I assume Wiggins takes Tatum and Green guards Al…but do they play Poole and leave Timelord to feast, or sit Poole and play Looney? Or if they try Green on Timelord, who covers Al?
We are a much tougher matchup for them than Dallas.
A wayyy tougher matchup than Dallas, to be sure. But I think the core eight rotation guys match up pretty evenly, give or take.
Bigs
Green, Looney, Porter
v.
Williams, Horford, Williams
Mediums-Smalls
Curry, Thompson, Wiggins, Poole, Payton
v.
Tatum, Brown, Smart, White, Pritchard
Eye of the beholder, but I don't see any kind of glaring mismatch either way, in terms of size, skill, offense, or defense. Beyond that, I think the Ws get a slight bump for home court advantage, more playoff experience, and a deeper roster #9-12 (esp. if Payton and Iguodala are both good to go). I'm perplexed by the 538 model's current 76/18 split, but 538's gonna 538. They had the Warriors as
0.1% shot going into the season, behind the Blazers and Knicks.
Anyway, take care of Miami tonight and we'll chat. I for one am looking forward to the last NBA game of the season that I can watch without needing a stiff drink.