starter doesn't have it and has to be pulled early, it's a pretty big deal. Either the long reliever needs to have his stuff or most/all of the relievers are called into service. If a reliever doesn't have it, pulling him quickly has much less impact on the game and the bullpen as a whole.Adrian's Dome said:Am I the only one that hates the idea of a knuckleballer out of the pen? Perhaps I've been permanently scarred by Wake and his various roles over the years, but I find their inconsistencies are only easy to handle in a spot starter role.
Adrian's Dome said:Am I the only one that hates the idea of a knuckleballer out of the pen? Perhaps I've been permanently scarred by Wake and his various roles over the years, but I find their inconsistencies are only easy to handle in a spot starter role.
Rudy Pemberton said:Is it really less disruptive in a relief role, though? The leverage index for relievers is going to be higher than a starter.
Rudy Pemberton said:Is it really less disruptive in a relief role, though? The leverage index for relievers is going to be higher than a starter.
Savin Hillbilly said:
I seem to remember reading in Ball Four that Bouton disliked relieving as a knuckleballer because he needed a long warmup to get the feel of the pitch (can anybody else confirm that? It's been a long time). I don't know if that's true of all knuckleballers, though.
EDIT: phenweigh has a good point, though, about the inconsistency factor being much less disruptive in a relief role.
Adrian's Dome said:Have you ever watched a knuckler pitch? There's a reason they're a rare sight.
BoredViewer said:
Oh. It's just one of my pet peeves. I suspect it's mostly a perception thing.
A few years ago, I did some research on Wakefield (you'd always hear those same inconsistent arguments about him) and the result was he wasn't particularly inconsistent when compared to similar quality non-knuckleball pitchers... he was right in the middle. I remember making a post about it in the MLB forum. I'll see if I can drag it up.
Savin Hillbilly said:
Less disruptive, yes, though perhaps more immediately damaging.
We're talking here about a train-wreck performance, the kind of thing where the guy comes out and walks the first three guys and then gives up a double and a home run...boom, 5 runs. In that kind of situation your chances of winning that day's game may be slightly less torpedoed if it happens to a starter than a reliever--but because of the bullpen domino effects that come from having to replace a starter in the first few innings, your chances of winning the next three-four games take a more significant hit if it happens to the starter. That's what I meant by "disruptive".
Rudy Pemberton said:I'm not sure I buy that. A starter putting his team in a quick 4-0 hole is bad...but a reliever turning a 3-2 lead into a 6-3 deficit in the 8th is worse, isn't it, based on win probability? Maybe I'm wrong here, but it seemed like it often took Wakefield some time to find his rhythm in a game....you can't allow a reliever that kind of freedom and if a knuckleballer is more likely to have nights when he simply doesn't have it, how can you trust him enough to put him into high leverage spots?
Rudy Pemberton said:So every time you bring in Wright you're going to keep warming other relievers in case he doesn't have it that night? First, the idea that knuckleballers need special treatment because of greater inconsistency seems bogus. Second, my observation is that when the manager starts thinking about pulling the starter, they usually start warming two guys anyway. So I don't think my argument depends on treating Wright in an atypical way. Otherwise, how do you get him out in time before he does damage? Already addressed. And how do you determine when he doesn't have it, anyways? No differently than any other pitcher. Observation, communication with the catcher. It's not unusual to see an ineffective reliever pulled after facing a batter or two. Some of that is the treatment of LOOGYs, but not all of it.
Wakefield was better as a reliever in his career, but they also only represent <10% of his total IP. Is there a reason why he, and most knucklers, seem to be used as starters rather than relievers? I think this is a good question and isn't easy to answer. I'll speculate that the ability of the catcher to be good at receiving a knuckler is important. That was a problem with Wake and Tek. With Wake as a starter, the Sox could use that as a rest day for Tek. This gets tricky with a reliever, as you generally don't want to replace the catcher and leave the team vulnerable to an emergency catcher situation if the replacement get hurt. Both Swihart and Vasquez are familiar with Wright and Hanigan is regarded as an effective receiver.
Another thought here...when a knuckler is effective, they can be really effective right? Remember those times when Wake was just dominant? How do you get the most benefit out of that with a reliever who is only going to be pitching 1-2 innings at a time? I think the answer to this is if you have a good pitcher, whether he is a knuckleballer or not, you want to have him start. Wakefield was pretty good. Wright has yet to prove that. And again ... Hoyt Wilhelm. Forgetting about what type of pitch a guy is throwing, having a rubber-armed guy in the pen who can eat innings, take the ball often, and be effective seems like a pretty valuable guy. A team might even consider going to a six-man bullpen and strengthening the bench with such a guy. But it depends on what the rest of the roster looks like. I agree that I'd rather have that guy in the rotation if the 5th starter sucks, but if the rotation is solid that kind of guy seems more valuable in the pen.
Great book. Read it a bunch of times.Red(s)HawksFan said:
I recall Bouton's biggest objection to relieving being the difficulty of catching the pitch made it a poor one to bring into the game with runners on (see Varitek's nightmare in Game 5 2004).
Bouton did feel he needed to throw often to maintain the feel of the knuckler, but that didn't necessarily mean it took him a long time to warm up. He preferred to throw in the pen even when he wasn't warming to enter the game, and where he ran into problems was a) getting someone to catch him and b) the manager and pitching coach thinking he was throwing too much and siding with the catchers who didn't want to catch him.
Below is a crude showing of Wright's 2014 AAA performances to provide some history of his "volatility," a worry that seems to underlie a fair number of the posts so far. Who knows what will happen in his future performance/volatility in the majors? But here are the Innings, Hits, Earned Runs for each of his 2014 AAA appearances:ALiveH said:My initial thought was similar to the OP, but then I realized it is largely informed by two psychological biases:
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Basically, I'd like to see more data on knuckleballer volatility (or on Wright's streakiness in the minors).
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Predictability seems to be more important for relievers than starters. A consistently good reliever should be in the highest leverage situations. The worst reliever is the mopup guy in blow outs. If knuckleballers are indeed prone to extreme streakiness then either: you use them in high leverage situations & at some point in the season they will lose you a bunch of games; or you use them in low leverage situations & at some point you will be wasting periods of brilliance.
67WasBest said:There is much discussion above that seems to see Wright in a 7th or 8th inning role, but I see no scenario where that happens. He'll be that mop up guy that gives you 4 plus after a bad start, or injury; and he'll be used situational in the 5th and 6th innings. IMO. in that role there is a lot more room for optimism, than trying to fit him into high leverage innings at the end of games.
charlieoscar said:Doesn't the wind direction have an effect on the knuckleball, i.e., throwing into the wind vs. throwing with the wind? Are you going to get some parks where one direction is more prevalent than the other? Some time during the day?
A headwind makes every pitch break more, not just the knuckleball. You'd probably have to move beyond physics (movement measurements) and look at hitter success to tell whether a headwind favors the knuckleballer or the traditional pitcher.phenweigh said:
I think this is a good point and another advantage to using a knuckleballer as a reliever. If the conditions are bad for the knuckler and it's his turn to take the ball as a starter, you're kind of screwed. But as a reliever, you can probably wait for improved conditions the next day.
A knuckleballer may be a rare sight due to mental, as opposed to physical traits. While many of the mechanisms underlying pitching are cortical in nature, the mechanism that governs the ability to throw overhand accurately doesn't require the cerebrum. A knuckleball isn't technically thrown overhand, its either pushed from the fingertips, or pushed out from the knuckles. The physical difference may be smaller than a split hair, but the mechanism that governs the ability to push an object accurately requires some parts of the cortex.Adrian's Dome said:Have you ever watched a knuckler pitch? There's a reason they're a rare sight.
glasspusher said:I have a friend who's a Braves fan who hated it when Wake pitched against them. Said the team was screwed up with hitting for the next game at least. Would be interesting to see a study of a team's batting performance the day after facing a lot of knuckleballs.
Got cites on the brain area statements?EricFeczko said:A knuckleballer may be a rare sight due to mental, as opposed to physical traits. While many of the mechanisms underlying pitching are cortical in nature, the mechanism that governs the ability to throw overhand accurately doesn't require the cerebrum. A knuckleball isn't technically thrown overhand, its either pushed from the fingertips, or pushed out from the knuckles. The physical difference may be smaller than a split hair, but the mechanism that governs the ability to push an object accurately requires some parts of the cortex.
The difference in this mechanism may make it really difficult to throw both types of pitches well; you've got separate error-correcting mechanisms that govern both, so you can't use the information from one type to correct the other. Worse, the mechanism for error-correction with a knuckleball may require conscious awareness, which may make it harder to learn to control.
Regardless of where the mechanisms are instantiated, you can test the dissociation in error-correcting mechanisms by using prism lenses, its a fun little experiment for kids too.
crystalline said:A headwind makes every pitch break more, not just the knuckleball. You'd probably have to move beyond physics (movement measurements) and look at hitter success to tell whether a headwind favors the knuckleballer or the traditional pitcher.
alwyn96 said:For what it's worth in the "ability to relieve and variability" discussion, Wright is different style of knuckleballer than a Wakefield. Wright is much more similar to Dickey in repetoire, as they both throw a harder fourseamer (Dickey around 81-85, Wright around 84-87, Wakefield around 72-75) and a much harder, more darting knuckler (Dickey around 75-77, Wright around 74-78, with Wakefield floating in around 64-67). With a harder knuckler, one would theorectically be less subject to the whims of wind and weather, at least eliminating or reducing that source of variability.
The stronger the tailwind, the less break there is to curves, sliders, and fastballs too. I think it's likely the knuckle's effectiveness is impacted more by wind, but one would need to look carefully.charlieoscar said:
Okay...but as I understand it, the stronger the tailwind, the less erratic break there is to a knuckleball.
crystalline said:The stronger the tailwind, the less break there is to curves, sliders, and fastballs too. I think it's likely the knuckle's effectiveness is impacted more by wind, but one would need to look carefully.
czar said:
I'm not sure if Alan Nathan still monitors the board, but I know he's done a ton of work looking at KN.
crystalline said:What Wakefield and Dickey prefer is probably what we should rely on.
On the physics side however:
Players can adjust the ball's location to compensate for consistent wind. Most wind fluctuates though and is at least somewhat gusty.
So there are two effects:
1. Wind gusts can change the ball's location - they add variability in position, which is bad as pitchers want control over their spots. (Applies to knuckle and traditional)
2. Any consistent wind changes the ball's break. Headwinds increase the break because they strengthen the effect of aerodynamic forces. Traditional breaking pitches break more, but do so consistently more. The knuckle also breaks more, but this increases position variability because the knuckle's break is in a random direction.
So wind makes it harder to keep the knuckle near/in the zone, making the pitcher's life harder.
Wind has a similar effect at all points on the ball so doesn't create spin.
alwyn96 said:For what it's worth in the "ability to relieve and variability" discussion, Wright is different style of knuckleballer than a Wakefield. Wright is much more similar to Dickey in repetoire, as they both throw a harder fourseamer (Dickey around 81-85, Wright around 84-87, Wakefield around 72-75) and a much harder, more darting knuckler (Dickey around 75-77, Wright around 74-78, with Wakefield floating in around 64-67). With a harder knuckler, one would theorectically be less subject to the whims of wind and weather, at least eliminating or reducing that source of variability.
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Saints Rest said:
Two things that I want to mention:
- Wake seemed to have the tendency, -- and this seemed much more attacehd to him than to a more traditional SP, even one of similar skill level (i.e. OPS+) -- the tendency to have a single bad inning in the midst of a few good ones. Admittedly, this may be confirmation bias, but it seemed like, unlike most pitchers, that Wake coudl pitch 4 innings of 1-run ball, then completely lose it for the 5th (for example), only to come back and pitch strong in the 6th and 7th. This seemed different to a traditional pitcher who would rarely come back to pitch well once things shit the bed.
- This is more of a question: Many people think of Wake as "rubber-armed" which most people equate to bing a knuckle-baller. But I wonder if maybe the rubber-arm-ness came more from Wake's limited speed on either the KN or the FB. Are knuckleballers always considered rubber-armed?
You're right, I meant to delete that last sentence. The effect of wind on rotation is small but it might be enough to screw up a knuckleball. An answer is probably empirical.czar said:
I don't think the bolded is necessarily true. If you have a perpendicular wind (let's say, blowing from 3rd to 1st) and you throw a ball towards home plate, there may not be a Newtonian torque, but the laminar/turbulent separation of the flow (therefore pressure on surface) is not equivalent from front to back so you'd have some level of induced rotation due to a differential pressure force (again, on the surface, this time left-to-right from the side view) which would be proportional to the speed of the wind, no?
I guess I find it hard to believe that if I throw a baseball towards home plate with no spin in the middle of a hurricane that the ball would continue to not rotate.
This might not matter greatly in the realm of what weather conditions KNers throw in, but even a couple extra revolutions between the mound/plate can dramatically increase the stability of the flight path.
Of course, I haven't taken physics in 10 years, so YMMV (or I guess, MMMV).
I'll try, but I remember this part from a long time ago. Please correct me if I got something wrong.crystalline said:Got cites on the brain area statements?
Without checking the stats on other famous knuckelball pitchers, Wilbur Wood was certainaly as strong an argument as you could make that these pitchers are rubber armed. Some of his amazing rubber arm feats include pitching 376 innings one year; over 300 innings 4 years in a row; and once pitching both ends of a doouble header. He also apparently had a strong area connection, hailing from Belmont and starting his career with the Red SoxBCsMightyJoeYoung said:
2. "Rubber Armed" knuckleball pitchers has always been common perception - and one that Wakefield used to refute all the time. No idea if this was the case with Charlie Hough or the Niekros or other famous KB pitchers.
Brohamer of the Gods said:I wonder if Wake's opinion comes from the fact he was a converted infielder. How much experience did he have throwing multiple innings of non-knuckleballs, as opposed to someone like Wood who converted to the knuckleball after being a traditional fastball pitcher.
joe dokes said:
If I recall, Wakefield's comments came later in his career, and he referenced the rest of his body, not necessarily his arm. He had a number of non-arm ailments late in his career.