Kyrie Irving traded to Celtics for IT, Crowder, Zizic, BKN 1st, 2020 2nd

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SumnerH

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It sounds like the remedy here is a conditional pick.
If you think there's a ton of uncertainty beforehand you can price it in with conditionals. But conditionalizing after the fact is strange--everyone involved knows you can't see the future, if the C's said that he'd likely be back in a month they're also inherently pricing in some risk that it could be longer. If you're going to price in a penalty for that, then you need to reduce the up-front cost or you're taking 2 bites at the same apple.
 

Eddie Jurak

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Feels like this scenario leaves open a lot of room for shenanigans by the Cavs if the language is something like Cavs get an extra pick if Thomas doesn't play his first game until on or after December 1.
To some extent, it would be. But one could reframe this in a slightly different way: how much extra are the Celtics willing to pay the Cavs to not play Thomas this year? In this specific case, a healthy Thomas not playing games would work to the Celtics' benefit. There might be some mutually beneficial language that could be agreed to that would not be overly affected by shenanigans.
 

Big John

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If you are the Cavs, why do you care when IT comes back, so long as he's ready for the playoffs? Isn't the goal to win one last championship before LeBron leaves? They've got Rose, Calderon and Felder (another quick 5-9 guy who was a late draft choice) to hold the fort until then. Or they can sign Ty Lawson for the veterans minimum.

If the Cavs are angling for Brown or Tatum it isn't happening. The LA/Sac and Memphis picks aren't happening either unless the protections are severe. And any other player the Celtics elect to throw in just increases the Cavs luxury tax bill.

It's hard to understand the point of all this for the Cavs, unless they are simply being shitheads.
 

DeJesus Built My Hotrod

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I agree that they are human and will have emotions and they deserve respect and I trust Stevens and the rest of the staff to have long talks with them about whatever they want to talk about. But everyone knows this is a business and everyone's going to get over it. Why? Because beyond the fact that they are competitors at the highest level, it is in their own best interest to compete at the highest level, because neither one of them is on their last contract.

I don't really agree that their level of play will be affected. Even if I did agree that level of play *could* be affected, I would not assign enough risk to that scenario to have it affect the subsequent negotiation.

You guys are coming from a point of "The Celtics need to get this done because those guys aren't gonna want to be Celtics any more after this and it will sabotage the season." I put that in quotes but it's an amalgam of a couple dozen pearl clutching posts from yesterday. I couldn't possibly disagree more with this stance. If the trade fails the Celtics will move on to the next thing and Thomas and Crowder (And Zizic) will continue their off-seasons to get ready to come to camp. The only difference is that they are going to have to listen to questions at every opportunity from idiot media members about if they feel disrespected.
I don't recall anyone saying that Thomas or Crowder would play differently or openly pout (let's assume Zizic is fine wherever he winds up given this is his first season). I fully agree these guys are professionals and that they will do what is needed of them on the court.

That said, unless you think personal chemistry means nothing in basketball, there is a serious risk that re-integrating these core players into the team is near impossible. They will know that Stevens, at the very least, signed off on this trade. They also know that the roster has turned over considerably so many of the bonds they formed with last season's teammates aren't there anymore.

As others have pointed out, both Thomas, who has to be a bit hurt given how much he embraced being in Boston and Crowder, who was openly upset about the Celtics reportedly looking at Hayward as well as the crowd's reaction when he came to Boston last season, are likely to ask for trades if this deal falls through. If that is the case, the Celtics leverage will be impaired.

Finally, given that we now know for a fact that Ainge wasn't resigning Thomas, I will once again point out that a trade falling through hurts the C's big time with the max salary slot. That is a big issue.
 
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RedOctober3829

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I agree that they are human and will have emotions and they deserve respect and I trust Stevens and the rest of the staff to have long talks with them about whatever they want to talk about. But everyone knows this is a business and everyone's going to get over it. Why? Because beyond the fact that they are competitors at the highest level, it is in their own best interest to compete at the highest level, because neither one of them is on their last contract.

I don't really agree that their level of play will be affected. Even if I did agree that level of play *could* be affected, I would not assign enough risk to that scenario to have it affect the subsequent negotiation.

You guys are coming from a point of "The Celtics need to get this done because those guys aren't gonna want to be Celtics any more after this and it will sabotage the season." I put that in quotes but it's an amalgam of a couple dozen pearl clutching posts from yesterday. I couldn't possibly disagree more with this stance. If the trade fails the Celtics will move on to the next thing and Thomas and Crowder (And Zizic) will continue their off-seasons to get ready to come to camp. The only difference is that they are going to have to listen to questions at every opportunity from idiot media members about if they feel disrespected.
My position on the C's doing the deal regardless is for a couple reasons other than them being pissed if they come back. If IT's hip is this bad then Danny for sure isn't re-signing him. There isn't a way to replace his production through FA as they're up against the cap so getting this done has short and long term ramifications. With Kyrie in the fold, they can go over the cap to sign him long term. The chances of a player of Irving's age and ability being available in trade are very rare so they need to get this done. It's especially important given ITs hip problem. It would also hurt Cleveland this year in that if IT doesn't return to last year's form that they don't have a 3rd star to put with LBJ/Love without cashing in the Nets pick. If LeBron is truly leaving, I can't see Gilbert trading that pick for this year. There's a path both to the Finals this year and being the best in the East going forward with this deal going through. Just my two cents.
 

DavidTai

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My position on the C's doing the deal regardless is for a couple reasons other than them being pissed if they come back. If IT's hip is this bad then Danny for sure isn't re-signing him. There isn't a way to replace his production through FA as they're up against the cap so getting this done has short and long term ramifications. With Kyrie in the fold, they can go over the cap to sign him long term. The chances of a player of Irving's age and ability being available in trade are very rare so they need to get this done. It's especially important given ITs hip problem. It would also hurt Cleveland this year in that if IT doesn't return to last year's form that they don't have a 3rd star to put with LBJ/Love without cashing in the Nets pick. If LeBron is truly leaving, I can't see Gilbert trading that pick for this year. There's a path both to the Finals this year and being the best in the East going forward with this deal going through. Just my two cents.
Mine boils down to feeling that for whatever reason, Ainge shouldn't add more IF he represented Thomas quite clearly and the results matched his projections.

If he did, then the Caves are reneging on the original deal and shouldn't be rewarded for it.
 

smastroyin

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If the deal falls through it is worth discussing and seeing what happens.

When Danny is sitting down with Cleveland to negotiate this, though, he can't be sitting there crapping his pants thinking he has to get it done, nor should there be any reason for him to. The players feelings should not factor into it. I trust them and I trust Stevens. If he thinks Kyrie Irving is worth adding to the trade then he should do it. That's the end.
 

DJnVa

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If the Cavs are angling for Brown or Tatum it isn't happening.
Has anyone outside of Cleveland fans on twitter really said the Cavs want Tatum? I know some writers threw that out as clickbait, but I don't think there's really been anyone saying that's Cleveland's target.

Also, the teams were supposed to talk yesterday, and we've heard nothing...
 

snowmanny

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Everyone worrying about IT's feelings if he returns. Cleveland is tanking his FA market and LeBron won't say his name. Not sure he's going to be thrilled with the Cavs either.
 

HomeRunBaker

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Mine boils down to feeling that for whatever reason, Ainge shouldn't add more IF he represented Thomas quite clearly and the results matched his projections.

If he did, then the Caves are reneging on the original deal and shouldn't be rewarded for it.
It matters little what Ainge's projections are......what matters are what Cleveland's is and if they deem surgery necessary than there is a problem. Two medical teams can have a difference of opinion in how to address an injury......in this instance what the Celtics doctors opine isn't relevant as the only ones that matter are the Cavs medical team.

The Celtics also benefit greatly from their own doctors having the "surgery not necessary" position so the bias potential is always there on a 50/50 decision (or 40/60, 30/70.....basically if there is any chance of Isaiah being able to avoid surgery that is the one Celtic team doctors are likely to support.)
 

PedroKsBambino

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It matters little what Ainge's projections are......what matters are what Cleveland's is and if they deem surgery necessary than there is a problem. Two medical teams can have a difference of opinion in how to address an injury......in this instance what the Celtics doctors opine isn't relevant as the only ones that matter are the Cavs medical team.

The Celtics also benefit greatly from their own doctors having the "surgery not necessary" position so the bias potential is always there on a 50/50 decision (or 40/60, 30/70.....basically if there is any chance of Isaiah being able to avoid surgery that is the one Celtic team doctors are likely to support.)
I think what matters is what they agreed to, though, right?

For example, if the Celtics said "our guys say IT will start season on time, you've seen the med records. We will offer the Nets pick if you take Thomas as-is and assume the risk he doesn't make our guys projection" and Cle agreed then it isn't about Cleveland's medical staff at all, imo---they waived any additional concerns about his physical, effectively, at least as to the hip.

I doubt it's quite that clear what they agreed to, of course. What I suspect is they Celtics disclosed records, their doctor's best assessment, and some form of limitation on his health. Cleveland--whether legitimately based on their medical evaluation, purely tacticaly, or something in between--is now disagreeing with the premise of that limitation. Perhaps Cle said 'we agree so long as our docs concur with your docs' in which case theyy are entirely justified in disagreeing. Perhaps they said "absent new info different from his records we agree" and the debate now is about whether anything in exam is new, which feels like a resolvable situation (one way or the other).

I don't think it's obvious which side has the better argument there, and we just need to understand the commitments/understandings more.
 

wade boggs chicken dinner

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He is important to this team if the deal is voided and IT can't play. He is far less important if Kyrie is coming here.
But becomes far more important if for any reason Kyrie gets hurt. Rozier is an important piece for the Cs to keep and they just aren't going to throw him into a deal.
 

Captaincoop

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I think what matters is what they agreed to, though, right?

For example, if the Celtics said "our guys say IT will start season on time, you've seen the med records. We will offer the Nets pick if you take Thomas as-is and assume the risk he doesn't make our guys projection" and Cle agreed then it isn't about Cleveland's medical staff at all, imo---they waived any additional concerns about his physical, effectively, at least as to the hip.

I doubt it's quite that clear what they agreed to, of course. What I suspect is they Celtics disclosed records, their doctor's best assessment, and some form of limitation on his health. Cleveland--whether legitimately based on their medical evaluation, purely tacticaly, or something in between--is now disagreeing with the premise of that limitation. Perhaps Cle said 'we agree so long as our docs concur with your docs' in which case theyy are entirely justified in disagreeing. Perhaps they said "absent new info different from his records we agree" and the debate now is about whether anything in exam is new, which feels like a resolvable situation (one way or the other).

I don't think it's obvious which side has the better argument there, and we just need to understand the commitments/understandings more.
The part that makes little sense in that scenario is - obviously if the Celtics had any reason to believe that the Cleveland medical assessment was important to the deal, Ainge and the C's would have been holding their breath and waiting for that exam.

Instead, they publicly announced the trade and were printing and selling Irving #11 jerseys.

Are the Celtics that stupid? Or is Cleveland jerking them around after the fact?
 

DeJesus Built My Hotrod

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Its pretty clear that there is a difference of opinion between the Celtics front office/medical staff and their counterparts in Cleveland. It doesn't have to be anything more nefarious than that - each side had a different understanding of Thomas' condition and his timetable for return next season.
 

lovegtm

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Its pretty clear that there is a difference of opinion between the Celtics front office/medical staff and their counterparts in Cleveland. It doesn't have to be anything more nefarious than that - each side had a different understanding of Thomas' condition and his timetable for return next season.
Ordinarily I would agree, but based on how strongly the Celtics announced the trade, and the surprise they're reporting at Cleveland's response to the medical, it seems more likely than not that IT's condition was discussed with the strong possibility he wouldn't play this year.

I guess we'll just have to wait until the dust settles and the leaks start to get an idea of the real story. My money is on LeBron or Gilbert getting pissed that the Cavs seemed to be handing the East to the Celtics this year.
 

Captaincoop

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There is nothing clear about any of this.

It just doesn't add up that the Celtics were printing #11 Irving jerseys already if the trade depended on an injured player's physical.

The obvious inference is that the Celtics felt like IT was sent over in as-is condition - thus the inclusion of another major asset in the BKN pick.
 

mcpickl

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But becomes far more important if for any reason Kyrie gets hurt. Rozier is an important piece for the Cs to keep and they just aren't going to throw him into a deal.
You could say this about any third-stringer, which Rozier is at point guard.

You could say it about the guy he proposed Rozier would replace in the deal. Zizic becomes far more important if for any reason Horford gets hurt.

If Cleveland accepted Rozier instead of Zizic to complete deal as he proposed, you fist-pump, say thank you and the deal is done.
 

mcpickl

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Its pretty clear that there is a difference of opinion between the Celtics front office/medical staff and their counterparts in Cleveland. It doesn't have to be anything more nefarious than that - each side had a different understanding of Thomas' condition and his timetable for return next season.
I agree with this, and it makes the trade hard to amend.

say, if Cleveland thinks Isaiah is unlikely to be healthy all year, while Boston thinks he'll just miss some early meaningless regular season time then be fine, that's a pretty huge difference in value.
 

HomeRunBaker

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But becomes far more important if for any reason Kyrie gets hurt. Rozier is an important piece for the Cs to keep and they just aren't going to throw him into a deal.
Exactly. This is a kid who just turned 23 and was playing crunch time playoff minutes for us in his second season. Part of the reason it was so easy to move Avery was due to Rozier stepping into a role larger than his 17 mpg of last season.
 

HomeRunBaker

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I think what matters is what they agreed to, though, right?

For example, if the Celtics said "our guys say IT will start season on time, you've seen the med records. We will offer the Nets pick if you take Thomas as-is and assume the risk he doesn't make our guys projection" and Cle agreed then it isn't about Cleveland's medical staff at all, imo---they waived any additional concerns about his physical, effectively, at least as to the hip.

I doubt it's quite that clear what they agreed to, of course. What I suspect is they Celtics disclosed records, their doctor's best assessment, and some form of limitation on his health. Cleveland--whether legitimately based on their medical evaluation, purely tacticaly, or something in between--is now disagreeing with the premise of that limitation. Perhaps Cle said 'we agree so long as our docs concur with your docs' in which case theyy are entirely justified in disagreeing. Perhaps they said "absent new info different from his records we agree" and the debate now is about whether anything in exam is new, which feels like a resolvable situation (one way or the other).

I don't think it's obvious which side has the better argument there, and we just need to understand the commitments/understandings more.
What was agreed upon prior to Cleveland having their medical people look at Isaiah? Of course the answer is, "We don't know" however I feel it's reasonable to believe one of two things (or both)......one, that there would be nothing to agree to until the Cavaliers were able to formulate an opinion on a timetable for Isaiah's return.....or two, that Cleveland would have their medical people recommend surgery to be able to go back and ask for more assets as they know he's pretty much finished.

Isaiah seems to be the one being dicked around here and I hope for his sake that he has his own doctor advising him on the best treatment for him. It sure smells like both teams who employ their own medical people are advising him to do or don't do things based on what is in the best interest of the respective team......and not Isaiah.
 

mauf

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Yeah, the C's will walk away before they throw another major asset (Tatum, Brown, LAL/SAC pick) into the deal.
 

Ed Hillel

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Why didn't Thomas just get the surgery and light it up in the second half? He's cost himself tens of millions, potentially.
 

Jed Zeppelin

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Headed toward sending them a late 1st after we offer a couple 2nds. Not nothing, but acceptable to get done what needs to be done.
 

Ed Hillel

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Danny should throw them a "1" with his right hand. Maybe two "1s," one on each hand. Maybe three "1s," each hand and his pelvis.
 

Captaincoop

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It's hard to believe they had the balls to come back and ask for Jayson Tatum as a sweetener.

They already got the BKN pick because of IT's health, this is not even a good faith request if this latest report is true. They're just trying to blow up the deal.
 

Manzivino

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I think it's reasonable for the Cavs' medical staff to have a different assessment of IT's recovery timeline than the C's, and would be inclined to add a little sweetener to let them save face. However, if they come back asking for Tatum or Brown I would tell them the offer is as previously agreed upon and they're free to void the deal. The only thing that matters to Cleveland is the playoffs, including seeding, unless they think IT won't be ready until May it's irrelevant if he misses a month or three months of the regular season.
 

mcpickl

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That's crazy. If the Nets pick falls out of the top 5 and the Lakers doesn't that swap could become extremely valuable. If you are the Cs' you'd much rather throw in one of your own late 1st round draft picks..
He said swap rights on LAC pick, not LAL pick.
 

Jed Zeppelin

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That's crazy. If the Nets pick falls out of the top 5 and the Lakers doesn't that swap could become extremely valuable. If you are the Cs' you'd much rather throw in one of your own late 1st round draft picks..
It's lotto protected two years from now. It'll never be extremely valuable.
 

Kull

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Yeah...no matter which side of this deal you fall on, one of the following is your WORST CASE:

1--Two potential lottery picks added to Hayward/Horford/Smart

or

2--One potential lottery pick added to Irving/Hayward/Horford/Smart
Completely agree - there's no real downside. The team which needs this trade to happen is Cleveland, not Boston. Don't even negotiate, just say "no" to every suggestion (and I do mean 1-word answers). By Thursday the desperation will be palpable.
 

Devizier

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Without insider info, there is no logical way to understand what's going on here.

My best guess is that the Cavaliers were okay with Thomas potentially missing most of the season until Lebron asked for a trade. We joke about how Lebron runs the Cavs but he wasn't at the bargaining table. He had to find out after the fact like the rest of us. I imagine his response has a lot to do with how Gilbert runs the Cavaliers, even if he is only there for another season.
 

sfmainer

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I hope DA tells them to stick it in their ear. They knew they were mostly getting an expiring contract in IT. Barring serious injury GS isn't going lose, so restock and think clearly. Oh, and the schadenfreude as the Cavs spasm their way through LBJs last season will taste delicious.
 

PedroKsBambino

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What was agreed upon prior to Cleveland having their medical people look at Isaiah? Of course the answer is, "We don't know" however I feel it's reasonable to believe one of two things (or both)......one, that there would be nothing to agree to until the Cavaliers were able to formulate an opinion on a timetable for Isaiah's return.....or two, that Cleveland would have their medical people recommend surgery to be able to go back and ask for more assets as they know he's pretty much finished.

Isaiah seems to be the one being dicked around here and I hope for his sake that he has his own doctor advising him on the best treatment for him. It sure smells like both teams who employ their own medical people are advising him to do or don't do things based on what is in the best interest of the respective team......and not Isaiah.
My guess (which is consistent with what was reported by a Cleveland beat writer last night as well) is Celtics described IT's problems and prognosis and shared medical info and Cleveland asked for the Nets pick to make up for the risk IT wouldn't be next year what he was last year. So from the Celtics perspective, IT's risk was 'baked in' Otherwise, isn't the Nets pick a clear overpay?

From there, hard to know what happened. Celtics certainly moved quickly to announce it; Cleveland, though, followed suit rather than slowing it down for medicals. Perhaps Cleveland felt misled about IT's status? Perhaps Lebron didn't like deal? Perhaps Celtics did shade the disclosure of IT's health? Perhaps Phoenix called with a good late offer? Perhaps Cleveland is just screwing around and hoping for more? We don't know---though, the credibility of Celtics ownership and Ainge is worlds greater than Dan Gilbert, and that matters in this situation.

As for rumored Tatum/Brown ask, I'd think that might be less laughable in place of the Nets pick. If Cleveland's complaint is that IT won't contribute this year, a player who can will be useful to them. That would also be consistent with Lebron saying behind the scenes "I don't care about the Nets pick, I need running mates this year" which to me would explain the rest of Cleveland's actions.

Some speculation in above, of course...
 
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