The consistent theme emerging from Berman's orders thus far is that he thinks both sides are acting irrationally. Both sides are going to get a talking to at pappy's knee before he hears an argument.
He basically got called out for not being credible by the Judge in the Ray Rice case.BroodsSexton said:The real question is how Goodell acts in the presence of a federal judge. Do we think he'll be intimidated?
edmunddantes said:Here's a legal question.
What does it bode that the Judge is saying "15 pages only... double spaced on motion to vacate"?
CaptainLaddie said:Forgive me here: when you guys say "settlement", we're not talking about Brady taking a deal for 2 games or some tripe like that, right? We're talking settling this whole thing.
Doubtful. Settlements end things. He could push them toward a settlement by saying that is what he's inclined to do. But an announced settlement for all purposes should end the litigation and the arbitration matter that started it.AB in DC said:
i would assume that "settlement" could mean "vacate and send to an independent arbitrator instead"...yes?
PaulinMyrBch said:Doubtful. Settlements end things. He could push them toward a settlement by saying that is what he's inclined to do. But an announced settlement for all purposes should end the litigation and the arbitration matter that started it.
Why do you say that?BroodsSexton said:
I have a feeling that would embolden the PA.
The focus then would shift to the oral argument before Judge Berman, because that would be the day on which — before, during, or after the hearing ends — he likely would call the lawyers and a key representative from each party (perhaps Roger Goodell and Tom Brady) into his chambers for the purposes of twisting arms (or gouging eyes) in an effort to settle the case.
I’ve said all along that a four-game fine, with no acknowledgment of wrongdoing from Brady, would make the most sense. Although the NFL may strenuously object to that outcome, the league could feel differently if/when Judge Berman says, “You can take no suspension and a four-game fine, or you’ll get no suspension and no fine. It’s up to you.”
I think given the circumstances Brady would take that deal. Misses no games and admits no guilt. He already said he offered a settlement to get it behind him and rumors were that it was a fine-only deal. This is a good deal for him.ivanvamp said:Why would a four-game fine ($1.8 million) make any sense at all? A four-game fine for WHAT, exactly? Where is the historical precedent for anything remotely like that?
amarshal2 said:I think given the circumstances Brady would take that deal. Misses no games and admits no guilt. He already said he offered a settlement to get it behind him and rumors were that it was a fine-only deal. This is a good deal for him.
If this happens I would LOVE it if Pats immediately reworked Brady's contract to give him a $1.8 million raise.ivanvamp said:Why would a four-game fine ($1.8 million) make any sense at all? A four-game fine for WHAT, exactly? Where is the historical precedent for anything remotely like that?
ivanvamp said:Why would a four-game fine ($1.8 million) make any sense at all? A four-game fine for WHAT, exactly? Where is the historical precedent for anything remotely like that?
As you said it's subjective. I think the narrative would play out very differently. No suspension and no admission of guilt is way bigger news than 4 game checks to an incredibly wealthy person who does not care about money (at least that's the perception). People would think the NFL lost, big time.riboflav said:
It's subjective of course, but "good" may not be accurate considering that many folks will look at the largest fine in the history of American sports to a single player for a single incident as strong evidence of guilt. And, I think how NFL fans view his role in this is important to Brady. Yet, there will be others that may be inclined to wonder what all the fuss was about if Brady ultimately will not be serving a suspension of even one game.
It's a joke at this point, right.Eddie Jurak said:The vole just tweeted that NHLPA has filed its counterclaim. Same arguments, less rhetoric.
Marciano490 said:
It's inside baseball, but this just is not done. You really don't try to nudge a judge, ever, especially on timing.
amarshal2 said:As you said it's subjective. I think the narrative would play out very differently. No suspension and no admission of guilt is way bigger news than 4 game checks to an incredibly wealthy person who does not care about money (at least that's the perception). People would think the NFL lost, big time.
It's a joke at this point, right.
PaulinMyrBch said:I would also state this. Settlement discussions where the attorneys are trading offers, checking with relevant parties, getting back to each other, etc., never gain much steam. Too many people, not the right people in the room. What we'll have here is the correct parties in the room, with authority to make it happen, and a guy who is going to lean on someone.
I have not followed the prior NFL/NFLPA court filings at all, so I don't know if these types of settlement/status conferences are standard or whether Berman is really pushing the settlement issue in front of them. But if this is not standard, my guess is he feels someone is really unreasonable at this point and he has intentions on pushing that party. We're all hoping its Goodell, obviously. But if this pressure to settle is truly unusual, this guy is seeing through the BS and he's going to steer it where he thinks it needs to go.
Joe D Reid said:The consistent theme emerging from Berman's orders thus far is that he thinks both sides are acting irrationally. Both sides are going to get a talking to at pappy's knee before he hears an argument.
I think so but I've been surprised at every turn, so who really knows. Once it gets to court, predictions aren't easy.riboflav said:
It'd almost have to be, correct? Why wouldn't the judge at this point just say to the PA, you're full of shit. Punishment stands. If there's room for settlement, then you'd have to think the judge is starting off with, the NFL is being unreasonable.
You are assuming split the difference. I don't get that from what people have said.Nick Kaufman said:I am sorry, but if the judge thinks that he can split the difference in the middle then that's a miscarriage of justice, not to mention an incentive for each party to push as far to the extreme as they can.
IANAL but I really don't like the sound of this. Did we draw the wrong judge? A settlement means Brady is compromising and completing the NFL's railroad of him, and there would be no judge's ruling where he possibly talks about the rights and wrongs done by the NFL.Nick Kaufman said:I am sorry, but if the judge thinks that he can split the difference in the middle then that's a miscarriage of justice, not to mention an incentive for each party to push as far to the extreme as they can.
any thoughts on how judges deal with waht may seem minor to some, but is important to others? If Brady says - I want Goddell to read the statement that I maintain the PSI was down because of nature, and say nothing more. -- does a judge laugh at that, or does he understand that it has tangible value to one party?splendid splinter said:No suspension but Brady has to mow Roger's lawn during the bye week.
A lot of judges push settlement now, but I agree with dcm. There's no way to guess who this favors and it is curious that he is rather adamant this early. Sorry Ivan, but Brady and the union have to be realistic about a settlement. Yes, it's unfair if Brady did nothing wrong, and I believe he did nothing wrong and is a victim of a shitty arbitration system. But some of that blame is on the union for agreeing to the process in the CBA.dcmissle said:I would draw no inferences other than the judge is pushing harder than most, especially at this stage of the proceedings. Guessing whose side he favors, if any, is hazardous.
It IS intriguing that he is pushing this hard. It seems that he WAS paying SOME attention to this as it has unfolded these many months. If you weren't -- and believe me, there are some judges who have no clue what this is about -- you probably woul not be this proactive. Among other things, you would have no sense of the time constraints. In this connection keep in mind that the NFL's confirmation complaint was bare bones -- yet the orders began to fly.
This is not JUST about maintaining the dignity of his courtroom and this proceeding. He could deal with that differently. He plainly did not want things to get worse between the parties, which is curious because they hardly could get worse.
He is clearly motivated to settle and I wonder why.
It is almost as if he dearly loves professional football and wants things that hurt it to stop.
Nice catch lambeaulambeau said:It's rather elegant how in his filing in SDNY (slightly modified from the Minnesota filing), Kessler gets right to it in paragraph 3 emphasizing that Judge Doty's "binding" ruling in Peterson "relies heavily" on the precedent
of Judge Jones in Rice--oh yes, Judge Jones until recently of SDNY, your colleague for fifteen years, who found Mr. Goodell not credible as a witness, arbitrary as a hearing officer and his decision had to be vacated.
Can we pin this to the top of all of these threads? Great point, succinctly put that I think people need to come to grips with.Bongorific said:Brady and the union have to be realistic about a settlement. Yes, it's unfair if Brady did nothing wrong, and I believe he did nothing wrong and is a victim of a shitty arbitration system. But some of that blame is on the union for agreeing to the process in the CBA.
Highly doubtful that the settlement conference (as in where the judge beats up the parties and twists arms to get a deal) will be open court.soxhop411 said:Is this true?
@RMFifthCircuit: By the way, that settlement conference, unless something happens, will be *public*. Real reporters? Make your plane reservations!