The issue with returns has largely been Cyrus Jones - and he has largely been replaced at this point. Dude had 2 fumbles in 8 returns, and had a couple "What the hell are you doing? " moments.
I'll believe he's out only when he shows up on the inactive list. This guy played through an AC sprain albeit in the playoffs last year.
Buffalo only 3 point fav next week in Miami (Pats 7.5 fav in Pitt). I would like the see a 3 game lead opened personally...
The guy is having knee surgery today. Every report has said he's already going to miss this week but that they only play once in the next 20 days so he should be ready to go after that. I thought the same thing you did at first, but then I saw those reports and I cannot imagine he'd jeopardize his entire season for this one game.
Where are you seeing 7.5? I'm seeing around 2.5 to 3?
Sounds crazy, right?
Times have certainly changed. For as horrible of a year Fitz is having, he's on pace to throw for 3842 yards. A little more luck and he'd hit 4000. Incredible.
Is that a real thing though, or just a narrative that we weave? If the Bills (or any other team) were a .600 'true talent' level team, but had week to week focus problems, you would expect that focus (or lack thereof), if it were somehow quantifiable, would be a variable that could be worked into a model that predicts wins and losses. Presumably, when they were unfocused they might be a .500 team, and when really focused a .650 team, or something. But the reality is, we don't see that in the narrative ever. We never hear stories like "the team was really unfocused due to Rex this week, but pulled out a good win anyhow," so the effect seems to be that lack of focus appears 100% of the time in losses. Additionally, it's only a post-hoc effect, used to explain how a team could lose to another with a lower expected 'true talent' level.
I don't think there's anything too new about these kinds of numbers after six games. Not common for it to be allowed to continue for a full season, but not exactly unique, either. Bledsoe threw for over 8,000 yards over two years with a QB rating under 70.
It is for the Jets. Their next 4000 yard passer will be their first since 1967 and will very likely set the franchise record.
I'm all for superlatives, but this would mean they would be somewhere between 12 and 14 point favorites for each of those 9 games
I'm starting to think winning out is a real possibility. The biggest question mark games, IMO, are at Denver and at Miami, only because they tend to play down in both places. But I think those two teams are down just enough this year that being home won't help them. The Miami game could end up being a "rest the starters and showcase Jimmy" game.
Im using inpredictable and 2.5 points for homefield. They have the Pats 16 better than SF on a neutral, so by the methodology I was using should probably have been 13.5. I dont know what survivorgrid's exact methodology is, inpredictable takes the current betting market and extrapolates based on today's snapshot.
The Rams game is one of those games that scares me, both in terms of having a let down and Fisher having someone target Gronk low.
