The 2004 team had McDaniels, Daboll, Fears, Scar, Pepper Johnson, Pees, Crennel, Weis, Mangini and Seely. Yes failed future head coaches abound in that list but they were skilled and talented at their specific role. Even the young guys in that group went on to bigger and better things before stalling out. This current group of coaches is nowhere near as inspiring.
I think your post - though well thought out is ignoring the fact that the 'coaching carousel' in all of the NFL is exactly that....networking, past experiences, and familiarity with whatever system the head coach is embracing.
By looking at that list, one could easily say it's a group of past relationships and BB-network as well (Crennel, Weis were 'Parcells guys' with BB ...and Pepper Johnson played for BB defenses with 3 different franchises). Let's not forget Scott Pioli, who was a young scout in the Jets organization with BB --- was brought to New England (and elevated) largely because they were on the same page with how to build an organization.
I understand the thought process with wanting some new blood --- but if you don't think the next coach Vrabel, Mayo, Harbaugh (whoever) isn't going to tap into their own network and familiarity with candidates to build the infrastructure then you've not been paying attention to how this coaching infrastructure gets built.
I think you missed my point to some extent. Perhaps I worded it poorly. I think it’s possible that the Belichick network has been depleted to the point where it no longer is generating the same quality of coaches internally and the external network dried up.
guys like Weis, Seely, Crennel, even Rob Ryan and later Scott OBrien etc had years of experience before joining the staff. Scarnecchia and Fears were long time assistants and respected. Younger positional coaches generally had more time to learn before being moved up and generally were high caliber at their new position.
outside of Steve Belichick who has worked his way up and OBrien, the current staff is a lot of very inexperienced guys or guys who have some experience but nothing really impressive
A new coach would have “his guys” of course but those guys wouldn’t necessarily be assistants who had to shoot through the coaching ranks to replace the brain drain the Pats have seen. I would hope it would be more like the early Patriots years with a collection of more experienced guys with thicker resumes.
every coaching staff has younger guys on it of course, but take the Titans for example since you mentioned Vrabel. Their WR coach, also a former receiver (Rob Moore) has 15 years experience, their RB coach has 18, OL coach has 17, etc. Not all in the NFL but guys who have been around longer than Troy Brown, Cam Achord and Vinnie Sunseri.
not to say experience makes a good coach or inexperienced guys can’t be good. But there are growing pains for young coaches and a lack of experience makes it hard to determine if the guy is any good.
regardless, I still want BB around for one more year but I do think the coaching staff degradation and overall brain drain is worth noting. They’re on their 5th or 6th “generation” of coaches through their mostly internal development system. At some point the quality just isn’t going to be there when you’re promoting guys every few years or are putting guys in key roles with virtually no applicable experience (Brown, Sunseri)