Offseason rumors

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Dewey'sCannon

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I could understand extending Houck if a good chunk of the money is tied to outcomes - i.e., a moderate base salary (assume solid reliever) and than add incentives based on IP (if he turns out to be a starter) or games finished (if he ends up a closer). I think it's possible to find a reasonable deal that addresses the uncertainties of his future role.
 

ShaneTrot

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Ok, right before the Giolito injury, I signed up for the full season of MLB.TV. I don't want to spend another summer watching bullpen games. They need a guy or guys who can give them innings. Shouldn't they trade some low-level prospects for a borderline MLB starting pitcher?
 

Bob Montgomerys Helmet Hat

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Ok, right before the Giolito injury, I signed up for the full season of MLB.TV. I don't want to spend another summer watching bullpen games. They need a guy or guys who can give them innings. Shouldn't they trade some low-level prospects for a borderline MLB starting pitcher?
Isn’t a borderline MLB starting pitcher basically an Opener?
 

LogansDad

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Ok, right before the Giolito injury, I signed up for the full season of MLB.TV. I don't want to spend another summer watching bullpen games. They need a guy or guys who can give them innings. Shouldn't they trade some low-level prospects for a borderline MLB starting pitcher?
The problem is, I think there are something like 3 teams in the entire league who legitimately have zero shot at the playoffs. And the reason in all of those cases is that they don't have any starting pitcher we would want pitching for the Red Sox.

The rest of the teams aren't going to trade an MLB starting pitcher, no matter how bad, for a nothing prospect.
 

ShaneTrot

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The problem is, I think there are something like 3 teams in the entire league who legitimately have zero shot at the playoffs. And the reason in all of those cases is that they don't have any starting pitcher we would want pitching for the Red Sox.

The rest of the teams aren't going to trade an MLB starting pitcher, no matter how bad, for a nothing prospect.
My response is I just don't believe in Houck or Whitlock as starters, we have seen this act before. Houck can't maintain his stuff as a starter and Whitlock gets hurt. I am willing to be open-minded about Winckowski. So they are essentially going into the season with Pivetta, Crawford, and Bello. If someone gets hurt who is next Walter, Criswell, or Fitts? They need someone with major league experience. After Giolito went down, my son said just watch Sale will throw 160 innings for Atlanta in 2024.
 

Apisith

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I’m a believer in Houck starting. In 2021, he started 10 games in a row, pitched 44 innings, had an ERA of 3.86 but FIP of 2.92.

The talent is clearly there. We can get good innings from him. Even if he can only average 5 innings/game, that could be 150 innings of FIP 3-3.50 ball, which would be elite.

We should see what we have with him, like Crawford. Potential 150 innings of elite pitching is far too valuable to consign to the ‘pen. Give him 20 consecutive starts and see what he can give.
 

Red(s)HawksFan

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Ok, right before the Giolito injury, I signed up for the full season of MLB.TV. I don't want to spend another summer watching bullpen games. They need a guy or guys who can give them innings. Shouldn't they trade some low-level prospects for a borderline MLB starting pitcher?
Is there reason to think they aren't trying to trade low-level prospects for a borderline MLB starting pitcher? There are still some that fit that category available as free agents too. One of the hallmarks of Breslow's tenure so far is that his office doesn't leak or hint or speculate publicly. We aren't finding out about moves and plans until they've happened. So to me, silence on any given front is not evidence that they're not making efforts.

As Opening Day gets nearer, teams are going to start making cuts and borderline guys on other rosters might become available. I imagine we'll see some moves and maybe the Sox will be involved.
 

bernie carb 33

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We've done pretty good on some Rule 5 castoffs. But hoping for other clubs to make a mistake on cutting their roster is a bit of a long shot like the Rule 5. I hope they have a better plan in mind, like enacting a trade for pitching at long last. I think the chance of breaking the bank for a superb FA pitcher at this point has left the station.

Hope I'm wrong, but this FO does not have a habit of over paying for a pitcher. Giolito's contract surprised a lot of people, when it was signed, so maybe there is some room for another #3 or #4 arm before opening day.
 

RS2004foreever

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I’m a believer in Houck starting. In 2021, he started 10 games in a row, pitched 44 innings, had an ERA of 3.86 but FIP of 2.92.

The talent is clearly there. We can get good innings from him. Even if he can only average 5 innings/game, that could be 150 innings of FIP 3-3.50 ball, which would be elite.

We should see what we have with him, like Crawford. Potential 150 innings of elite pitching is far too valuable to consign to the ‘pen. Give him 20 consecutive starts and see what he can give.
We did that last year. Houck simply does not have the stuff to get through the order the third time. We gave Whitlock a shot as well. I actually think Whitlock's stuff is better than Houck's, but neither is anything better than a 4/5 starter who will not chew up enough innings to save the pen.
 

Robert Plant

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Is it possible Bailey could turn some of our marginal starters into better starters? Maybe the front office is making the assumption that Bailey will unlock the potential of the guys we already have, thus the inaction on acquiring new starters. Maybe this is just wishful thinking but it will be interesting to see how Bailey affects our pitchers.
 

InsideTheParker

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Is it possible Bailey could turn some of our marginal starters into better starters? Maybe the front office is making the assumption that Bailey will unlock the potential of the guys we already have, thus the inaction on acquiring new starters. Maybe this is just wishful thinking but it will be interesting to see how Bailey affects our pitchers.
Isn't it also possible that New Tricks can also be hard for Young Dogs to learn? There is at least the possibility that Giolito's trying the new grip Bailey taught him led to his elbow injury. I am concerned that that effect might be replicated in some of our younger pitchers. I certainly hope not, and I have no idea of the odds of that happening, but it seems as likely as a miraculous "unlocking" of potential. Yes, I'm gloomy. I'll escort myself out now.
 

HfxBob

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Isn't it also possible that New Tricks can also be hard for Young Dogs to learn? There is at least the possibility that Giolito's trying the new grip Bailey taught him led to his elbow injury. I am concerned that that effect might be replicated in some of our younger pitchers. I certainly hope not, and I have no idea of the odds of that happening, but it seems as likely as a miraculous "unlocking" of potential. Yes, I'm gloomy. I'll escort myself out now.
On the reassuring side, Bailey did get good results with the Giants in his tenure with them, and if Giants pitchers were getting hurt more than the norm I expect we'd know about it.
 

Max Power

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We did that last year. Houck simply does not have the stuff to get through the order the third time. We gave Whitlock a shot as well. I actually think Whitlock's stuff is better than Houck's, but neither is anything better than a 4/5 starter who will not chew up enough innings to save the pen.
Houck's performance drops off a cliff the third time through the order, but his stuff is pretty much the same. Like with almost all pitchers, it's in-game familiarity that causes the performance drop. He needs another pitch to keep in his back pocket for later in the games if he's going to be a starter. But they're going to try to let him figure it out.

Before Giolito got hurt, the rotation was Giolito, Bello, Pivetta, Crawford, and the winner of the Houck/Whitlock/Winckowski spring training competition. Now it's Bello, Pivetta, Crawford, with the loser of the Houck/Whitlock/Winckowski competition going to the pen. Without Giolito I can see signing Montgomery or Snell, who would be the number 1 or 2 in that rotation, but I don't see the need to immediately jump on a Lorenzen-type who may not be any better than the other 6.
 

Sandy Leon Trotsky

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If they can get Montgomery somehow, I'd still rather have Houck and Whitlock in the pen.
Bello
Montgomery
Pivetta
Crawford
?
 

cantor44

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If they can get Montgomery somehow, I'd still rather have Houck and Whitlock in the pen.
Bello
Montgomery
Pivetta
Crawford
?
I agree with this. Whitlock, especially, has a growing sample size, and he's much better in relief. Houck's troubles third time through persist. They'd both be excellent quills out of the pen. Incredibly the biggest need to address going into the off season has somehow gotten worse!! Especially if they don't go ahead and sign Montgomery (or Snell).
 

bernie carb 33

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On the reassuring side, Bailey did get good results with the Giants in his tenure with them, and if Giants pitchers were getting hurt more than the norm I expect we'd know about it.
Bailey just might be the bromide for all that ills the Sox. Scott Neville 's article (Fan Nation) today is pushing Andrew as a very possible replacement for Cora in 2025. And again, the writers are as bored as the fans.
 

Al Zarilla

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Is it possible Bailey could turn some of our marginal starters into better starters? Maybe the front office is making the assumption that Bailey will unlock the potential of the guys we already have, thus the inaction on acquiring new starters. Maybe this is just wishful thinking but it will be interesting to see how Bailey affects our pitchers.
Here are some pitching coaches who had long time tenures for their teams: Dave Righetti, Rick Honeycutt, Mike Maddux and Dave Duncan. Did they teach any of their pitchers new pitches, or show them how to get more torque or rotational speed on the ball or anything else, or were they just good coaches who managed their pitching staffs well and interfaced well with their managers? I have no idea.
 

Cassvt2023

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I don't have any new rumors to post about (other than the latest reclamation project name that has been linked to the Sox is Jake Ordorizzi) but i did just notice that this thread only needs 36k more views to hit 1 million since last October. Pretty impressive stuff.
 

RS2004foreever

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I don't have any new rumors to post about (other than the latest reclamation project name that has been linked to the Sox is Jake Ordorizzi) but i did just notice that this thread only needs 36k more views to hit 1 million since last October. Pretty impressive stuff.
This thread has some good tangents (the Gibson/Pedro discussion eg).
At this moment Duvall remains unsigned. Hell JD is too.
And all we know is 4 teams checked in on Montgomery and he said he wanted to go to a small market team like Dallas(?) or Saint Louis.
 

Cassvt2023

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But I thought players only want to play for teams that are contending!!!!! What?????
That's what they were joking about! Steve Phillips said they are a 4th place team with or without Snell in that division, what's the point of spending another 25-30m to only finish ahead of the A's?
 

Sandy Leon Trotsky

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That's what they were joking about! Steve Phillips said they are a 4th place team with or without Snell in that division, what's the point of spending another 25-30m to only finish ahead of the A's?
I mean... it's really very possible that some players really will turn down millions to play in regions where they'd prefer to live. What the hell is the difference between 100 million and 120million when it comes to money? After taxes and agent's cuts and other expenses figured in.... you're still getting generational wealth- and from what I understand, the health plan isn't exactly something they're individually buying on the Healthcare Marketplace.....
If a hypothetical baseball team from North Dakota wanted to sign me up and a team from southern california did too, that ND team will have to pay me at least double.... relative cost of living be damned if they're both offering me over a million clams. I'd happily live in a small 3-2 in CA over an expansive mansion in ND with heated pools and saunas and indoor tennis courts.
 

TomRicardo

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Is it possible Bailey could turn some of our marginal starters into better starters? Maybe the front office is making the assumption that Bailey will unlock the potential of the guys we already have, thus the inaction on acquiring new starters. Maybe this is just wishful thinking but it will be interesting to see how Bailey affects our pitchers.
Getting a better game planner than Wong (or having Wong make a huge step to improve) can also help greatly. Teel is supposedly incredible at this part of the game as a prospect.
 

moondog80

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For a pillow deal maybe, although it would get outrageously expensive after taxes. Spotrac has their current obligations at approximately $292m.
Already kinda all in on this year having traded for one year of Soto.
 

SLC Sox

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I mean... it's really very possible that some players really will turn down millions to play in regions where they'd prefer to live. What the hell is the difference between 100 million and 120million when it comes to money? After taxes and agent's cuts and other expenses figured in.... you're still getting generational wealth- and from what I understand, the health plan isn't exactly something they're individually buying on the Healthcare Marketplace.....
If a hypothetical baseball team from North Dakota wanted to sign me up and a team from southern california did too, that ND team will have to pay me at least double.... relative cost of living be damned if they're both offering me over a million clams. I'd happily live in a small 3-2 in CA over an expansive mansion in ND with heated pools and saunas and indoor tennis courts.
I'd imagine a lot of the calculus is whether the player has a family. Professional athletes spend a relatively small amount of their time in the city they play in between all the travel and off season, so if it were me it I'd follow the money and live in a mansion in ND for a smaller percentage of a few years. Endorsements seem less and less affected by primary market as well. But with a spouse and kids who are more tethered to the area that is more of an issue.
 

ZMart100

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Getting a better game planner than Wong (or having Wong make a huge step to improve) can also help greatly. Teel is supposedly incredible at this part of the game as a prospect.
Is he? Teel didn't do it in college and there isn't much track record in the minors to go on.
 

chrisfont9

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Already kinda all in on this year having traded for one year of Soto.
Maybe. If they liked Monty enough to give him a longer deal, I suppose they could spread the money out toward the back end. But lots of guys can throw innings, and I think the Yankees know better than to take on big risks, given that they have enough of those already. Also out of respect to Jon Abbey and the Yankees contingent here, we should ackonwledge that the news could turn out to not be as bad as feared.
 

Paveskovich's Pole

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... it's really very possible that some players really will turn down millions to play in regions where they'd prefer to live. What the hell is the difference between 100 million and 120million when it comes to money?
Tim Wakefield took a reasonable salary to raise his children near their extended families and I'm guessing set them up well financially. One of the many reasons I have a lot of respect for that man.
 

YTF

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Anyone curious about JD Davis as a RH bat with power who showed much improved defense at 3B last season and can play 1B and LF? He was released by the Giants today and can deepen the bench at the expense of RFsnyder. He'll likely want to land with a team that might offer more playing time, but he'll be available with someone else picking up the tab.

Edit...Or what @bosockboy and @Brohamer of the Gods posted as I was typing LOL
 

moondog80

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Anyone curious about JD Davis as a RH bat with power who showed much improved defense at 3B last season and can play 1B and LF? He was released by the Giants today and can deepen the bench at the expense of RFsnyder. He'll likely want to land with a team that might offer more playing time, but he'll be available with someone else picking up the tab.

Edit...Or what @bosockboy and @Brohamer of the Gods posted as I was typing LOL
Defensive measures can be very noisy, so I'd like to know what the scouts say about his glove before trusting a one year spike at age 30. But if he grades out and will accept a non-full time role, he'd be perfect.
 

Red(s)HawksFan

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Anyone curious about JD Davis as a RH bat with power who showed much improved defense at 3B last season and can play 1B and LF? He was released by the Giants today and can deepen the bench at the expense of RFsnyder. He'll likely want to land with a team that might offer more playing time, but he'll be available with someone else picking up the tab.

Edit...Or what @bosockboy and @Brohamer of the Gods posted as I was typing LOL
There's no "tab" for him, just what he can negotiate with his new team. Since it was arbitrated, his salary wasn't guaranteed until Opening Day. So the Giants are on the hook for a small percentage and the rest goes away. It isn't like other players who are released and can be signed for the league minimum because his old team is paying his full original salary.
 

YTF

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There's no "tab" for him, just what he can negotiate with his new team. Since it was arbitrated, his salary wasn't guaranteed until Opening Day. So the Giants are on the hook for a small percentage and the rest goes away. It isn't like other players who are released and can be signed for the league minimum because his old team is paying his full original salary.
Gotcha. I didn't realize there was this difference with arbitrated players. The timing of this makes much more sense as I was wondering why they would just release a guy if they were on the hook for nearly $7M
 

Yelling At Clouds

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Davis is yet another on-paper fit who would likely prefer a bigger role than the Red Sox can offer at the moment. Offhand, though, I’m not sure which teams could give him something resembling a starting job right now.
 

Red(s)HawksFan

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Davis is yet another on-paper fit who would likely prefer a bigger role than the Red Sox can offer at the moment. Offhand, though, I’m not sure which teams could give him something resembling a starting job right now.
Cleveland? Naylor is better suited to be a DH and Fangraphs has their #1 prospect penciled in as the starter at 1B (he's not yet on the 40-man). Davis might be a fit there there backing up/platooning with the LHH rookie.
 
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