Eck'sSneakyCheese said:What are the playoffs looking like in this league?
Just based on my performance week-to-week. Obviously I might have run into some hot teams and lost a game where I played well too, but the converse is true. I think my record outperforms the overall item above because there were several weeks where everyone laid an egg (week 5, 7, 10, 14) and my highs tended to be lower.Eck'sSneakyCheese said:Thanks for putting the time in and giving us a rundown SN. How did you figure your record?
Offense | ||
Position | Player | PFF |
QB | Joe Flacco | -13.2 |
QB2 | Kirk Cousins | -11.3 |
RB1 | LaRod Stephens-Howling | NA |
RB2 | LeVeon Bell | 4.3 |
RB3 | LeGarrett Blount | 10.1 |
TE1 | Vernon Davis | 8.6 |
TE2 | Niles Paul | -4 |
WR1 | Alshon Jeffery | 18.7 |
WR2 | DeAndre Hopkins | -1.7 |
WR3 | Brandon Gibson | 6.6 |
LT | Trent Williams | 38.3 |
LG | Wade Smith | -10.7 |
C | Fernando Velasco | -4.9 |
RG | Barrett Jones | NA |
RT | Gosder Cherilus | 12.2 |
Defense | ||
Position | Player | PFF |
DE1 | Greg Hardy | 27 |
DE2 | De'Quan Bowers | -2.7 |
DT1 | Nick Fairley | 5.8 |
DT2 | Sheldon Richardson | 30.4 |
WLB | Alec Ogeltree | -4.2 |
MLB | DeMeco Ryans | -21.4 |
SLB1 | Gerald Hodges | NA |
SLB2 | Jolpo Bartu | -1.7 |
CB1 | Greg Toler | -3.3 |
CB2 | Kareem Jackson | -3.9 |
CB3 | David Amerson | -5.5 |
FS1 | Kerry Rhodes | NA |
FS2 | Charles Godfrey | -2 |
SS | Major Wright | -27.2 |
mascho said:Yeah, maybe you're right. It's tough to look at a single team's PFF numbers alone and surmise a record. I'd have to look at the rest of the NFC east, as well as their other opponents this season, to truly venture a guess.
Eck'sSneakyCheese said:My Offensive skill players:
QB - Nick Foles - finally threw his first INT of the year , but he's looked like a top starter in Chip Kelly's offense.
RB - Eddie Lacy - Solid workhorse. He's been exactly what I hoped he'd be.
RB - LaMichael James - Stuck in SF behind some really talented RB's. He would be the perfect compliment to Lacy.
FB - Hynoski - Hurt n/a
WR - Torrey Smith - Has shown more route running this year and looks like a true #1 WR.
WR - Tavon Austin - Up and down year, but he's an absolute homerun hitter. An all-around weapon; rushing, receiving and ST's.
WR - Da'rick Rogers - Just when I thought he was an afterthought, Indy finally sets him lose. Luck to Rogers should be heard a lot the rest of the year. Would compliment Smith well.
WR - Marvin Jones - Disappeared in a few games but would be a fantastic compliment to my other receivers. 4-wide up-tempo? Good luck.
TE - Ladarius Green - Showed up for some big plays in 3 out of the last 4 games. Would be a solid starter out of Gates' shadow.
K - Justin Tucker - Best K in the league this year
For a team that focused on Defense, I couldn't be happier with the way my offense came together. While my o-line isn't fantastic, I think they'd be serviceable with this crew.
Eck'sSneakyCheese said:Just to put together with the D
DaughtersofDougMirabelli said:
Admittedly I wasn't a big fan of this team before the year started. They far exceeded my expectations, Foles being a major reason why, and if health hadn't been an issue probably could have made a run at the title (not sure that depleted secondary could stop the top tier QBs come playoff time).
Kenny F'ing Powers said:I think the teams at the end of the draft clearly got fucking screwed in the draft this past year. I say we just reverse draft order.
We could do a wheel system like the NBA is considering:Morgan's Magic Snowplow said:I'm sympathetic to this argument but its not clear to me (admittedly there's some self-interest here) that the teams at the very end of the draft got screwed any more than teams in the middle of the draft, who also had no chance to get a clear cut franchise QB.
If we're going to keep up with the league going forward, I also think we need some kind of longer term plan for the draft order beyond just reversing the order every year, as that again hurts the teams in the middle who will never have a chance at top talent. And just figuring it out later seems kind of stupid as anything we can figure out later we can probably figure out now.
DanoooME said:I have PFF numbers for the NFC West; just need to put them in a legible Excel format so I can tableize them. Maybe tonight.
Probably the best way to do it.DaughtersofDougMirabelli said:
Please do.
I was thinking we could do a vote on each Division. That'd at least get us to the point where we know most of the playoff teams and the worst teams in the league. Might be able to narrow it down from there.
Morgan's Magic Snowplow said:One other option would be something like the NBA draft lottery, in which we had a randomized order but the teams at the end of the previous order got more "ping pong balls." Like 32 chances for the last team, 31 for second to last, etc until you only had 1 chance for OFT (sorry OFT). Probably not that difficult to do with Excel. Then we could rinse and repeat each year with the ping pong balls determined by the previous year's draft order.
In any of these scenarios, I'm assuming that we're doing a snake draft as well in order to balance the luck out a bit more.
What I don't like about the wheel is that its designed to equalize outcomes over a really long time horizon but in our case who knows whether this things lasts longer than 3-4 years.Kenny F'ing Powers said:If we do anything from the NBA, I like the wheel idea. Everyone find where you drafted last year, and go to the next number on the wheel to see your pick.
I reserve the right to change my mind if this doesn't benefit me.
mascho said:I'd like to think we have enough brain power to have a brief nomination/voting cycle for maybe the 5 worst and 5 best teams, and then randomize the rest in the middle. What else are we gonna do, argue over Richard Sherman?
DanoooME said:I have PFF numbers for the NFC West; just need to put them in a legible Excel format so I can tableize them. Maybe tonight.
phragle said:I want to know how things in real life is supposed to affect things in this exercise if at all. A teams success is highly tied to the QB success and mine is a disaster in real life. However in this exercise I think he's okay. The Redskins are ruining RG3, not us. Every decision they've made so far since they drafted him has be exactly opposite of what they should have done.
Yeah with all the work done so far it'd be stupid to mess it all up now.
Make sure you multiply the QB position by about ten. Without proper positional value a PFF total is literally useless.
ElcaballitoMVP said:
What if we put the 12 teams with the lowest PFF score for the season in a bracket style tournament to determine who gets the #1 pick? The worst PFF score gets the #1 seed and so on. The teams with the 4 lowest PFF scores automatically get a first round bye. We then vote on who we think would win head to head, with the weaker team moving on to the next round. The team standing at the end gets the top pick.
This would allow us to use PFF to initially rank our teams while also giving us a chance to share our thoughts on which teams deserve the top picks. Just an idea.
I agree with phragle though that there should be some sort of weighting system on these PFF scores. Having a bad QB shouldn't be balanced out because you've got a good kicker or punter.
ElcaballitoMVP said:
What if we put the 12 teams with the lowest PFF score for the season in a bracket style tournament to determine who gets the #1 pick? The worst PFF score gets the #1 seed and so on. The teams with the 4 lowest PFF scores automatically get a first round bye. We then vote on who we think would win head to head, with the weaker team moving on to the next round. The team standing at the end gets the top pick.
This would allow us to use PFF to initially rank our teams while also giving us a chance to share our thoughts on which teams deserve the top picks. Just an idea.
I agree with phragle though that there should be some sort of weighting system on these PFF scores. Having a bad QB shouldn't be balanced out because you've got a good kicker or punter.
Not only do the PFF numbers not weight by importance of positions but they have puzzling and pretty inexplicable differences between positions in terms of the range of values - for example, there are no ILB, CB, or S with grades over 20...yet there are 15 tackles and 10 DTs with grades over 20. Or the fact that JJ Watt has an overall grade of 112 and Richard Sherman has an overall grade of 12.phragle said:I'm a little worried people are putting too much faith in PFF numbers. It's not much different than UZR.
How about QB times 10 and punter and kicker divided by 10?
Morgan's Magic Snowplow said:As I see it, there's basically two kinds of options here:
(a) Performance based rankings, a la PFF numbers. I'm definitely willing to hear all suggestions about this but my suspicion is that its going to be a pain in the ass and that the final numbers aren't going to necessarily pass the smell test in terms of really distinguishing which are the better teams. You have the issue of weighting positions but also the issue that those PFF grades may be a load of crap to begin with.
(b) Some kind of rotation system that is essentially independent of team performance. Personally, I like the NBA draft lottery system or some variant as it gives everybody a chance at drafting high but also favors the teams that drafted lower the previous year.
Morgan's Magic Snowplow said:Not only do the PFF numbers not weight by importance of positions but they have puzzling and pretty inexplicable differences between positions in terms of the range of values - for example, there are no ILB, CB, or S with grades over 20...yet there are 15 tackles and 10 DTs with grades over 20. Or the fact that JJ Watt has an overall grade of 112 and Richard Sherman has an overall grade of 12.
mascho said:I'll listen to all offers for the #1 overall pick.
/Guy who drafted Flacco
Morgan's Magic Snowplow said:As I see it, there's basically two kinds of options here:
(a) Performance based rankings, a la PFF numbers. I'm definitely willing to hear all suggestions about this but my suspicion is that its going to be a pain in the ass and that the final numbers aren't going to necessarily pass the smell test in terms of really distinguishing which are the better teams. You have the issue of weighting positions but also the issue that those PFF grades may be a load of crap to begin with.
(b) Some kind of rotation system that is essentially independent of team performance. Personally, I like the NBA draft lottery system or some variant as it gives everybody a chance at drafting high but also favors the teams that drafted lower the previous year.
Morgan's Magic Snowplow said:Not only do the PFF numbers not weight by importance of positions but they have puzzling and pretty inexplicable differences between positions in terms of the range of values - for example, there are no ILB, CB, or S with grades over 20...yet there are 15 tackles and 10 DTs with grades over 20. Or the fact that JJ Watt has an overall grade of 112 and Richard Sherman has an overall grade of 12.
DaughtersofDougMirabelli said:
(c) Voting system (Divisions). People can put all their PFF numbers in their and say whatever the hell they want to give their case. Phragle can try to convince us RG3 would be taking Horse Steroids and he's twice as good as his was last year. We are the jury and we decide how we think he would have fared. It would lead to a good discussion between the teams and divisions. Also the voting would give us a pretty good ranking system. This could also lead to us actually deciding a winner, which I think we'd all still love at this point.
I was in the middle of the draft and pretty much the cut off point between the good QBs and the shitty ones (Cam->Eli is a pretty big dropoff). I think we should incorporate how good our teams actually were this year, though I'm still going to fight and claw for a better team and higher ranking rather than a better draft pick.
SMU_Sox said:QB multiplied by 10? That's a crazy multiplier. 2 or 3 maybe. But 10? That's, imho, grossly inappropriate. You might as well make it exponential at that point....