It could mean its been a long couple weeks and they want to watch The Masters. Jurors are human too.Omar's Wacky Neighbor said:A requested 1PM dismissal really turns it into a "I know, that you know, that I know, that you know...." in my mind.
IOW, as a lay person, I wouldnt even attempt to figure out what it could mean
And you base this on what, precisely?axx said:At this point though I imagine the Jury is sick of it and just want it to be over. I would have been willing to accept that there were some delays because of the distractions but not now. You should expect them to tell the Judge on Monday that they are hung and we'll see what the Judge says.
BTW I think he should be convicted of Murder 2 but could see a juror or two not being convinced.
Merkle's Boner said:My wife works for a local non-profit and not a one of them would be aware of AH, this trial, and certainly not any other potential situation.
Deathofthebambino said:
Really? Not one of them has been on the internet, specifically facebook, yahoo, any news or sports site, in the last month plus? They all manage to avoid every single commercial break on network television that teases the upcoming news at 5 or 6, in which they'll talk about the AH trial? None of them have any friends or relatives that would even mention AH in passing? I mean, if that were true, they also would have had to have missed all of the news about the Tsarnaev trial, or that plane that was crashed into a mountain on purpose and every other major news story in the past 6 weeks because you couldn't watch the news, read a paper or go on a news site without also being inundated with something about AH, even if you were able to stop yourself at just seeing the headline and a giant picture of his face.
I certainly don't doubt that there are a bunch of folks out there that literally know nothing about sports and care about them even less, watch very little news, don't go on Facebook or use the internet that often, my wife being one of them, but even my wife has run into enough of the aforementioned to at least say "Yeah, he's that sports guy that killed someone or is on trial or something," even if she knows nothing more than that.
I have a very, very hard time believing that the parties managed to find the 15 people (including the alternates) that literally managed and are still managing to avoid every single piece of information related to AH. And if they did, are these people really a sampling of "our peers?" I'll leave it at that.
Papelbon's Poutine said:
Is your wife your peer? Especially in the definition used in terms of a jury?
Honest question, how much of the next to nothing your wife might be able to scratch up about AH is a direct result of you taking interest in it? Like you mentioning it over dinner or hearing you discuss it with a friend or you're watching the news while she makes dinner or you left the sports page on the kitchen counter and she may have seen the picture and headline? If you were the exact equivalent to her in your interests, hobbies, career and habits, how much would she know then? Further, if she was selected for the jury and told to avoid discussion of the case and media coverage, would she not be able to? Would she actively seek it out despite instruction?
I think people are really unrealistic about the habits and interests of other people in society. And the example you use is a good indicator of that. This is not the Marathon Bombing. It is not nearly that pervasive, the crime or the trial. The President didn't attend OL's funeral memorial mass. To many, many people this is some gang banger football player that killed his buddy when they were doing drugs. And that's the end of their knowledge and interest in it.
Further, that level of knowledge does not preclude them from being on the jury. They aren't required to live in a protective bubble, they are just required to not actively seek out further information to form an opinion beyond what they are presented in court. I don't find Merkle's claim outrageous at all, especially the part where he says they certainly wouldn't know anything about the South Boston trial (which was the question he was responding to). I can list a dozen people I know off the top of my head that certainly know nothing about those killings and wouldn't be able to provide more than the quote from your wife about AH in general and a couple I would say most likely don't even know that.
Deathofthebambino said:
Really? Not one of them has been on the internet, specifically facebook, yahoo, any news or sports site, in the last month plus? They all manage to avoid every single commercial break on network television that teases the upcoming news at 5 or 6, in which they'll talk about the AH trial? None of them have any friends or relatives that would even mention AH in passing? I mean, if that were true, they also would have had to have missed all of the news about the Tsarnaev trial, or that plane that was crashed into a mountain on purpose and every other major news story in the past 6 weeks because you couldn't watch the news, read a paper or go on a news site without also being inundated with something about AH, even if you were able to stop yourself at just seeing the headline and a giant picture of his face.
I certainly don't doubt that there are a bunch of folks out there that literally know nothing about sports and care about them even less, watch very little news, don't go on Facebook or use the internet that often, my wife being one of them, but even my wife has run into enough of the aforementioned to at least say "Yeah, he's that sports guy that killed someone or is on trial or something," even if she knows nothing more than that.
I have a very, very hard time believing that the parties managed to find the 15 people (including the alternates) that literally managed and are still managing to avoid every single piece of information related to AH. And if they did, are these people really a sampling of "our peers?" I'll leave it at that.
canvass ali said:
I'm responding to the bolded here just to provide a little context. My sister-in-law was called in for jury duty the same day they were choosing jurors for the AH trial. She was chosen and assigned to a different, smaller case that was quickly resolved but there was a lot of buzz in the building because of the AH case. She knew nothing about it even though she lives very close to where it all actually went down. A couple of guys on her jury explained who he was and what he was accused of. She has a degree in chemical engineering and is someone you could describe as extremely bright and successful. But she is laser-focused on her career and her daughter. In her own words, she told me "I would have been perfect for that jury", meaning the AH case.
For her, the cultural buzz of events is white noise that she ignores; she feels it provides her with nothing and is only a distraction. And the rest of her family is like this too, they have a "why are you wasting your time?" attitude about sports, politics and current events in general. If it isn't work or kids, it isn't worth your time. It's not a perspective I share obviously (I've been following this thread obsessively) but I believe there are enough people out there who block this stuff out to put together a jury.
joe dokes said:
"The system" isn't looking for the totally unaware. Its the extent of the awareness and the ability to nevertheless enter with an open mind. The trial started about 1.5 years after the crime. Much of the day-to-day play-by-play recedes from many minds. And what's made public is only the tip of the evidentiary iceberg usually.
"Yeah, I remember a lot of news when he got arrested." "Yes, I can decide this case based only on the evidence."
I stay on top of current events. I dont watch local tv news more than 10 times a year; I dont listen to talk radio. I certainly knew who AH is and what he's accused of, but from following this thread, I can see that I was either unaware of or had forgotten nearly all details.
allstonite said:Yeah besides following here (which is the most informative place I catch up) I've been checking a few writer's twitter now and then when I couldn't watch, with McCann being one. Fraga has been great as others have said but McCann always seems to jump to the most dramatic conclusions. When the jurors were being questioned a few weeks ago he immediately started tweeting about a mistrial without just figuring out what it could be about. It turned out to be basically nothing.
The Big Red Kahuna said:RR... completely theoretical question: If there is a hung jury, and case is re-tried, what happens if the second case results in another hung jury? Can the process repeat over and over in theory? Or would prosecution likely stop if this occurred twice. At what point are the defendant's rights being onerously trampled over? If they were forced to stay in jail for months/years as repeated trials occurred, wouldn't that be an issue?
Some small nits:smastroyin said:I think the biggest thing is for them to suss out premeditation with the JV.
To me the evidence presented shows clearly that:
1) AH was at the scene
2) OL was killed at the scene
3) AH orchestrated the meeting between the 4 parties
The evidence also shows clearly but I can see some others having issues:
4) OL was murdered (i.e. it wasn't some stupid mistake)
The evidence is a little murky on:
5) AH wanted OL dead
6) AH pulled the trigger.
Now, on 5, I think the fact that OL is dead goes with the rest of the evidence to make that clear as well, but I understand if people don't think the state cleared reasonable doubt on it.
So then you get into all the of JV questions. Is it enough that AH knew OL would probably get murdered and did nothing to stop it? Or does he have to be the mastermind? Things like that.
smastroyin said:I think the biggest thing is for them to suss out premeditation with the JV.
To me the evidence presented shows clearly that:
1) AH was at the scene
2) OL was killed at the scene
3) AH orchestrated the meeting between the 4 parties
The evidence also shows clearly but I can see some others having issues:
4) OL was murdered (i.e. it wasn't some stupid mistake)
The evidence is a little murky on:
5) AH wanted OL dead
6) AH pulled the trigger.
Now, on 5, I think the fact that OL is dead goes with the rest of the evidence to make that clear as well, but I understand if people don't think the state cleared reasonable doubt on it.
So then you get into all the of JV questions. Is it enough that AH knew OL would probably get murdered and did nothing to stop it? Or does he have to be the mastermind? Things like that.
Jnai said:I'm still unclear on how premeditation/M1 relates to JV. Suppose the jury believes that AH was there and drove everyone out to the abandoned lot and helped them cover it up and all sorts of other things, and the jury also believes that one of O/W was the killer. The jury believes that AH and O/W maybe had different intentions about why they were driving out to the abandoned lot. Maybe AH thought they were just going out there to talk some shit into OL, or just going out there to scare him, but one of O/W actually pulls the trigger. What does JV mean in that situation?
Sorry for asking dumb questions. It's a concept I'm not sure I've fully gotten my head around yet.
Excellent post - nice breakdown on how a jury might compromise.CSteinhardt said:
- If several of us have a different reconstruction of what happened that night, and in all of those reconstructions AH would be guilty of M1, but for different reasons (JV, pulled the trigger, told his friend to pull the trigger, wanted to scare him but gun went off accidentally/felony murder, etc.), does the number of different reconstructions mean that in some constructive sense we have reasonable doubt? [Answer: we have reasonable doubt as to any particular scenario, but not that AH is guilty. But I could see that being a confusing concept, and here's where the lack of a clear motive hurts the prosecution.]
Joshv02 said:Some small nits:
There is no legitimate dispute that OL was murdered - the final two shots came as he was lying on the ground, and were in close proximity.
Wait, really?! Orchestrating the meet and being the one actually driving out the the spot would seem to go beyond passively not stopping it in my mind. Any way you could expand on that because it's something I hadn't heard previously.Joshv02 said:The jury was instructed that knowing OL was going to be murdered but doing nothing is not enough to convict - he had no requirement to stop it.
I agree as a general rule, but two of them were while he was on the ground and someone was standing over him. That's pretty clearly intent. You don't shoot at someone from above while they are laying down without intended to put bullets into them.smastroyin said:
Right, but murder means premeditated and/or cruel. I could see an argument that using all 6 shots takes us from killed to murdered, but I think a jury might have some deliberation about it.
Rovin Romine said:
***
FWIW - the "just driving out there to scare him" option isn't on the table. There are no facts to support it and no instruction for felony murder or transferred intent. Someone, at some point, made a deliberate choice to kill OL by putting multiple bullets into him. The question is only whether the other two were involved and how.
smastroyin said:
Right, but murder means premeditated and/or cruel. I could see an argument that using all 6 shots takes us from killed to murdered, but I think a jury might have some deliberation about it.
smastroyin said:
Right, but it belies belief that they would drive to that place with no reason. So if scaring him is off the table, you have someone in the car thinking murder, and that someone convinced AH to drive to that lot. And that someone was still buddies with AH the next day.
I understand that reasonable doubt has to be taken seriously, but as you've said many times - reasonable doubt. Not "I can concoct a Jack Bauer scenario in my head where this is a set-up"
One intentional shot is enough for murder, without cruelty or premeditation. Those are the kickers--one of them is needed to get to murder one.smastroyin said:
Right, but murder means premeditated and/or cruel. I could see an argument that using all 6 shots takes us from killed to murdered, but I think a jury might have some deliberation about it.
Possibly. I don't often formulate the prosecution's arguments though, so there may be more streamlined explanations out there.Jnai said:I think JV is very confusing and not easily explicable to a layperson, and in this case it could significantly change the level of agreement that might exist in the jury. If you think AH pulled the trigger, this is a much easier case than if you think AH didn't pull the trigger, and I could see having an argument about that in a jury room, even if the issue of pulling the trigger is fundamentally meaningless because both would be M1 under JV.
smastroyin said:It's been a long expensive trial and I assume Garsh will instruct the jury on the agreement issues (and perhaps clarification on murder) and let them continue deliberation if they are hung right now. Will be interesting to see.
smastroyin said:Yeah, I said "right now" but meant if they came back saying they couldn't get to an agreement.
This may well be exactly what is going on. It's pretty easy to get to reasonable doubt on the narrow question of whether AH pulled the trigger; there isn't really any evidence that firmly excludes one of O/W as the shooter unless I totally missed something. So it's probably either JV or nothing (apart from the non-homicide charges).Jnai said:I think JV is very confusing and not easily explicable to a layperson, and in this case it could significantly change the level of agreement that might exist in the jury. If you think AH pulled the trigger, this is a much easier case than if you think AH didn't pull the trigger, and I could see having an argument about that in a jury room, even if the issue of pulling the trigger is fundamentally meaningless because both would be M1 under JV.
Rovin Romine said:OK then.
I'm comfortable in saying there's probably a split/holdout at this point; by the end of the day there would have been enough time (roughly 30 hours) to discuss and review any "problem" pieces of evidence. There's likely not a fundamental agreement at this point.
The split/holdout scale would go something like this (pro-prosecution on top):
1) single conscientious juror who wishes to review more information. ("I hear you, I just want to be sure.")
2) block of two or more jurors who want to review more information.
3) single "moderately reasonable" holdout juror - pro and con arguments swirl, and evidence is considered.
4) block of two or more "moderately reasonable" holdout jurors.
5) single "unreasonable" holdout juror. Nothing's changing my mind.
6) block of two or more "unreasonable" holdout jurors.
(Edit - the above can be "flipped" to indicate one "holdout" juror insisting on guilt in the face of the others voting NG, but I'm guessing/assuming the weight is with the prosecution at this point, for various reasons.)
Since there's been no appeal from the jury to the judge re: unreasonableness/splits/deadlocks, it's less likely we're in 5 or 6.
The split itself could be over:
1) M1 (premeditation) or M2 or IM
1a) Is this applicable under joint venture?
2) various gun charges
2a) Is this applicable under joint venture?
3) an overall NG based on the investigation/prosecution
In general it is possible for a jury to convict on a lesser charge and hang on a greater charge (provided there are no instructions like what your judge did). I would think most judges would not want to structure deliberations in a way that hanging on the first charge considered prevents any consideration of other charges. Sometimes the prosecution is happy with the conviction on the lesser offense, which makes the greater charge moot. Other times, it is a catalyst for pleading out the unresolved issues (not that those situations are likely here). But even here, it would simplify any eventual retrial to have some charges taken care of and off the table.kieckeredinthehead said:
Question about the jury instructions. On the domestic violence case I was on, the prosecutor presented multiple charges, from most severe to least. The jury instructions specifically said that if we acquitted on the most severe charge, then we were to consider the second most severe; if we acquitted on the second most severe, then we were to move on to the next one, etc. It was clear that we could probably convict on the least severe of the charges, but there were jurors who refused to acquit on the most severe. So the jury hung because we couldn't get past that first charge - specifically because the instructions said we had to decide on that before moving to the others. Is that the case here? Is that a typical problem where they could all vote to convict on lesser charges but can't get past the most serious?
Rovin Romine said:
I think my instinct to lead with the dead body in a prosecution's close was correct. You begin with the death (a murder) then work backward to show it was inevitable that AH was involved under JV - that AHs actions couldn't be anything other than those of a mastermind or a willing accomplice.
Rovin Romine said:Possibly. I don't often formulate the prosecution's arguments though, so there may be more streamlined explanations out there.
How about this - JV means "you're in on it" and "you help it happen in some way, any way, no matter how small." It's like going into business with a partner to do a crime - you don't have to be "equal partners" but you're still 100% liable for whatever your partner does.
Jnai said:I guessit'sa bitexactly like, three guys go in and hold up a bank and rob the bank, it's not critical exactly which one of them points the weapons at the tellers, which one of them steals the money, and which one of them cracks the safe. Maybe with that analogy, it's not so tricky, and I'm just slow. =)
Jnai said:
I'm not saying I disagree with the concept, I just think it's a strange concept, because it means that there's a lot of possibly conflicting stories that would lead to guilty. Maybe this is entirely the wrong thing to do, but if I was leading a jury discussion I feel like the first thing I'd want to do is try to establish what happened to the best of my ability.
With this JV crime, we're basically being told that the most proximal events to the killing are not particularly critical because AH is guilty no matter who pulls the trigger so long as AH assisted the entire operation in some way.
I guess it's a bit like, three guys go in and hold up a bank and rob the bank, it's not critical exactly which one of them points the weapons at the tellers, which one of them steals the money, and which one of them cracks the safe. Maybe with that analogy, it's not so tricky, and I'm just slow. =)