How excited are you for this offseason?

johnmd20

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I really don't love Russ. He's not my guy by any means (you know how bitter I am about having him as my fantasy QB). I just don't know why he's disliked. What's the reason for that? What is it about him? You don't win the Walter Payton man of the year award by being a dick. I believe everyone when people say he's not liked. I just don't know why he isn't.

Like I've said, I want the Pats to draft a QB in round one. But Wilson is light years better than Zappe is. Come on.
Pete Carroll couldn't wait to get away from him. And now Sean Payton can't get away from him. They are playing Stidham over Russ because they literally can't wait to get away from him.

I don't know exactly why, other than I know Russ is a fake poser and that rubs people the wrong way. Nobody on Denver's team is out there chirping about why Russ should play.

But when two teams and two pretty good head coaches are so excited to get rid of a guy, I'd be wary.
 

BaseballJones

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Probably not the best example. Wilson won the award due, at least in part, to his Why Not You charity. The same charity that has come under fire for exorbitant salaries to executives while a small percentage of money raised actually goes to charity.
Oh, I did not know that. FWIW, this happens with a lot of charities, actually, but ok fair enough.
 

ManicCompression

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I really don't love Russ. He's not my guy by any means (you know how bitter I am about having him as my fantasy QB). I just don't know why he's disliked. What's the reason for that? What is it about him? You don't win the Walter Payton man of the year award by being a dick. I believe everyone when people say he's not liked. I just don't know why he isn't.

Like I've said, I want the Pats to draft a QB in round one. But Wilson is light years better than Zappe is. Come on.
Discussed this in the Denver thread, but it sounds like Russ is an alienating locker room presence - Richard Sherman said you would have to go through is manager to talk to him, even if you were a teammate, and he demanded his own office in Broncos Stadium once he was traded. For all of Brady's warts as sort of a celebrity-chasing weirdo, he still attempted to be "one of the guys" and bond with his teammates. From the news stories about Russ, it seems like he's not that guy. Because it's not just one or two teammates saying this stuff, it's like a lot of them - for example, there's this conversation between KJ Wright and Golden Tate about how Russ hung him out to dry re: the rumors of Tate sleeping with Russ's wife: https://www.si.com/nfl/seahawks/news/russell-wilson-seattle-seahawks-apology-demanded-kj-wright-nasty-golden-tate-love-affair-rumor-denver-broncos-trade

Athletes are a bit different, and they don't necessarily like and respect the things that you and I like (for the most part). I personally find cockiness, for example, to be a huge turnoff, but that's kind of necessary to blend in with people who have been the best at what they do - and extremely popular because of it - since they were 12. From the outside, Russ might look really nice to you or I because he's a G-rated personality - in a locker room, that might be viewed as fake. Heck, Sean Payton told the guy to "stop kissing babies" when he got the job - there's clearly something there that's annoying about him, right or wrong, to the NFL community.
 

BaseballJones

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Discussed this in the Denver thread, but it sounds like Russ is an alienating locker room presence - Richard Sherman said you would have to go through is manager to talk to him, even if you were a teammate, and he demanded his own office in Broncos Stadium once he was traded. For all of Brady's warts as sort of a celebrity-chasing weirdo, he still attempted to be "one of the guys" and bond with his teammates. From the news stories about Russ, it seems like he's not that guy. Because it's not just one or two teammates saying this stuff, it's like a lot of them - for example, there's this conversation between KJ Wright and Golden Tate about how Russ hung him out to dry re: the rumors of Tate sleeping with Russ's wife: https://www.si.com/nfl/seahawks/news/russell-wilson-seattle-seahawks-apology-demanded-kj-wright-nasty-golden-tate-love-affair-rumor-denver-broncos-trade

Athletes are a bit different, and they don't necessarily like and respect the things that you and I like (for the most part). I personally find cockiness, for example, to be a huge turnoff, but that's kind of necessary to blend in with people who have been the best at what they do - and extremely popular because of it - since they were 12. From the outside, Russ might look really nice to you or I because he's a G-rated personality - in a locker room, that might be viewed as fake. Heck, Sean Payton told the guy to "stop kissing babies" when he got the job - there's clearly something there that's annoying about him, right or wrong, to the NFL community.
Yeah, that makes sense. I just read this article which has some insight into him. It's weird - he doesn't sound like a bad guy. Just majorly...off-putting.

https://defector.com/how-did-russell-wilson-get-to-be-so-hated

Clearly the guy can play at a high level and you can absolutely WIN with him. Again, yes he won a SB with the greatest defense ever, but he also went 11-5 in 2019 and 12-4 in 2020 with mediocre (2019) and flat-out bad (2020) defenses. That was a few years ago, but nobody thinks Denver is this juggernaut of talent, but Russ had 4 fourth-quarter game-winning drives this year and won 7 games with them, including victories over KC, Buffalo, Cleveland, Minnesota, and Green Bay - all playoff teams or teams still in the playoff hunt going into this weekend.

He's got to be one of the oddest NFL players to consider, doesn't he? Clearly has loads of football talent and he doesn't seem to be a bad guy. But yeah, the "fake" aspect of him (which that article I cited talks a lot about) and the general dislike people have for him is an issue. It's so weird.

It's just bizarre to me that people might want Zappe (yay people like him but man, he's really bad) over Wilson (ok people don't like him but he's so, so much better than Zappe it's not even funny).
 

BigJimEd

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Oh, I did not know that. FWIW, this happens with a lot of charities, actually, but ok fair enough.
True, particularly athletes.
General point is as with most off field things for the NFL, the Walter Payton Man of the Year is little more than PR
 

ManicCompression

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Yeah, that makes sense. I just read this article which has some insight into him. It's weird - he doesn't sound like a bad guy. Just majorly...off-putting.

https://defector.com/how-did-russell-wilson-get-to-be-so-hated

Clearly the guy can play at a high level and you can absolutely WIN with him. Again, yes he won a SB with the greatest defense ever, but he also went 11-5 in 2019 and 12-4 in 2020 with mediocre (2019) and flat-out bad (2020) defenses. That was a few years ago, but nobody thinks Denver is this juggernaut of talent, but Russ had 4 fourth-quarter game-winning drives this year and won 7 games with them, including victories over KC, Buffalo, Cleveland, Minnesota, and Green Bay - all playoff teams or teams still in the playoff hunt going into this weekend.

He's got to be one of the oddest NFL players to consider, doesn't he? Clearly has loads of football talent and he doesn't seem to be a bad guy. But yeah, the "fake" aspect of him (which that article I cited talks a lot about) and the general dislike people have for him is an issue. It's so weird.

It's just bizarre to me that people might want Zappe (yay people like him but man, he's really bad) over Wilson (ok people don't like him but he's so, so much better than Zappe it's not even funny).
I think that there's a bunch more going on here beyond just "he's fake" - if he was fake and AWESOME, people would find a way to tolerate him, but he's fake and just kind of fine as a QB. How can you bring that big of a disliked personality into an organization just to have him be average? He's also taken a lot of hits over the years and he's clearly lost athleticism since the halcyon days. Since he's going to be 36 next year, it's not like he's going to get that athleticism back.
 
Oct 12, 2023
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Is Russell Wilson better than Zappe right now? Yes

is Russell Wilson likely to be better than Zappe or any of the menagerie of misfits likely to be available in free agency next year? Likely (exception Cousins)

would Russell Wilson be cheaper (cap hit) than just about any other veteran? Yes due to his offsets in his Denver contract

is Russell Wilson the right guy to be “the” guy next year? Less obviously yes. If we’re in a world where the Pats miss out on the big 3 QB prospects (or miss out on 2 and don’t like #3), Wilson - purely on a talent basis - is probably the best the Pats can do. Signing him over Cousins gives them more cap space (again due to the offsets) to add other talent around him and try to maintain a good defense (bringing back Dugger, Jennings, adding depth)

that said, the guy takes a stupid amount of sacks and he’s been in something of a decline. He’s almost always had good deep ball guys and playmakers at WR (Lockett/Metcalf, now Sutton) which the Pats don’t currently have. His play style doesn’t really fit the current offense. He’s at the age where a decline from decent/pretty good to mediocre/bad could come quickly. His personality is reportedly isolating/weird/a problem (not sure how much that’s really worth though).

if the Broncos cut him early, and you can get him short years with maximum amounts of offset, and you have a plan to get a legit deep ball guy or two, and you have a plan for a scheme which fits him, and you’re comfortable with him as a leader/person, and you’re drafting 4th or lower, then it makes a lot more sense than Zappe, Brissett, Ridder, Lock, Rudolph, Winston, Flacco or whoever might be another option via trade or FA

That said, there needs to be a plan to build an offense tailored to him and not just a general plan to add talent. You cant plug him into BOB’s offense with Douglas, Parker (stylistically he kinda fits Wilson but he’s just not a good 1 or 2 or 3a receiver), and whatever they find in middle tier FA.

Im not a huge fan of Wilson, but I’m much less of a fan of watching trash tier QB play and Wilson is likely to be at worst mediocre next year which is a lot more than you can say for Zappe, Garoppolo, Trubisky, pick your favorite backup QB.

If they did get Wilson, id try to pry Courtland Sutton free from Denver. They seem to have decent chemistry and Sutton, when healthy, is a nice not-bank-breaking upgrade. Not sure Denver would move him without an overpay though.
 

DeJesus Built My Hotrod

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Shouldn't Russell Wilson be in a thread about being depressed during the off-season?

Mac Jones is a better fit on the 2024 NE Patriots than Russell Wilson and Wilson is an NFL QB while Jones is not.

Imagine waking up to find out Russ is the plan at QB1 next year...there are many emotions the thought evokes but excitement is absolutely not one of them.
 

SoxinSeattle

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Shouldn't Russell Wilson be in a thread about being depressed during the off-season?

Mac Jones is a better fit on the 2024 NE Patriots than Russell Wilson and Wilson is an NFL QB while Jones is not.

Imagine waking up to find out Russ is the plan at QB1 next year...there are many emotions the thought evokes but excitement is absolutely not one of them.
I would be incredibly disappointed. I've lived in Seattle his whole career. I'm not a Hawks fan but root for them because all my friends are. The SB was... awkward. There has always just been something off about him. I can't describe it. He is more of a corporation than a human. And after watching 30 years of pocket qb's his game is infuriating. Even when it works it's ugly. Run backwards in circles until you can throw a 50/50 deep ball. School yard nonsense. In his defense, though, he gets the numbers to look good at the end of the season.
 

Garshaparra

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Even when it works it's ugly. Run backwards in circles until you can throw a 50/50 deep ball. School yard nonsense. In his defense, though, he gets the numbers to look good at the end of the season.
And with a cheesy line and little WR talent, he'd fail spectacularly here. Perhaps they land MHj and enough OT talent to outdo the 2023 results, but this seems like a very bad talent mix. If we're assuming he lands where he wants, it'd be a team with more to offer already. PIT, ATL, even CHI are likely better options.
 

lexrageorge

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The team that signs Russell Wilson to a big contract will regret it almost instantly. I realize that he's had a bit of statistical bounceback this season. But his average yards per pass attempt is the lowest of his career, and has been in steady decline since 2019. His rushing yards per attempt has also steadily declined and he's no longer considered to possess elite mobility. His QBR has him ranked 21st among NFL starting QBs. He's been sacked a ton these past 2 seasons, and will turn 36 late next season. He is far more likely to fall off a cliff than he is to be the answer for New England's QB needs, and if a new GM comes in and signs him I will be tempted to turn off the team completely until they start winning.

Realize the options for veteran stopgap QB are mostly meh this offseason, but Wilson is near the bottom of the meh pile for me. Hard pass.
 

Devizier

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Wilson makes sense as a stopgap if he'll accept that kind of a contract. He would be a decent bridge quarterback and his performance is much better than Jones/Zappe this season. I don't see the match because he's probably going to be looking for a little more than the Patriots will offer (in terms of security/playtime) and a team like the Giants (sitting at the 5th slot in the draft) might be able to provide that.

Of course if the Patriots win on Sunday (they are favored) that might change.
 

rodderick

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Wilson makes sense as a stopgap if he'll accept that kind of a contract. He would be a decent bridge quarterback and his performance is much better than Jones/Zappe this season. I don't see the match because he's probably going to be looking for a little more than the Patriots will offer (in terms of security/playtime) and a team like the Giants (sitting at the 5th slot in the draft) might be able to provide that.

Of course if the Patriots win on Sunday (they are favored) that might change.
What would he be a bridge to? The Patriots very likely won't have a draft pick this high and a better opportunity to find the QB of the future in the coming years, just grab the guy and sign a veteran backup/spot starter type. The last thing they need is to give actual money to a QB that will be good enough to make them pick below 15th but not good enough to be in contention.
 

Cellar-Door

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What would he be a bridge to? The Patriots very likely won't have a draft pick this high and a better opportunity to find the QB of the future in the coming years, just grab the guy and sign a veteran backup/spot starter type. The last thing they need is to give actual money to a QB that will be good enough to make them pick below 15th but not good enough to be in contention.
I don't see Wilson as a stopgap, and I think they probably shouldn't sign him, but..... if you're signing Russell Wilson for almost nothing, have a top 5 pick and top 5 cap space with what is coming back on defense, you're not looking for stopgaps, you're looking at a potential contender, because you'd have a lot of options to add talent and you'd have a good D and a good QB locked up. You probably bring back Onwenwu, add a Tackle and WR/TE in the draft, can add another of the top wideouts in FA, make some trades, etc. Russ is the "Bob Kraft's last hurrah" move for an owner who might not be interested in the 2-3 years (or more if you miss) it takes a rookie QB to get up to contention speed.
 

Devizier

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What would he be a bridge to? The Patriots very likely won't have a draft pick this high and a better opportunity to find the QB of the future in the coming years, just grab the guy and sign a veteran backup/spot starter type. The last thing they need is to give actual money to a QB that will be good enough to make them pick below 15th but not good enough to be in contention.
I think there are two ways you can go about handing off the reins to the next quarterback. You can have them start as backups (Brady, Favre, Young, Mahomes, Rodgers, Montana, etc.) or you can throw them directly in the fire. I know that the contract structure of the NFL has changed how teams handle quarterbacks but it really comes down to a judgement of a rookie's NFL readiness.
 

rodderick

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I don't see Wilson as a stopgap, and I think they probably shouldn't sign him, but..... if you're signing Russell Wilson for almost nothing, have a top 5 pick and top 5 cap space with what is coming back on defense, you're not looking for stopgaps, you're looking at a potential contender, because you'd have a lot of options to add talent and you'd have a good D and a good QB locked up. You probably bring back Onwenwu, add a Tackle and WR/TE in the draft, can add another of the top wideouts in FA, make some trades, etc. Russ is the "Bob Kraft's last hurrah" move for an owner who might not be interested in the 2-3 years (or more if you miss) it takes a rookie QB to get up to contention speed.
Wilson at this point isn't good enough to helm a true contender, is what I'm getting at. They'd need to have a Cleveland/San Fran level team, and at that point you don't need Wilson to begin with.
 

rodderick

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I think there are two ways you can go about handing off the reins to the next quarterback. You can have them start as backups (Brady, Favre, Young, Mahomes, Rodgers, Montana, etc.) or you can throw them directly in the fire. I know that the contract structure of the NFL has changed how teams handle quarterbacks but it really comes down to a judgement of a rookie's NFL readiness.
Sure, I just don't think you need to have Russell Wilson as the stop gap until the draft pick gets ready. Better to sign a guy who has some experience as a backup/mentor, Rusell Wilson doesn't really strike me as someone who'd excel in that role (not to mention would cost you more money). If he comes in, you're likely not drafting a QB in the top 5.
 

Deathofthebambino

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And with a cheesy line and little WR talent, he'd fail spectacularly here. Perhaps they land MHj and enough OT talent to outdo the 2023 results, but this seems like a very bad talent mix. If we're assuming he lands where he wants, it'd be a team with more to offer already. PIT, ATL, even CHI are likely better options.
Seeing as how I started this transgression, I'll jump in here a bit.

Wilson has had a cheesy line, a shitty group of RB's, no TE's and pretty meh receivers this season in Denver, and he hasn't failed, at all. People keep saying this Pats team would be a contender THIS season if they had an average QB. Russell Wilson this season is better than an average QB, and there is no reason to think he won't be better or at least, average next season. He's a guy who makes shit happen late in games, leading the NFL this season in fourth quarter comebacks and game winning drives.

If you add a guy like Wilson for cheap money, you also now have top of the round draft picks to fill out the roster around him even further in New England, and like 75mil in cap space to spend.

For the record, I'm not on board going after Wilson. I want a young QB from the draft, but part of me is extremely concerned that we're going to just ruin another young QB by not giving them any help, because you're using that top 5 pick on the QB. At least with Wilson, you can have your average to above average QB and still have a shit ton of assets to build around him. It's a weird situation to be in, and unlike a guy like Cousins, Wilson does have extensive experience playing in the elements outdoors. In fact, he's the complete opposite of Cousins in that respect. Wilson outdoors is 95-56 with a QB rating of 100.8, and he's 5-12 with a rating of 91.6 in a dome. Here's another piece of interesting data. Against the AFC East in his career, Wilson is 11-5 with 37tds and 7ints and a rating of 114.2. The only division he's been better at is the AFC North, with 23tds and 2ints and a rating of 118.0 in 10 games. Dude has been the best outdoor QB this side of Brady/Rodgers for a long time.

Can't believe I might be talking myself into this, but I also put absolutely zero thought into the "he's a bad guy, teammates hate him" narratives, especially when it comes from noted bomb throwers like Richard Sherman. Winning fixes a lot of ills.
 

Auger34

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Discussed this in the Denver thread, but it sounds like Russ is an alienating locker room presence - Richard Sherman said you would have to go through is manager to talk to him, even if you were a teammate, and he demanded his own office in Broncos Stadium once he was traded. For all of Brady's warts as sort of a celebrity-chasing weirdo, he still attempted to be "one of the guys" and bond with his teammates. From the news stories about Russ, it seems like he's not that guy. Because it's not just one or two teammates saying this stuff, it's like a lot of them - for example, there's this conversation between KJ Wright and Golden Tate about how Russ hung him out to dry re: the rumors of Tate sleeping with Russ's wife: https://www.si.com/nfl/seahawks/news/russell-wilson-seattle-seahawks-apology-demanded-kj-wright-nasty-golden-tate-love-affair-rumor-denver-broncos-trade

Athletes are a bit different, and they don't necessarily like and respect the things that you and I like (for the most part). I personally find cockiness, for example, to be a huge turnoff, but that's kind of necessary to blend in with people who have been the best at what they do - and extremely popular because of it - since they were 12. From the outside, Russ might look really nice to you or I because he's a G-rated personality - in a locker room, that might be viewed as fake. Heck, Sean Payton told the guy to "stop kissing babies" when he got the job - there's clearly something there that's annoying about him, right or wrong, to the NFL community.
Kyle Brandt on Good Morning Football absolutely lit Russ up last year. Brandt's not a "hot take" type of guy and that show is normally very complementary to the players...but Brandy talked about how self-important Russ was and how he thought he was God's gift to Earth. It's also telling that all of his former Seahawks teammates have been seemingly waiting to shit on him and revel in his misfortunes.

And that's not just Richard Sherman. Marshawn Lynch, Bobby Wagner, KJ Wright...honestly it's surprising when one of his former teammates says that they LIKE Russ. The only one I can think of is DK Metcalf
 

nattysez

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There have been 1,000 books written on the kind of change management required to rebuild an organization that's been led by the same person for 20 years. How do you maintain the good things the prior leader brought while moving away from the bad habits (eg, no analytics staff)? It's like turning a tanker ship, and I don't think it can be done very quickly, especially if you want to retain the good elements of the BB regime.

If they move on from BB, they need to:
(1) evaluate the current FO and coaching staff
(2) evaluate all the current players
(3) prepare for the draft
(4) prepare for free agency
(5) rebuild the FO and coaching staff (both to fill holes that open up and to replace guys that get fired)

Assuming you can't completely rebuild everything at once and certainly not in time for the draft, my guess is that they focus on building a new FO first, with an eye to preparing as well as possible for the draft, and use current coaching personnel to try to do current player evaluations to determine the team's needs. Then they spend the summer figuring out what to do with the coaching staff.

I expect Mayo becomes HC but he and the GM bring in a lot of new staff.

I'm very curious to see how it all comes together.
 

Super Nomario

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WR is actually one of the few positions with a really good success rate after round 1, as far as hitting on a major talent.

In this year's draft, you had these guys going in rounds 2 and 3: Jordan Reed (#50 overall), Rashee Rice #54 (people shit on him, but he's having the same season than JuJu had last year in that offense), Tank Dell #69, Josh Downs at #79 and of course, a bunch of others later, like Pop in the 6th...

In 2022, you had Pickens, Pierce and Christian Watson in round 2

Nico Collins was a round 3 pick.

Higgins, Pittman, Deebo, AJ Brown, Metcalf were all round 2 picks.


Don't even get me started on tight ends and running backs.
100%. You don't need to take a WR in the first to get a really good one.

The key is player evaluation. Obviously, there are massive studs like Ceedee and JJ, etc. that go early in round 1, but there is plenty of talent at the skill positions later in the draft that hit regularly, the Pats just suck at it for the most part in recent years. There are, of course, plenty of busts in rounds 2 onward, but there are a bunch in round 1 also. You just have to avoid the N'Keal's and Tyquan's of the world.
Player evaluation is part of it, but the other thing is taking shots. The Eagles fucked up big time by drafting Reagor over Justin Jefferson, and Agholor and JJAW were bad picks, too, but they kept taking WRs and eventually drafted Devonta Smith and traded for A.J. Brown. The 49ers had misses too, notably Dante Pettis in the 2nd and Jalen Hurd in the 3rd, but they kept taking guys. They took Deebo the same year we picked Harry, and even though they hit on Deebo and we missed on Harry, they used another high pick on WR the next year and got Aiyuk. No one has invested less draft capital on receivers than Belichick, and that makes every miss painful because they're not trying often.

Oh yeah, it's a long-shot, but the situation people were talking about is one where you can get him on the cheap. It's a distant plan B to getting a potential franchise guy in the 1st round.
I doubt it happens, but... something you have to consider when you have an owner in his 80s... he might be more interested in the "sign former pro-bowl QB and go for it now over a rookie QB who might take a couple years or never be good at all" route.
The thing with Russ (or, say, Cousins) is "what are you trying to accomplish?" If the goal is 10-7 and a playoff berth, sure. If it's Super Bowls, I don't see it.
 

DJnVa

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Dianna Russini of The Athletic has her latest update on coaches. The relevant stuff:

--some employees expect a change and are putting out feelers for jobs elsewhere.
--the Commanders and Raiders would like to talk to BB if he's available, but thinks Washington would want a GM.
--she thinks any chatter about Caserio returning to NE likely isn't the case.