I hear ya.
I'm thinking NO outside is doable.
I'm thinking they could beat Carolina as Steve Smith may not be back and Cam's toe could affect him.
I'm thinking they could beat SF in Philly, which is where that game would be.
And I'm hoping they could beat Denver in a foot of snow in the Meadowlands.
More likely they'll lose to the Saints in the Wild Card round.
A boy can dream though.
There's a greater than 50% chance that one of the favorites will get upset, but Denver/Seattle is by far the most likely SB matchup. Any other prediction is playing a hunch.
Having said that, I like Philly's chances of crashing the party better than anyone else's. They are playing great football (3rd in weighted DVOA, behind SEA and DEN), and I like their draw -- they should beat NO at home, and among the four bye teams, I think CAR is the most vulnerable. (They are an excellent team, obviously, but would you rather go into Seattle or Denver, or face BB and Brady with two weeks to prepare? Didn't think so.)
And subjectively, the Eagles remind me of the Packers team that won the SB as a #6 seed a few years ago. Like those Packers, these Eagles are much better than their record, and Nick Foles is playing at an elite level right now and might be able to sustain that for four more games, even if he'll never be a super-elite QB like Rodgers.