#DFG: Canceling the Noise

Is there any level of suspension that you would advise Tom to accept?


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EvilEmpire

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How is it ridiculous for an ongoing investigation? As new information turns up, new questions emerge. I don't question the Patriots decision to not make him available again, but I don't think there is anything strange or unusual about the request.
 

LuckyBen

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86spike said:
I'm a Broncos fan, but I aim to view this thing objectively so don't crucify me.
One of the things that looks negative to me is the point that they requested a follow-up interview with McNally but the Patriots attorneys would not allow it.
That's not a good look after saying the team would fully cooperate with the investigation.
No offense, but this is what I expect sports talk to sound like tomorrow. For those trying to say Wells was unbiased. Outside of a few texts, this report added absolutely nothing. if anything, I'd take that McNally disliked Brady and I see no way that a pair of Uggs stands in the way of him throwing Tom under the bus.
 

LuckyBen

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EvilEmpire said:
How is it ridiculous for an ongoing investigation? As new information turns up, new questions emerge. I don't question the Patriots decision to not make him available again, but I don't think there is anything strange or unusual about the request.
Really, you find nothing strange about asking for a FIFTH interview? Jesus Christ, you don't see that in murder trials
 

LuckyBen

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SemperFidelisSox said:
Has anything been reported on when a punishment might be announced?
There is no time frame. Goodell has to play whack a mole to figure out the punishment.
 

86spike

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jmcc5400 said:
They denied a 5th interview, Spike.  4 interviews seems sufficient, no?
I hadn't seen that detail. That mitigates the negativity some, but Wells clearly had something he wanted to talk to McNally about and the refusal of access was enough for him to make a note that it hindered his investigation.

Again, that is less than full cooperation and it wouldn't surprise me if Goodell cites that when he levies punishment (which I predict will be fines for the team and TB, but no suspensions).
 

Shelterdog

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DennyDoyle'sBoil said:
Kraft says they interviewed him four times, but on the fifth request the Patriots said enough is enough because it was getting ridiculous for a guy with a full-time job (not for the Patriots).
 
There's a reasonable point that by that point the Pats saw where this was going and they just didn't produce the guy because at that point they're only giving more ammo to a guy who's pointing a gun at them.
 

Devizier

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This works pretty well for the NFL, doesn't it?
 
A couple of days of free publicity during the post-draft doldrums, and buries the previously leading story of every team in the NFL reaching out to a guy who still hasn't been cleared in the murder of his pregnant ex-girlfriend.
 

Leather

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86spike said:
Do we know if any of the first 4 McNally interviews happened after they had McNally and Jastremski's phone records?
No. But if they didn't get those phone records after the first interview, then the investigation was run by a fucking idiot and that's not McNally's or Kraft's fault.
 

LuckyBen

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86spike said:
Do we know if any of the first 4 McNally interviews happened after they had McNally and Jastremski's phone records?
Are the phone records really going to be a last resort for Wells? Wasn't there a story early on that they were just waiting for McNally to flip? Wells was obviously feeding to Goodell and his buddy Kensil to find a smoking gun. Instead they more likely than not found something that would infer that Brady most likely had some knowledge of the situation. The wording is ridiculous.
 

amarshal2

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For those who have had the time/opportunity to look through this report, how did the Wells team/engineering firm deal with the time elapsed between measuring the Pats balls and the Colts balls, if at all?
 

86spike

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This is the section of the report about the denial of another interview:

There was a significant exception to the cooperation provided by the Patriots. Although we requested a follow-up interview of Jim McNally after our initial interview, counsel for the Patriots refused our request. We offered to conduct the interview at any time or location that would be convenient for McNally, and explainedboth in writing and in-person during other meetingsthat our follow-up questions would be limited to subject matter directly relevant to the investigation that was developed following our initial interview with McNally. McNally was one of the earliest Patriots personnel interviewed by our investigative team and a number of important follow-up questions had arisen based on subsequent interviews and information discovered after our initial interview of McNally. Counsel for the Patriots, however, declined to produce McNally, and communicated an unwillingness even to advise McNally of our request for a follow-up interview. We do not know definitively whether McNally was, in fact, informed of our request. The investigative process would have benefited from further questioning of McNally on certain topics, and we believe that the actions of the Patriots and their counsel in this regard are inconsistent both with the club‟s public pronouncements of full cooperation with the investigation and its obligations under Section 2 of the Policy on Integrity of the Game & Enforcement of Competitive Rules.3." page 29.
Kraft says it was a request for a fifth interview, but a Wells seems to disagree (and takes a very strong stance on it)

I'll be curious if Wells responds to Kraft's point as confirmation or rebuttal of Kraft's take on it. Will it just stay as He Said/She Said?
 

jmcc5400

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Spike, I will just say that making the statement that not being able to interview McNally again was unhelpful without acknowledging that four prior interviews had been conducted previously - which is referred to in Kraft's press release - is not consistent with the proposition that this is an "Impartial and independent" investigation.  Same with the retention of Exponent.  This report is slanted and intended to be a persuasive statement notwithstanding any veneer of impartiality.  That doesn't mean that the report is wrong.  But we haven't heard the other side of this yet - and maybe we won't if the penalty is de minimis.     
 

caesarbear

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amarshal2 said:
For those who have had the time/opportunity to look through this report, how did the Wells team/engineering firm deal with the time elapsed between measuring the Pats balls and the Colts balls, if at all?

 
 
They're not really an engineering firm they are an expert witness firm, i.e. professional opinions for lawyers and corporations.
 
Basically they stand on a mountain of assumptions and say that it doesn't match a model of prediction. It all starts on page 198.
One of many problems is with this:
 
For example, using Figure 25 to illustrate, it appears that so long as the average time at which the Colts balls were measured is no sooner than approximately 5.5 minutes and no later than approximately 9.5 minutes after the balls were brought back into the Officials Locker Room, the Game Day results are explainable based on natural causes. For the Patriots, there is no such window in which the Game Day average crosses the region defined by the transient curves.
We know that they stopped measurings the Colts footballs because they ran out of time, which they claim was 13 minutes, not 9.5.
 

dcmissle

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The section Spike quoted on the alleged non-cooperation in violation of League rules, whether accurate or not, differentiates this case from the recent cases involving both the Browns and the Falcons. I will feel fortunate if we don't lose a first round pick.
 

LuckyBen

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Of course Wells won't respond, because he and his firm are withholding information. The entire review was one big FU to the Pats. I'm sorry, but I have read the "report" and it is nothing more than a slandering tabloid, one that I could see written by TMZ. You think Robert Kraft will lie when there are obvious records that would contradict that statement?
 

uncannymanny

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86spike said:
I'll be curious if Wells responds to Kraft's point as confirmation or rebuttal of Kraft's take on it. Will it just stay as He Said/She Said?
I feel like he kind of has to. He said, in an official statement not an offhand remark, that part of the report was dubiously reported at best and an outright lie at worst.
 

RetractableRoof

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86spike said:
This is the section of the report about the denial of another interview:

Kraft says it was a request for a fifth interview, but a Wells seems to disagree (and takes a very strong stance on it)

I'll be curious if Wells responds to Kraft's point as confirmation or rebuttal of Kraft's take on it. Will it just stay as He Said/She Said?
page 9:
 11. Following the game, before he left the stadium, McNally was interviewed by members of NFL Security. During that interview, McNally did not mention that he had taken the game balls into the bathroom. Instead, he stated that he walked directly to the field and that nothing unusual occurred during the walk from the locker room to the field. In subsequent interviews, McNally provided varying explanations for the bathroom stop and his decision not to utilize readily available bathroom facilities in the Officials Locker Room and adjacent Chain Gang Locker Room.
 
page 28 [footnote 3]: 
We made written requests to counsel for the Patriots on February 28, March 2, 3, 9 and 17 for a follow-up interview with McNally. Counsel for the Patriots repeatedly refused to make McNally available for a reinterview claiming, among other things, that McNally lived more than an hour away and already had missed work at his full-time job to attend earlier interviews. 
 
Wells characterized in the summary, etc. that the Patriots didn't make him available - and yet he acknowledges in a couple of places (at least 2 above) that there were interviews plural.  Given that - I think we can take the Patriots at face with their public statement of 4 interviews and they declined a 5th.  And any investigator that can't get all their questions answered in 4 interview sessions sucks at their job or is intentionally stringing things out fishing.  And since he is really a part time employee then that is unreasonable in my book.
 

EvilEmpire

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You think Robert Kraft will lie when there are obvious records that would contradict that statement?
Lie? Of course not. Be mistaken? I think that is more likely than Well's report being wrong, though that too is possible.


Edit: With regard to the page 9 quote that RetractableRoof just posted -- it says that interview was conducted by members of NFL security. Seems likely that Wells' team only got to interview McNally once and weren't counting additional interviews that McNally conducted with other NFL reps.
 

dcmissle

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You can debate the science until the cows come home, and it's never going to register with me because I'm just never going to invest the energy to learn it. (Nor will the press, any arbitrator or the public, which is why the argument from the Pats' standpoint is a loser).

There is no room for debate on whether they produced this witness for interviews on four occasions. They either did it didn't, and the four meetings, if they occurred, will be documented in spades. That is very easy to prove one way or another.
 

HowBoutDemSox

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86spike said:
Do we know if any of the first 4 McNally interviews happened after they had McNally and Jastremski's phone records?
The four interviews referenced by Kraft in his statement are not discussed by Wells. Here's what he says about the order of the interview of McNally and the discovery of the texts, from footnote 47 of the report:
 
"Our investigation did not discover these messages until after our initial interview with McNally. In response to our request for a follow-up interview, rather than producing McNally, counsel for the Patriots tried to negotiate terms, requested that interview topics be provided in advance and offered to “consider” the use of written interrogatories, all of which we declined as inappropriate and inconsistent with our reliance on traditional investigative methods. We reiterated our offer to conduct our follow-up interview of McNally at any time or location convenient to McNally, but counsel for the Patriots refused."
 
I interpret "discover" as them as having the messages in their possession, but their junior associate didn't notice/find it by then, quite honestly. Given that Kraft says there were four interviews but Wells doesn't say the same thing, it's impossible to know after which interview Wells' team "discovered" the texts.
 
If they had really interviewed him four times before finding these messages, I'm less sympathetic to Wells' complaints and somewhat concerned about his investigatory techniques, but if there really was only one prior interview, presumably early on in the process, I do see the failure of McNally testifying a second time to be not particularly sterling on the franchise's part. I do find it hard to credit Kraft making something up so blatantly like that in his statement. It is also possible that Kraft's count includes interview(s) by league officials prior to Wells' team making their appearance. 
 

Myt1

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86spike said:
This is the section of the report about the denial of another interview:

Kraft says it was a request for a fifth interview, but a Wells seems to disagree (and takes a very strong stance on it)

I'll be curious if Wells responds to Kraft's point as confirmation or rebuttal of Kraft's take on it. Will it just stay as He Said/She Said?
Whichever way it actually went, it's been papered six ways from Sunday. I doubt very much that Kraft would lie about the only specific he chose to dispute. His statement actually sounded to me like his counsel was furious with a half truth, and if Wells was lying by omission on this one, that's a real credibility issue, because there's no real reason to fuck the dog there.

Put it this way, none of us from that world commenting in this thread would put an incomplete version of that in a brief as an advocate, let alone a report as an objective investigator. You don't fuck another member of the bar like that without expecting to get fucked by the tribunal.
 

LuckyBen

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EvilEmpire said:
Lie? Of course not. Be mistaken? I think that is more likely than Well's report being wrong, though that too is possible.
As more information comes out about the review, I think it's more likely that Wells left information out. Why feel the need to make a point that the Patriots did not allow a follow up interview, when there obviously had been many. I guess it is possible that Wells is dense and did not think how this report would be viewed. Far more likely is this was one big circle jerk for the NFL and they are all laughing about it now.
 

kartvelo

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Just finished the report again. It's a disgrace. A better job could have been done in two weeks by a journalism student.
 

dcmissle

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Myt1 said:
Whichever way it actually went, it's been papered six ways from Sunday. I doubt very much that Kraft would lie about the only specific he chose to dispute. His statement actually sounded to me like his counsel was furious with a half truth, and if Wells was lying by omission on this one, that's a real credibility issue, because there's no real reason to fuck the dog there.
Yup. "Oh, but the first four 'sessions' were only one 'interview'" does not cut it. Even by the standards of NY law firms.
 

LuckyBen

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Rudy Pemberton said:
I get the idea that enough is enough, and they had already interviewed the guy a bunch of times, but why do the Patriots care if this employee is inconvenienced again? It seems a little odd to me. I say this as a Patriots apologist and believing this whole thing is ridiculous and overblown and much ado about nothing, but for the Patriots to decide the guy was done interviewing (as opposed to him saying
It) seems strange and at the very least, something the Pats had to have known made them look uncooperative.
Maybe they felt that Wells was badgering the poor moron? I know that I would of given him the big FU during his independent report after the second interview. This is air pressure in a ball that we are talking about.
 

Stitch01

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Three10toLeft said:
Random thought, I don't think any of this should/would happen, but I'm about go full Simmons with this theory:
 
What if Brady is suspended for the first few games, loses the appeal, Jimmy starts, lights it up, the Patriots start hot and keep rolling with JG for a deep playoff run... And then Brady is released in the offseason.
Brady starts the first game he's back even if jimmy throws for 900 yards and 7 Tds each game
 

EvilEmpire

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As more information comes out about the review, I think it's more likely that Wells left information out. Why feel the need to make a point that the Patriots did not allow a follow up interview, when there obviously had been many. I guess it is possible that Wells is dense and did not think how this report would be viewed. Far more likely is this was one big circle jerk for the NFL and they are all laughing about it now.
Here's the quote from page 9 of the report that RetractableRoof posted again:
 
11. Following the game, before he left the stadium, McNally was interviewed by members of NFL Security. During that interview, McNally did not mention that he had taken the game balls into the bathroom. Instead, he stated that he walked directly to the field and that nothing unusual occurred during the walk from the locker room to the field. In subsequent interviews, McNally provided varying explanations for the bathroom stop and his decision not to utilize readily available bathroom facilities in the Officials Locker Room and adjacent Chain Gang Locker Room.
I read all this as McNally was interviewed several times by NFL security or other representatives. Then Wells comes on board. They have everything the NFL has already gathered. Then they interview McNally once. Then they work it some more, develop more questions, and ask to talk to him again. They get denied.

That is what seems most reasonable to me. But I'm not operating from the assumption that Wells and his team were being shady, so YMMV.
 

LuckyBen

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Mystic Merlin said:
Wells liberally employed omission, selective emphasis and prejudicial framing throughout.
Well done!
Are you saying that all the facts were covered and included? As Spike said, Wells seems to disagree in his 200 page report that there were four interviews.
 

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After 103 days, endless hours of hot-take media coverage, however many pages this beast of a thread is up to, it still hits me in the face every so often: this is the single stupidist, non-story/ faux scandal in my lifetime of following sports. Which is roughly 40 years or so. All of this kerfufel over a fraction of psi on a football that most people wouldn't even notice with a squeeze test. And that had zero competitive impact on any football game played, ever. And was invited by the league when they allowed QB's to customize their game day footballs in the first place. Done, no doubt, in the name of more offense, better ratings, hooking in more fantasy football players, etc. And that same league now treats it like the crime of the century, taking longer to "investigate" than many murder trials do. We have officially lost our fucking minds in this country...................... Apologies for the game-thread level rant.
 

Jettisoned

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Rudy Pemberton said:
I get the idea that enough is enough, and they had already interviewed the guy a bunch of times, but why do the Patriots care if this employee is inconvenienced again? It seems a little odd to me. I say this as a Patriots apologist and believing this whole thing is ridiculous and overblown and much ado about nothing, but for the Patriots to decide the guy was done interviewing (as opposed to him saying
It) seems strange and at the very least, something the Pats had to have known made them look uncooperative.
 
Basic human decency?  The guy stands a good chance of getting canned by his employer if he has to miss work a fifth time over an investigation into potential misconduct at another part time job.
 

dcmissle

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For all the hate Florio gets here, he is calling Wells out on that right now. Sorry I cannot link. Maybe somebody can. Butt latest on PFT says,

NFL had opportunity to avoid Deflategate. Then Florio says that a footnote in the report denies a sting, but the overall report makes it rather clear that this is exactly what this was.
 

Stitch01

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I don't think it was a sting per se, but I'm glad if someone is calling out the league office for not taking the two minutes it would have taken to avoid this whole shitshow.
 

crystalline

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dcmissle said:
You can debate the science until the cows come home, and it's never going to register with me because I'm just never going to invest the energy to learn it. (Nor will the press, any arbitrator or the public, which is why the argument from the Pats' standpoint is a loser).
You can just skip over the "science" altogether- the problem is clearly evident in the words they use.

The Wells report text cited Exponent's appendix extensively and said it incriminated the Patriots. The Exponent appendix said the Patriots must be at fault, as long as one assumes several numbers /that Wells supplied to them./

Exponent repeatedly says their Wells-cited conclusions are valid only assuming Wells' numbers are true. Together its a neat trick of circular logic. Begging the question, even.

As was said above, any cross examination or peer review would tear big holes in the Exponent appendix. That would happen at arbitration.


I agree the only way any pro-Brady argument registers with the public is if Kraft puts up a fight and gets the other side out there. Which he likely will not.
 

HowBoutDemSox

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I think the four interviews are spelled out by Wells, actually. He notes (page 58) that McNally was interviewed three times by NFL Security, and notes elsewhere that his firm interviewed McNally in February 2015. So, that's four interviews, but only once by Paul, Weiss. Wells is right that he didn't get a follow-up interview, but Kraft is right that his employee had already put up with four interviews. 
 

Rheal With Cheese

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86spike said:
This is the section of the report about the denial of another interview:

Kraft says it was a request for a fifth interview, but a Wells seems to disagree (and takes a very strong stance on it)

I'll be curious if Wells responds to Kraft's point as confirmation or rebuttal of Kraft's take on it. Will it just stay as He Said/She Said?
The report has a reference to three interviews of McNally by NFL security...I assumed Wells team got one interview separately. So it's Wells request for their 2nd and 5th overall
 

86spike

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HowBoutDemSox said:
The four interviews referenced by Kraft in his statement are not discussed by Wells. Here's what he says about the order of the interview of McNally and the discovery of the texts, from footnote 47 of the report:
 
"Our investigation did not discover these messages until after our initial interview with McNally. In response to our request for a follow-up interview, rather than producing McNally, counsel for the Patriots tried to negotiate terms, requested that interview topics be provided in advance and offered to consider the use of written interrogatories, all of which we declined as inappropriate and inconsistent with our reliance on traditional investigative methods. We reiterated our offer to conduct our follow-up interview of McNally at any time or location convenient to McNally, but counsel for the Patriots refused."
 
I interpret "discover" as them as having the messages in their possession, but their junior associate didn't notice/find it by then, quite honestly. Given that Kraft says there were four interviews but Wells doesn't say the same thing, it's impossible to know after which interview Wells' team "discovered" the texts.
 
If they had really interviewed him four times before finding these messages, I'm less sympathetic to Wells' complaints and somewhat concerned about his investigatory techniques, but if there really was only one prior interview, presumably early on in the process, I do see the failure of McNally testifying a second time to be not particularly sterling on the franchise's part. I do find it hard to credit Kraft making something up so blatantly like that in his statement. It is also possible that Kraft's count includes interview(s) by league officials prior to Wells' team making their appearance.
Well... I'm back to my original thoughts on this. It looks very bad for the Pats when presented as "we found more evidence and their lawyers blocked us. Even if it was a fifth meeting request, NE promised (and is obligated by league rules) to fully cooperate.

Even as someone who thinks ball shenanigans happen in every locker room and that the "crime" is overblown to hell, this is a really bad look and I think Goodell is going to unload because of it.

Obstructing the investigation might be the biggest sin in his eyes.
 

twibnotes

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Stitch01 said:
I don't think it was a sting per se, but I'm glad if someone is calling out the league office for not taking the two minutes it would have taken to avoid this whole shitshow.
Isn't it though? Why not take the two mins if not to play "gotcha!"
 

LuckyBen

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Rheal With Cheese said:
The report has a reference to three interviews of McNally by NFL security...I assumed Wells team got one interview separately. So it's Wells request for their 2nd and 5th overall
Which is still ridiculous any way you cut it. That tells me that Wells didn't do their homework the first time. Of course he begged Brady to look at his phone and the big meanie said no....
 

dcmissle

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Stitch01 said:
I don't think it was a sting per se, but I'm glad if someone is calling out the league office for not taking the two minutes it would have taken to avoid this whole shitshow.
It is a pretty devastating critique characteristic of the old Florio with his lawyer hat on, not the guy you see on Sunday nights with PK.
 

tedseye

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Rosey Ruzicka said:
My understanding is that one of the assumptions used in the analysis on expected PSI difference due to temperate was that the Patriots footballs warmed for some time (edited, will have to find it in fine print have seen different times reported now) indoors before reading the PSI.  If there was actually no delay in measuring the pressure (therefore balls were at outside temperature), then the report admits that temperature difference explains the PSI drop.  This matches the math that has been explained many times before in this thread.    I find it a lot more likely that some of their assumptions are a little off than that the patriots actually cheated to sneak an extra imperceptible .5 PSI out of each ball.
 
Also, I would just want to caution people on the accuracy and honesty of expert opinion on these types of matters. I have had the unfortunate pleasure to serve as an expert in a pending litigation and have gone back an forth multiple times against another "expert" that is nationally well known, and respected in their field.  While nothing they are saying is technically untrue, this person is purposely manipulating assumptions in the fine print to drive a misleading claim, and this document/situation seems very similar.  Many pages of garbage not related to the actual data to distract people, and the few key data points and assumptions are buried in the fine print.
 

tedseye

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Rosey Ruzicka said:
My understanding is that one of the assumptions used in the analysis on expected PSI difference due to temperate was that the Patriots footballs warmed for some time (edited, will have to find it in fine print have seen different times reported now) indoors before reading the PSI.  If there was actually no delay in measuring the pressure (therefore balls were at outside temperature), then the report admits that temperature difference explains the PSI drop.  This matches the math that has been explained many times before in this thread.    I find it a lot more likely that some of their assumptions are a little off than that the patriots actually cheated to sneak an extra imperceptible .5 PSI out of each ball.
 
Also, I would just want to caution people on the accuracy and honesty of expert opinion on these types of matters. I have had the unfortunate pleasure to serve as an expert in a pending litigation and have gone back an forth multiple times against another "expert" that is nationally well known, and respected in their field.  While nothing they are saying is technically untrue, this person is purposely manipulating assumptions in the fine print to drive a misleading claim, and this document/situation seems very similar.  Many pages of garbage not related to the actual data to distract people, and the few key data points and assumptions are buried in the fine print.
Sorry about defective post above. The crucial scientific sleight - of - hand here involves the assumption that the halftime measurements of the Pats' balls were not performed in the first few minutes and that the Colts balls were not performed in the last few (as seems most likely, given the delayed start of the 2d half). The asyntotic part of the curve for rising psi with warming temperature makes the time of the measurements crucial - a subject that would make for vivid cross examination of the physicists, we're that ever to happen. That rapidly rising curve also goes far to explain the variability of results for the Pats' balls -- for which the litigation experts claim there is no other explanation than a suspicious one. The weasel language about accepting PW's assumptions on when the measurements were made (in the absence of facts) is the essence of expert - witness slick.
 

86spike

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LuckyBen said:
Which is still ridiculous any way you cut it. That tells me that Wells didn't do their homework the first time. Of course he begged Brady to look at his phone and the big meanie said no....
Wells states that the request for another meeting came after they found the McNally-Jastremski messages. Seems like a perfectly reasonable reason to ask for a follow up.

Also note that he says the Patriots lawyers did not refuse them outright. NE attorneys asked to get the questions ahead of time or do the interview in writing.

That's shady.
 

LuckyBen

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86spike said:
Wells states that the request for another meeting came after they found the McNally-Jastremski messages. Seems like a perfectly reasonable reason to ask for a follow up.
Also note that he says the Patriots lawyers did not refuse them outright. NE attorneys asked to get the questions ahead of time or do the interview in writing.
That's shady.
Did they not think to get phone records before the initial interview? Were they dicking around? More likely they were given information, from the colts, NFL? I have a hard time understanding how when the NFL is investigating the Patriots, and it's clear that they looked at no other avenues, that the Patriots should be totally complicate. After all of the leaks, why should Brady trust the NFL with his phone? Why should the Patriots help to their fullest when it can only paint them in a bad light?