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  1. buckner's_ankles

    The Red Sox Payroll Poll

    I voted for "Up to $265M," but I want to point out that getting up to that range by signing mediocre players to long-term deals is a really bad approach. This year, it looks very unlikely that we have a real shot at contending, so I'd rather see a $230M payroll with a lot of expiring deals than...
  2. buckner's_ankles

    Moves I'd Make

    What are the odds of that team winning it all this year? I'm not sure what we accomplish by fielding a middle-of-the-pack team in 2024 (especially when I look at what the Dodgers are doing). Why commit to a 6/7-year deal for a 31-year-old pitcher? I don't see either the short-term or long-term...
  3. buckner's_ankles

    Offseason rumors

    Porter's got a great fastball, great change and improving sweeper. 6'4", 20 years old. Seems to be on track for a 2025 arrival. If he improves his control, maybe he's a #2/3 at some point. I'd like to see more young arms with upside in the organization, and I think there's a package we could put...
  4. buckner's_ankles

    Offseason rumors

    Leiter is interesting, but I'd be inclined to send more money and/or a prospect if it would get us Brock Porter instead.
  5. buckner's_ankles

    Offseason rumors

    Bello Giolito Crawford Pivetta SP5 Houck and Whitlock both go to the pen. Martin and Jansen both get traded. OR Houck/Whitock serve as SP5 if only one of Martin/Jansen gets traded. This is the scenario I'm expecting, and I'm totally fine with it. If we sign someone to be SP5, it ought to be a...
  6. buckner's_ankles

    Moves I'd Make

    Sure--I like them about as much as Paxton. Carrasco, Junis, Alex Wood... I won't be surprised if we fill the rotation with a guy like that.
  7. buckner's_ankles

    Moves I'd Make

    I'm coming at this from the perspective that 2024 is a transition year, which means that guys with some upside who are open to 1-year deals are great. This year, if we can get roughly the same performance out of Paxton at roughly the same cost, that seems fine. If the alternative is to overpay...
  8. buckner's_ankles

    Moves I'd Make

    Signing Paxton to a short deal with incentives makes sense to me, too. Moving at least two of Houck, Whitlock and Pivetta to the bullpen also makes sense. I'll keep banging the drum to trade both Jansen and Martin. Selling high on Martin is a bit of a gamble--he might be good this year--but the...
  9. buckner's_ankles

    Moves I'd Make

    Breslow says that a goal is "to acquire controllable, young starting pitching." That leaves me thinking that the more likely scenario for the remainder of this offseason involves Jansen and/or Martin being traded for SP prospects who might be ready to help in 2025 and beyond. If they're...
  10. buckner's_ankles

    Moves I'd Make

    Looking over the teams that are rumored to be going after Hader: Yankees, Dodgers, Rangers (and maybe the Phillies) The teams that miss out on him might be destinations for Jansen. It doesn't seem like Dodger fans are excited to bring back Kenley, and LA might continue to stick with an approach...
  11. buckner's_ankles

    Moves I'd Make

    Cotillo's new article is full of good stuff: https://www.masslive.com/redsox/2023/12/with-chris-sale-traded-whats-next-for-red-sox-more-subtraction-possibly.html?utm_campaign=masslivesports&utm_medium=social&utm_source=twitter Highlights include: "...one obvious trade candidate is closer...
  12. buckner's_ankles

    The Newest Vaughn

    Doesn't it make sense to give Grissom a full season to see if his glove at 2B is passable OR if his bat is so good that it either makes up for bad defense at 2B or warrants a move to another position?
  13. buckner's_ankles

    Moves I'd Make

    White flag in 2024 is absolutely fine with me as long as it's because they're working hard for the checkered flag in 2025.
  14. buckner's_ankles

    Moves I'd Make

    Definitely thought that Jansen and Martin were more likely to get dealt this offseason. Trading Sale, especially for a young player with so much upside, felt like too much to hope for.
  15. buckner's_ankles

    Chris Sale (plus $17mil) traded to Atlanta for Vaughn Grissom

    Thrilled with this deal. We gave up one year of a broken-down, anti-vax SP in exchange for six cost-controlled years of a young player with lots of offensive upside. Grissom might hit enough and/or be good enough defensively this year to warrant staying as our starting 2B. If not, he's still...
  16. buckner's_ankles

    Lucas Giolito signs 2 year, 38.5M contract with Red Sox (opt-out after 1 year, potential 3rd year option)

    I'm totally in support of 2024 as a bridge year, but if they aren't serious about competing by 2025, something is very wrong.
  17. buckner's_ankles

    Lucas Giolito signs 2 year, 38.5M contract with Red Sox (opt-out after 1 year, potential 3rd year option)

    Best case scenario: Breslow knows how to get him back to performing like a #2, and we get something for him at the deadline.
  18. buckner's_ankles

    Trade Value in Current System

    Two different routes to consider: 1) Try to acquire the necessary talent to turn the '24 Sox into a playoff-caliber team OR 2) Try to trade off players like Sale, Martin, Pivetta and Jansen (and possibly a few redundant, lower-tier prospects) with the aim of building a playoff-caliber team for...
  19. buckner's_ankles

    Offseason rumors

    Demand for bullpen arms might be higher at the deadline, but that doesn't mean that the Sox shouldn't be exploring trades for Martin and/or Jansen right now. The choice between GFIN and wait for 2025 doesn't seem especially complicated. If the Sox haven't internally shifted their focus to 2025...
  20. buckner's_ankles

    Moves I'd Make

    If the Tigers are hoping to win the Central this year, then they're not going to trade away a guy like Skubal; he'd be a key to winning now. I still think there's some version of a Báez trade that nets us pitching prospects without giving up any key parts of our projected 2025 roster. If Cora...
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