Heat lose the the Spurs in Miami, with all their key pieces (Butler, Bam, Herro, Lowry) playing. Miami is 12-15 and in 10th place. They were a prime candidate for regression based on the fact that other EC teams seemed to improve while they were treading water at best (improvement from Bam/Herro doesn't seem to cancel out aging by Butler/Lowry, plus Tucker left), but given the talk about big teams off to slow starts this year (Lakers, Sixers, Nets, Warriors) with relative silence about the Heat, it seems like they were never considered a top team to begin with.