And the Steelers lose to a 2-10 Raiders. I feels a little better about the Patriots loss, both stomach & standings wise.
So we can lose next week and still be ahead of PIT.And the Steelers lose to a 2-10 Raiders. I feels a little better about the Patriots loss, both stomach & standings wise.
PIT will be fighting for their playoff lives much more than us next Sunday.6th Seed - Baltimore
Wins tie break over Miami based on best win percentage in common games. Wins tie break over Indianapolis based on best win percentage in conference games. Division tie break was initially used to eliminate Tennessee (Indianapolis wins tie break over Tennessee based on head-to-head win percentage).
Actually, I don't think the NFL would be all that upset if NE or Pittsburgh was there, because they'd rather have one of those teams making the Super Bowl over the LAC and having a non-hostile crowd wouldn't hurt.That has to terrify the NFL because LAC can’t fill that soccer stadium.
Imagine a partly empty stadium or visiting fans outnumbering LAC fans in a divisional round or conference title game?
If the Patriots finish 10-6, and the Dolphins win out, I think they would lose the tiebeaker based on AFC record.A three-way tie between NE/BAL/HOU at 10 wins might result in us 4th, but I'm not sure.
One way or another, I’ve read that the Patriots win the division at 10 wins. I’m not sure the math.If the Patriots finish 10-6, and the Dolphins win out, I think they would lose the tiebeaker based on AFC record.
Looks like the Jackson victory tour continues; they can always bring Flacco in if they are in a 3rd and long situation so he can heave a pass downfield to draw a DPI penalty for old times sake.Sounds like Lamar Jackson is remaining the starter in Baltimore despite Flacco's return to health.
Jags.Flacco likely will go on to start for someone else next year.
Rekindle Foles magic?If Wentz is shut down, which is probably better than 50/50 at this point, the HOU road to 12-4 gets a lot easier.
Pats probably need to win out to secure the bye.
Boo fucking hoo. In 2008, the 11-5 Pats missed the playoffs while the shitty 8-8 Chargers hosted a game.The Chargers could be 13-3 and play a road playoff game against an 8-7-1 Steelers team or 9-7 Ravens team they already beat while the Pats or Texans could earn a bye at 11-5.
Patriots have won 2 of the last 3 they have played.it's probably closer than I'm imagining but KC just has our number schematically for quite a few games in a row now
I think this would be a bigger issue in week 17 as opposed to week 16.one issue... Seattle might be locked into the 5 seed as soon as this week. how hard will they play afterwards leading up to the playoffs?
First you’d apply division tiebreaker to KC/LAC. They split head to head, so it’d go to division record. That likely goes to KC, as they just have to beat Oakland to capture it.What happens if KC/NE/HOU/LAC all end up 12-4?
Yep I found the ESPN playoff scenario machine which is pretty cool.First you’d apply division tiebreaker to KC/LAC. They split head to head, so it’d go to division record. That likely goes to KC, as they just have to beat Oakland to capture it.
So then you’d be left with KC/HOU/NE. For home-field priority among division winners, use the Wild Card tiebreakers. That starts with a head to head sweep, which NE has, having beaten both KC and HOU.
Profit.
NE has the tiebreaker over KC so if they are both 12-4 and KC wins the division NE ends up 1st seed.If they all go 12-4 with KC somehow losing to Oakland, then it ends the same way.
If LAC beat Baltimore and lost to Denver, KC would win division based on division record.
If LAC beat Denver and lost to Baltimore, they’d tie on division record, but KC would win on common games. Both would have lost to LAR and defeated SF, Cle, Sea, Pit, Ari, and Cin, but KC beat Baltimore and LAC would have lost to them.
So basically if Pats, KC, and LAC all go 12-4, not only is Hou irrelevant, but the specific teams KC and LAC beat and lose to in the last two weeks are irrelevant.
The only other way the Pats could get the 1 seed is if they go 2-1, Hou goes no better than 2-1, and KC and LAC both go 0-2. In other words, not happening.
I guess it’s a problem with a clean solution. If the Pats win out and KC and LAC lose a game, the Pats are definitely the 1. If those three things don’t happen, they are definitely not the 1.
Agreed.On a neutral field, I’d rather play KC than LA, honestly. Normally I’d much prefer to play in LA, but given a rookie QB and Reid’s home playoff woes, I’m not so sure I’d be excited about the prospect of playing LA at all. Assuming our shitty road D pisses away points like a drunken sailor, Brady will have a much easier time against KC’s woeful D than San Diego’s.
Sorry, I meant the same way as my first post, with NE getting the 1 seed.NE has the tiebreaker over KC so if they are both 12-4 and KC wins the division NE ends up 1st seed.
Yeah, but wait until Belichick drops his TMZ video on Rivers.The Chargers are the most complete team in the AFC. They have a very good veteran QB, a talented WR corp, an elite RB in Gordon, and a very good defense. Give me KC without Hunt instead.
Because the Chiefs have only had two playoff home games with Reid (Steelers 2 years ago and Titans last year). The other losses were with Marty, Vermeil and Haley as Head Coach.Agreed.
Someone is going to have to splain to me why as a Patriots fan I should be afraid of the 0-6 in their last 6 home playoff games/coached by Andy Reid Chefs.
Sorry, I'm not feeling it.
Did you watch their 2015 road divisional against the Pats? Reid is a disaster in close games.Because the Chiefs have only had two playoff home games with Reid (Steelers 2 years ago and Titans last year). The other losses were with Marty, Vermeil and Haley as Head Coach.
Crowd noise could definitely be a factor in LA ... for the Pats!and crowd noise would be nowhere near a factor in LA
Agreed.The Chargers are the most complete team in the AFC. They have a very good veteran QB, a talented WR corp, an elite RB in Gordon, and a very good defense. Give me KC without Hunt instead.
The Chiefs are a completely different team than 2015. That said they seem to be losing a ton of guys and it is showing in their play recently so they are less of a threat than they were a month ago.Did you watch their 2015 road divisional against the Pats? Reid is a disaster in close games.
Edit: and I am a huge Reid fan. I'd take him #2 behind BB in the entire league
I am isolating Reid. He chokes.The Chiefs are a completely different team than 2015. That said they seem to be losing a ton of guys and it is showing in their play recently so they are less of a threat than they were a month ago.