Patriots' 2024 Free Agency Thread

cshea

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I’d rather them explore a trade for someone like Mike Williams or K. Allen or someone of that nature. Someone who would stand out at the #1 WR.
I'd rather sign Ridley than trade picks for one of those guys. I don't think they are in a position where they should be spending draft capital on short-term veterans.
 

Cellar-Door

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I'd rather sign Ridley than trade picks for one of those guys. I don't think they are in a position where they should be spending draft capital on short-term veterans.
So would NE, but it seems clear he's going back to JAX.
 

cshea

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So would NE, but it seems clear he's going back to JAX.
Right, then I'd just move on to another FA and use the pick to draft someone instead of trading draft picks for veterans. I don't think they're in a position to burn draft picks.

I guess maybe Tee Higgins but I don't love the idea of trading 34 and handing out a huge contract to him with the current state the Pats are in. That feels like something to do down the road if/when they get the guy at QB.
 

Cellar-Door

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Right, then I'd just move on to another FA and use the pick to draft someone instead of trading draft picks for veterans. I don't think they're in a position to burn draft picks.

I guess maybe Tee Higgins but I don't love the idea of trading 34 and handing out a huge contract to him with the current state the Pats are in.
oh I agree. Maybe I'd send a late round pick for Keenan Allen and hope to get a comp pick out of it after this year, but I have no real interest in Williams and overall seems like a position where a 1 year fix does nothing for us

Edit- Courtland Sutton interests me some on the trade front, if it cost a mid-round pick, he's 28 you get 2 years at reasonable money. But I think DEN holds him now that they moved Jeudy
 

tims4wins

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It's going to be weird and disorienting if they do exactly what everyone expects instead of going, like, QB-Trade-Trade-Trade-Safety-QB-TE-G-WR.
Been having this thought recently. Even this free agency period has gone like that. They've done pretty much exactly what I was hoping - got rid of the bums, signed their mid-tier free agents to very reasonable deals, brought back Onwenu (and maybe/probably Dugger).
 

NomarsFool

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The thing I struggle with is that, and this very well could be my Pats-centric view, but it seems like FA WRs are one of the poorest investments. Maybe it's just the typical age when NFL players become FAs and that WRs might decline more rapidly than other positions in the NFL - but it seems like every FA WR we get ends up being a disappointment. I feel like I'd rather spend our cap on best available LT (be willing to overpay for a shorter deal), and then draft a WR and OT project in the 2nd and 3rd round. Just need someone to prevent our new QB from getting wrecked while our new WR and future LT learn to play their positions.
 

BigSoxFan

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The thing I struggle with is that, and this very well could be my Pats-centric view, but it seems like FA WRs are one of the poorest investments. Maybe it's just the typical age when NFL players become FAs and that WRs might decline more rapidly than other positions in the NFL - but it seems like every FA WR we get ends up being a disappointment. I feel like I'd rather spend our cap on best available LT (be willing to overpay for a shorter deal), and then draft a WR and OT project in the 2nd and 3rd round. Just need someone to prevent our new QB from getting wrecked while our new WR and future LT learn to play their positions.
We have the cap space to do both but I agree that LT and RT should be the priority here. But a guy like Marquise Brown would be a nice upgrade and he’s only 26 (27 in June).
 

Silverdude2167

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Has Judon ever successfully recruited anyone? Off the top of my head, In the last two weeks he's tweeted/tried to recruit Marquise Brown, Marlon Humphrey, Mike Evans, and Xavien Howard. Im pretty sure Ive heard a "Judon is recruiting player X" story at least 2 dozen times.

I don't think hes very popular.
Worst GM ever
 

Average Game James

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I’d trade a mid/late round pick for Allen in a heartbeat. I get that the team is rebuilding, but you want to have some pieces on offense. We’ve seen several examples across the league of what giving a young QB some weapons can do and should be thinking about team building through the lens of what will drive the development of whatever guy they get at #3. They should be adding talent both in the draft and through FA/trades.

At $23 million, Allen probably only a touch more expensive than Ridley will be, but is a much better player. And if he’s great in 2024 you can conceivably franchise him. So then you have two years of Allen for something like $48-50mn (e.g. basically what Mike Evans got) over which period you hope the guy you draft develops into a bigger piece of the offense.
 

Jed Zeppelin

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The thing I struggle with is that, and this very well could be my Pats-centric view, but it seems like FA WRs are one of the poorest investments. Maybe it's just the typical age when NFL players become FAs and that WRs might decline more rapidly than other positions in the NFL - but it seems like every FA WR we get ends up being a disappointment. I feel like I'd rather spend our cap on best available LT (be willing to overpay for a shorter deal), and then draft a WR and OT project in the 2nd and 3rd round. Just need someone to prevent our new QB from getting wrecked while our new WR and future LT learn to play their positions.
I think it's just the nature of the position and what it takes to actually get an elite receiver in their prime.
  • Draft one and hold on tight, reassessing when it's time for their 3rd contract
  • AJ Brown/Diggs/Hill route—trade for one looking for a monster contract and pay a hefty price (usually a FRP + the contract)
That's about it. You can get lucky every once in a while with a guy blossoming in a new situation and whatnot but if you don't get one from the above methods you are generally left with a far less palatable collection of FA options:
  • Older guy on his last legs
  • Reclamation project
  • Overpaying #2/#3 guys in FA
The difference with WR is there isn't really a ton you can do to make a good receiver look like a great one, or an average one look good, or a bad one look average. The same doesn't hold true for lots of other positions. You can help an OT with a quick passing game and chip blocks. Any RB can look pretty good behind a strong OL. Receivers are an island and there's just not a ton you can do if the guys you have aren't good. Having a historically good QB helps of course, but, well. So because we've had a fairly bad picker recently we've burned a ton of cash on the likes of Agholor and JuJu.
 

DennyDoyle'sBoil

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I’d trade a mid/late round pick for Allen in a heartbeat. I get that the team is rebuilding, but you want to have some pieces on offense. We’ve seen several examples across the league of what giving a young QB some weapons can do and should be thinking about team building through the lens of what will drive the development of whatever guy they get at #3. They should be adding talent both in the draft and through FA/trades.

At $23 million, Allen probably only a touch more expensive than Ridley will be, but is a much better player. And if he’s great in 2024 you can conceivably franchise him. So then you have two years of Allen for something like $48-50mn (e.g. basically what Mike Evans got) over which period you hope the guy you draft develops into a bigger piece of the offense.
I would be much more into it if they could somehow sign and extend. That's a really big chunk of our remaining cap. With a free agent we could do some cap tricks.
 

Cellar-Door

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I would be much more into it if they could somehow sign and extend. That's a really big chunk of our remaining cap. With a free agent we could do some cap tricks.
18M isn't terrible, not sure how much you want to extend him for in terms of years, he was excellent last year, but he's 32 and missed 1 in 3 games over the last 2 years.
 

DennyDoyle'sBoil

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18M isn't terrible, not sure how much you want to extend him for in terms of years, he was excellent last year, but he's 32 and missed 1 in 3 games over the last 2 years.
I'm pretty sure that it's $23.1 actually. Spotrac has him at $18.1 million base and $5 million roster.
 

Justthetippett

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I feel the opposite. He has had some success here, and there was no way he was returning here on that monster contract he signed with the Chargers. I'd also be completely fine with it. I thought he played well enough here to get another look.
He played pretty well but still had the reliability/behavior issues. I would keep in contact but probably do this post draft or something, if at all.
 

DJnVa

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Not really. We were talking yesterday about how going back to Jax after 4 p.m. reduces the draft pick the Jaguars owe ATL
Yes, and this is saying he doesn't think he is returning to JAX. Which was what everyone was assuming...
 

Kenny F'ing Powers

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Yes, and this is saying he doesn't think he is returning to JAX. Which was what everyone was assuming...
Everyone? Who's everyone?

I was on an island, but made my feelings pretty clear about the social media misdirection.
 

DJnVa

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Everyone? Who's everyone?

I was on an island, but made my feelings pretty clear about the social media misdirection.
Okay, fine, "A lot of people on twitter seemed to think Ridley/Jax were waiting it out, however, not 100% of people thought this."
 

j44thor

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Mike Williams is 29 going on 40.
He'll have plenty of suitors that want to overpay him, hard pass for me.
 

Kenny F'ing Powers

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yeah, he's a significantly better version of Parker when he's on the field.
Mike Williams, Hollywood Brown, and Gabe Davis do similar things as deep threats. I think they're all a little less refined route runners than Ridley.

That said, if they got Williams or Brown, I'd be OK with it. I also think that, if there's not an actual agreement in place with the Jags, this might spur Ridley to make a decision quicker. Williams can do 85% of what Ridley can do, and will probably do it a lot cheaper.
 

Dogman

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Games played over 7 years with the Chargers are 10, 16, 15, 15, 16, 13, 3. Initially I thought he missed more games, but it is just the last 2 years. If the money is right, I think he is worth it.
 

Time to Mo Vaughn

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The question I have about signing Mike Williams is all about which version is going to show up.

Are you getting the USC, Syracuse or Clemson version?
 

SuperManny

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Games played over 7 years with the Chargers are 10, 16, 15, 15, 16, 13, 3. Initially I thought he missed more games, but it is just the last 2 years. If the money is right, I think he is worth it.
it will be interesting to see how much he gets compared to Ridley, I think I would actually prefer Williams due to his size
 

NickEsasky

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Games played over 7 years with the Chargers are 10, 16, 15, 15, 16, 13, 3. Initially I thought he missed more games, but it is just the last 2 years. If the money is right, I think he is worth it.
The 13 is a little misleading because he had the back injury in the last game of the season that left him out of the playoffs. So he missed a few games and then also missed the playoffs. So while he was fine before 2022 a WR coming off a fracture in his back and an ACL tear worries me.
 

j44thor

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The 13 is a little misleading because he had the back injury in the last game of the season that left him out of the playoffs. So he missed a few games and then also missed the playoffs. So while he was fine before 2022 a WR coming off a fracture in his back and an ACL tear worries me.
Esp at his size.
 

NickEsasky

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I mean it may be true but what sources does Bedard have?
 
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Justthetippett

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If true it's definitely not helping Ridley's negotiating position with Jax to have this out there. He at least has to convince them he's considering other destinations.
 

DennyDoyle'sBoil

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I know that draft picks are assigned points but does anyone have any sense of how teams might value draft picks in terms of dollars?

To sign Ridley the Jags need to essentially use pick number 79. I imagine that puts pressure on the offer they can make. It feels like if their offer was good enough that he would have taken it by now.

Unless there is a third team involved, I guess one question is how long the Patriots are ok with their offer being on the table. I assume as some point they need to call the question. Maybe they feel confident enough that their offer is right that they don't care. That is if they are confident they are on a number where they would not feel materially different if he walks or says yes, then maybe they just let it sit there and let him do what he is going to do.

Edit -- or I guess I don't understand. It sounds like the Falcons get the 3d round pick either way.