McAdam: “Full Throttle” may mean business as usual

DeJesus Built My Hotrod

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Eff Mookie Betts.

What about keeping Devers?
You can feel however you'd like about Mookie Betts.

As for them retaining Devers, that's great but my sense is if the Sox were run like a big market team, they would keep both. Again, its their team to do with what they please but its clear they don't want to play at the high stakes table. That is totally fine but in return, fans shouldn't get too worked up about a team that isn't really going all out to win.
 

jbupstate

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You can feel however you'd like about Mookie Betts.

As for them retaining Devers, that's great but my sense is if the Sox were run like a big market team, they would keep both. Again, its their team to do with what they please but its clear they don't want to play at the high stakes table. That is totally fine but in return, fans shouldn't get too worked up about a team that isn't really going all out to win.
So they should have shown a commitment to all out winning by signing who?

Xander?
Rodon?
DeGrom?
Correa?
 

chrisfont9

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Relitigating the Mookie trade, a holiday tradition!

I do wonder if what’s really happening here is that the Sox are leaking this to cool the pitching market. You can bet that agents are desperate to draft off the Yamamoto contract to get massive overpays, and the Sox, who typically have a line they won’t cross, are pushing back.
 

DeJesus Built My Hotrod

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So they should have shown a commitment to all out winning by signing who?

Xander?
Rodon?
DeGrom?
I don't have an answer to your question.

I can only go by their actions since they decided to move on from Mookie and that decision plus what has ensued - they haven't really been in on any elite free agents or trade targets. That tells me they are content to just be relevant and that they aren't one of the big market teams. To be clear, that may be a really smart decision for the owners and their bottom line - I bet they have a very good handle on how their economics look for a given season win total and they probably just have to be in the mix to max their revenues. I just don't have to get too worked up about the direction of the club because they aren't giving me any reason to really care.
 

I Miss Maalox

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Speaking only for myself, I don't want the Sox to spend indiscriminately just to make free agency splashes.
Losing out on Yamamoto has now spilled over into "we must pay whatever it takes to land Snell or Montgomery."
But DeJesus makes an important point about free agency splashes. I think most of us are old enough to remember Carl Crawford, Hanley and Panda. Even John Lacky and David Price, who helped us win titles, both turned out to be terrible deals. You might say that world series wins trump everything, and I wouldn't argue the point, but dumping the bloated back end of David Price's deal was part of the rationale for shipping Mookie to the Dodgers.

But there still seem to be a lot of fans wanting to splash the pot for top free agent starters.
In 2012, the Sox finish 69-93
In the winter of 2012-2013, in the wake of the Punto trade, the Sox had money to spend. Here were the top 10 free agents: (per MLBtraderumors.com)

1. Zack Greinke
2. Josh Hamilton
3. Michael Bourn
4. Anibal Sanchez
5. B.J. Upton
6. Nick SWisher
7. Edwin Jackson
8. Dan Haren
9. Hiroki Kuroda
10. Kyle Lohse

As fate would have it, we didn't get any of those guys. We had to settle for second tier free agents like Shane Victorino, Mike Napoli and Stephen Drew and Koji Uehara.
Instead of super stud Josh Hamilton, we re-signed a 37 year old DH (he was rated the 13th best FA that year by MLB). Big free agent splashes and winning the offseason guarantee nothing. History doesn't always repeat itself, but we can certainly learn from it.
And of course, that 2013 bullpen had a couple of guys named Breslow and Miller. I'm sure they learned something.
And since we're having the annual MBT re-litigation, when it comes to free agent mistakes, there was a superstar outfielder on that 2013 team that turned into a huge mistake (for the Yankees). Big free agent contracts rarely pan out.
 

Sandy Leon Trotsky

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This ownership group has been burnt over and over by free agents and expensive contract extensions. It’s not crazy to see why they’d want to avoid them.
They clearly targeted YY as probably the only guy worth a massive investment in and spending. Not just the Sox, but most teams don't get the value out of big FA contracts- the success rate on them seems to be pretty low... just thinking of some of them that have came through Boston (both FA's and trade/extended agents)- Beckett, Lowell, Crawford, Gonzalez, Lackey, Ramirez, Pablo, Porcello, Price, Martinez, Sale, etc.... It's really a mixed bag and more likely leaning towards the bad ideas side.
I don't know what the right answer is... and maybe YY was never going to sign, no matter how much the Sox offered in overpay, but if $20M is going to a downtrending Teoscar I just don't see how adding that but just getting B grade pitching really helps.
The OF as currently constructed is probably fine IMO but adding Gray and Nola to the overall team and doing nothing with the OF is significantly a better value, even if you're crazy overpaying for those two, rather than losing out by 2M per season on those guys and then getting Hernandez, then getting some value starters (say Gioloti and Stroman) and Hernandez.
Just wondering basically is $60M spent on Giolito, Stroman and Teoscar* better value than $60M spent on Gray and Nola? I don't think so.

---And I'm not saying that I know the Sox could have got those two for $30M per season, but I suspect that they could have.
*And I actually think that cluster will end up being more than $60M per
 

grepal

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Full throttle = Business as Usual

Sounds stupid and delivered to get more unhappiness from permanently disgruntled fans. Who would say that? Why would anyone connected to the Sox say that?

Top half free agents still on the board and time to react if they don’t have anyone to spend on. But hey… let’s continue to think FSG wants (and has always wanted) to just cash in.
Sox needed and still need two top of the rotation starting pitchers, a second baseman, right handed thump, improved defense and an upgrade at catcher. I see a Criswell and a lot of rhetoric.
 

Delicious Sponge

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Henry says he doesn’t want to pay for the declining years of players.

What if the new market inefficiency they’ve committed to is saying that if you want repeated shots at WS titles you can’t spend your money that way.

The idea is to develop and lock up your own players to big contracts as they are entering their prime. No more massive dollar free agent signings (unless it’s a unicorn like YY).

The transition from the old model to the new one necessarily takes time, and it sucks for fans. It’s worse because Henry has never explained this to anyone (if it’s true) so fans thinking of the offseason as a chance to throw around huge dollars at free agents are disappointed and frustrated.

It would make logical sense if something like this was going on, because there’s no evidence that Henry is a dumb businessperson and it can’t be that a guy who has invested in multiple sports franchises isn’t focused on winning.

And no, I can’t explain the Mookie thing.
 

BigSoxFan

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Henry says he doesn’t want to pay for the declining years of players.

What if the new market inefficiency they’ve committed to is saying that if you want repeated shots at WS titles you can’t spend your money that way.

The idea is to develop and lock up your own players to big contracts as they are entering their prime. No more massive dollar free agent signings (unless it’s a unicorn like YY).

The transition from the old model to the new one necessarily takes time, and it sucks for fans. It’s worse because Henry has never explained this to anyone (if it’s true) so fans thinking of the offseason as a chance to throw around huge dollars at free agents are disappointed and frustrated.

It would make logical sense if something like this was going on, because there’s no evidence that Henry is a dumb businessperson and it can’t be that a guy who has invested in multiple sports franchises isn’t focused on winning.

And no, I can’t explain the Mookie thing.
Then why fire the guy who brought in Mayer, Anthony, and Teel, the likely core of this new strategy? And I say this as someone who was far from a Bloom defender.

This ownership group is giving a lot of mixed messages so I find it hard to make heads or tails of what they’re doing. And I certainly hope that their experience with guys like Crawford, Sandoval, Rusney, Lackey, Price, etc. isn’t driving all of this. The issues with those guys was the evaluation. Would any of us be upset if this team had given 6/165 to Freddie Freeman? We all know FA spending isn’t the most efficient way to spend money but if you’re a large market team, you can deal with some waste.

Building a developmental machine sounds great on paper but it’s just so hard to execute. There needs to be a blended strategy here but it feels like the Sox have decided to tamper down their FA spending habits without the corresponding developmental machine in place. There is so much riding on the development of 3 guys. I almost feel bad for them. Talk about pressure.
 

Sandy Leon Trotsky

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Sox needed and still need two top of the rotation starting pitchers, a second baseman, right handed thump, improved defense and an upgrade at catcher. I see a Criswell and a lot of rhetoric.
NEED an upgrade at C? Maybe.... really low priority though. Improved defense has already happened with Story and presumably Rafaela in CF, Duran in LF.
 

BigSoxFan

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NEED an upgrade at C? Maybe.... really low priority though. Improved defense has already happened with Story and presumably Rafaela in CF, Duran in LF.
Maybe but Rafaela might also be a big drag on the offense and we don’t really know what Duran is either. If both of those guys stick around and prove to be at least decent hitters, we are definitely in much better shape. I don’t really trust Rafaela’s hitting profile at all though.
 

Delicious Sponge

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Then why fire the guy who brought in Mayer, Anthony, and Teel, the likely core of this new strategy? And I say this as someone who was far from a Bloom defender.
I don't know, but there are lots of reasons to fire someone that have nothing to do with whether he did a good job bringing in those guys. The fact that they hired Breslow -- who so far seems to be doing the same kinds of things -- suggests to me that this isn't a change in direction just a change in leadership.

As you correctly point out, executing on this plan is wicked hard. They're making it harder by having a poor PR strategy, or, it seems, no PR strategy.
 

Mike473

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Henry says he doesn’t want to pay for the declining years of players.

What if the new market inefficiency they’ve committed to is saying that if you want repeated shots at WS titles you can’t spend your money that way.

The idea is to develop and lock up your own players to big contracts as they are entering their prime. No more massive dollar free agent signings (unless it’s a unicorn like YY).

The transition from the old model to the new one necessarily takes time, and it sucks for fans. It’s worse because Henry has never explained this to anyone (if it’s true) so fans thinking of the offseason as a chance to throw around huge dollars at free agents are disappointed and frustrated.

It would make logical sense if something like this was going on, because there’s no evidence that Henry is a dumb businessperson and it can’t be that a guy who has invested in multiple sports franchises isn’t focused on winning.

And no, I can’t explain the Mookie thing.
Whatever Henry's plan, It seems a lot of the top executives that were interviewed to take the helm were not thrilled with it and decided not to move forward.

That said, the current roster is not competitive and I don't think any of the current higher profile players move the needle much on being competitive, or would excite the fan base while they build, like YY would have done. Or they would age into their mid 30s by the time the Sox are really good again. The Red Sox are in a brutal division and unfortunately that makes it worse. We don't want ownership digging into an even deeper hole with poor acquisitions.
 

jbupstate

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Who were the “
Whatever Henry's plan, It seems a lot of the top executives that were interviewed to take the helm were not thrilled with it and decided not to move forward.

That said, the current roster is not competitive and I don't think any of the current higher profile players move the needle much on being competitive, or would excite the fan base while they build, like YY would have done. Or they would age into their mid 30s by the time the Sox are really good again. The Red Sox are in a brutal division and unfortunately that makes it worse. We don't want ownership digging into an even deeper hole with poor acquisitions.
Who were the “top executives “ that interviewed and passed?
 

pjheff

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And no, I can’t explain the Mookie thing.
With the rebuild that was required, they thought that he’d be great when they weren’t good and in decline when they were again. I can explain it, even if I don’t agree with it. Fred Lynn is my favorite Sox player ever, and this franchise should never lose homegrown superstars for financial reasons.
 

Delicious Sponge

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Whatever Henry's plan, It seems a lot of the top executives that were interviewed to take the helm were not thrilled with it and decided not to move forward.
I don't recall seeing reporting that suggested Henry's plan -- whatever it may be -- was the problem for those candidates.

The problem was evidently the "murky power structure" of the organization.
 

chrisfont9

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I don't know, but there are lots of reasons to fire someone that have nothing to do with whether he did a good job bringing in those guys. The fact that they hired Breslow -- who so far seems to be doing the same kinds of things -- suggests to me that this isn't a change in direction just a change in leadership.

As you correctly point out, executing on this plan is wicked hard. They're making it harder by having a poor PR strategy, or, it seems, no PR strategy.
They've dropped enough nuggets out there via the media that his indecisiveness around trades was a problem, and there's plenty of rumormongering about other GMs being pissed at him. I doubt we will ever get a better explanation than that. I do like your earlier post, Sponge. Collecting star players has some success on the positional side but less so on the pitching side, where the top guys one year were nothing like who you expected, for a variety of reasons. I'm still in favor of signing Montgomery as a solid innings-eater but won't just throw away 50 years of fanhood if they don't.
 

TomRicardo

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I don't recall seeing reporting that suggested Henry's plan -- whatever it may be -- was the problem for those candidates.

The problem was evidently the "murky power structure" of the organization.
"Look Sam Kennedy figured it out. These stupid fans, internally here at Fenway Sports Group, pay pigs or PPs for short, will keep buying enough slop we actually make money when we lose. Just pretend to be involved in big deal free agents and garbage bin the rest like Tampa or Miami. Last guy just don't pull the trigger to trade away his bag of misfit toys for more lottery tickets we can use the Globe to pump up. You do this enough and eventually you end up in the playoffs, as is the law of averages."
 
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Henry got booed in his own ballpark prior to signing Devers, this is what it takes for him to act. He has since taken a powder and the results speak for themselves. He can't stand behind or in this case in front of his own product.
 

chrisfont9

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Henry got booed in his own ballpark prior to signing Devers, this is what it takes for him to act. He has since taken a powder and the results speak for themselves. He can't stand behind or in this case in front of his own product.
This is a talk radio meme and contains very little truth. Do you seriously think that they pivoted to giving Devers $313m because John Henry got his feelings hurt? Do you know what it takes to negotiate that sort of deal? Weeks of effort, by all actual reporting on the subject.
 

Bongorific

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This is a talk radio meme and contains very little truth. Do you seriously think that they pivoted to giving Devers $313m because John Henry got his feelings hurt? Do you know what it takes to negotiate that sort of deal? Weeks of effort, by all actual reporting on the subject.
I do. I think it was a close call for them and didn’t want to go to 300+. The near fan revolt got them to go over their budget a bit to get it done.
 

RS2004foreever

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At its core the GM role is about talent evaluation. You can have various strategies but as the recent experience with the Padres, Mets and Yankees (take a look at the Stanton and Rodon contracts) show spending money isn't really the deciding factor. It MATTERS certainly.

If you believe it is about talent evaluation then it is not hard to see why Bloom got fired. He let Eovaldi and Wacha go and left the starting rotation so weak the Red Sox had to go with openers in July. He let Renfro go and acquired JBJ who was a disaster. Now in turn you can argue that is luck: there were very good reasons not to resign Wacha in particular. But that is the truth - the financial constraints Bloom was operating under should still have allowed the Red Sox to be an 85 win team.

And when it comes to luck, well, if Roberts is thrown out in game 4 of the 2004 ALCS and the Red Sox are swept I doubt anyone in management would have felt very comfortable about their jobs.

I also suspect that what Bloom told Henry was that in both '22 and '23 the Red Sox would fight for the playoffs. I suspect the fact the team did not meet those expectations is another reason Bloom was fired.
 

Mike473

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Who were the “top executives “ that interviewed and passed?
That is what I remember hearing. That said, maybe they didn't interview any top guys and are approaching the GM position the same as the roster. I think the Bloom strategy is still in play. Either way, the path forward is pretty clear right now. Endure the pain for a while until the top prospects arrive, then move for pitching.
 
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4 6 3 DP

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This ownership group appears to have a limited appetite for monster contracts so we now have even more pressure to develop from within. The good news is that Mayer, Teel, and Jordan all have the talent profile to be all-stars. The bad news is that they’re all very young and will take time to develop. For a fan base that has watched 4 mostly disappointing years, having that patience can be tough, especially since all of the recent success isn’t too far away.
The strategic weirdness with this is that they would rather spend the money on 15-20 million a year players like Yoshida, and Jansen, and Story, and then throw 10 million dollar lottery tickets at guys like Garrett Richards and Paxton, rather than spend what is necessary to compete for $300 million players. it's not like Henry isn't spending the money. They are. It just seems like there's a risk management policy that prefers nickels and dimes over quarters, in a sport that seems to be moving towards the quarters.

Under Epstein, Cherington, and Dombrowski this team was willing to set the market to acquire talent, under Bloom it wasn't, unless it was setting the market for a B+ contract like Yoshida. So far, this policy is extremely mixed to be polite. But they are spending the money, just with an entirely different approach.
 

chrisfont9

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The strategic weirdness with this is that they would rather spend the money on 15-20 million a year players like Yoshida, and Jansen, and Story, and then throw 10 million dollar lottery tickets at guys like Garrett Richards and Paxton, rather than spend what is necessary to compete for $300 million players. it's not like Henry isn't spending the money. They are. It just seems like there's a risk management policy that prefers nickels and dimes over quarters, in a sport that seems to be moving towards the quarters.

Under Epstein, Cherington, and Dombrowski this team was willing to set the market to acquire talent, under Bloom it wasn't, unless it was setting the market for a B+ contract like Yoshida. So far, this policy is extremely mixed to be polite. But they are spending the money, just with an entirely different approach.
Not to just "whataboutDevers" you, but it seems like they *will* go big, for the right guy. Presumably that's someone who is unusually young for a signable (free agent or late-arb extension) guy. They aren't taking on huge back-of-the-contract risk, anywhere, in the form of $30m to a guy hitting 40. The Bogaerts offer was supposedly 6 or 7 years for 160m or 180ish, not entirely sure, but that's another data point for how deep into the aging curve they are willing to sign up for -- mid/late 30s. If that's the risk they want to avoid, then they will keep losing out on big name free agents to less risk-averse teams, who may look pretty foolish in the 2030s and perhaps the Sox brass will get their victory lap.

But even if this is so, it's worth pointing out that the Rangers just won using a similar formula. They are paying an MVP-ish Corey Seager thru age 38 and Marcus Semien to age 37, and nobody else into those later years save Scherzer on a one-year (remaining) deal. Devers is extended through age 36. Maybe the Sox would go another year out on a similar player, even to 38 for a sure-fire star, and then they are a hard no? Anyway, you can win with this policy because baseball is a 25-man sport, but it's easier to imagine them winning with some of the super-duperstar players on the team.
 

Apisith

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The ownership are right, paying for over 30 players is a fool’s errand. You’re paying for post-prime performance and typically for 5-7 years. It’s a bad deal for the team.

If we’re not going to spend on FA (which I generally agree with), then we have to make sure we don’t make the same mistakes we did with Xander, Mookie and Devers. We need to lock up our young players earlier: give us long term deals for Bello and Casas this winter.

If ownership are really hesitant on long term FA deals - especially when we don’t have a lot of high quality cost-controlled players - then there’s not much to do but wait until we graduate more prospects. Our window is not open.

I won’t say it’ll be a good offseason if we give out some short term contracts to Giolito, Paxton and 1-2 bullpen pieces, but if we lock up Bello and Casas then it’ll show that the FO and ownership are aware of the mistakes that were made in the past 10 years, which is IMO the most important thing.
 

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The ownership are right, paying for over 30 players is a fool’s errand. You’re paying for post-prime performance and typically for 5-7 years. It’s a bad deal for the team.

If we’re not going to spend on FA (which I generally agree with), then we have to make sure we don’t make the same mistakes we did with Xander, Mookie and Devers. We need to lock up our young players earlier: give us long term deals for Bello and Casas this winter.

If ownership are really hesitant on long term FA deals - especially when we don’t have a lot of high quality cost-controlled players - then there’s not much to do but wait until we graduate more prospects. Our window is not open.

I won’t say it’ll be a good offseason if we give out some short term contracts to Giolito, Paxton and 1-2 bullpen pieces, but if we lock up Bello and Casas then it’ll show that the FO and ownership are aware of the mistakes that were made in the past 10 years, which is IMO the most important thing.
The Sox actually did extend Xander early.
 

DeJesus Built My Hotrod

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Not to just "whataboutDevers" you, but it seems like they *will* go big, for the right guy. Presumably that's someone who is unusually young for a signable (free agent or late-arb extension) guy. They aren't taking on huge back-of-the-contract risk, anywhere, in the form of $30m to a guy hitting 40. The Bogaerts offer was supposedly 6 or 7 years for 160m or 180ish, not entirely sure, but that's another data point for how deep into the aging curve they are willing to sign up for -- mid/late 30s. If that's the risk they want to avoid, then they will keep losing out on big name free agents to less risk-averse teams, who may look pretty foolish in the 2030s and perhaps the Sox brass will get their victory lap.

But even if this is so, it's worth pointing out that the Rangers just won using a similar formula. They are paying an MVP-ish Corey Seager thru age 38 and Marcus Semien to age 37, and nobody else into those later years save Scherzer on a one-year (remaining) deal. Devers is extended through age 36. Maybe the Sox would go another year out on a similar player, even to 38 for a sure-fire star, and then they are a hard no? Anyway, you can win with this policy because baseball is a 25-man sport, but it's easier to imagine them winning with some of the super-duperstar players on the team.
Do you honestly believe the Sox would have gone out and successfully recruited Devers if he was another team's FA? I don't know the answer but I think they would do what they've been doing which is to inquire, figure out if there is any sort of angle and then dip out once the price tag gets too high.

You make very valid points that there may well be a very thoughtful strategy to the FSG approach. That said, I am not relitigating the Betts deal (no interest in revisiting the details) but I took that decision to mean that this ownership really *wont* go big for the right guy. If a homegrown Mookie Betts, who was as good a bet as any FA to perform on a big contract, isn't the right guy, who is?

Finally, I agree with the takes in this thread that the FSG approach is different than what JWH & Co. had in the early aughts and maybe even through most of the 2010s. It may well be as simple as that they realized that the Sox are essentially fully valued as a franchise and that spending more in an attempt to win is a bad economic strategy. That's entirely fine but fans should accept that and plan accordingly. Maybe don't purchase Extra Innings before the season and maybe don't spend as much money attending games or buying merchandise. It probably won't change their behavior but at least fans will be behaving rationally.
 
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Traut

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Do you honestly believe the Sox would have gone out and successfully recruited Devers if he was another team's FA? I don't know the answer but I think they would do what they've been doing which is to inquire, figure out if there is any sort of angle and then dip out once the price tag gets too high.

You make very valid points that there may well be a very thoughtful strategy to the FSG approach. That said, I am not relitigating the Betts deal (no interest in revisiting the details) but I took that decision to mean that this ownership really *wont* go big for the right guy. If a homegrown Mookie Betts, who was as good a bet as any FA to perform on a big contract, isn't the right guy, who is?

Finally, I agree with the takes in this thread that the FSG approach is different than what JWH & Co. had in the early aughts and maybe even through most of the 2010s. It may well be as simple as that they realized that the Sox are essentially fully valued as a franchise and that spending more in an attempt to win is a bad economic strategy. That's entirely fine but fans should accept that and plan accordingly. Maybe don't purchase Extra Innings before the season and maybe don't spend as much money attending games or buying merchandise. It probably won't change their behavior but at least fans will be behaving rationally.
When people tell you who they are it is best to believe them. Ownership has almost certainly concluded there is limited economic incentive to spend more in order to compete.

Henry was being accurate and honest when he said "it's expensive to have baseball players". It unquestionably is expensive to have baseball players. World class players get paid world class money.

In any market when investors say something is expensive it roughly translates to the juice isn't worth the squeeze. Henry and the Red Sox are wealthy enough to have offered what the Dodgers did for Ohtani. They decided not to because it wasn't worth it to them.

It comes down to a question of vision. Nothing is guaranteed to work out (see the 2023 Mets) but Steve Cohen's vision for the team is they compete on the field and for eyeballs and dollars off the field. Or maybe he's just rich enough where he wants to swing his dick around. Whatever the reason Cohen decided he wants to play at the high stakes table.

Maybe he calculates a World Series win is worth more to the Mets than Henry calculates it is to the Sox. These aren't stupid people they are largely rational people making rational decisions based upon their objectives.

At some point in the last 5 years, Henry decided the high rollers table was too rich for his blood. And he looked around and decided to be some higher rent version of the Rays.
 

BigSoxFan

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The ownership are right, paying for over 30 players is a fool’s errand. You’re paying for post-prime performance and typically for 5-7 years. It’s a bad deal for the team.

If we’re not going to spend on FA (which I generally agree with), then we have to make sure we don’t make the same mistakes we did with Xander, Mookie and Devers. We need to lock up our young players earlier: give us long term deals for Bello and Casas this winter.

If ownership are really hesitant on long term FA deals - especially when we don’t have a lot of high quality cost-controlled players - then there’s not much to do but wait until we graduate more prospects. Our window is not open.

I won’t say it’ll be a good offseason if we give out some short term contracts to Giolito, Paxton and 1-2 bullpen pieces, but if we lock up Bello and Casas then it’ll show that the FO and ownership are aware of the mistakes that were made in the past 10 years, which is IMO the most important thing.
And what happens if Bello/Casas are seeing the mistakes that guys like Acuna/Albies made and aren’t receptive to contract extensions that push back FA 2+ years? I think most of us would love to get them extended but it takes two to tango. Will ownership do what it takes to lock them up? Do they have a similar red line that they won’t cross? Hard for any of us to know.

In the meantime, we’re all sitting here watching an inferior product whose material improvement is almost entirely linked to the development of 3 key prospects. I certainly hope Mayer, Teel, and Anthony work out because it’s going to be ugly if they do not.

I get why they would prefer not to give big money to guys over 30 but outliers happen. Mookie was exactly the guy you lock up long term and they blew it. I also enjoyed Papi’s age 30-40 seasons quite a bit. I know he was at shorter and lesser money but the fact remains that some guys are just different. It’s knowing who is the outlier that is the difficult part.

I would have zero issue locking up Soto for a 10-12 year deal at Boras rates that takes him into his late 30s. But this ownership group won’t even consider it. And that is a little frustrating to me as a fan.
 

Traut

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I would have zero issue locking up Soto for a 10-12 year deal at Boras rates that takes him into his late 30s. But this ownership group won’t even consider it. And that is a little frustrating to me as a fan.
In 2023 the Red Sox were the second most expensive team for a family of 4 to see ($215 a game) with only the Dodgers at $219 a game costing more.

Their cheapest tickets are $35.90 which are double the MLB average of $17.67. Link.

NESN costs $30 a month to stream.

If fans aren't frustrated they aren't paying attention. It would be one thing if Henry was fielding a team like the Brewers and charging Brewers prices. He's not. He's charging filet prices and serving up London Broil.
 

chawson

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At its core the GM role is about talent evaluation. You can have various strategies but as the recent experience with the Padres, Mets and Yankees (take a look at the Stanton and Rodon contracts) show spending money isn't really the deciding factor. It MATTERS certainly.

If you believe it is about talent evaluation then it is not hard to see why Bloom got fired. He let Eovaldi and Wacha go and left the starting rotation so weak the Red Sox had to go with openers in July. He let Renfro go and acquired JBJ who was a disaster. Now in turn you can argue that is luck: there were very good reasons not to resign Wacha in particular. But that is the truth - the financial constraints Bloom was operating under should still have allowed the Red Sox to be an 85 win team.

And when it comes to luck, well, if Roberts is thrown out in game 4 of the 2004 ALCS and the Red Sox are swept I doubt anyone in management would have felt very comfortable about their jobs.

I also suspect that what Bloom told Henry was that in both '22 and '23 the Red Sox would fight for the playoffs. I suspect the fact the team did not meet those expectations is another reason Bloom was fired.
Michael Wacha is on his sixth team in six years and Renfroe is on his seventh. I don’t really think Bloom was fired because he preferred pre-arb Houck in the rotation over Wacha.

I would have zero issue locking up Soto for a 10-12 year deal at Boras rates that takes him into his late 30s. But this ownership group won’t even consider it. And that is a little frustrating to me as a fan.
I don’t think this is the case, and I don’t think there’s evidence for it. Their unwillingness to match Bogaerts’ deal doesn’t indicate so, and neither do the Ohtani or Yamamoto negotiations. But next winter’s Soto sweepstakes should be pretty telling. There’s no reason they shouldn’t be all in, at his age, and his stated interest in the East Coast (and Red Sox specifically).
 

snowmanny

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Yeah, their total salary is still pretty high, but you’re watching a team way more likely to finish last than first, with one kinda sorta big name star (who led the team with a 3.9 WAR), and a few maybes in the pipeline. Neither they or the fans are getting much bang for the buck.

Honestly, going to see the Sea Dogs this year is probably a way way better deal and a more interesting product.

edit/ it’s still a long way until spring training so maybe something changes. Hopefully.
 

BigSoxFan

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Michael Wacha is on his sixth team in six years and Renfroe is on his seventh. I don’t really think Bloom was fired because he preferred pre-arb Houck in the rotation over Wacha.



I don’t think this is the case, and I don’t think there’s evidence for it. Their unwillingness to match Bogaerts’ deal doesn’t indicate so, and neither do the Ohtani or Yamamoto negotiations. But next winter’s Soto sweepstakes should be pretty telling. There’s no reason they shouldn’t be all in, at his age, and his stated interest in the East Coast (and Red Sox specifically).
They can prove it by actually landing a star in FA. That means you pay full freight and deal with elevated risk. It’s the cost of doing business. They punted on Mookie, a guy who fit the exact profile of a guy you invest in. I know most here are tired of discussing that situation but I’m not. I think they absolutely blew it there and they’re still dealing with the ramifications of doing so.
 

DavidTai

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They can prove it by actually landing a star in FA. That means you pay full freight and deal with elevated risk. It’s the cost of doing business. They punted on Mookie, a guy who fit the exact profile of a guy you invest in. I know most here are tired of discussing that situation but I’m not. I think they absolutely blew it there and they’re still dealing with the ramifications of doing so.
They signed Price in free agency. That led to the trade of Mookie.

If you're going to relegislate the Betts trade as "how cheap ownership" start by acknowledging that maybe, maybe, signing top free agents have consequences. Like leading to not keeping Mookie.
 

BigSoxFan

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They signed Price in free agency. That led to the trade of Mookie.

If you're going to relegislate the Betts trade as "how cheap ownership" start by acknowledging that maybe, maybe, signing top free agents have consequences. Like leading to not keeping Mookie.
Show me where I called them “cheap”. Maybe, maybe start by responding to what people actually write.
 

DavidTai

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Or put it in a different way, since you seem to have not thought this all fully.

The price of signing David Price and then getting rid of his contract was to trade Mookie.

It's the cost of doing business with signing a star in FA. Did you -actually- appreciate the elevated risk resolution?

I don't think you actually do.
 

Yelling At Clouds

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As fate would have it, we didn't get any of those guys. We had to settle for second tier free agents like Shane Victorino, Mike Napoli and Stephen Drew and Koji Uehara.
Instead of super stud Josh Hamilton, we re-signed a 37 year old DH (he was rated the 13th best FA that year by MLB). Big free agent splashes and winning the offseason guarantee nothing. History doesn't always repeat itself, but we can certainly learn from it.
And of course, that 2013 bullpen had a couple of guys named Breslow and Miller. I'm sure they learned something.
The flip side of this is how many teams have surplus-valued their way to postseason success in recent memory? The Rays did make the 2020 World Series, true, and you could maybe argue that the Braves took a 2013-Red-Sox-esque approach to replacing Acuna in 2021. But looking at pennant winners, most of the ones since 2013 have been either big spenders (Dodgers, Phillies, Nationals, Rangers, Red Sox) or teams coming off of a rebuild more aggressive than the one the Red Sox undertook in recent years (Cubs, Astros, DBacks, Royals, those same Braves).

NEXT DAY EDIT: since I am an October Truther, I will note that you could expand this to all playoff teams and find a couple more teams built on the cheap (Cleveland, Milwaukee) but it still holds that most teams were built one of the the other two ways.

As a side note, I actually think that Teoscar would be a 2013-style move. Yet it seems like a lot of the people in that thread are pretty opposed to that one!
 
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DavidTai

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Show me where I called them “cheap”. Maybe, maybe start by responding to what people actually write.
I'm actually responding to the 'sign the FA and deal with the elevated risk" part. Because you clearly didn't seem to appreciate the way the Red Sox dealt with the elevated risk.

And I'm certainly not in the mood to trade Mayer / Teel / etc. just to get rid of a risky bad FA contract.
 

radsoxfan

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They signed Price in free agency. That led to the trade of Mookie.

If you're going to relegislate the Betts trade as "how cheap ownership" start by acknowledging that maybe, maybe, signing top free agents have consequences. Like leading to not keeping Mookie.
Price wasn't a good signing and ownership did eventually use Mookie in part to get off the contract.

But the idea that signing Price somehow caused the Mookie trade doesn't make any sense. This was a high payroll team with an MVP caliber player in his prime on the roster. They could have kept Mookie, or at least made a more significant effort to re-sign him if they really wanted to. Price could have been dealt with another way.

If they thought Price's contract potentially wouldn't let them later sign Mookie (Mookie was already an MVP by the time Price signed), they are completely incompetent for agreeing to it in the first place.
 

BigSoxFan

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I'm actually responding to the 'sign the FA and deal with the elevated risk" part. Because you clearly didn't seem to appreciate the way the Red Sox dealt with the elevated risk.

And I'm certainly not in the mood to trade Mayer / Teel / etc. just to get rid of a risky bad FA contract.
Again, did I call them “cheap”? You attributed words to me that I did not write and now feel compelled to insult my ability to analyze how they operated. So, I can tell this won’t be a meaningful interaction and will move on.
 

cantor44

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And what happens if Bello/Casas are seeing the mistakes that guys like Acuna/Albies made and aren’t receptive to contract extensions that push back FA 2+ years? I think most of us would love to get them extended but it takes two to tango. Will ownership do what it takes to lock them up? Do they have a similar red line that they won’t cross? Hard for any of us to know.

In the meantime, we’re all sitting here watching an inferior product whose material improvement is almost entirely linked to the development of 3 key prospects.
This is essential - they team is not that good. So, I guess the organization is winning on principle - not overpaying players in their 30s, while simultaneously losing actual baseball games. Talk about a Pyrrhic victory.

I think BigSoxFan has it right; it's important the FO and ownership are not absolutist about this stuff: some players, in certain moments, for various reasons, are worth giving longer contracts to, or overpaying some. All player acquistion approaches are probably best when flexible and influenced by particular circumstance, rather than rigidly dogmatic.
 
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apc020420129

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If fans stop going/watching, en masse we yield some power. I see no reason to line a billionaires pocket when the product he puts out irritates me more than entertains me. If I told my owner sure I have had three horrible years in the last four and next year looks lousy too, but I was number one 8 years ago so stick with me. There is a chance I may be ok someday fo you think I would have a pay check. If you do, please let me know where you work so I can apply, bust my butt for a couple of years then coast until I die.
AMEN
 

DavidTai

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So ...something has changed. This all HAS corresponded to the expansion of the FSG. Coincidence? Maybe. I'm not saying that's the cause, only seeing a correlation, but maybe that's paranoid. Rather - let's hope it's about perceived windows, and building a young core and the time is not right to be aggressive. Though the right time keeps getting pushed a year for a couple years running now. And there's chance maybe none of the current prospects will work, like all the dues DD gave away. And we'll just keep waiting. It all feels a bit farkakte!
It's hard to tell, I admit. Trevor Story being a signing that seemed to be made. Devers being signed.

I -think- Bloom, from all indications, thought he had read the market correctly and was about to re-sign Xander -before- that SD offer came in, though I've heard arguments that he should have somehow not offered the opt-out, which changed the calculus completely.

The biggest, and worst part of free agency is that it takes -two- sides to sign - and sometimes timing just doesn't match up ( Eovaldi not accepting the offer, then coming back later only to be told the Sox were moving on), and right now, I feel like there's really nothing that would motivate free agents to sign other than to pay them more than other teams would.
 

Rasputin

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If fans stop going/watching, en masse we yield some power. I see no reason to line a billionaires pocket when the product he puts out irritates me more than entertains me. If I told my owner sure I have had three horrible years in the last four and next year looks lousy too, but I was number one 8 years ago so stick with me. There is a chance I may be ok someday fo you think I would have a pay check. If you do, please let me know where you work so I can apply, bust my butt for a couple of years then coast until I die.
If something annoys you more than entertains you, don't do it.

This advice brought to you by someone who used to post here multiple times a day, every day, in all seasons, and who now doesn't.

You're gonna die and it's gonna happen sooner than you expect, and when the time comes, you'll wish you had spent more time on things you enjoy and less time on things that annoy you.
 

DavidTai

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If they traded one of the best players in Red Sox history in his prime just to get out of the Price contract, things with ownership are much worse than any of us think. I don't think that was the case.

They didn't think Betts was worth it, and found a way to get out of the Price contract as a bonus. They misread the situation and created a lot of mistrust with the fan base. Now, ownership has to find a way to bridge through a couple tough seasons until the farm system comes through. I think if this was 2 years from now, they would have been way more aggressive in YY sweepstakes. But, they are simply not breaking the bank on a team that is likely going nowhere in the next year or two.
Ugh, this feels about right. Underestimated the explosion in top-level salaries, then?
 

chrisfont9

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But the pitching issue remains. Have no idea how that gets resolved in the short term.
The latest rumors have them maybe in on Montgomery but also looking at Giolito and Imanaga rather seriously. The connective tissue is no QO protection, so apparently they value that. I'm all for the former but if they can get the most out of the other two for less money, great. As has been said a number of times, they were league average last year even with all the injuries, it won't take all that much.
 

mikcou

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Understood. Just failing to see why signing a big FA contract in this market would change anything about how the office operates that the Devers/Story signings didn't.
At the very least it is market signaling. They havent been good (and really have been bad) with both Story and Devers on the team. Not adding a significant piece after the last two years despite a number available tends to signal that they dont care that much.
 

DavidTai

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At the very least it is market signaling. They havent been good (and really have been bad) with both Story and Devers on the team. Not adding a significant piece after the last two years despite a number available tends to signal that they dont care that much.
Market signaling... to whom? Free agents? Or the fanbase?

I'm having a hard time understanding who the ownership should be signalling to. "WE SIGNED A FREE AGENT TO A BIG CONTRACT" to me conveys a different message from "WE SIGNED A BIG FREE AGENT". And the remaining guys on the market, well, have considerably more warts than Yamamoto.

The Padres went ahead and signed Xander Bogaerts to a big contract after missing out on Aaron Judge, who wanted to stay with the Yankees.

Pretty sure that shows they do care, but it doesn't necessary mean anything to how good the team is, and then they go and trade Soto. Which seems like exactly the kind of young talent you SHOULD be offering big money to.

What, exactly, is this market signalling supposed to be? "Pay whatever Boras clients want!"?