Taking a QB is a risk but it's always going to be a risk. If the Pats are in position to select Williams or Maye and pass, when is there ever going to a sure thing?
In my book I made a chart of the teams that passed on Mahomes, and almost all of them wound up using a first round pick on another quarterback within the next two / three years. Getting the quarterback is hard, but it's vitally important, so I wouldn't put it off.
Pick |
Team |
Selection |
Incumbent QB |
Next QB |
1 |
Browns |
Edge Myles Garrett |
Cody Kessler |
2017 - Deshone Kizer (2nd)
2018 - Baker Mayfield (1st) |
2 |
Bears |
QB Mitchell Trubisky |
N/A |
N/A |
3 |
49ers |
DL Solomon Thomas |
Brian Hoyer |
2017 - Jimmy Garoppolo (trade, 2nd) |
4 |
Jaguars |
RB Leonard Fournette |
Blake Bortles |
2019 - Gardner Minshew (6th) |
5 |
Titans |
WR Corey Davis |
Marcus Mariota |
2019 - Ryan Tannehill (trade, 4th) |
6 |
Jets |
S Jamal Adams |
Josh McCown |
2018 - Sam Darnold (1st, trade up) |
7 |
Chargers |
WR Mike Williams |
Philip Rivers |
2020 - Justin Herbert (1st) |
8 |
Panthers |
RB Christian McCaffrey |
Cam Newton |
2020 - Teddy Bridgewater (FA) |
9 |
Bengals |
WR John Ross |
Andy Dalton |
2020 - Joe Burrow (1st) |
10 |
Bills |
CB Tre White (trade back) |
Tyrod Taylor |
2018 - Josh Allen (1st, trade up) |