Let's Lay Off That Throttle

Auger34

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2003 - LTT = $117m; RSP = $99.9M; (Below 1) (6th in MLB)
2004 - $120.5; $127.2 (Above 1)** (2nd in MLB)
2005 - $128M; $123.5 (Below 2) (2nd in MLB)
2006 - $136.5; $120.1 (Below 3)** (2nd in MLB)
2007 - $148m; $133.3 (Below 4)** (2nd in MLB)
2008 - $155m; $133.4m (Below 5) (4th in MLB)
2009 - $162m; $121m (Below 6) (4th in MLB)
2010 - $170m; $168.1m (Below 7)** (2nd in MLB)
2011 - $178m; $163.8m (Below 8) (3rd in MLB)
2012 - $178m; $175.3m (Below 9) (4th in MLB)
2013 - $178m; $154.5m (Below 10) (4th in MLB)
2014 - $189m; $156.4m (Below 11) (4th in MLB)
2015 - $189m; $184.3m (Below 12) (3rd in MLB)
2016 - $189m; $197.9m (Above 2)** (3rd in MLB)
2017 - $195m; $197m (Above 3) (3rd in MLB)
2018 - $197m; $233.7m (Above 4)** (1st in MLB)
2019 - $206m; $236.2m (Above 5)** (1st in MLB)
2020 - Not sure how to properly calculate that because of the prorated numbers, we all know they were (in)famously at this point below, however - Below 13. (4th in MLB)
2021 - $210m; $180.2m (Below 14) (6th in MLB)
2022 - $230m; $206.6m (Below 15) (6th in MLB)
2023 - $233m; $187.2m (Below 16) (13th in MLB)
2020-2023 I am using Cot's data for their place in MLB. Before that I am using stevetheump data (which might not be completely accurate but I don't want to pay to use Cot's)

Before last year, FSG has been in the top 6 of MLB payrolls every year that they've owned the team.

I think that people assumed that they would get back up into that region after dipping below the luxury tax this year.
 

jbupstate

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I'm asking for a citation that describes what you are saying the article is saying. You wrote that the article in question "clearly lists the Red Sox as one of four likely remaining suitors." if it's clear, a text citation shouldn't be hard to find. Chawson specifically said: "we're reportedly one of the final teams in the running for Montgomery" and then linked to the article in question. Again: a textual citation making the case for them "reportedly [being] one of the final teams" should be easy.

But of course, a citation won't be easy to find, because the article simply does not say what you or Chawson urgently want it to.
MLB.com
Jan. 11: Red Sox, Giants among clubs reportedly vying for Montgomery

SI.com today
Yankees, Red Sox, Rangers Among Clubs Who Have Pursued Star Free Agent

soxstack.com
Jordan Montgomery Market 'Getting Loud'
There's mutual interest between the free agent starter and the Red Sox with Montgomery reportedly reaching out to Boston to strike a deal.
 

CR67dream

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The point is that @chawson took the earlier article as "proof" the Sox were in on Montgomery. If you read this tweet, it is the exact opposite.
Yeah, and he was wrong that it's proof of anything, and was called out plenty already. And he will be wrong overall if that tweet turns out to be true. Big fucking deal, calling him out here yet again is just starting shit and making noise. The point has been made. Let it go.

As unlikely as I see signing Montgomery, we won't learn anything based on the regurgitated words of Rob fucking Murray.
 

tims4wins

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Yeah, and he was wrong that it's proof of anything, and was called out plenty already. And he will be wrong overall if that tweet turns out to be true. Big fucking deal, calling him out here yet again is just starting shit and making noise. The point has been made. Let it go.

As unlikely as I see signing Montgomery, we won't learn anything based on the regurgitated words of Rob fucking Murray.
I am fine with letting it go, so long as @chawson is also dropping his defense of ownership (and saying people are throwing tantrums, and sarcastically responding to posts). The discussion is going nowhere. Let's see what happens in the next 4 weeks before spring training.
 

Ale Xander

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I am fine with letting it go, so long as @chawson is also dropping his defense of ownership (and saying people are throwing tantrums, and sarcastically responding to posts). The discussion is going nowhere. Let's see what happens in the next 4 weeks before spring training.
3 weeks and 1 day is when pitchers and catchers start to report. I guess they can make a move after that too.
 

jbupstate

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My only defense of ownership….

A bunch of last place finishes when they were paying through the nose. Lots of bad free agent contracts.

Nothing wrong with any business owner wanting more out of their investment. Seems the smart move. Especially when other teams are getting there at lesser costs.

My major criticism of ownership…

Forcing Bloom to compete for wild card while understanding the downside risks associated with reset. Absolutely feeling their want of playoffs could have hindered Bloom’s ability to operate*.

* not rational and with out support alert! Bloom approaches Ownership with trade proposals at deadline that would reduce probability of making playoffs and is rejected. Turner for Cabrera, Sale for prospects, etc.

With the bullshit spin being transmitted… I can see Ownership thinking wildcard is worth it.

Rant over
 

Big Papi's Mango Salsa

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My only defense of ownership….

A bunch of last place finishes when they were paying through the nose. Lots of bad free agent contracts.

Nothing wrong with any business owner wanting more out of their investment. Seems the smart move. Especially when other teams are getting there at lesser costs.

My major criticism of ownership…

Forcing Bloom to compete for wild card while understanding the downside risks associated with reset. Absolutely feeling their want of playoffs could have hindered Bloom’s ability to operate*.

* not rational and with out support alert! Bloom approaches Ownership with trade proposals at deadline that would reduce probability of making playoffs and is rejected. Turner for Cabrera, Sale for prospects, etc.

With the bullshit spin being transmitted… I can see Ownership thinking wildcard is worth it.

Rant over
Source?

(Or is this part of the “not rational and without support alert” you alluded to? Genuinely unsure the way it reads.)
 

CR67dream

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I am fine with letting it go, so long as @chawson is also dropping his defense of ownership (and saying people are throwing tantrums, and sarcastically responding to posts). The discussion is going nowhere. Let's see what happens in the next 4 weeks before spring training.
You don't set the terms. That said, everyone to their corners and move on from the pile-on. Not a request. @chawson, please do your part to back off absolute statements, and that goes for all of us as well. None of us knows anything for sure. Tim's last 2 sentences are on the nose.
 

tims4wins

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You don't set the terms. That said, everyone to their corners and move on from the pile-on. Not a request. @chawson, please do your part to back off absolute statements, and that goes for all of us as well. None of us knows anything for sure. Tim's last 2 sentences are on the nose.
Fair.
 

simplicio

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As I wrote upthread, the front office has lost all benefit of the doubt. Until and unless they sign a significant free agent, we should not believe they will. For 4 years they have not shown a willingness to spend, or a willingness to put a truly competitive team on the field. They are guilty until proven innocent. We all hope that changes. But they do not deserve any faith right now. Zero.
I assumed when you first wrote that you were speaking for yourself, but since you seem to be doubling down: you don't know their intentions, none of us do. Your wording in these two posts sounds like you're arbitrating a known truth and not expressing an opinion.
 

tims4wins

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I assumed when you first wrote that you were speaking for yourself, but since you seem to be doubling down: you don't know their intentions, none of us do. Your wording in these two posts sounds like you're arbitrating a known truth and not expressing an opinion.
It doesn't matter what their intentions are. Their actions are the only thing that matters. It's been 4 years. If something changes, great. Until then, they are showing and telling us who they are.

I don't understand why this is so difficult to understand.

The Red Sox are not trying to compete for a championship, and have not since 2019.
 

jbupstate

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Source?

(Or is this part of the “not rational and without support alert” you alluded to? Genuinely unsure the way it reads.)
No source.

I’ve always felt they left Bloom swinging in the wind. Trade Betts = Bad Ending

Not sure I can find a word better than dysfunctional to describe the upper management of the Sox now. I absolutely buy the need for building and Weaponizing the development machine (Theo?) but the foot in mouth stuff is more embarrassing than last place for me.
 

simplicio

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It's also been 4 years that have coincided with a minor league rebuild from the worst system in the game. You may be willing to call their behavior conclusive; I'm not.
It doesn't matter what their intentions are. Their actions are the only thing that matters. It's been 4 years. If something changes, great. Until then, they are showing and telling us who they are.

I don't understand why this is so difficult to understand.

The Red Sox are not trying to compete for a championship, and have not since 2019.
 

tims4wins

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It's also been 4 years that have coincided with a minor league rebuild from the worst system in the game. You may be willing to call their behavior conclusive; I'm not.
It's conclusive for the last 4 years. I hope - and every one of us does too - that it changes. I will see it when I believe it. YMMV.

Edit: and as has been rehashed over, and over, and again... if they were truly trying to rebuild, why did they do what they did at the 22 and 23 deadlines? Why did they sign Kluber? Jensen? Etc. Just BLOW IT UP.
 

CR67dream

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It doesn't matter what their intentions are. Their actions are the only thing that matters. It's been 4 years. If something changes, great. Until then, they are showing and telling us who they are.

I don't understand why this is so difficult to understand.
Two years and 3 months ago they were in the ALCS. It has not all been horrible though it has been a rough stretch and it stinks and sucks and stinks. At least use a factual basis for your take if you are asking others to argue in good faith. It's a bad enough situation without embellishment.

None of us is the arbiter of truth, your opinion is not the only valid one, as hard as that may be for you to accept.

I don't understand why that's so difficult to understand.
 

chawson

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You don't set the terms. That said, everyone to their corners and move on from the pile-on. Not a request. @chawson, please do your part to back off absolute statements, and that goes for all of us as well. None of us knows anything for sure. Tim's last 2 sentences are on the nose.
I’m happy to agree to this but can you point out the absolute statement I made? I understand you’re peacekeeping and I appreciate it. But is it really out of bounds for me to say that the Red Sox are among a few teams interested in (aka “in on”) Jordan Montgomery? Because that seems to be why these three guys are throwing a fit and tagging me every 20 minutes.

I have the same info anyone does. You have to make a hell of a lot greater intellectual leap to think the Sox are not interested, given the breadth of reports. If it’s been reported for weeks that he wants to go to the Rangers, why hasn’t that happened?
 
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Max Power

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It's conclusive for the last 4 years. I hope - and every one of us does too - that it changes. I will see it when I believe it. YMMV.

Edit: and as has been rehashed over, and over, and again... if they were truly trying to rebuild, why did they do what they did at the 22 and 23 deadlines? Why did they sign Kluber? Jensen? Etc. Just BLOW IT UP.
They signed Kluber and JAnsen because they were trying to win. It just didn't work out because they didn't have enough young talent and injury luck.
 

sezwho

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No source.

I’ve always felt they left Bloom swinging in the wind. Trade Betts = Bad Ending

Not sure I can find a word better than dysfunctional to describe the upper management of the Sox now. I absolutely buy the need for building and Weaponizing the development machine (Theo?) but the foot in mouth stuff is more embarrassing than last place for me.
I can almost see Werner lining up Breslow for the blame already. I think they may have hired the only guy who told them what they wanted to hear: I can win with this roster, without spending.

Also, @CR67dream, you deserve a medal.
 

CR67dream

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I’m happy to agree to this but can you point out the absolute statement I made? I understand your peacekeeping and I appreciate it. But is it really out of bounds for me to say that the Red Sox are among a few teams interested in (aka “in on”) Jordan Montgomery? Because that seems to be why these three guys — the loudest among them who posted “I do not read any media aside from social media” — are throwing a fit and tagging me every 20 minutes.

I have the same info anyone does. You have to make a hell of a lot greater intellectual leap to think the Sox are not interested, given the breadth of reports. If it’s been reported for weeks that he wants to go to the Rangers, why hasn’t that happened?
Just stop. For the love of God. I'll PM you when I have a minute later, but we're all done here.
 

YTF

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At some point we're all going to end up paying the consequences for the need that a few have to continue double, triple and quadruple down. Suggestions have been made to move on and the most recent responses have been...I'm fine with letting go so long as...I'm happy to agree to this, but... Yes I'm singling two guys out. They aren't the only ones, but ATM they're really dragging these threads down for all of us. The mods here have been more than fair and @CR67dream has been god damn saint-like. Quite honestly I'm shocked they haven't elected to shut the whole damn board down for a day or two.
 

LostinNJ

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Jul 19, 2005
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I think it’s fine to not spend if you don’t think the right assets are available. I think it’s fine to wait another year for the core to develop.

But making your park one of the top expensive places to visit in the league - and continuing to raise prices is not okay. They’ve priced out casual visit and now it’s like Disneyland where you need to save up to go.

If you’re going to charge top dollar you have to spend top dollar. Or at least act like a team that will.

Once again though - it’s the messaging being conveyed. It doesn’t feel like an ownership trying to win anything but their return on investment and that’s annoying.

Being a bad team that tries is better than whatever it is we are watching.
If we think they're charging too much for an inferior product, we have the same power all consumers have: don't buy the product. If attendance is down significantly (or even slightly), they'll see they'd better take a different approach.
 

absintheofmalaise

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No one is going to shut anything down, but these discussions have gone on for a while and I seriously doubt anything will ever be resolved. Too many people talking past each other and questioning motives and bias. People need to realize that at times it's better to just walk away. Now is one of those times. If people want to continue this please take it to PMs.
 

grepal

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Slight correction: median NBA salary is 4.6MM. Median MLB is 4.9MM. NBA salaries are capped, of course, so the top end is way lower than MLB as well.

Median Cs tickets are way more expensive, though.
But only half the games, half the players too, but to be fair not as many seats to sell
 

grepal

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Fact: I posited that ownership cared more about money than fans for awhile. I got a lot of snark for it.
Fact: owners have acted in a way that's been not great to fans for the third most valuable franchise in mlb.
Fact: if you don't like my posts feel free to skip them.
I always expect owners to care about money over people. I am always surprised when that is not the case. That is fine with me if the company is fighting with all resources available to dominate the market. Anything else and the shareholders are out for blood. We fans are stake holders. We vote with our dollars. Plenty of entertaining baseball in New England in the Summer without the Sox. The Cape league is famous, local school and Summer teams are fun. Kids in the minors fighting for a chance. If you are a baseball purist who can't live without the game you have a plethora of choices other than the Sox. Only way I will go to a Sox game this year is with a free ticket. I'll buy my food outside the park, will probably wear my Betts or Ortiz jersey my 10 year or older cap. Might spring for a water so the Sox get a couple of dollars from me.
 

Big Papi's Mango Salsa

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No source.

I’ve always felt they left Bloom swinging in the wind. Trade Betts = Bad Ending

Not sure I can find a word better than dysfunctional to describe the upper management of the Sox now. I absolutely buy the need for building and Weaponizing the development machine (Theo?) but the foot in mouth stuff is more embarrassing than last place for me.
Fair enough.

For the other side of the coin, I personally don’t believe that FSG meddles in baseball ops - at least in the sense beyond saying “here is the budget you must be at this year - and anything above that your job is on the line.” As an example, I don’t believe they ever once told Bloom “you MUST trade Mookie Betts” any more than they told DDski “you must sign David Price”, but they absolutely gave a reset mandate in 2020 - hope the distinction makes sense.

Obviously neither of us know one way or the other.

(My aim is not to rehash MB, just saying that I bet they told Bloom “your budget this year is $LTT(.97)” and how it was arrived at was a baseball ops call. And just for the record, I agree with how it was done so this isn‘t to pile on Bloom.)

Oh, fwiw, agree totally on the “foot in the mouth” stuff. They would be better served being honest, at least in terms of generalities, or just shutting up.
 

absintheofmalaise

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I may be wrong about this but I thought Henry said something to the effect that they decided they had to trade MB because they didn't want to lose him and get nothing in return.

I'm new here, I gather that there's not much enthusiasm for the 'rehash MB' thing, but I thought when MB visited town last season and spoke to the media he said a couple of pretty interesting things. One was to deny that an offer of $300 mill was ever actually extended (in spite of him apparently saying he had turned down such an offer in a report several years earlier). The second was when he invited the media to talk to Chaim Bloom if they wanted further details of the negotiations. Which seemed to imply that after Bloom took over there were further negotiations that failed. I was surprised that none of this was really followed up on by media at all.
We have a Mookie thread to talk about all things Mookie trade. This is not the thread to rehash this again. I'm moving your post there.
 

pearccol

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Sam Kennedy just said that the Sox were in on Miguel Sano until the very end….but the sides just didn’t line up..
 

YTF

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I think your sarcasm meter is set too low. Or maybe mine is.
I think that you're likely correct here, but....
Well. . .we should probably wait on that link before seeing whether it was reported.

Then we should probably vet the source to see if it's credible.
....if this turns out to be an actual quote I would love to know more.
 

nighthob

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Just stop. For the love of God. … we're all done here.
Yes, can we get back to what’s important? Namely blaming the Yankees for everything that’s wrong in the world. I hear that YES’s broadcast signal is responsible for the rapidly increasing rate of cancer metastization.

I thought you’d notice the tongue in my cheek.
We were somewhat creeped out by the fact that it was Jean Yawkey’s tongue.
 

reggiecleveland

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I am considering cancelling my mlb tv account which I have had since 2003.
I have lost the faith. Until people stop going to the park, stop giving them our money, they have no reason to win. Jh has checked it off his bucket list and is on to eating the last snow leopard or whatever goals billionaires set for thenseves.
 

Diamond Don Aase

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Britt Ghiroli of The Athletic attempting to increase MassLive’s exposure (probably) by writing about Boston management’s blurred vision:

Message in a Bobble

But, particularly with this group, actions speak louder than words.

Are these Red Sox, predicted to finish last again, with a payroll currently at 10th in the game, ever prepared to go full throttle again? Is this a momentary dip in Boston's spoiled recent history (no one in baseball has as many titles over the past two decades as the Red Sox), or the new normal? Only team leadership can answer that. And even if they did: Would you trust the messengers?
 

SouthernBoSox

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https://www.bostonglobe.com/2024/01/25/sports/this-is-no-bridge-year-understanding-red-sox-payroll-outlook/

This is an incredibly sobering piece from Speier. In summation, there has been a spending sea change.

They are not going to surround the current youth with talent in an effort to compete (ie a “bridge” year), but rather, play the youth and see what they have for the next wave of talent.

“We’re going to let this build of our team sort of dictate what we do as we go forward,” said Kennedy.

At least for now, however, the build is focused on the next core, rather than a bridge to make the path there less treacherous.
It’s a pathetic strategy. Pathetic. If this is what comes to pass this year.
 

moondog80

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It’s not what I would have chosen but there is a logic to sacrificing a win or two on the mean outcome model to give time to say, Abreu/Duran/Houck/Whitlock instead of Soler/Duvall/Wacha/Lugo. Turning the kids into legit big league starters has a ton of upside, but that requires playing time. Though they would gain a lot of credibility by somehow getting closer to the tax, even if it’s just taking on bad contracts to get a prospect or two.
 

simplicio

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Interesting. I don't have glob access, does he give any indication about whether they're still pursuing the RHB? My first thought reading this is wondering if they're giving Rafaela a real shot at being an everyday player.
 

Whoop-La White

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I mean, I understand the idea in theory. I am typically bullish on prospects and given the inflated prices of starters, why not put money into coaching, trust your ability to develop one or two rather than overpay for one on the wrong side of his prime years.

But you've then gone and given $313.5 million to Rafael Devers, and now you're going to surround him with guys trying to grow into major league jobs? How old will Devers be when that next wave of talent crests? Perhaps with the year-to-year variation that recent championship teams like the Rangers have shown, that is less of a factor, and the chances of even a youngish team turning into a playoff contender is still pretty high. And if you're trying to develop players, the best way to do that would seem to be making sure you've got a strong supporting cast.
 

HfxBob

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I mean, I understand the idea in theory. I am typically bullish on prospects and given the inflated prices of starters, why not put money into coaching, trust your ability to develop one or two rather than overpay for one on the wrong side of his prime years.

But you've then gone and given $313.5 million to Rafael Devers, and now you're going to surround him with guys trying to grow into major league jobs? How old will Devers be when that next wave of talent crests? Perhaps with the year-to-year variation that recent championship teams like the Rangers have shown, that is less of a factor, and the chances of even a youngish team turning into a playoff contender is still pretty high. And if you're trying to develop players, the best way to do that would seem to be making sure you've got a strong supporting cast.
Yeah, it really feels like they've been making stuff up on the fly since they fired Bloom, and at some point in the offseason they decided to go all in on this new message of selling the future at the expense of the present - even more so than under Bloom. Which is kind of amazing, really.
 

Jimbodandy

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https://www.bostonglobe.com/2024/01/25/sports/this-is-no-bridge-year-understanding-red-sox-payroll-outlook/

This is an incredibly sobering piece from Speier. In summation, there has been a spending sea change.

They are not going to surround the current youth with talent in an effort to compete (ie a “bridge” year), but rather, play the youth and see what they have for the next wave of talent.



It’s a pathetic strategy. Pathetic. If this is what comes to pass this year.
Honestly the worst part of that is the quote from Kennedy. That is, why is he still talking? For all of the WEEI nonsense speculation about Jonathan Kraft getting involved in football ops, Kennedy actually has a baseball head in Breslow now but is still talking. Therefore, still involved in baseball ops. This is a problem, people.
 

Rovin Romine

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I mean, I understand the idea in theory. I am typically bullish on prospects and given the inflated prices of starters, why not put money into coaching, trust your ability to develop one or two rather than overpay for one on the wrong side of his prime years.

But you've then gone and given $313.5 million to Rafael Devers, and now you're going to surround him with guys trying to grow into major league jobs? How old will Devers be when that next wave of talent crests? Perhaps with the year-to-year variation that recent championship teams like the Rangers have shown, that is less of a factor, and the chances of even a youngish team turning into a playoff contender is still pretty high. And if you're trying to develop players, the best way to do that would seem to be making sure you've got a strong supporting cast.
2024 will be Devers age 27 season. Barring injury or checking out, he's got more than enough time yet for current high school players to make the majors.
 

HfxBob

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Honestly the worst part of that is the quote from Kennedy. That is, why is he still talking? For all of the WEEI nonsense speculation about Jonathan Kraft getting involved in football ops, Kennedy actually has a baseball head in Breslow now but is still talking. Therefore, still involved in baseball ops. This is a problem, people.
At this point it would seem rather naive to think anything but that Kennedy and others are extremely involved in baseball decisions. The Red Sox CBO position seems to have become the replaceable part in the machine.
 

moondog80

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Honestly the worst part of that is the quote from Kennedy. That is, why is he still talking? For all of the WEEI nonsense speculation about Jonathan Kraft getting involved in football ops, Kennedy actually has a baseball head in Breslow now but is still talking. Therefore, still involved in baseball ops. This is a problem, people.
Maybe. But not necessarily. Could be that he's just relaying the strategy crafted by Breslow.

That said, would Sam Kennedy have this job if he wasn't high school buds with Theo Epstein?

Also, would appreciate if someone could post some of the more relevant bits from the article.
 

Philip Jeff Frye

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Mayer, Teel and Anthony are going to end up the most hyped trio of prospects by a franchise since Generation K with the Mets in the mid 1990s. Let's hope they work out better than Pulsipher, Isringhausen and Wilson did.
 

Big Papi's Mango Salsa

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https://www.bostonglobe.com/2024/01/25/sports/this-is-no-bridge-year-understanding-red-sox-payroll-outlook/

This is an incredibly sobering piece from Speier. In summation, there has been a spending sea change.

They are not going to surround the current youth with talent in an effort to compete (ie a “bridge” year), but rather, play the youth and see what they have for the next wave of talent.



It’s a pathetic strategy. Pathetic. If this is what comes to pass this year.
I'm probably going to be in the minority here, but I prefer this route as opposed to the "bridge to nowhere" that you get with one year deals to old players (or the 2022 and 2023 seasons).

Don't get me wrong, I'd VASTLY prefer signing some players to be here for when the kids arrive and to focus on (have focused on) the long and medium duration free agents to go along with them. However of the two choices between "playing the kids" and "not playing the kids to instead have one year or Jorge Soler, Mike Lorenzen, Adam Duvall and Michael Fulmer" I'd rather see what there is in the system.

It's no surprise that I don't think much of what Breslow inherited, especially on the pitching side. But who knows, I could be (and hopefully am) 100% wrong and we have a really good rotation with pieces like Crawford, Houck, Winckowski and Garrett Whitlock while Duran, Abreu and Rafaela could be the OF of the future and you might have a ready made DH in Valdez. I highly doubt this, but I think it's better to see if (realistically) one or two of those pieces are in fact part of the core and see which ones they are as opposed to feigning contention like they have for the past two seasons.

As I've said many times, I firmly believe that FSG sets the budget and the FO chooses what to do with it. Since Jordan Montgomery, Blake Snell, Jesus Luzardo or Dylan Cease aren't walking through that door any time soon, play the kids vs wasting a third straight season competing for nothing and learning nothing about the fringe prospects.

I'll continue to hope that they can a) trade a fully paid for Jansen; b) trade a fully paid for Martin and c) extend Pivetta and if not d) trade Pivetta too before the start of the season. While realizing that is unlikely.
 
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