Savin Hillbilly said:
Yeah I noticed his odd line yesterday. .149/.322/.426, His BB rate is almost 19% and his K rate is 20%. His GB/FB is .33 and he's hitting 60% FB. Very weird start.
Ain't small sample sizes fun?
- Thread starter charlieoscar
- Start date
Yeah I noticed his odd line yesterday. .149/.322/.426, His BB rate is almost 19% and his K rate is 20%. His GB/FB is .33 and he's hitting 60% FB. Very weird start.
April stat volatility summed up: if I'm doing the math right, Mookie Betts raised his OPS by 51 points tonight. And he didn't even have an extrabase hit.
Savin Hillbilly said:
And Ortiz raised his 60 points...but he did have an HR. However, both of them got their batting averages out of the .190s into the .200s.
By my math, every team in AL was within 3.5 games of a playoff spot. Parity here we come.
May make mid-season deals hard/expensive too if this keeps up.
May make mid-season deals hard/expensive too if this keeps up.
Napoli's OPS is .469. Other notable hitters around that are:Humphrey said:
Carlos Gonzalez ..559
Carlos Beltran (or is he washed up) .530
Ryan Howard, ditto, .526
Jason Kipnis .524
Chase Utley .450
Not much company. Grim neighborhood.
More importantly, I'm getting concerned about the use of abbreviations. I've seen "an HR" twice in 24 hours, which works if you call a homerun an h-r. This is troubling, along the lines of RBI's versus R'sBI...
I think it's a small sample size (2 out of 189,645 posts), but it's trending.
I think it's a small sample size (2 out of 189,645 posts), but it's trending.
I stand corrected: RsBI
Unless, of course, the Run possesses the Batted...
Which is why I'm only a grammar deputy and not police.
Unless, of course, the Run possesses the Batted...
Which is why I'm only a grammar deputy and not police.
Al Zarilla said:
Other much less notable, but very familiar hitters in the same OPS neighborhood who I would be worried about a lot more than Napoli:
Victorino .474
Nava .461
Craig .376
I don't expect any of these players to remain at these sub-Mendoza levels, but I would bet that at the end of the season Napoli has the highest OPS of the 4 RS player listed by a substantial margin.
Nevertheless, Castillo can't get healthy fast enough. Let's hope it takes ~2 weeks to get ready at Pawtucket starting next week and then a promotion.
Napoli
May 2014: 606 OPS
June 2013: 668 OPS
May 2012: 699 OPS
April 2010: 514 OPS
Those are full months, if I'd timed the 66 PA samples to the beginning and end of a streak, they'd look even worse. Dude can be pretty hot or cold.
May 2014: 606 OPS
June 2013: 668 OPS
May 2012: 699 OPS
April 2010: 514 OPS
Those are full months, if I'd timed the 66 PA samples to the beginning and end of a streak, they'd look even worse. Dude can be pretty hot or cold.
Red Sox home runs with RBIs this season vs. MLB average for the past five seasons...shades of Earl Weaver
Homers BOS MLB (2010-14)
1-run 52.17% 58.13%
2-run 17.39% 28.93%
3-run 26.09% 10.73%
4-run 4.35% 2.21%
Homers BOS MLB (2010-14)
1-run 52.17% 58.13%
2-run 17.39% 28.93%
3-run 26.09% 10.73%
4-run 4.35% 2.21%
And 13th in wOBA and 17th in wRC+ (park- and league-adjusted. So far, they walk a lot, they hit some homers, and they use a brain ray to force the other team's defense into mistakes. But I'm not sure it's a good offense overall, yet.soxhop411 said:
Does Team ERA divided by Team WHIP tell us much in regards to how lucky/unlucky a pitching staff has been? Higher numbers would show a team's ERA is too high for their WHIP, etc...
2015 Red Sox ERA/WHIP: 3.73
2014 MLB Average: 2.93
2014 League Worst: 3.36 (Rockies)
2014 League Beat: 2.61 (Nationals)
2015 MLB Average: 3.01
2015 MLB Best: 2.15 (Cardinals)
Granted, the teams that allowed the most/least ER in 2014 were the "unluckiest" and "luckiest" in terms of ERA/WHIP - but once you get past the top/bottom couple of teams, there seems to be a lot less correlation in ER vs ERA/WHIP. There's still a general correlation, but it doesn't seem very tight. Might graph it later.
2015 Red Sox ERA/WHIP: 3.73
2014 MLB Average: 2.93
2014 League Worst: 3.36 (Rockies)
2014 League Beat: 2.61 (Nationals)
2015 MLB Average: 3.01
2015 MLB Best: 2.15 (Cardinals)
Granted, the teams that allowed the most/least ER in 2014 were the "unluckiest" and "luckiest" in terms of ERA/WHIP - but once you get past the top/bottom couple of teams, there seems to be a lot less correlation in ER vs ERA/WHIP. There's still a general correlation, but it doesn't seem very tight. Might graph it later.
I'd be cautious in using any weighted statistics in small samples. You have two sources of error which leads to reduced reliability. Not that any of these stats (weighted or otherwise) are predictive right now.Toe Nash said:
Stats like wOBA and wRC+ are also strongly influenced by BABIP. The red sox currently rank 26th (.263) in BABIP, which explains why they have low wOBA and wRC+. In terms of raw OBP, the red sox are 6th, which is driven by their league leading 10.3% BB rate. However, they are also putting the ball in play (17.3% K rate, good for 3rd best in the league).
Not that this means anything yet. The red sox may have a low BABIP because they haven't hit many line drives (LD rate is at 17.7%) as a team. Although if you break this down by player, there appears to be some relationship between the two metrics (30 percent of variance in BABIP is explained by LD rate), which is largely driven by a single Brock Holtean outlier (with the outlier excluded, only 2 percent of variance in BABIP is explained by LD rate). Guys like Hanley have a whopping 23 % LD rate, but a measely 0.232 BABIP, while guys like Xander have a 11% LD rate with a 0.327 BABIP.
Ah, the joys of mostly meaningless data
I was looking at the Sox numbers with RISP, and this one jumped out at me:
Hanley Ramirez: 5 for 28 (.179), 5 home runs.
And for the record, Brock Holt (.200), Pablo Sandoval, Shane Victorino, Hanley Ramirez, Mike Napoli, Dustin Pedroia, Allen Craig, Sandy Leon, and David Ortiz (.138) are all hitting .200 or less with RISP.
Mookie Betts (.300) and Xander Bogaerts (.296) have been good overall with RISP.
Hanley Ramirez: 5 for 28 (.179), 5 home runs.
And for the record, Brock Holt (.200), Pablo Sandoval, Shane Victorino, Hanley Ramirez, Mike Napoli, Dustin Pedroia, Allen Craig, Sandy Leon, and David Ortiz (.138) are all hitting .200 or less with RISP.
Mookie Betts (.300) and Xander Bogaerts (.296) have been good overall with RISP.