Worth summarizing
Players Leaving
Chapman - $18m
Taillon - $5.8m
Britton - $14m
Green - $4m
Benintendi - $3.2M (prorated)
Wandy Peralta * I see him as Arb 3 already so I think he's a FA also* - $2.15m
Addt' Salary saved
Gallo - $6.6m
Montgomery - $3.9m
Andujar - $1.2M
Potentially Leaving
Judge - $19m
Rizzo - $16m
Rough math has us with the potential to shed almost $90m in payroll before arbitration cases which aren't going to be as bad this year since no big performers are waiting for a raise. Spottrac has us at $196m projected after arbitration.
Where does that leave us?
Scenario A - Resign Judge, Benintendi & Rizzo (Short Version: running in place)
1) Clearly there is room for Judge in 2023 but it starts to get really tight really fast
2) Rizzo at the same or similar salary gets us back up to probably a $260m payroll
3) Dumping JD and assuming we have to eat 75% of his salary doesn't help much, that saves us about $6m
4) If you re-sign Benintendi, you're already back up to 2022 payroll
5) The Yankees probably want a solid bullpen arm. I can see them paying Green to come back or finding another similar $6-8m guy
Lineup looks something like this
DJ - 3B
Bader - CF
Judge - RF
Rizzo - 1B
Stanton - DH
Benintendi - LF
Peraza - SS
Torres - 2B
Trevino - C
So, we're back to 2022 levels of spending by just doing roster maintenance, and bringing back a couple of players. Fans would be in uproar if this is all that happens. I wouldn't blame them. Cannot put your chips on DJ, Beni, and a kid.
Scenario B - Package Gleyber, Hicks, IKF and JD for salary relief
1) JD has 1 year left and Hicks is a waste of space. Together they make $31m, if the Yankees can shed even $20m of that it would be big. Giving them Gleyber is just icing on the cake.
2) Give Volpe 2B, maybe switch Peraza to 3b
3) Trea Turner to 3B or SS
4) Re-sign Judge & Rizzo
5) Cabrera in LF
6) Pitching left alone again, maybe re-sign Green
Bader - CF
Turner - SS
Judge - RF
Rizzo - 1B
Stanton - DH
Cabrera/Dominguez - LF
Peraza - 3B
DJ/ Volpe - 2B
Trevino - C
Scenario C - No Judge - Turner, Conforto, Benintendi, Rizzo
1) Resign Rizzo
2) Conforto & Benintendi share LF/RF
3) Peraza to SS/3b to start the season
4) Turner to 3B/SS
5) DJ to 2B (still need to offload the scenario b players)
6) Add bullpen help
Bader - CF
Benintendi - LF
Turner - 3B/SS
Stanton - DH
Rizzo - 1B
Conforto - RF
Peraza - SS/3B
DJ/ Volpe - 2B
Trevino - C
In my made up scenarios, I would rank those as B, C, A but B is a lot closer to C than it should for losing Judge. I love adding Conforto as another lefty who can hit and him + Turner spreads the offense around better than Judge alone.