For a bench scorer role, I still think he's a decent fit. Also provides additional veteran presence, which I think is valuable for a team like this. Obviously, Butler and Teague make this team older as well. No idea how this team does this year but I'm quite intrigued and really hope we get to see Towns in the playoffs.
because most of the time it isn't much more because anyone under 33 or so wants to opt out after a few years and hit the market again. Hayward is a nice example, he'll opt out after 3, so the difference between BOS and UTA was only a small amount. The extra year is really only important for guys who might be on their last contract, and the $ difference is relatively small.
No shot at KCP, they're way over the cap. This trade is an attempt to get out of the tax. cuts about 12M off their salary which should JUST sneak them under the tax line.
http://www.espn.com/nba/story/_/id/19930463/new-york-knicks-ex-cleveland-cavaliers-gm-david-griffin-progressing-contract-negotiations
Nobody is left this year and nobody worthwhile is going to go there next year, at best they'd just end up overpaying he next Demarre Carroll. So they get a draft pick and this saves hem from themselves. Win.
1) What players out there would be salary dump candidates who are better than Carroll?
Not looking for a player better than Carroll. Carroll isn't relevant to me. They didn't want Carroll. They wanted the picks that came with taking Carrolls' trash contract.
KCP is the guy who is more interesting than the picks in my mind.
KCP probably won't be on the next contending Nets team. I think they're just taking a flier that they find the next Giannis/Gobert/Butler. That off chance is probably worth more than KCP.
The money is irrelevant. They need to spend up to the floor so they might as well get something out of it and he's still an OK player.
The money is very relevant, it's the floor that's irrelevant. There is no penalty for not hitting the floor. You just pay the players on your roster at the end of the season the amount you're short of the floor.
KCP is a lot more likely to improve another level and be flipped for a high pick/young player who might be on the next good Brooklyn team than either of this picks is to generate that player, though. There's very little chance the 2018 Tor 1st is a good pick---if they got a pick a couple years out it would be a much, much more interesting bet. But they didn't. The hit rate of 'Gobert/Butler' picks is horrendously bad.
Also worth noting that in addition to Rozier penciled in by Rotoworld as the starting SG, the current starting PF listed is Jonas Jerebko. Eager to see the adjustments as bowiac's projection absolutely killed it last year IIRC.
That's a decent jump actually. Pythag had them at 48 wins last season.
Yes. I've found teams with more concentrated offensive production outperform their Pythagorean records (i.e., it's good to have Westbrook). This mostly makes sense - your crunchtime lineup has outsized influence on winning close games, while the strength of your bench matters less there. I have not found a similar link with defensive value, although that may be simply because measuring defense is harder.
They've got a solid starting five, but their depth looks pretty thin. Crawford and Aldrich are their first options off the bench.
KAT, Wiggins and Butler all averaged 37+ minutes last year. Dieng and Teague averaged 32. They aren't going to need much of a bench, and honestly their bench situation isn't much different than ours. Gibson, Crawford, Bjelica gives them bodies at the very least. Not sure if they are bringing back Shabazz but that would help even more. Tyus Jones is still really young, ditto Patton. Patton breaking his foot kinda sucks but he should provide big man depth at least.
Strength of schedule is somewhat accounted for here: I'm using the 2017 schedule as a rough approximation of the 2018 schedule). This projects game by game win probabilities using that.
