Patriots' path to No. 2 pick:
One edge the Patriots hold in this "race" for the No. 2 pick is their head-to-head loss to the Commanders in
Week 9. That would end up being a key tiebreaker if the teams finish with the same strength of schedule. All New England needs to do to clinch the second overall pick is to tie the Commanders' SOS.
Considering the same critical five games from the Commanders section just above, the Patriots can earn the second pick simply by losing themselves and having the Ravens and Texans win on Saturday and the Falcons win in the early window on Sunday. In fact, in that scenario, the Patriots wouldn't even have to wait for the results of Bears-Packers and Broncos-Raiders; no matter what happens in the latter two, the Patriots will be guaranteed to be tied or end up with the easier SOS than Washington, assuming the Commanders also lose.
There are other paths to No. 2 for New England if both the Patriots and Commanders lose on Sunday:
- ATL beats NO & at least 2 of PIT, IND, GB & LV lose OR
- All 4 of PIT, IND, GB & LV lose