I had as low as U18.5. That 3rd Q outburst made it dicey but paid off in the end. Covered for the Hawks second half outburst costing me Game and TT Unders.I played some Capela U21.5 PRA. Then a dabble on some lower numbers. He’s had a tough start to the series, hoping it continues.
I’ve got some Pk and -1.5 to go along with the pregame 1H and full game Unders.I’ve been adding to Den in game here between 0 and -4 at +adjusted levels as they started slow. Not sure this Minnesota team wants to travel back to Denver and the longer this stays close the more I think Denver eventually pulls away.
Hawks TT is what I hit, though getting heavily limited and trying to be creative on it to get more down. 108.5 is the TT, if Murray is suspended I wonder if they will really struggle offensively in this one.Well the in-games didn’t work out and we snuck the Under in by a half point in OT (that I found out about when I woke up this morning geez).
Played Celtics -11 last night but once this gets to -12.5/-13 I wouldn’t be touching. The much safer play once this number gets blown out imo is the Hawks TT Under. I’m waiting for those to pop up for me. That should be good.
I expect him to and I believe the market does as well which is beginning to push the side number higher and the total lower. Murray’s offense was critical in them getting the G3 win as he made a ton of high difficulty shots when we were contesting well.Hawks TT is what I hit, though getting heavily limited and trying to be creative on it to get more down. 108.5 is the TT, if Murray is suspended I wonder if they will really struggle offensively in this one.
Payback for some of these OT losses!39 point 4th Quarter delivers the Knicks/Cavs under.
I ignore this noise. There is a long list of reasons why these numbers are completely meaningless.78% of bets are on the over tonight
84% of the $$ is on the under
Don't do this. Short of it being from a sharp book like Circa (who says they absolutely won't!), this is going to actively hurt you. My favorite thread explaining why:78% of bets are on the over tonight
84% of the $$ is on the under
Yup! This is perfect!Don't do this. Short of it being from a sharp book like Circa (who says they absolutely won't!), this is going to actively hurt you. My favorite thread explaining why:
Thank you!Don't do this. Short of it being from a sharp book like Circa (who says they absolutely won't!), this is going to actively hurt you. My favorite thread explaining why:
View: https://twitter.com/adamchernoff/status/1616204884625485824
Do not confuse this with my foolproof “poker table consensus plays” which have a long term “success” rate of close to 15%. I ignore the contrarian numbers that a site provides however fading poker degen consensus talk is proven gold! LolThanks for sharing this. The contrarian spots are often very tempting and I have often wondered about a lot of the points raised in that thread - super helpful to see them addressed.
What's the poker table saying these days? Trae Young going to lead the Hawks to victory?!Do not confuse this with my foolproof “poker table consensus plays” which have a long term “success” rate of close to 15%. I ignore the contrarian numbers that a site provides however fading poker degen consensus talk is proven gold! Lol
I’ve been on road trip just returned from NJ last night so haven’t been at the tables. I’ll be sure to listen for what is being said about the Heat.What's the poker table saying these days? Trae Young going to lead the Hawks to victory?!
I took +7 earlier today you can get 7.5 now. Ridiculous number imo. I have Boston -3.5So no confidence and any if the sides/totals tonight?
Chicken Dinner!Played Under 219 Lakers/Grizz good. Don’t know why this number isn’t being adjusted late in this series. I expect this to close 217.
I have a little Denver -3 at home against what I feel is an overvalued Suns team. No real option on the Total but I did sprinkle some Winning Margin 17+ wagers. I think a blowout is live if they are knocking down three’s.Does Denver TT seem low at 115.5?
Anyone play the winning margins? Got +1800 on 17-19. Very happy Cameron did not inflict me with Payne and missed that 3-pointer on their final possession.I have a little Denver -3 at home against what I feel is an overvalued Suns team. No real option on the Total but I did sprinkle some Winning Margin 17+ wagers. I think a blowout is live if they are knocking down three’s.
I fucking cowardly cashed out a denver 17-20 margin i had placed all day at the last minute. Damn itAnyone play the winning margins? Got +1800 on 17-19. Very happy Cameron did not inflict me with Payne and missed that 3-pointer on their final possession.
G7 Unders are historically gold but this contradicts the Kings path which is to play untrafast. I lean to the Kings not responding optimally to a G7, not taking the Warriors out of their comfort zone. I like Warriors and Kings TT Under.I can’t believe they have a game 7 starting at 12:30 in Cali. Any thoughts for that game?
I’m really looking forward to watching this game with zero action on it. Maybe a live bet at some point?Welp. Jinxed the Knicks. Let’s see if I can do the same for the Dubs.
Nicely done. Kings well short of the 115.G7 Unders are historically gold but this contradicts the Kings path which is to play untrafast. I lean to the Kings not responding optimally to a G7, not taking the Warriors out of their comfort zone. I like Warriors and Kings TT Under.
I don’t have an answer why I didn’t play this game either pre or start of 4Q Under. Glad I shared though. I had said all week that the Kings did not want a G7…..yet didn’t act on it. Weird.Nicely done. Kings well short of the 115.
Added another wager for TuesdayPlaying these right now with the expectation that Butler either doesn’t play on Tuesday, 90% imo, or he is limited.
* Knicks -6.5
* Heat TT Under 100.5
+5 on FanDuelAdded another wager for Tuesday
* Lakers +4.5
Great opportunity for Lakers to steal one with the Warriors bouncing back on one day off an emotional G7 road win. Get it quick this will close 3/3.5
I’ll be in Philly and AC during the week, CT on weekend and back to NJ following week. I’ll have some options aside from my PPH and BOL.+5 on FanDuel