Status quo or shake things up?
On the Roster Under Control for Next Year
CF/LF Jarren Duran (L) - 126 wRC+, 2.6 fWAR, 2.0 bWAR - 2 more pre-arb years (27).
LF Masataka Yoshida (L) - 127 wRC+, 1.4 fWAR, 1.7 bWAR - 4/$72m remaining on contract (30).
RF Alex Verdugo (L) - 110 wRC+, 2.2 fWAR, 2.8 bWAR - last arb year, made $6.3m this year (27).
OF Rob Refsynder (R) - 108 wRC+, 0.6 fWAR, 0.2 bWAR - signed for $2m for next year with an option starting at $2m for '25 with escalators (33).
On the 40-Man Roster Under Control for Next Year
CF/SS Ceddanne Rafaela (R) AAA - 144 wRC+, 1.026 OPS (23).
OF Wilyer Abreu (L) AAA - 106 wRC+, .828 OPS (24).
Our Free Agent
OF Adam Duvall (R) - 113 wRC+, 1.1 fWAR, 0.8 bWAR (35).
Free Agents
OF/1B Cody Bellinger (L) - 148 wRC+, 3.8 fWAR, 3.9 bWAR (28).
OF Teoscar Hernández (R) - 96 wRC+, 0.8 fWAR, 1.3 bWAR (31).
OF Joey Gallo (L) - 104 wRC+, 0.6 fWAR, 0.4 bWAR (30).
CF Kevin Kiermaier (R) - 109 wRC+, 1.8 fWAR, 3.1 bWAR (33).
OF Joc Pederson (L) - 113 wRC+, 0.7 fWAR, 0.6 bWAR (31).
OF Harrison Bader (R) - 95 wRC+, 1.6 fWAR, 1.6 bWAR (29).
OF Andrew McCutchen (R) - 117 wRC+, 1.2 fWAR, 1.3 bWAR (37).
OF Charlie Blackmon (L) - 96 wRC+, 0.1 fWAR, 0.2 bWAR (37).
OF Michael Brantley (L) - 127 wRC+, 1.2 fWAR, 1.3 bWAR (2022) (36).
OF Tommy Pham (R) - 118 wRC+, 1.5 fWAR, 1.0 bWAR (36).
OF Randal Grichuk (R) - 112 wRC+, 0.7 fWAR, 0.5 bWAR (32).
OF David Peralta (L) - 94 wRC+, 0.3 fWAR, 0.8 bWAR (36).
OF AJ Pollock (R) - 44 wRC+, -0.7 fWAR, -0.8 bWAR (36).
OF Jurickson Profar (B) - 78 wRC+, -1.5 fWAR, -1.3 bWAR (31).
OF Hunter Renfroe (R) - 103 wRC+, 1.4 fWAR, 0.7 bWAR (32).
OF Robbie Grossman (B) - 92 wRC+, -0.2 fWAR, -0.6 bWAR (32).
OF Wil Myers (R) - 42 wRC+, -0.8 fWAR, -0.7 bWAR (33).
OF Michael A. Taylor (R) - 87 wRC+, 1.0 fWAR, 1.2 bWAR (33).
OF Jesse Winker (L) - 66 wRC+, -0.8 fWAR, -0.7 bWAR (30).
Potential Free Agents
OF Michael Conforto (L) - 97 wRC+, 0.6 fWAR, 0.3 bWAR (31) - $18m player option.
OF Jorge Soler (R) - 126 wRC+, 1.7 fWAR, 0.5 bWAR (32) - $9m player option (technically an opt out).
OF/1B Mark Canha (R) - 98 wRC+, 0.3 fWAR, 1.2 bWAR (35) - $11.5m team option with a $2m buyout.
OF Max Kepler (L) - 108 wRC+, 1.2 fWAR, 1.1 bWAR (31) - $10m team option with a $1m buyout.
OF Víctor Robles (R) - 111 wRC+, 0.4 fWAR, 0.0 bWAR (26) - $3.3m team option.
OF Eddie Rosario (R) - 95 wRC+, 0.4 fWAR, -0.2 bWAR (32) - $9m team option.
The Pipeline
CF/RF Roman Anthony (L) A+ (SoxProspects #2/my #2) - 184 wRC+, 1.078 OPS (19) - Rule 5 Eligible 12/2026
CF/RF Miguel Bleis (R) A (#3/#3) - 72 wrC+, .607 OPS (20) - Rule 5 Eligible 12/2025
SS/CF Nazzan Zanetello (R) FCL (#9/#15) - 29 wRC+, .339 OPS (4 games) (18) - Rule 5 Eligible 12/2027
OF Allan Castro (L) A (#20/#37) - 120 wRC+, .810 OPS (20) - Rule 5 Eligible 12/2023
OF Natanael Yuten (B) FCL (#44/#48) - 132 wRC+, .882 OPS (19) - Rule 5 Eligible 12/2026
OF Phillip Sikes (R) AA (#46/#70) - 85 wRC+, .667 OPS (24) - Rule 5 Eligible 12/2024
OF Corey Rosier (L) AA (#56/#65) - 98 wRC+, .611 OPS (24) - Rule 5 Eligible 12/2024
OF Alexis Hernandez (R) A (NR/#53) - 99 wRC+, .686 OPS (21) - Rule 5 Eligible 12/2023
OF Juan Chacon (L) A+ (NR/#82) - 103 wRC+, .685 OPS (21) - Rule 5 Eligible 12/2023
OF Yosander Asencio (B) DSL (NR/#83) - 153 wRC+, .932 OPS (19) - Rule 5 Eligible 12/2026
OF Bryan Gonzalez (R) A+ (NR/#88) - 102 wRC+, .747 OPS (22) - Rule 5 Eligible 12/2023
OF Eduardo Lopez (L) AA (NR/#91) - 106 wRC+, .742 OPS (21) - Rule 5 Eligible 12/2023
OF Caden Rose (R) FCL (NR/#97) - N/A (22) - Rule 5 Eligible 12/2026
OF Gilberto Jimenez (B) A (NR/#83) - 97 wRC+, .695 OPS (23) - Rule 5 Eligible 12/2023
OF Andy Lugo (R) FCL (NR/#100) - 113 wRC+, .781 OPS (2022 in DSL) (20) - Rule 5 Eligible 12/2025
OF Nelly Taylor (L) FCL (NR/#103) - N/A (22) - Rule 5 Eligible 12/2026
OF Albertson Asigen (R) A (NR/#107) - 153 wRC+, .850 OPS (22) - Rule 5 Eligible 12/2024
OF Karim Ayubi (R) FCL (NR/#116) - 137 wRC+, .767 OPS (20) - Rule 5 Eligible 12/2025
OF Jhostynxon Garcia (R) A (NR/#121) 95 wRC+, .668 OPS (21) - Rule 5 Eligible 12/2023
OF Kelvin Diaz (R) FCL (NR/#125) 122 wRC+, .788 OPS (21) - Rule 5 Eligible 12/2023
My Bottom Line
I don't really have a strong opinion on what they should do...I think they would be totally fine going into the season with the 4 incumbents + C Note, but if they want to get creative & make some moves, they could certainly do that as well.
Whether to let Verdugo play out his final year, extend him, or trade him will be interesting. & I know some people want to sell high on Duran. That group of 5 does make a lot of sense together, though, especially if Rafaela can hit Major League pitching at all.