Allen Craig

MakMan44

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Given the fact that Ben has flat out said they had prospect packages for Lackey and Lester, it's not a stretch to assume that getting Craig was an important part of this deal and based on that, to assume that the FO is much more confident in Craig's health than anyone on this board is. 
 

Snodgrass'Muff

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Plympton91 said:
For instance, The Pierszyski fiasco was all because they were worried about year 3 of a deal with Saltalamacchia. Year 3. One year of potentially misallocated money; money that likely could be at least partially expunged through a trade. In contrast, Craig is 4 years of potentially dead money at near the same AAV as JS would have been.
 
This is only part of your point, but it is a great example of why people get so annoyed with you. Salty is a catcher. The organization is deep in catching prospects and one of them was very close to cracking the major league roster when they made that decision, with the other (who is even better by most estimations) only a year behind. Craig is a an outfielder. The organization has been extremely thin in the outfield in the minor leagues over the last couple years. After Bradley was promoted, they had guys like Brentz and Hassan as AAA depth, but no impact bat outfielders ready to graduate. They are so thin in impact bat corner outfielders that they have been trying to convert Mookie Betts. Guys like Devers, Margot and Longhi are exciting as hell, but are years away. Craig fills a need. Salty created a roadblock in an area of relative strength.
 
These two decisions are not related or comparable and when you bother to consider the context around each decision, they make perfect sense.
 

Plympton91

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Papelbon said:
 
 
It's easy to say they could have dumped him later on with a subsidy but that is neither guaranteed nor a smart strategy. And unless he improves next year it would have to be full freight because no one is paying for a replacement level catcher with poor defense. 
The Red Sox paid $8.5 million for one last offseason.

I get that they didn't want to "block" Vazquez and Swihart, but i just don't agree that would have happened to any meaningful extent.

You folks got your bridge season this year though. Year 4 of 5 in which the team missed the playoffs. Hope you're happy with it. Keep rooting for those prospects and quoting fatally flawed defensive statistics to back up the reasoning resulting in a last place finish.

Snod makes a great point about viewing the acquisition of Craig against the lack of impact bads in the system. I still question the risk/reward. It makes more sense to me that they value 5 years of control of Kelly enough to absorb a dead contact. Maybe they'll luck out the same way they did when they took a seemingly dead Lowell to acquire Beckett, but I'm not holding my breath.
 

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Plympton91 said:
Snod makes a great point about viewing the acquisition of Craig against the lack of impact bads in the system. I still question the risk/reward. It makes more sense to me that they value 5 years of control of Kelly enough to absorb a dead contact. Maybe they'll luck out the same way they did when they took a seemingly dead Lowell to acquire Beckett, but I'm not holding my breath.
 
I wasn't arguing it was Craig or Kelly that was valuable, just that acquiring Craig made sense, regardless of what you think of Kelly. I'd say the five years of control over him was also a positive in their eyes. I think it was one of those "good for everyone" deals.
 

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Miller recovered from a Lisfranc injury to pitch better than ever in 2014. By better than ever, I mean he tops his charts and just about everybody else's charts in all the predictive indicators (his best ever strikeout rate, walk rate, hit rate ever). Why shouldn't Allen Craig recover as well as Miller? Or if not as well, at least well enough to take over a productive DH role when the time comes. Even hobbled, he was a fearsome opponent in October 2013. Do batters suffer worse outcomes from Lisfranc injuries than pitchers?
 

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Sprowl said:
Miller recovered from a Lisfranc injury to pitch better than ever in 2014. By better than ever, I mean he tops his charts and just about everybody else's charts in all the predictive indicators (his best ever strikeout rate, walk rate, hit rate ever). Why shouldn't Allen Craig recover as well as Miller? Or if not as well, at least well enough to take over a productive DH role when the time comes. Even hobbled, he was a fearsome opponent in October 2013. Do batters suffer worse outcomes from Lisfranc injuries than pitchers?
 
And how Miller recovered has very little with how Craig will recovery. There is tremendous variation in both the severity as well as treatment of the injury.  Many athletes have made full recovers while others have had their careers ended by Lisfranc injuries.  Right now, Craig as far as we know doesn't even have a diagnosis.  That will probably change shortly after Dr. Anderson's evaluation today.  A diagnosis other than a Lisfranc would be very welcome news.
 

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Plympton91 said:
The Red Sox paid $8.5 million for one last offseason.

I get that they didn't want to "block" Vazquez and Swihart, but i just don't agree that would have happened to any meaningful extent.

 
 
 
The Red Sox didn't/dont think that Jarrod Saltalamacchia is as good at playing baseball as you do.  With one exception, he has been an average or below major league hitter. He is at best, an average major league catcher. Since I assume your general managing skills are at least as savvy as your player evaluation skills, why would you, as GM, sign a player that you dont think is all that good, to a 3-year contract?
 

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For instance, The Pierszyski fiasco was all because they were worried about year 3 of a deal with Saltalamacchia. Year 3. One year of potentially misallocated money; money that likely could be at least partially expunged through a trade.
 
 
I'm a little late in chiming in on this, but no. It was about years two and three. It was pretty clear they were confident Vazquez would be up sometime in 2014 and ready to take the job in 2015.
 

joe dokes

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Rasputin said:
 
I'm a little late in chiming in on this, but no. It was about years two and three. It was pretty clear they were confident Vazquez would be up sometime in 2014 and ready to take the job in 2015.
 
Which also makes it a little bit about Year 1.
 

Plympton91

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Rasputin said:
 
I'm a little late in chiming in on this, but no. It was about years two and three. It was pretty clear they were confident Vazquez would be up sometime in 2014 and ready to take the job in 2015.
Ok, and in that best case scenario you have a fantastic platoon to start with Vazquez eventually taking more and more at bats against righties too. And, you're still spending about as much as you were on catching in 2013.

But in the end the front office made the right decision at least ex post. All of my kvetching about 3 moves from last offseason is really moot. The team shit the bed and finished last for second time in three years. And, for 2015 they've got themselves positioned well again. Bridge accomplished.

Bradley has been aweful, and even in my plans he would have had the chance to be aweful in many hundred at bats. Bogaerts has been aweful, and even in my plans he'd have been aweful in many hundred at bats. Pedroia has been average, Ortiz merely good. Buchholz has sucked. Peavy was below average. Workman has sucked. Breslow and Mujica have sucked. But maybe 2015 will see improvements all around. And a healthy Craig would be a nice step in that direction.
 

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Plympton91 said:
Ok, and in that best case scenario you have a fantastic platoon to start with Vazquez eventually taking more and more at bats against righties too. And, you're still spending about as much as you were on catching in 2013.

But in the end the front office made the right decision at least ex post. All of my kvetching about 3 moves from last offseason is really moot. The team shit the bed and finished last for second time in three years. And, for 2015 they've got themselves positioned well again. Bridge accomplished.

Bradley has been aweful, and even in my plans he would have had the chance to be aweful in many hundred at bats. Bogaerts has been aweful, and even in my plans he'd have been aweful in many hundred at bats. Pedroia has been average, Ortiz merely good. Buchholz has sucked. Peavy was below average. Workman has sucked. Breslow and Mujica have sucked. But maybe 2015 will see improvements all around. And a healthy Craig would be a nice step in that direction.
I happen to agree with some of your points (not finding another adequate OF'er, resigning Salty, however how many games better would we have been? Stuck in mediocrity at best?
This step back is probably the best thing to happen so we can realistically go forward again.
 

rundugrun

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So the FO only checked his medical records and did not conduct their own physical exam. On a guy with a known chronic injury, who we watched just last October limp around the bases during the WS. OK.
 

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rundugrun said:
So the FO only checked his medical records and did not conduct their own physical exam. On a guy with a known chronic injury, who we watched just last October limp around the bases during the WS. OK.
 
That's the downside of working right at the trade deadline. You don't get a 72 hour window to check medicals or negotiate extensions; most times you just have to take your chances. I suppose they could have added some PTBNL language to the trade in case Craig's medicals looked worse later, but that would be very difficult to agree on in such a short timeframe. Especially since they spent most of the previous day focusing on Lester and Miller.
 

rundugrun

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Max Power said:
 
That's the downside of working right at the trade deadline. You don't get a 72 hour window to check medicals or negotiate extensions; most times you just have to take your chances. I suppose they could have added some PTBNL language to the trade in case Craig's medicals looked worse later, but that would be very difficult to agree on in such a short timeframe. Especially since they spent most of the previous day focusing on Lester and Miller.
Thanks. That makes sense. I didn't think about the timing of the deadline. Hopefully, Jeter's doc can get Craig on the path to health.
 

soxhop411

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soxhop411 said:
 
Scott Lauber ‏@ScottLauber  18m
Allen Craig will go to Charlotte tomorrow to see Dr. Robert Anderson about his foot. Anderson treated him last year #RedSox
 
https://twitter.com/ScottLauber/status/497598151067320320
 
Rob Bradford ‏@bradfo  3m
Nothing abnormal revealed after Craig ankle checkup. Hope to have back at end of DL stint
 
https://twitter.com/bradfo/status/497890211393589249
 
Tim Britton ‏@TimBritton  5m
Allen craig’s evaluation in Charlotte revealed nothing new on his left foot. That’s good news. Baseball activities soon.
https://twitter.com/TimBritton/status/497890919308607488
 

bradmahn

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TheoShmeo said:
Though it is kind of odd that they're so concerned with an overpay or bad contract with Lester and at the same time taking kind of a flyer on Craig.  Here's a guy whose performance went through the floor this year and about whom there are rumblings that his former team, not a bunch of nitwits, thinks he may have a career impacting injury.
 
Said differently, the Sox are OK paying Craig $31 mm when it's at least possible he's going to be a shadow of his former self, yet they're likely going to draw a line with Lester at somewhere near, say, $120 MM when if they would agree to $150 mm, they'd probably get it done.
 
I get that these are different situations.  I get that it's not a simple linear equation.  I get that there is precedent involved.  Pitcher versus OFer.  Other distinctions abound.
 
Still, the willingness to give someone like Victorino $39 mm, when the entire world screamed "overpay," take a chance on Craig coming back to health and, if they don't get Lester, sign someone of lesser talent a large contract to be the supposed Ace of the staff seems inconsistent with their solemn discipline with Lester.
 
It's as easy as comparing the luxury tax outlay for both contracts. Don't make this more complicated than it is: $150m/6years is a tax charge of $25m/year while $26m/4 is a third of that (and I agree with judyb that it's closer to $6m/year in luxury tax charge) Not only can this ownership eat $8-9m/year a lot easier than $25m/year, it's a lot easier to construct a winning team being mindful of the constraints of the luxury tax with just that $8m handicap for the next 4 years than potentially 1-6 of $25m/year.
HomeRunBaker said:
The team has been consistent in staying away from longer term deals with the exception of Pedroia who ironically is on the verge of his own "Is Pedroia cooked" thread. 1-2 year overpays are a staple in the Red Sox approach......see Drew signing, koji this winter, etc
There's no sensible argument that says a top-11-offensive-2B-that-bats-league-average-or-better and is the best defender at his position in the game is cooked. If we're on the verge of asking that question, it's because we're dumb.
Drek717 said:
Well, Pedroia is clearly playing through an existing injury massively handicapping his performance.
 
I think the more important questions here are:
1. why does this club consistently let guys play well below 100% (Pedroia this year as well as other times in the past, Craig post-trade, WMB much of last season, Buchholz at multiple points in his career, etc. etc.)
2. Why does a club that so poorly manages the health of their players on the active roster feel confident enough to make bets on the health or lack thereof when making trades?
 
Basically, if they feel like they have some sort of injury evaluation/recovery edge then why the hell isn't it being put to use on their own club?  The bravado presented when picking up someone like Craig doesn't ring true when at the same time they can't even reduce Pedroia's role by a game a week when he clearly has an injury sapping his power.
I want a resident grammarian to chime in but this seems like it could be used to demonstrate the correct time a post calls for the response "this begs the question."
 
Why does a dip in power by Pedroia reflect an hubris so mighty it's resulted in wanton acceptance of patently disfigured players like Allen Craig rather than a very real, very natural season-to-season variance in performance common to players throughout the history of baseball, exacerbated by a league-wide dip in power? He's also raised his slugging .012 points in the last 2+ weeks by hitting .360/.396./.480 since August 23. He could be in the midst of a Pedroian tear that raises his season's slugging line nearer .400. If that happens, there's no doubt he's a top-5 second baseman this season.
 
To connect this back to Craig, sometimes guys have shit seasons even when they're healthy and sometimes they have shit seasons when playing injured. Every time, we should defer to the guys that actually review the medical information and (presumably) have advanced degrees in the practice of medicine to make the judgment of whether they should play or not due to injury.
 

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For those who missed it, Craig's been activated and is DHing tonight.
 
uncannymanny said:
Roll up the Jump to Conclusions mat for now.
 
Well, you might want to roll it back out until we can parse the living shit out of this:
 
https://twitter.com/alexspeier/status/502550165329551361
 
Alex Speier ‏@alexspeier 24m
Farrell said Craig could consider offseason surgery on the Lisfranc injury. 'Depends on how he responds to consistent play'
 
So much for all the "this latest injury isn't related to the Lisfranc" crap, and the "just tweaked it, no big deal" b-s.
 

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It's obvious the guy has been hurt all year.

Just get it fixed. Playing through these things never ever work. Get it fixed and lets hope he regains his form, which is an upper level run producer.
 

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SouthernBoSox said:
It's obvious the guy has been hurt all year.

Just get it fixed. Playing through these things never ever work. Get it fixed and lets hope he regains his form, which is an upper level run producer.
 
Yeah no shit.  And if that's the best bet to get him at 100% next year it makes zero sense to play him right now instead of just getting it done.
 

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glennhoffmania said:
 
Yeah no shit.  And if that's the best bet to get him at 100% next year it makes zero sense to play him right now instead of just getting it done.
 
 
I suggest you go read Post #71 in this thread. Surgery is more about walking without pain rather than retuning to high-level athletics.
 

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Harry Hooper said:
 
 
I suggest you go read Post #71 in this thread. Surgery is more about walking without pain rather than retuning to high-level athletics.
 
Farrell was just quoted about a possible surgery for Craig.  That's what we're commenting on.  Maybe they're talking about a different procedure than the one DRS was referring to.  Why would Farrell be suggesting that he may need surgery that would prevent him from returning to high-level athletics?
 

Harry Hooper

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glennhoffmania said:
 
Farrell was just quoted about a possible surgery for Craig.  That's what we're commenting on.  Maybe they're talking about a different procedure than the one DRS was referring to.  Why would Farrell be suggesting that he may need surgery that would prevent him from returning to high-level athletics?
 
 
Maybe, though given that he's going to play on it now and DRS's comments, it sounds like surgery is the last option.
 

Plympton91

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Yeah, could someone shed light on the reason why he'd be trying to struggle through this on a last place team?
 

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Yeah, I'm not sure what Farrell is talking about here. The window of opportunity for treating this acutely has completely closed. His only option now would be a fusion, which isn't terribly compatible with playing in the outfield.
 

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Plympton91 said:
Yeah, could someone shed light on the reason why he'd be trying to struggle through this on a last place team?
Well he's only played in one game so far, but I don't get why they would activate him.
I guess they could attempt to market him as a trade chip if he performs miraculously well over the next 100 at-bats?
Maybe they don't want to risk Ortiz getting injured over the rest of the season?
Even that is a huge stretch, really. I don't understand what they're doing with Craig either...
 

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Wow this is idiotic.

As a trade chip he'd have to perform at his previously elite levels to bring much of anything back at this point. I'm going to file that under "doubtful."

If they intend to keep him...I don't know, this is just completely careless. What's to be gained here?
 

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DaveRoberts'Shoes said:
Yeah, I'm not sure what Farrell is talking about here. The window of opportunity for treating this acutely has completely closed. His only option now would be a fusion, which isn't terribly compatible with playing in the outfield.
 
Is it compatible with being a designated hitter?
 

Harry Hooper

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FWIW, Alex Speier on with Castig said he spoke to Craig who claimed he has no idea what Farrell is talking about.
 
 
 
Addendum: He just grounded out weakly when he got buried with an inside fastball. As a bonus, he looked to be running gingerly down the line.
 

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Drek717 said:
Well, Pedroia is clearly playing through an existing injury massively handicapping his performance.
 
I think the more important questions here are:
1. why does this club consistently let guys play well below 100% (Pedroia this year as well as other times in the past, Craig post-trade, WMB much of last season, Buchholz at multiple points in his career, etc. etc.)
2. Why does a club that so poorly manages the health of their players on the active roster feel confident enough to make bets on the health or lack thereof when making trades?
 
Basically, if they feel like they have some sort of injury evaluation/recovery edge then why the hell isn't it being put to use on their own club?  The bravado presented when picking up someone like Craig doesn't ring true when at the same time they can't even reduce Pedroia's role by a game a week when he clearly has an injury sapping his power.
1. Because MLB players are almsot always under 100% regardless of whether they play on the Red Sox or any other team. Step outside the bubble and see what is occurring on other teams. Should we have shut down Pedro in 2004 pitching with his shoulder hanging off? Not allowed Schilling to take the hill in Game 6? Shut down Victorino last season? Napoli's hip? The list goes on and on. Part of being a professional athlete is to perform at elite levels when less than 100% which they will be much of the time. Then when they pussy around injuries they get the Buchholz treatment last year. Double standard. I'd much prefer the Schilling/Pedro/Victorino mindset than Buchholz.

2. You are ignoring those times it has worked out. Victorino, Napoli, Koji, etc while focusing only one those that haven't. It isn't a perfect science for the Red Sox or any other team and you WILL lose some bets along the way.
 

O Captain! My Captain!

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buchholz basically pitched his way through the playoffs last year with absolutely nothing. dude was definitely hurt. the first four innings of WS game 4 were some of the tensest moments i've ever had as a fan.
 

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O Captain! My Captain! said:
buchholz basically pitched his way through the playoffs last year with absolutely nothing. dude was definitely hurt. the first four innings of WS game 4 were some of the tensest moments i've ever had as a fan.
We sent him to a specialist because he refused to pitch......the medicals came back saying he was fine. Who knows which was right but Buchholz was criticized all season for not pitching even after being cleared by Dr. Andrews.
 

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HomeRunBaker said:
We sent him to a specialist because he refused to pitch......the medicals came back saying he was fine. Who knows which was right but Buchholz was criticized all season for not pitching even after being cleared by Dr. Andrews.
 
He went to another specialist who confirmed that pitching with bursitis could indeed lead to the bursa bursting (I just wanted to type that combination), and that the compensation involved in avoiding pain could lead to shoulder injury. Then he sat out another three weeks.
 
I've got no complaint about that -- he clearly wasn't 100% in the playoffs, and bursitis hurts like hell, no matter which bursa is involved.
 
So, no, the medicals didn't say he was fine. The medicals conflicted.
 

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HomeRunBaker said:
We sent him to a specialist because he refused to pitch......the medicals came back saying he was fine. Who knows which was right but Buchholz was criticized all season for not pitching even after being cleared by Dr. Andrews.
 
I don't know what the medicals said, but the Buchholz who showed up for game 4 of the WS had absolutely nothing and basically was pitching on guile and luck. Him getting through four innings with that stuff was a miracle nearly on the order of the Schilling bloody sock game or Pedro out of the bullpen vs the Indians and if I had any reason to doubt Buchholz's guts or Will To Win before, I never will again. 
 
Buchholz maxed out that game at 91mph, averaging 89.5 mph on his four-seam fastball, which he threw less than his two-seamer (average velo 88.6), also mixing in 8 cutters (average velo 85.1) (!!!)
 
 
and here's his strikezone, because we know that control diminishes with injury more than velocity, even
 
FWIW everyone in that game thread knew he was on fumes from pitch 5 on.
 

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Smiling Joe Hesketh said:
It always amazes me that a bunch of working slobs sitting in front of computers can tell a professional athlete he's not being tough enough.
 
Or tell professional doctors who are employed to manage the care of enormous investments (players) that they are clearly making a mistake by having X player play or Y player sit.
 

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Snodgrass'Muff said:
 
Or tell professional doctors who are employed to manage the care of enormous investments (players) that they are clearly making a mistake by having X player play or Y player sit.
 
It's been my experience that there are relatively few injuries where things are clear at all.
 

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Smiling Joe Hesketh said:
It always amazes me that a bunch of working slobs sitting in front of computers can tell a professional athlete he's not being tough enough.
 
I'm old enough to remember J.R. Richard. After that, I never question anyone who says they can't play.
 

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Smiling Joe Hesketh said:
It always amazes me that a bunch of working slobs sitting in front of computers can tell a professional athlete he's not being tough enough.
This cannot be iterated enough; one cannot take the perspective of a professional athlete when one has no experience as a professional athlete.
Also, since when did this turn into another Buchholz thread?
 

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EricFeczko said:
This cannot be iterated enough; one cannot take the perspective of a professional athlete when one has no experience as a professional athlete.
Also, since when did this turn into another Buchholz thread?
The fact that he (anyone) made it to the major league level speaks volume of their "toughness". There are tons of athletes with the talent but were not mentally tough enough (or bodies broke down) to handle the rigors of even making it to the major league level.