Who is the next coach?

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lexrageorge

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Yep because on the flip side, Reid is an offensive minded coach and KC’s defense is terrific. He just basically leaves it to his defensive coaches.
To further your point, San Francisco and Dallas have the best scoring defenses in the NFC, and are both coaches with backgrounds in offense.

I do think what we're seeing is that most head coaching hires in recent years came from the OC ranks, and so while it appears offensive-minded coaches have had more success, it's really just a numbers game and random fluctuation than anything else.
 

DanoooME

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IIRC, didnt the Seahawks hire Carroll first, then create a list of GM candidates and Carroll signed off on Schneider?
I didn't remember it that way, but Pete was hired 1/11/10 and then Schneider was hired 1/19. Could they have vetted a list in 8 days? I suppose it's possible. But the organization was already familiar with Schneider from his first stint with the Seahawks in 2000.
 

sezwho

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The last time Kraft picked a GM it was freaking Bobby Grier.
...uncomfortable silence...

He has been very good with picking coaches though and I think (hope?) he learned from that particular experience. Aside from allowing Bill to drive Brady to the airport, that's probably his biggest miss with the franchise. I'm sure someone will correct me : )
 

DJnVa

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Nobody else is concerned that they seem to be moving ahead with a coach search without at least pretending that they need to hire a GM first? I am getting the sick feeling that Jonathon might fancy a more involved role in choosing the groceries.
What's actually happening with a coaching search? People tweeting about Vrabel? That's not really a coaching search, it's proof that the coach search is sexier than the GM search. We have no idea how they are actually proceeding.
 

DJnVa

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THOUGHTS AND PRAYERS TO THE DOPES AND WHAT YOU WILL DEAL WITH OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS/WEEKS/MONTHS
 

Prodigal Sox

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...uncomfortable silence...

He has been very good with picking coaches though and I think (hope?) he learned from that particular experience. Aside from allowing Bill to drive Brady to the airport, that's probably his biggest miss with the franchise. I'm sure someone will correct me : )
That was quarter century ago when Bob Kraft was in his 50's. If we think that a 72 year old coach/GM has lost a few steps why wouldn't that apply to an 82 year old owner.
 

sezwho

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That was quarter century ago when Bob Kraft was in his 50's. If we think that a 72 year old coach/GM has lost a few steps why wouldn't that apply to an 82 year old owner.
It’s a fair question, and I’d answer similarly to @joe dokes (assuming I understood that somewhat cryptic remark : )

RKK might’ve lost a step. Probably has. However his job is a more focused, but not less important, remit: pick HC and sign checks.
 
Oct 12, 2023
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...uncomfortable silence...

He has been very good with picking coaches though and I think (hope?) he learned from that particular experience. Aside from allowing Bill to drive Brady to the airport, that's probably his biggest miss with the franchise. I'm sure someone will correct me : )
Carroll was not a good choice as coach. Give Pete a ton of credit for becoming a good coach after his run at USC, but he was completely the wrong guy for that 1997 post Parcells transition
 
Oct 12, 2023
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To further your point, San Francisco and Dallas have the best scoring defenses in the NFC, and are both coaches with backgrounds in offense.

I do think what we're seeing is that most head coaching hires in recent years came from the OC ranks, and so while it appears offensive-minded coaches have had more success, it's really just a numbers game and random fluctuation than anything else.
Offensive head coach makes sense, especially with a new (hopefully) young franchise QB en route.

the last thing the Pats need is a stud young QB and then the OC has success for a year or two and then bails for a HC gig elsewhere.

ideally the coach/QB can grow together so new schemes, playcallers aren’t a routine thing as that has proven to be a major roadblock for the development of many young QB
 

AlNipper49

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I do not like anyone in the BB coaching tree. I think that he was an amazing HC (obviously) but, rightly so, it looks like he never really mentored any of them to be a head coach. Good, not his job. I think his great players probably pulled away his good habits than the assistants, who were likely more silo'd into their respective buckets. That's atleast what it feels like to me. Mayo or Vrabel I'd be happy with.

Who wants to bet on the first click bait shitbag journalist throwing Brady's name out there?
 
Oct 12, 2023
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I do not like anyone in the BB coaching tree. I think that he was an amazing HC (obviously) but, rightly so, it looks like he never really mentored any of them to be a head coach. Good, not his job. I think his great players probably pulled away his good habits than the assistants, who were likely more silo'd into their respective buckets. That's atleast what it feels like to me. Mayo or Vrabel I'd be happy with.

Who wants to bet on the first click bait shitbag journalist throwing Brady's name out there?
how is Mayo not part of the BB coaching tree?
 

Otis Foster

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It’s a fair question, and I’d answer similarly to @joe dokes (assuming I understood that somewhat cryptic remark : )

RKK might’ve lost a step. Probably has. However his job is a more focused, but not less important, remit: pick HC and sign checks.
Also, Jonathan is riding sidecar with him now, and the belief is that he’s increasingly taking on operational responsibilities.
 

Beomoose

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Who wants to bet on the first click bait shitbag journalist throwing Brady's name out there?
He's made enough "No coaching" noises to scare off most of them. But I fully expect people with no better ideas to pitch him as a GM candidate.
 

AlNipper49

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how is Mayo not part of the BB coaching tree?
I get that he's coaching for him now, but he had almost a decade of experience playing under him. That feels to me like it would be impactful, then having him as a coaching assistant to learn the mechanics of being a coach. The results of his pure coaches have been very, very poor for the most part so if we are picking a legacy member of the team then someone with playing experience under him might be the difference maker.
 

Hoya81

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He's made enough "No coaching" noises to scare off most of them. But I fully expect people with no better ideas to pitch him as a GM candidate.
His deal with the Raiders makes me think he’s looking toward team ownership over the long term.
 

4 6 3 DP

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Kraft has hired two head coaches. Both were second time coaches that had been fired, returned to the game as a coordinator and then were hired for a second time as HC. Kraft mentioned in his press conference that he was still learning how to be an owner at that time, and likely desired the stability of a HC who had been there before.

Obviously we are all armchair speculating here but I think the underlying issues related to Bill's departure were related to organizational changes that BB refused to make and the Krafts clearly wanted. I'm assuming this is primarily around personnel, as I just can't imagine they couldn't find consensus around the coaching staff given that they could have brought all the coaching staff back, the OC was Kraft picked, and the defense was good.

Mayo made sense as BB's hand picked successor, as the person coming in to transition the organization, Vrabel makes way more sense than Mayo. Those who say he's off the Bill coaching tree - does that mean Aaron Glenn is part of the Belichick coaching tree because he played for Bill in the 90's? Wes Welker is part of the Bill coaching tree?

Vrabel checks every box - won't be overwhelmed by the job, has had success as a head coach, understands the demands of the role and the need for organizational structure, comes in ready to do the job on day one. Respected by former players.

If the argument against Vrabel is his offensive chops, I'd start by asking whether Vrabel thought it was a good idea to trade AJ Brown for Treylon Burks, because that's when their offense really started to hurt. He got a lot out of a QB that was considered a bust in Tannehill.

To me it's run don't walk to get Vrabel, with fingers crossed he doesn't bring Arthur Smith with him.
 

lexrageorge

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I get that he's coaching for him now, but he had almost a decade of experience playing under him. That feels to me like it would be impactful, then having him as a coaching assistant to learn the mechanics of being a coach. The results of his pure coaches have been very, very poor for the most part so if we are picking a legacy member of the team then someone with playing experience under him might be the difference maker.
The coaching tree stuff is looking for a pattern where none really exists. Daboll won a playoff game with a bad Giants team last season. Saban has had plenty of success. The Dolphins owner sabotaged Flores from day 1.

McDaniels is clearly not a good HC. So, generally a mixed record; not much different than other “trees”.
 

Cellar-Door

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Kraft has hired two head coaches. Both were second time coaches that had been fired, returned to the game as a coordinator and then were hired for a second time as HC. Kraft mentioned in his press conference that he was still learning how to be an owner at that time, and likely desired the stability of a HC who had been there before.

Obviously we are all armchair speculating here but I think the underlying issues related to Bill's departure were related to organizational changes that BB refused to make and the Krafts clearly wanted. I'm assuming this is primarily around personnel, as I just can't imagine they couldn't find consensus around the coaching staff given that they could have brought all the coaching staff back, the OC was Kraft picked, and the defense was good.

Mayo made sense as BB's hand picked successor, as the person coming in to transition the organization, Vrabel makes way more sense than Mayo. Those who say he's off the Bill coaching tree - does that mean Aaron Glenn is part of the Belichick coaching tree because he played for Bill in the 90's? Wes Welker is part of the Bill coaching tree?

Vrabel checks every box - won't be overwhelmed by the job, has had success as a head coach, understands the demands of the role and the need for organizational structure, comes in ready to do the job on day one. Respected by former players.

If the argument against Vrabel is his offensive chops, I'd start by asking whether Vrabel thought it was a good idea to trade AJ Brown for Treylon Burks, because that's when their offense really started to hurt. He got a lot out of a QB that was considered a bust in Tannehill.

To me it's run don't walk to get Vrabel, with fingers crossed he doesn't bring Arthur Smith with him.
Vrabel coached in the NFL only for coaches who are in the Bellichick tree, I don't know that the degree of separation of working for Bill O'Brien makes him not part of the tree.

As to the rest... the reason the Titans fell apart was definitely not because they traded AJ Brown. It took a huge tumble after Smith left, with AJ Brown stil on the roster, then fell into the depths of sewage the next year, then Vrabel handpicked a successor who also stunk. The Titans offense is bad because they have bad coaching and a terrible line. People really need to stop with the AJ Brown stuff, one WR does not make that much of a difference, if anything trading him was smart... they just should have used the pick on O-line.

Though to me the bigger issue with Vrabel is that he constantly fought about control with 2 different GMs and the owners, and the offensive and STs coaches he hired himself were not very good
 

sezwho

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I do not like anyone in the BB coaching tree. I think that he was an amazing HC (obviously) but, rightly so, it looks like he never really mentored any of them to be a head coach. Good, not his job. I think his great players probably pulled away his good habits than the assistants, who were likely more silo'd into their respective buckets. That's atleast what it feels like to me. Mayo or Vrabel I'd be happy with.

Who wants to bet on the first click bait shitbag journalist throwing Brady's name out there?
This is a really underrated take, Machiavelli endorses.

I want to be kumbaya about developing coaching talent and helping out the next young coach, but this is clearly a brutal job and that person is on some level collateral and even potentially a future competitor.

The only counter point I'd make is its BB recommended Judge for HC of NYG. He would lay down in traffic for the Maras, as he should, so hard to reconcile other than he was just wrong.
 

Kenny F'ing Powers

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Not that I would want him, but I'm a little surprised theres no talk about BOB getting a look at HC. I assume that has to do with him being OC this season while the offense cratered, but he has the experience and the Patriots ties. I mean, people are acting like Vrabel had a bunch of success as an HC, but Vrabel and O'Brien have almost identical HC records (54-45 for Vrabel, 52-48 for BOB).

Again, not like I would prefer him to take over, but I am a little surprised that his name hasn't even casually been mentioned.
 

Cellar-Door

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Not that I would want him, but I'm a little surprised theres no talk about BOB getting a look at HC. I assume that has to do with him being OC this season while the offense cratered, but he has the experience and the Patriots ties. I mean, people are acting like Vrabel had a bunch of success as an HC, but Vrabel and O'Brien have almost identical HC records (54-45 for Vrabel, 52-48 for BOB).

Again, not like I would prefer him to take over, but I am a little surprised that his name hasn't even casually been mentioned.
Yeah, it is kind of amusing, honestly I think BOB was a better coach than Vrabel.... he just was a really bad GM.
 

4 6 3 DP

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Vrabel coached in the NFL only for coaches who are in the Bellichick tree, I don't know that the degree of separation of working for Bill O'Brien makes him not part of the tree.

As to the rest... the reason the Titans fell apart was definitely not because they traded AJ Brown. It took a huge tumble after Smith left, with AJ Brown stil on the roster, then fell into the depths of sewage the next year, then Vrabel handpicked a successor who also stunk. The Titans offense is bad because they have bad coaching and a terrible line. People really need to stop with the AJ Brown stuff, one WR does not make that much of a difference, if anything trading him was smart... they just should have used the pick on O-line.

Though to me the bigger issue with Vrabel is that he constantly fought about control with 2 different GMs and the owners, and the offensive and STs coaches he hired himself were not very good
The 2021 Titans with Todd Downing at OC won 12 games with Derrick Henry missing half the season and lost a field goal team to the ultimate AFC champ in the divisional round. PPG they fell from 4th to 15th under Downing as you stated but overall record was not affected. Same results as 2020 (11/12 wins, first game playoff knockout).

2022 Titans started 7-3 including an OT loss at KC with Malik Willis starting at QB because Tannehill got hurt, eventually only played 12 games, several of them hurt, and the team went from 5.1 yards per play in 2021 to 5.1 yards per play in 2022 despite replacing a stud WR with a to date first round bust.

The reason people aren't stopping with the AJ Brown stuff is that it's your opinion that a star WR doesn't make much of a difference, regardless of whether you state it as fact or not. Others like myself think it's significant to downgrade at that position.

I will defer to your understanding of the control issue with owners, because it's very possible that he is difficult to work with. I'm assuming Kraft can ascertain if it would work in NE.
 
Oct 12, 2023
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Kraft has hired two head coaches. Both were second time coaches that had been fired, returned to the game as a coordinator and then were hired for a second time as HC. Kraft mentioned in his press conference that he was still learning how to be an owner at that time, and likely desired the stability of a HC who had been there before.

Obviously we are all armchair speculating here but I think the underlying issues related to Bill's departure were related to organizational changes that BB refused to make and the Krafts clearly wanted. I'm assuming this is primarily around personnel, as I just can't imagine they couldn't find consensus around the coaching staff given that they could have brought all the coaching staff back, the OC was Kraft picked, and the defense was good.

Mayo made sense as BB's hand picked successor, as the person coming in to transition the organization, Vrabel makes way more sense than Mayo. Those who say he's off the Bill coaching tree - does that mean Aaron Glenn is part of the Belichick coaching tree because he played for Bill in the 90's? Wes Welker is part of the Bill coaching tree?

Vrabel checks every box - won't be overwhelmed by the job, has had success as a head coach, understands the demands of the role and the need for organizational structure, comes in ready to do the job on day one. Respected by former players.

If the argument against Vrabel is his offensive chops, I'd start by asking whether Vrabel thought it was a good idea to trade AJ Brown for Treylon Burks, because that's when their offense really started to hurt. He got a lot out of a QB that was considered a bust in Tannehill.

To me it's run don't walk to get Vrabel, with fingers crossed he doesn't bring Arthur Smith with him.
Regarding Vrabel’s offensive chops, part of his job is to identify offensive coaches who coach well and call good plays on that side of the ball. In 7 years, they had one good offense and one better than average offense. 5 years of bad or below average offense. Vrabel had issues with Burks and Willis (perhaps or even likely with good reason) but there’s nothing in his history to suggest he can build a competent offensive coaching staff. Arthur Smith may or may not be a good offensive coordinator (based on his experience in Atlanta Id chalk his Tennessee success up to Brown/career year Tannehill/prime Henry) but Todd Downing and Tim Kelly were underwhelming at best.

The Titans have had personnel deficiencies (much the same ones the Pats face) but their game planning and utilization of talent leaves a lot to be desired. Their offense was one of the few that seemed more antiquated and obsolete than the Pats’ and surely Vrabel deserves some of the blame for that.
 

patinorange

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Kraft has hired two head coaches. Both were second time coaches that had been fired, returned to the game as a coordinator and then were hired for a second time as HC. Kraft mentioned in his press conference that he was still learning how to be an owner at that time, and likely desired the stability of a HC who had been there before.

Obviously we are all armchair speculating here but I think the underlying issues related to Bill's departure were related to organizational changes that BB refused to make and the Krafts clearly wanted. I'm assuming this is primarily around personnel, as I just can't imagine they couldn't find consensus around the coaching staff given that they could have brought all the coaching staff back, the OC was Kraft picked, and the defense was good.

Mayo made sense as BB's hand picked successor, as the person coming in to transition the organization, Vrabel makes way more sense than Mayo. Those who say he's off the Bill coaching tree - does that mean Aaron Glenn is part of the Belichick coaching tree because he played for Bill in the 90's? Wes Welker is part of the Bill coaching tree?

Vrabel checks every box - won't be overwhelmed by the job, has had success as a head coach, understands the demands of the role and the need for organizational structure, comes in ready to do the job on day one. Respected by former players.

If the argument against Vrabel is his offensive chops, I'd start by asking whether Vrabel thought it was a good idea to trade AJ Brown for Treylon Burks, because that's when their offense really started to hurt. He got a lot out of a QB that was considered a bust in Tannehill.

To me it's run don't walk to get Vrabel, with fingers crossed he doesn't bring Arthur Smith with him.
I'm thinking this is the way they go. I wonder if how they handle the young Belichicks is part of the parting of ways negotiation.
 

dynomite

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I think that he was an amazing HC (obviously) but, rightly so, it looks like he never really mentored any of them to be a head coach.
It's funny, because the Belichick "tree" has indeed produced a lot of bad results (apart from Ozzie Newsome, Nick Saban, Nick Caserio, Vrabel, Jim Schwartz as a DC, etc.). In fact, my understanding from media reports is that Belichick was an incredible mentor to his coaches and often brought them into his decision making process to prepare them to lead their own teams, and (as in the case with Judge) urged other teams to hire them.

I can't find the story, but I remember one of these coaches saying Bill brought him into his office and started explaining all the little pieces of running an organization. And then there's the testimony from lots of former assistants:

Here's McDaniels:

“It’s hard for me to imagine anybody being a better leader and a better role model for a young coach,” says McDaniels, who joined the Patriots as an entry-level coaching assistant in 2001. “He gives you responsibility, and then he lets you do your job. Because we’re not being micromanaged, that gives you confidence, and then you start to build trust. That’s just how a good organization works, and he fosters that every day.”

Long before he helped turn the Patriots’ offense into a perennial juggernaut, McDaniels filled his day with necessary grunt work under Belichick’s watchful eye. As a coaching assistant, he was tasked with compiling “pads” — hand-drawn, ultra-detailed breakdowns of each play.

“It didn’t matter what it was,” McDaniels recalls. “If the receiver’s split was 4 yards outside the numbers but I only had it as 2, there would be a yellow sticky note by the receiver, and I would get it back, and it would say, ‘This is plus-4, not plus-2.’ He was basically teaching me how to work at his level. ‘No, it’s not OK to be good. It’s not OK to be detailed most of the time. What I want is as close to perfect as you can make it.’ ”

Nearly two decades later, Belichick essentially gives McDaniels free rein to craft the Patriots’ offensive scheme as he sees fit.

“I give him a little bit of input, but 90 to 95 percent is his plan, his vision,” Belichick says. “Rarely do we see things that differently. But sometimes there will be things that I suggest. Sometimes he’ll say, ‘I think that would be great,’ and sometimes he’ll say, ‘I don’t really think this is the right time for us to do that. Here’s the reason why.’ And he’s usually right.”
Patricia:

“He’ll sit there, listen and say, ‘Yeah this is great,’” defensive coordinator Matt Patricia said of Belichick. “You’ll want to call it this name. … You’re like, ‘Yeah, this IS great. We’re going to be able to do this.’ And then you go look at tape from four years ago, and you see, ‘Great. He’s already run this.’ Then you realize it’s probably something he made up 30 years ago.”

Belichick, of course, could reveal such information to his assistants in those situations. But he chooses not to as part of a bigger lesson at hand.

“He’s happy for you that you figured it out and he wants you to have ownership of that and go from there,” Patricia said. ...

Assistants say that Belichick coaxes them toward growth by gradually expanding their duties. He might throw an extra project onto their to-do list, and additional responsibilities are slowly granted as a reward.
 

DJnVa

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RSN Diaspora

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Cellar-Door

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I agree.
I think he was fired because he wanted the Pats job.
I'll be honest, If he gets hired here Strunk should probably file tampering charges.

Crazy to me that Eric Bieniemy isn't at least in the conversation. A shitty year for him, of course, but it was also for a franchise that can't stop stepping on their own dick.
It was a bad year in DC not only on the field but off, the players there were not fans of his and he had problems with other coaches, the press, etc. For a guy who was trying to build a rep it was a step back.
 

DeJesus Built My Hotrod

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Given what we know about the Krafts as well as the organizational culture - they definitely get high off their own supply - it feels like it does have to be one of Mayo or Vrabel. The latter feels more likely given all the drama around his visit to NE this fall as well as his departure from the Titans.
 

NortheasternPJ

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Crazy to me that Eric Bieniemy isn't at least in the conversation. A shitty year for him, of course, but it was also for a franchise that can't stop stepping on their own dick.
He has rape allegations in the past when he was in school, I'm sure that's a factor.
 

lexrageorge

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She fired him. She should have thought about that before doing that.
Yeah, she would have a very weak case. There is no rule preventing Vrabel from attending the Brady event in Foxboro. She just didn’t like it, but that is neither Kraft’s nor the league’s problem.
 

Eastchop

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Maybe a dumb question- but can Ten file tampering charges if they fired him? Like if you want to file for tampering wait until he resigns for the pats job then you have a case
 

Cellar-Door

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She fired him. She should have thought about that before doing that.
WOuldn't matter, if they tampered they tampered, they absolutely could file charges, particularly on the basis that if Vrabel was unwilling to do what he was asked to do because he had assurances from Kraft that he was interested in him as head coach after Bill.

Florio discussed it today, and he's got a good handle on the tampering rules and how they work.
 

Cellar-Door

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But she'd have an extremely weak case. She let the guy go.
So? I don't get what the argument is here. If he was no longer able or willing to do his job and part of the reason was tampering that would be significant. Even beyond that though... last year the Cardinals got dinged for tampering for contacting a guy a week before it was permitted, despite that they were obviously going to get him, and his team couldn't prevent it. That's how rules work, if you break them you can be punished. The outcome doesn't matter, same way the Dolphins got hit for Brady, whom they did not get on their team.
The case has nothing to do with outcomes. She just has to complain, get an investigation, punsihment will be based on whether it happened not whether it had an impact.
 

Dewey's 'stache

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My take on what Robert Kraft just said. 1. He didn’t feel that they would be able to make a Shared role with a GM type position to try to execute after Bill has had so much control and 2. I get the impression he felt Bill didn’t have enough voices in the room giving him straightforward feedback as a check and balance in the decision making process.
 

Ale Xander

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It’s possibly more important who the OC is, especially if you’re getting a defensive head coach like Mayo or Vrabel.
 

Curt S Loew

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So? I don't get what the argument is here. If he was no longer able or willing to do his job and part of the reason was tampering that would be significant. Even beyond that though... last year the Cardinals got dinged for tampering for contacting a guy a week before it was permitted, despite that they were obviously going to get him, and his team couldn't prevent it. That's how rules work, if you break them you can be punished. The outcome doesn't matter, same way the Dolphins got hit for Brady, whom they did not get on their team.
The case has nothing to do with outcomes. She just has to complain, get an investigation, punsihment will be based on whether it happened not whether it had an impact.
It could happen I guess, but I don't see her having a much of a chance or even want to.

I mean they didn't even seek any trade compensation for him.
 

FL4WL3SS

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Imagine getting hired to coach the Patriots and immediately having to walk into BBs office and realizing you're replacing the greatest coach ever. Immediate regret :D

Whoever takes over better have thick skin.
 

FL4WL3SS

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Someone joked yesterday that if we end up with Vrabel we’re going to lose #3, because the NFL’s going to come marching in with tampering charges.

I want Vrabel with Mayo at DC (if he’d accept that), but I have to admit I actually am concerned about the Titans filing tampering charges. And as we know, when it comes to the Patriots, all “reason” goes out the window and the league drops the heaviest hammer it possibly can.
The Titans fired Vrable, what's to tamper with?
 

FL4WL3SS

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The consipiracy is Kraft tampered with Vrabel when Vrabel spent the weekend here for his induction to the Pats HOF. "If we move on from Bill, are you interested?" type stuff.
That doesn't take away from the fact that the Titans voluntarily fired him, he's free to do what he wants. Tampering is moot at that point
 

joe dokes

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Carroll was not a good choice as coach. Give Pete a ton of credit for becoming a good coach after his run at USC, but he was completely the wrong guy for that 1997 post Parcells transition
So Pete was not much of a thing with NE but became the next big thing?
 
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