It means Nunez is on the roster. If last year is any indication, there's not necessarily any correlation between the two factors you mentioned.That must mean that Nunez is on the roster and healthy.
It means Nunez is on the roster. If last year is any indication, there's not necessarily any correlation between the two factors you mentioned.That must mean that Nunez is on the roster and healthy.
Wow. Pleasant surprise there. So does that mean:
25 man roster not 26.Wow. Pleasant surprise there. So does that mean:
- Betts
- JBJ
- Martinez
- Benintendi
- Holt
- Nunez
- Devers
- Bogaerts
- Kinsler
- Pearce
- Holt
- Vazquez
- Leon
- Swihart
- Sale
- Price
- Porcello
- ERod
- Eovaldi
- Kimbrel
- Barnes
- Brasier
- Kelley
- Wright
- Workman
- Hembree
You could probably make an argument for Lin and Nunez over Kinsler and Nunez but that was never going to happen.That must mean that Nunez is on the roster and healthy.
It seems impossible that even with a numbered list I could manage that. I will stand by the list and drop number 26. Hembree.25 man roster not 26.
it's 25, as the poster above mentioned above but there was also no mention of Poyner. Maybe he just went home.Wow. Pleasant surprise there. So does that mean:
- Betts
- JBJ
- Martinez
- Benintendi
- Holt
- Nunez
- Devers
- Bogaerts
- Kinsler
- Pearce
- Holt
- Vazquez
- Leon
- Swihart
- Sale
- Price
- Porcello
- ERod
- Eovaldi
- Kimbrel
- Barnes
- Brasier
- Kelley
- Wright
- Workman
- Hembree
I'd prefer Poyner to Kelly, so...it's 25, as the poster above mentioned above but there was also no mention of Poyner. Maybe he just went home.
You have Holt twice.It seems impossible that even with a numbered list I could manage that. I will stand by the list and drop number 26. Hembree.
Holt is so good they have to use two roster spots for him?Wow. Pleasant surprise there. So does that mean:
- Betts
- JBJ
- Martinez
- Benintendi
- Holt
- Nunez
- Devers
- Bogaerts
- Kinsler
- Pearce
- Holt
- Vazquez
- Leon
- Swihart
- Sale
- Price
- Porcello
- ERod
- Eovaldi
- Kimbrel
- Barnes
- Brasier
- Kelley
- Wright
- Workman
- Hembree
Can’t do it Sally.You have Holt twice.
And whither Pomeranz? Not "sent home." Not "told to be ready."
Oh, wait.....here he is talking with Dombrowski:
You have Holt twice.
And whither Pomeranz? Not "sent home." Not "told to be ready."
Oh, wait.....here he is talking with Dombrowski:
You've directly contradicted yourself here. Projection systems don't claim to say what will happen, they claim to estimate the probability of different outcomes. If someone claims that there is an 80% chance that X will happen and a 20% chance that Y will happen, and Y happens it does not mean that the original claim was wrong. You can only evaluate the original claim if you take a large enough sample of events.I fully understand those systems ... they all said the Yankees would run away with the division in the 2nd half ... go ahead, look them up. I was right and they were wrong, but hey, it's "science".
I'm not sure he's any worse than Hembree right now.There is no way that Drew Pomeranz belongs on the postseason roster.
I think he might be better.I'm not sure he's any worse than Hembree right now.
Cora has pretty much come right out and said he's keeping all threeI wouldn't be surprised to see Vazquez left off. Do they really need 3 catchers?
Yes. The top two can't hit, the 3rd one plays multiple positions, and the team has been pretty good at pinch-hitting this year (to the extent that's a skill, so YMMV). I expect that Cora will treat the catcher's spot like an NL pitcher, in terms of pinch-hitting. 4th or 5th inning, close game, men on, he's not letting Leon hit.I wouldn't be surprised to see Vazquez left off. Do they really need 3 catchers?
You're spot on with where you're heading here, but wanted to say you're analogy follows a center-weighted probability model, wheras a 6 sided die is an evenly weighted probability.Let's say I'm rolling a six sided die, and that we know the die is truly random. We know mathematically that the expected value of my roll is 3.5, but I will literally never roll a 3.5. I'll only roll a 3 or a 4 1/3 of the time, and I'll roll an "extreme" result of 1 or 6 a third of the time. That doesn't mean that the expected value isn't 3.5.
linkThe tradeoff between Belanger’s lousy offense and great defense was usually one Weaver was willing to make, but he was not above trying to gain an edge. In September of 1975, Weaver often used Royle Stillman as the shortstop high in the starting lineup in road games, allowing rookie Stillman to bat in the first inning and Belanger to replace him in the bottom of the first. Stillman was an outfielder, and never played an inning of shortstop in his career, despite his six “starts” there in 1975. He hit 3-for-6 in these games.
I'd guess they have his phone number.I'm a little surprised they told Johnson and Velazquez to stick around but not Tzu-Wei Lin. The way Nunez has been prone to hurt his legs on short notice I thought it might be a good precaution.
Cora and coaches are going with “ride the hot hand” and not worrying about SSS.Is anyone else surprised they’re committing to Eovaldi for a start over EdRo? I know Eo has done well against the MFY but it’s still SSS. I don’t think anyone would so EdRo is not the better pitcher.
MFY OPS against LHP .801 against RHP .774. That probably contributes.Is anyone else surprised they’re committing to Eovaldi for a start over EdRo? I know Eo has done well against the MFY but it’s still SSS. I don’t think anyone would so EdRo is not the better pitcher.
Lin was sent to Ft Myers to stay in shape just in case they need him. Johnson and Velazquez hung around to throw live BP during the week to keep everyone sharp. Wouldn't surprise me if they were sent to Ft Myers too once the series starts.I'm a little surprised they told Johnson and Velazquez to stick around but not Tzu-Wei Lin. The way Nunez has been prone to hurt his legs on short notice I thought it might be a good precaution.
Yeah I hear you. I would be pretty bummed if I was ERod though. He’s had a helluva year for the most part, and is a much bigger part of the team’s future than Eovaldi.Cora and coaches are going with “ride the hot hand” and not worrying about SSS.
I hadn't heard the Ft Myers angle. Thanks - it makes sense now.Lin was sent to Ft Myers to stay in shape just in case they need him. Johnson and Velazquez hung around to throw live BP during the week to keep everyone sharp. Wouldn't surprise me if they were sent to Ft Myers too once the series starts.
That doesn't seem like enough of a split to be a factor, but maybe it is. I thought it would be more of a spread that this.MFY OPS against LHP .801 against RHP .774. That probably contributes.
If the Sox are going to win the WS this year, Rodriguez likely will play a major part in it. I doubt he's all that bummed.Yeah I hear you. I would be pretty bummed if I was ERod though. He’s had a helluva year for the most part, and is a much bigger part of the team’s future than Eovaldi.
It may not be as simple as "Hembree Sucks" but I do think it has a lot to do with late season performance. Hembree kinda fell off in August, in particular his strikeout rate. He's a strikeout pitcher and he wasn't getting as many whiffs late in the year. His K/9 by month...10.1, 12.3, 11.8, 14.8, 8.6, 9.9. If Hembree isn't striking guys out, he's very hittable. Workman may not have the big fastball or the high K rate, but he's much more consistent with a better mix of pitches. Plus he's been successful in high pressure playoff spots before.I'm surprised with Workman over Hembree.
What do you think the tipping point was?
(Please, no "Hembree Sucks" answers)
I thought they might go with Poyner over Kelly. Otherwise it's exactly as I would have suspected.No surprises
Over the last two months, Hembree has been pretty regularly ineffective. Workman has been effective much more often than not. Workman also had a game or 3 where he was clearly not very good, but managed not to gascan the whole thing. And I wonder if Workman's nerve-less 2013 run is a point in his favor with Cora.I'm surprised with Workman over Hembree.
What do you think the tipping point was?
(Please, no "Hembree Sucks" answers)
I'm a little surprised Kelly made it. So many of his second half outings were awful. Cora seemed frustrated with him at times in post game pressers.I thought they might go with Poyner over Kelly. Otherwise it's exactly as I would have suspected.
I could see a role for Kelly as a sort of a ROOGY, being brought in to get one out against a batter that analytics or recent history say he matches up well against. Is there anyone on the MFY who’s been especially bad facing JoKe?I'm a little surprised Kelly made it. So many of his second half outings were awful. Cora seemed frustrated with him at times in post game pressers.
I guess it comes down to not having many better alternatives and that Kelly throws gas. But damn, keep that guy far from high leverage.
WHIP and upside. When Kelly is actually on the top of his game, he's dominant. When Velazquez is on the top of his, he's beholden to the BAbip gods.Velazquez has an ERA of 3.18 this year, Kelly 4.39. They are both right-handed and both struggled at various times late in the year. What are the fancy stats that make Kelly the better choice?