Green to the Grizz

Eddie Jurak

canderson-lite
Lifetime Member
SoSH Member
Dec 12, 2002
44,841
Melrose, MA
SeanBerry said:
According to the above quote, I would think 2017 is the likely year, not 2019, right?
I think Memphis owes a pick to another team which will likely be conveyed in 2017. That means with Stepien rule, C's can't get their pick before 2019.
 

SeanBerry

Knows about the CBA.
SoSH Member
Jan 23, 2003
3,599
Section 519
Eddie Jurak said:
I think Memphis owes a pick to another team which will likely be conveyed in 2017. That means with Stepien rule, C's can't get their pick before 2019.
 
Ah. I didn't know about the 2017 pick. 
 
Memphis better come away with something good because they could be in rough shape in a few years.
 

Jed Zeppelin

Member
SoSH Member
Aug 23, 2008
51,573
SeanBerry said:
 
Ah. I didn't know about the 2017 pick. 
 
Memphis better come away with something good because they could be in rough shape in a few years.
 
The Memphis pick owned by Denver has that funky 1-5/15-30 protection on it this season and next, then just 1-5 in 2017. If Gasol signs elsewhere they could certainly miss the playoffs next season and lose that pick a year earlier than expected.
 
Dec 10, 2012
6,943
So we trade an above-average NBA player, our best talent (if he applied hhimself) for a draft pick in 4 1/2 years that may or may not amount to anything?
 
I don't get it. And would probably rather have Russ Smith than Austin. What are we getting from LAC?
 

ifmanis5

Member
SoSH Member
Sep 29, 2007
64,041
Rotten Apple
Love this news. Let the James Young era commence.
Green was toast here and everybody knew it. Doesn't even matter what we get back. The salary flexibility, picks and playing time for Young are way more beneficial than Green disappearing every 4th qtr.
 

Jed Zeppelin

Member
SoSH Member
Aug 23, 2008
51,573
Dan to Theo to Ben said:
So we trade an above-average NBA player, our best talent (if he applied hhimself) for a draft pick in 4 1/2 years that may or may not amount to anything?
 
I don't get it. And would probably rather have Russ Smith than Austin. What are we getting from LAC?
 
A player who is gone next year. Same as Rondo. Same as Wright. As far as I'm aware, players who aren't on the roster have a 0% chance of amounting to anything.
 
He's 28, would you want to sign him to a significant 4-5 year deal to find out if he's finally ready to "apply himself"? Green has been the same exact player since the day he first stepped on an NBA court.
 

Koufax

Well-Known Member
Lifetime Member
SoSH Member
Jul 15, 2005
5,946
Next up:  Brandon Bass.  Good player, but not good enough to lead the kids to the promised land, and his few remaining good years will be wasted here.  What can Danny get for him? 
 

luckiestman

Son of the Harpy
SoSH Member
Jul 15, 2005
32,908
Koufax said:
Next up:  Brandon Bass.  Good player, but not good enough to lead the kids to the promised land, and his few remaining good years will be wasted here.  What can Danny get for him? 
Bass has a good attitude and I am not opposed to keeping him around. 
 

zenter

indian sweet
SoSH Member
Oct 11, 2005
5,641
Astoria, NY
Dan to Theo to Ben said:
So we trade an above-average NBA player, our best talent (if he applied hhimself) for a draft pick in 4 1/2 years that may or may not amount to anything?
 
Jeff Green was traded: 1) for the luxury of not paying him 9M next year, 2) to offset not getting anything for him when he becomes an FA, and 3) a draft pick. Prince was simply there for salary match.
 
Assuming they deal Nelson, the C's are down to 34M against a projected 67-70M cap next season. This is enough room for 2 max players, and that's before all the TPEs.
 

mauf

Anderson Cooper × Mr. Rogers
Moderator
SoSH Member
Jun 22, 2008
36,123
Dan to Theo to Ben said:
So we trade an above-average NBA player, our best talent (if he applied hhimself) for a draft pick in 4 1/2 years that may or may not amount to anything?
 
I don't get it. And would probably rather have Russ Smith than Austin. What are we getting from LAC?
 
I'd challenge your assertion that Jeff Green is an above-average NBA player. Green had a sub-15 PER last year and this year, and he's not exactly known for doing the sorts of things (tough D, setting screens, etc.) that don't show up in the box score.
 
By pretty much any measure, Jared Sullinger has been the C's best player this season. Since the Rondo trade, I don't think it's even debatable.
 

Cellar-Door

Member
SoSH Member
Aug 1, 2006
34,952
Dan to Theo to Ben said:
So we trade an above-average NBA player, our best talent (if he applied hhimself) for a draft pick in 4 1/2 years that may or may not amount to anything?
 
I don't get it. And would probably rather have Russ Smith than Austin. What are we getting from LAC?
It's a first and a second for half a year of performance that is probably a negative impact on our goals of developing young guys and losing games.
 

nighthob

Member
SoSH Member
Jul 15, 2005
12,717
zenter said:
Jeff Green was traded: 1) for the luxury of not paying him 9M next year, 2) to offset not getting anything for him when he becomes an FA, and 3) a draft pick. Prince was simply there for salary match.
 
Assuming they deal Nelson, the C's are down to 34M against a projected 67-70M cap next season. This is enough room for 2 max players, and that's before all the TPEs.
Plenty of cash for LeBron and a second all star.
 

mauf

Anderson Cooper × Mr. Rogers
Moderator
SoSH Member
Jun 22, 2008
36,123
From the Memphis perspective, I think there's two ways to look at this trade:
 
1. Green is a poor man's Antoine Walker. This trade is subtraction by addition and they will regret it, even if the pick going to Boston doesn't amount to anything.
 
2. Other than athletic big men who play defense, scorers who can create their own shot are the league's scarcest commodity, and the Grizz are in the unfortunate position of desperately needing one. Green doesn't clearly fit the bill, but he was the closest they could get without giving up a core piece like Conley, Gasol or Z-Bo. Given the huge impact that a scorer could make on this year's team, rolling the dice on Green was well worth giving up a pick that probably won't turn into a player materially better than Green.
 
Edit: I suppose there's a middle ground, where Green is an upgrade on Pondexter but isn't as impactful as some alternative target they could have acquired with the future #1 and Prince's expiring deal. Personally, if the best that can be said of Green is he's a little better than Pondexter, then I'd put this in category #1 -- the Grizz have great chemistry, and I wouldn't mess with that just to tinker around the edges.
 

Koufax

Well-Known Member
Lifetime Member
SoSH Member
Jul 15, 2005
5,946
Cellar-Door said:
It's a first and a second for half a year of performance that is probably a negative impact on our goals of developing young guys and losing games.
Which is another way of saying that Danny has pulled another rabbit out of a hat. 
 

zenter

indian sweet
SoSH Member
Oct 11, 2005
5,641
Astoria, NY
maufman said:
From the Memphis perspective, I think there's two ways to look at this trade:
 
1. Green is a poor man's Antoine Walker. This trade is subtraction by addition and they will regret it, even if the pick going to Boston doesn't amount to anything.
 
2. Other than athletic big men who play defense, scorers who can create their own shot are the league's scarcest commodity, and the Grizz are in the unfortunate position of desperately needing one. Green doesn't clearly fit the bill, but he was the closest they could get without giving up a core piece like Conley, Gasol or Z-Bo. Given the huge impact that a scorer could make on this year's team, rolling the dice on Green was well worth giving up a pick that probably won't turn into a player materially better than Green.
 
Edit: I suppose there's a middle ground, where Green is an upgrade on Pondexter but isn't as impactful as some alternative target they could have acquired with the future #1 and Prince's expiring deal. Personally, if the best that can be said of Green is he's a little better than Pondexter, then I'd put this in category #1 -- the Grizz have great chemistry, and I wouldn't mess with that just to tinker around the edges.
 
I think you overstate somewhat in terms of his value to Memphis. There's upside for Green - between Conley and Gasol, defenses are bound to be more distracted and thus more likely to leave Green to double or rotate. Less defensive attention plus his explosive first step make him a perfect Gamma dog, and help stretch the floor when they go small. It's not like Memphis 1) gave up an asset of real value to land him, or 2) had this type of player on their roster.
 

mauf

Anderson Cooper × Mr. Rogers
Moderator
SoSH Member
Jun 22, 2008
36,123
zenter said:
 
I think you overstate somewhat in terms of his value to Memphis. There's upside for Green - between Conley and Gasol, defenses are bound to be more distracted and thus more likely to leave Green to double or rotate. Less defensive attention plus his explosive first step make him a perfect Gamma dog, and help stretch the floor when they go small. It's not like Memphis 1) gave up an asset of real value to land him, or 2) had this type of player on their roster.
 
You said basically what I was trying to say in #2, but much more clearly. I think a contender would like to have a better third option than Green, but it's not like guys who can create their own shot grow on trees. Green doesn't need to turn into the guy people thought he'd be five years ago for this to be a great deal for Memphis.
 

Cellar-Door

Member
SoSH Member
Aug 1, 2006
34,952
maufman said:
 
You said basically what I was trying to say in #2, but much more clearly. I think a contender would like to have a better third option than Green, but it's not like guys who can create their own shot grow on trees. Green doesn't need to turn into the guy people thought he'd be five years ago for this to be a great deal for Memphis.
He's not a star, but he's a pretty significant upgrade over Prince/Pondexter on both ends (particularly offense). His defense is a key to me in this deal, they needed a wing who could score some without degrading the defense that is the heart of a slowdown team like Memphis.
 

mcpickl

Member
SoSH Member
Jul 23, 2007
4,557
zenter said:
 
Jeff Green was traded: 1) for the luxury of not paying him 9M next year, 2) to offset not getting anything for him when he becomes an FA, and 3) a draft pick. Prince was simply there for salary match.
 
Assuming they deal Nelson, the C's are down to 34M against a projected 67-70M cap next season. This is enough room for 2 max players, and that's before all the TPEs.
To get the cap room, you have to renounce the TPEs. Can't be under the cap and have exceptions.
 
Not that it matters much. Odds of getting two max players to choose Boston, with a shell of a roster, is miniscule.
 

Devizier

Member
SoSH Member
Jul 3, 2000
19,608
Somewhere
mcpickl said:
To get the cap room, you have to renounce the TPEs. Can't be under the cap and have exceptions.
 
Not that it matters much. Odds of getting two max players to choose Boston, with a shell of a roster, is miniscule.
 
I think the Lebron-Kyrie-Love with 8 2/3 scrubs experience has pretty much ended the "big three" era.
 

TheRooster

Member
SoSH Member
Aug 3, 2001
2,490
It is January 13, more than 3 months until the playoffs begin.  I think it is premature to write off the Cavs.  And even if they don't win the title this year, they could easily win it next year.  As for the Celtics, I'll be happy when they get one All-Star, never mind two or three. 
 

Chainsaw318

Member
SoSH Member
Nov 6, 2006
1,918
Burned . . . Blacklisted
I have been wondering if, with cap room, younger players who will be in years 2-5 of their pro careers, and all of the draft assets, if the move will be to offer a restricted free agent at a huge number.

The NBA salary structure makes little sense to me, but, with the cap looking like it will increase, and the celtics losing most players who make any real money, couldn't they overpay for a guy like Kawhi and give him the max?
 

TheDeuce222

Member
SoSH Member
Jul 19, 2005
387
Chainsaw318 said:
I have been wondering if, with cap room, younger players who will be in years 2-5 of their pro careers, and all of the draft assets, if the move will be to offer a restricted free agent at a huge number.

The NBA salary structure makes little sense to me, but, with the cap looking like it will increase, and the celtics losing most players who make any real money, couldn't they overpay for a guy like Kawhi and give him the max?
They can certainly try to max out a restricted guy like Kawhi or Jimmy Butler, and that would be a totally reasonable move to make, but the chances are very low that a team like the Bulls or Spurs - who would not have cap space to go out and get a suitable replacement but can go over the cap to keep their own guys - aren't going to just match those offers to their budding stars.  The guys you can potentially get in restricted free agency seem to be guys like Isiaiah Thomas or Jeremy Lin - people significantly down the pecking order who get lost during the early feeding frenzy in July.   
 

zenter

indian sweet
SoSH Member
Oct 11, 2005
5,641
Astoria, NY
Chainsaw318 said:
I have been wondering if, with cap room, younger players who will be in years 2-5 of their pro careers, and all of the draft assets, if the move will be to offer a restricted free agent at a huge number.

The NBA salary structure makes little sense to me, but, with the cap looking like it will increase, and the celtics losing most players who make any real money, couldn't they overpay for a guy like Kawhi and give him the max?
 
Yes. I think this is the plan most of us presume is happening. Throw an offer sheet at Leonard or Draymond Green, and see what happens. Meanwhile, go after a guy like Marc Gasol (use those assets for an S&T?) and you could ideally end up with a starting lineup of Leonard, Gasol, Smart, Bradley, and Sully. That's nothing to sneeze at, especially in the East.
 
EDIT: This is the ideal dream scenario. More likely they get nothing.
 

mcpickl

Member
SoSH Member
Jul 23, 2007
4,557
Chainsaw318 said:
I have been wondering if, with cap room, younger players who will be in years 2-5 of their pro careers, and all of the draft assets, if the move will be to offer a restricted free agent at a huge number.

The NBA salary structure makes little sense to me, but, with the cap looking like it will increase, and the celtics losing most players who make any real money, couldn't they overpay for a guy like Kawhi and give him the max?
Really impossible to do because the max salary, especially for guys coming off their rookie contract, is so low.
 
Gordon Hayward got the max as an RFA this summer and Utah quickly matched.
 
If you can't get Gordon Hayward for a max offer, no shot at getting a Kawhi level player for the same.
 

Eddie Jurak

canderson-lite
Lifetime Member
SoSH Member
Dec 12, 2002
44,841
Melrose, MA
mcpickl said:
Really impossible to do because the max salary, especially for guys coming off their rookie contract, is so low.
 
Gordon Hayward got the max as an RFA this summer and Utah quickly matched.
 
If you can't get Gordon Hayward for a max offer, no shot at getting a Kawhi level player for the same.
With the cap going way up in the not too distant future, a max offer for a non-max player may not be the anchor that it has been. Danny may have a shot at one of the lesser guys who will get the max, and unlike in years past that may not be a bad thing.
 

mcpickl

Member
SoSH Member
Jul 23, 2007
4,557
Eddie Jurak said:
With the cap going way up in the not too distant future, a max offer for a non-max player may not be the anchor that it has been. Danny may have a shot at one of the lesser guys who will get the max, and unlike in years past that may not be a bad thing.
How do you get them though?
 
Teams have been matching max offers for non max players already. (Hayward, Batum, Eric Gordon)
 
I'd say those types of guys are even more likely to be matched now for the reason you just mentioned. Everyone knows the cap is about to explode. The team with matching rights will figure that in as well.
 

Grin&MartyBarret

Member
SoSH Member
Oct 2, 2007
4,932
East Village, NYC
How do you get them though?
 
Teams have been matching max offers for non max players already. (Hayward, Batum, Eric Gordon)
 
I'd say those types of guys are even more likely to be matched now for the reason you just mentioned. Everyone knows the cap is about to explode. The team with matching rights will figure that in as well.[/]

Ainge could try the Asik/Lin trick and offer a hugely backloaded (or otherwise lopsided deal) to a player on a team that will likely be in the tax at that point. Harder to project with the uncertainty around the new TV deal, but that's been successful in the past.
 

Cellar-Door

Member
SoSH Member
Aug 1, 2006
34,952
Grin&MartyBarret said:
Ainge could try the Asik/Lin trick and offer a hugely backloaded (or otherwise lopsided deal) to a player on a team that will likely be in the tax at that point. Harder to project with the uncertainty around the new TV deal, but that's been successful in the past.
That really only works on mid-level free agents though. You can only significantly backload it like that if the average per year is pretty low. They were 3/25 deals so you're likely looking at role players, which is less useful for a rebuild, Anything much more than the 3/25 range and you can't backload it as much (3/25 is 8 and change a year, but the final year of those deals was almost $15M, not much wiggle room there to add money without coming up on a player's yearly max.).
 

mcpickl

Member
SoSH Member
Jul 23, 2007
4,557
Grin&MartyBarret said:
How do you get them though?
 
Teams have been matching max offers for non max players already. (Hayward, Batum, Eric Gordon)
 
I'd say those types of guys are even more likely to be matched now for the reason you just mentioned. Everyone knows the cap is about to explode. The team with matching rights will figure that in as well.[/]

Ainge could try the Asik/Lin trick and offer a hugely backloaded (or otherwise lopsided deal) to a player on a team that will likely be in the tax at that point. Harder to project with the uncertainty around the new TV deal, but that's been successful in the past.
That can happen only to very specific players though, which is why it's rare.
 
Those backloaded deals only work on restricted free agents where the team doesn't have Bird rights, which would be less than three years service. So any first round pick that hasn't been released is protected under Bird rights. You'd only be able to offer a deal like this to a second round pick or undrafted player who completed their rookie contract of less than three seasons.
 

mauf

Anderson Cooper × Mr. Rogers
Moderator
SoSH Member
Jun 22, 2008
36,123
Grin&MartyBarret said:
 
My money is on teams continuing to try and attract good players. Three of them, four of them. Five, even.
No one's questioning that. The question is how to do it.

The Cavs' struggles this season make it less likely that the next big free agent decides to take two of his friends and sign with a team with nothing but cap room. Instead, he will look for teams that can offer max money and has a supporting cast already in place. The difference obviously has profound implications for how you construct a rebuilding team.
 

nighthob

Member
SoSH Member
Jul 15, 2005
12,717
In theory the Cavs had all that. Unfortunately for LeBron he picked the wrong friend.
 

Grin&MartyBarret

Member
SoSH Member
Oct 2, 2007
4,932
East Village, NYC
maufman said:
No one's questioning that. The question is how to do it.

The Cavs' struggles this season make it less likely that the next big free agent decides to take two of his friends and sign with a team with nothing but cap room. Instead, he will look for teams that can offer max money and has a supporting cast already in place. The difference obviously has profound implications for how you construct a rebuilding team.
 
LeBron was the only max free agent the Cavs signed last offseason; he chose the Cavs, in part, because of the supporting cast they offered (Kyrie) and the assets they had in place (Wiggins, Bennett). What LeBron did in Cleveland has much more in common with the second bolded sentence than it does with the first. Further, the one time in the history of the NBA that a big free agent and two of his friends signed with a team but nothing but cap room, they won 2 championships and played in 4 NBA Finals.