Patriots' 2024 Free Agency Thread

DJnVa

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I don't want Henry at this stage of his career either, but are we sure Rham is anything other than a JAG? I was a huge fan of his prior to last year, and I know the line sucked, but man he looked slow and unable to do much of anything after contact. I think the position needs an upgrade.
I'm never going to find the source, but a podcast later in the season said that as the line stablized a bit, from mid-Oct through the end of his season, Stevenson was top 5 in a few of the important RB categories, yards after contact, etc. Smallish sample size and even guys that are JAGs can run off a few really good games, but it was out there.
 
Apr 7, 2006
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There were a lot of rumblings that Onwenu was out of here and that the Pats maybe weren't that interested in bring him back. I hope that the new offensive brass feels differently.

I think he and Sow can hold down one side of the line. Sow struggled at times but he got better as the season went on and he showed himself to be a gamer.

View: https://twitter.com/tkyles39/status/1716624239761948957?s=20


Seems like we can do better with filling out the OL via draft or FA if we start with RT already set.
I heard on Patriots Unfiltered (or maybe Next Pats or one of the other NBCS Boston podcasts) that those rumblings were not actually representative of the situation, at least insofar as it pertains to the new regime, and that Owenu is open to coming back. I hope he does.
 

Eddie Jurak

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I heard on Patriots Unfiltered (or maybe Next Pats or one of the other NBCS Boston podcasts) that those rumblings were not actually representative of the situation, at least insofar as it pertains to the new regime, and that Owenu is open to coming back. I hope he does.
I hope that's right. We have plenty of problems without adding RT to the list.
 

chilidawg

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I heard on Patriots Unfiltered (or maybe Next Pats or one of the other NBCS Boston podcasts) that those rumblings were not actually representative of the situation, at least insofar as it pertains to the new regime, and that Owenu is open to coming back. I hope he does.
Me too. Re-signing Onwenu should be a priority. Draft another tackle and we should be in good shape.
 

DJnVa

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Both good players who were on the decline or becoming redundant. No surprise here really as these had been foreshadowed here and elsewhere. I'd be a little surprised if we see either on a roster in 2024.
Lawrence Guy will definitely be playing in 2024.
 
Oct 12, 2023
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Lawrence Guy will definitely be playing in 2024.
34 year old DL who are at the end of the road aren’t exactly in high demand. Seems like a guy who will need to take a very low value short deal to even make a roster for summer and is 50/50 to even make the final 53. He looked awful most of last year. I guess he has some marginal value in scheme versatility and can still take up space. Maybe he finds a home in a rotation for a team that wants veteran leadership.

Seems like the type of guy who might benefit from the new(ish) practice squad rules unless he can find the fountain of youth over the summer

Phillips has good special teams value and plays a position with no depth on most rosters so I imagine he will find a home heading into camp as well but not sure he stays employed after training camp.
 

MuppetAsteriskTalk

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Are the Pats still playing mixed fronts (sometimes 3 and sometimes 4) or are they more fixed now, and if so, what is there primary front now?
 

BaseballJones

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Are the Pats still playing mixed fronts (sometimes 3 and sometimes 4) or are they more fixed now, and if so, what is there primary front now?
We have no idea what Mayo will want to implement. It’s going to take me some time but I (we) need to adjust to the fact that Belichick is no longer the coach and we have a rookie at the helm.
 

MuppetAsteriskTalk

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We have no idea what Mayo will want to implement. It’s going to take me some time but I (we) need to adjust to the fact that Belichick is no longer the coach and we have a rookie at the helm.
Yeah sorry I meant through last season. Were they still playing mixed fronts last season? I was just wondering, if you play mixed fronts, do you need a more traditional nose who comes off the field when playing a 4 man front? Or are some DL who play nose also able to play in the 4 man fronts?
 

Cellar-Door

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Yeah sorry I meant through last season. Were they still playing mixed fronts last season? I was just wondering, if you play mixed fronts, do you need a more traditional nose who comes off the field when playing a 4 man front? Or are some DL who play nose also able to play in the 4 man fronts?
They played Godchaux on about 60% of snaps last year. Now they could probably play Barmore over the center in some 3 man fronts if they want, but they usually don't. The Patriots also mostly like big versatile guys, so they can usually put together 3 and 4 man lines pretty easily, also which NT they use can depend on situation, sometimes they have 3 up front in passing situations with Barmore because it lets you get 3 rushers on the field and flood the secondary, but Barmore/White/whomever is a big enough front 3 to hold up against somehting like a draw.
 

Cellar-Door

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Sounds like Trent Brown is gone too.
probably, though all today really was is the void day which means no extension, I don't think he was ever going to be interested in that. Brown should hypothetically be the best LT on the market, now in reality, age, injury and unreliability mean he won't get paid like it, but he's exactly the kind of guy who should want to hit the market because somebody (likely a playoff team) might be willing to make the offer on the basis that established talent is worth it even if it only gets you a season.
 

DennyDoyle'sBoil

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One thing that you have to be aware of with Miguel is that he's very literal with the cap. When he gives a number, it is the number at that moment based on the rules that are in effect at the time. He generally avoids any questions about "what does it mean." He used to be absolutely militant about not wanting to engage in speculation, even for crazy NLTBE incentives, or things like that. Now, he'll do a bit more of it, speculating about what certain moves would do for the cap.

But the way he does his analysis does not really answer the questions that most fans want to know the answer to on a minute to minute basis -- what can we afford? How much doe we have to spend? If we modify (cut, trade) X player, what does it free up? He'll do some of the latter when enough people ask but sometimes it feels like pulling teeth.

His Rule of 51 stuff is kind of indicative. The Rule of 51 is absolutely irrelevant to the Patriots right now. It is a device that can be used by teams in the offseason to avoid going over the cap by artificially reducing the pool of players that count toward the cap, even though the entire roster will count toward the cap as soon as the league year starts. And that's what you really want to know. How much do we have to spend this year? The bookeeping in the Rule of 51 period gives you a snapshot, but if you don't know what to do with that snapshot, it's not great info, and Miguel is not going to speculate on it mostly. He wants you to know what the number is right now. The Patriots don't need to worry about relying on the Rule during this offseason because they will be under the cap whether you count the entire roster or not.
 
Oct 12, 2023
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Maybe, but the tweet linked literally says he'll have a strong market.

Last year 4 DL over the age of 33 signed contracts, all of them 1 year deals

12 signed at age 31+ and all 12 got 1 year deals, only 4 of whom got 3M+ - Fletcher Cox, Calais Campbell, Justin Houston (more of an edge) and Shelby Harris

The market for rotational declining 5-techs (which is his best spot probably) over the age of 30 is never strong.

Maybe Pelissero knows something we don’t but Guy wasn’t particularly good last year, saw his snaps reduce as the year went on, is one of the leagues oldest guys at his position, and his skill set isn’t one which has much value in free agency. 1 year/2.5M seems about right for him, which wouldn’t qualify as a strong market but YMMV.

Old guys who play 25-30 snaps a game and have no pass rush ability aren’t a hot commodity.
 

Mystic Merlin

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He might, but it’s important to keep in mind that a lot of these reporters carry water for players’ agents in how they frame cuts, trades, and signings. I expect we’re all on the same page here on that.

Personally, I think Guy’s market will be limited, but I could see a few teams seeing his value as a short-term rotational DL. The fact Guy got cut rather than traded under a smallish salary doesn’t really support Pelissero’s claim, though I expect he’s letting the adjective ‘strong’ do a lot of work for him.
 
Oct 12, 2023
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He might, but it’s important to keep in mind that a lot of these reporters carry water for players’ agents in how they frame cuts, trades, and signings. I expect we’re all on the same page here on that.
Nothing against Pelissero specifically but I would assume almost any tweet or social media reporting from “insiders” interest levels in various players is their own speculation or stating the obvious.

I don’t think these guys are so well connected that a bit player who was just released is the talk of the back channels.

Regardless, moving on from Guy is an obvious and good move and one BB probably should have done a year ago.
 

rodderick

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Yep. Not using it on anyone else. Try to work out a reasonable deal. If he doesn't take it, tag him.
At 21 million Onwenu would either be the highest paid RT or the highest paid RG in the league for 2024. The gap between that a reasonable deal for him is substantial, if he doesn't take one I'd let him walk. Especially if the idea is to play him at guard. At RT I'd extend myself a little more.
 

gammoseditor

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At 21 million Onwenu would either be the highest paid RT or the highest paid RG in the league for 2024. The gap between that a reasonable deal for him is substantial, if he doesn't take one I'd let him walk. Especially if the idea is to play him at guard. At RT I'd extend myself a little more.
It’s a supply and demand issue. We need two OTs. Lots of other teams need them too. The free agent market is trash. And the cap went up significantly. Lots of teams have money to spend. We will still have roughly $80 million in cap space after franchising him.
 

Kenny F'ing Powers

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Don't think Dugger is a candidate?
I suppose he could be. I just don't value him all that highly relative to what the price tag will probably be.
At 21 million Onwenu would either be the highest paid RT or the highest paid RG in the league for 2024. The gap between that a reasonable deal for him is substantial, if he doesn't take one I'd let him walk. Especially if the idea is to play him at guard. At RT I'd extend myself a little more.
With the lack of linemen on the market, a multi-year deal for him is going to run you $14-15M a year. If he doesn't sign a deal, you're paying a $6M premium to keep him on the roster. Not ideal, but an extra $6M against the cap when you'll have close to $100M in space isn't worth losing the only young, good tackle on the free agent market.
 
Apr 7, 2006
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If Mayo and AVP deem Owenu athletic enough to play in the OL run scheme they plan to employ, I wouldn't hesitate in giving him $15 mill per for 4-5 years. Lock him down. He can play four OL positions well and it will help the team as they approach the draft, not forced to make selections based on desperate need.
 

Cellar-Door

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I think the cap going up is sneakily bad for the Patriots. Less cap casualties from other teams, more competition on some of the mid-level guys, more teams able to use the tag without concern.
 

DJnVa

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I think the cap going up is sneakily bad for the Patriots. Less cap casualties from other teams, more competition on some of the mid-level guys, more teams able to use the tag without concern.
I don't think any team is surprised here. At least not completely.
 

Cellar-Door

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I don't think any team is surprised here. At least not completely.
Oh I don't know that anyone is surprised, just saying that the teams that a larger than initial projections cap helps most are those who have little cap space, and it's a small to moderate negative to teams like NE who had a lot to spend.
 

BigSoxFan

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Oh I don't know that anyone is surprised, just saying that the teams that a larger than initial projections cap helps most are those who have little cap space, and it's a small to moderate negative to teams like NE who had a lot to spend.
Yup. On the flip side, more competition may save us from signing deals that we’d later, or almost immediately, regret. Will be very interesting to see how they deploy it.
 

Eddie Jurak

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I think the cap going up is sneakily bad for the Patriots. Less cap casualties from other teams, more competition on some of the mid-level guys, more teams able to use the tag without concern.
From what I have heard, a lot of teams have plenty of cap room this year, so, yes, this isn't great.

I'd like to hang on to Onwenu. I think Sow/Onwenu works as a right side of the line.

Edit: Not sure wher eto put this question so I'll ask it here: C/G Jake Andrews sat on the bench all year without a single snap on offense until he played a few snaps at LG in the next to last game and then played the whole final game there. I've not seen any performance reviews on him. Any thoughts on where/if he fits in next year?
 

Arroyoyo

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Who is everyone’s FA binkie this year?

I want Ridley. I think he can bring open-field explosiveness to this offensive that’s desperately needed, and probably at decent value (relative to someone like Evans). If we can get him locked up on a 3yr/$50m (~$30 guaranteed) type of deal, and draft Polk or Mitchell, we’d have a nice WR core when you factor Pop into the mix.

If I have one slight hesitation on Ridley, it’s that he’s older than I realized - turning 30 in December. But if we locked up his age-29 through 31 seasons, we should catch him before his skills noticeably decline.
 

Justthetippett

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Who is everyone’s FA binkie this year?

I want Ridley. I think he can bring open-field explosiveness to this offensive that’s desperately needed, and probably at decent value (relative to someone like Evans). If we can get him locked up on a 3yr/$50m (~$30 guaranteed) type of deal, and draft Polk or Mitchell, we’d have a nice WR core when you factor Pop into the mix.

If I have one slight hesitation on Ridley, it’s that he’s older than I realized - turning 30 in December. But if we locked up his age-29 through 31 seasons, we should catch him before his skills noticeably decline.
Jones, Wilkins or Burns. I want to use FA for defense, the draft for offense.
 

mcpickl

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Onwenu has fired his agents

That's quite a bag fumble for his agents. Having a client while he's on a 6th round rookie deal dump you right as he's about to break the bank is a brutal hit.

Very interested in what the issue was. I hope it's that he wants to get a deal done here, but his agents hadn't been able to close it.
 

Cellar-Door

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That's quite a bag fumble for his agents. Having a client while he's on a 6th round rookie deal dump you right as he's about to break the bank is a brutal hit.

Very interested in what the issue was. I hope it's that he wants to get a deal done here, but his agents hadn't been able to close it.
My guess is they called around the league and found nobody who thinks he's a top-end tackle and told him that and now he's going to find an agent who will lie to him. It's a bit of a classic, guys hire an agent, the agent does their job, the market doesn't match what the player thought he would get, they fire the agent..... the new agent gets them the exact same as the old would have.
 

mcpickl

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My guess is they called around the league and found nobody who thinks he's a top-end tackle and told him that and now he's going to find an agent who will lie to him. It's a bit of a classic, guys hire an agent, the agent does their job, the market doesn't match what the player thought he would get, they fire the agent..... the new agent gets them the exact same as the old would have.
Interesting.

I think if the Patriots let him get to FA he's going to have a huge market.
 

dcdrew10

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That's quite a bag fumble for his agents. Having a client while he's on a 6th round rookie deal dump you right as he's about to break the bank is a brutal hit.

Very interested in what the issue was. I hope it's that he wants to get a deal done here, but his agents hadn't been able to close it.
Could the Pats have told him he's getting tagged and he thinks (i have no idea of the contract structure of franchise contracts, so this is just a wild guess at best) that his franchise deal is a set salary, with nothing to negotiate, so if he signs it without having an agent, he saves the agent's fees?
 

mcpickl

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Could the Pats have told him he's getting tagged and he thinks (i have no idea of the contract structure of franchise contracts, so this is just a wild guess at best) that his franchise deal is a set salary, with nothing to negotiate, so if he signs it without having an agent, he saves the agent's fees?
I wouldn't think so.

Getting tagged doesn't necessarily mean you're going to play on the one year tag. Could still extend with Patriots, or if you want out could get tagged and traded. I'd guess he'd rather have the big money long term deal over the bigger salary one year deal. I'd imagine you'd still want an agent, and I assume he'll have one once he's eligible to do so.