Five significant Sox veterans contracts’ expire next year, and another franchise superstar hits free agency in 2024.
But the team has money. Assuming Bogaerts opts out, they’ll be an estimated $145 million under the first CBT tax threshold ($233M) in 2023, and roughly $166 million under it ($241M) in 2025, per the Red Sox Payroll twitter’s tally.
I think most everyone here would extend Devers, and many would re-sign Bogaerts even with Story in the fold. Are there other Sox we should keep in town?
• Bogaerts (as 2B) - 7/$175M, aka the Semien deal (‘23-29; age 30-36 seasons)
Depth chart: Story <~>, Mayer (ETA 2025) / Downs (ETA 2023), Yorke (ETA 2025)
• Devers - 10/$265M, aka ‘the Machado with bad defense’ deal (‘22-31, age 25-34 seasons)
Depth chart: Dalbec, Binelas (2025)
• Eovaldi - 3/$63M with an IP-based vesting option that would bring it to 4/$84, (‘23-25; age 33-35/36 seasons)*
2023 rotation: Sale, Pivetta, Whitlock, Houck, Paxton, Seabold
• Hernández - 4/$60M, $12M club option for ‘27 with $4M buyout, aka the Chris Taylor deal (‘23-26, age 31-34 seasons)
Depth chart: Duran, Jimenez (2023)
• Martinez - 2/$30M (‘23-24, age 35-36 seasons)*
Depth chart: Dalbec
• Vázquez - 2/$13M, aka the Yan Gomes deal (‘23-24, age 32-33 seasons)
Depth chart: Hernández, Wong (2023)
For this exercise, let’s say each player would sign a market-rate contract extension — even though we’ll disagree on what that is. I don’t think we can assume hometown discounts, but each of these guys seems like they have enjoyed Boston enough to consider staying under the right terms. Regardless, free to quibble on the dollars and years.
Devers’ deal would be inked today and include the 2022 season. Everyone else’s deal would begin after 2022 when their contracts expire. For this exercise, let’s assume everyone stays reasonably healthy and hits their 2022 ZIPS projections.
*I indexed Eovaldi’s extension to Jon Gray’s 4/$56M. Eovaldi’s older with worse injury history but has a higher ceiling. JDM will be as old as McCutchen when he signed his 1/$8.5M deal with Milwaukee, but is a superior hitter.
But the team has money. Assuming Bogaerts opts out, they’ll be an estimated $145 million under the first CBT tax threshold ($233M) in 2023, and roughly $166 million under it ($241M) in 2025, per the Red Sox Payroll twitter’s tally.
I think most everyone here would extend Devers, and many would re-sign Bogaerts even with Story in the fold. Are there other Sox we should keep in town?
• Bogaerts (as 2B) - 7/$175M, aka the Semien deal (‘23-29; age 30-36 seasons)
Depth chart: Story <~>, Mayer (ETA 2025) / Downs (ETA 2023), Yorke (ETA 2025)
• Devers - 10/$265M, aka ‘the Machado with bad defense’ deal (‘22-31, age 25-34 seasons)
Depth chart: Dalbec, Binelas (2025)
• Eovaldi - 3/$63M with an IP-based vesting option that would bring it to 4/$84, (‘23-25; age 33-35/36 seasons)*
2023 rotation: Sale, Pivetta, Whitlock, Houck, Paxton, Seabold
• Hernández - 4/$60M, $12M club option for ‘27 with $4M buyout, aka the Chris Taylor deal (‘23-26, age 31-34 seasons)
Depth chart: Duran, Jimenez (2023)
• Martinez - 2/$30M (‘23-24, age 35-36 seasons)*
Depth chart: Dalbec
• Vázquez - 2/$13M, aka the Yan Gomes deal (‘23-24, age 32-33 seasons)
Depth chart: Hernández, Wong (2023)
For this exercise, let’s say each player would sign a market-rate contract extension — even though we’ll disagree on what that is. I don’t think we can assume hometown discounts, but each of these guys seems like they have enjoyed Boston enough to consider staying under the right terms. Regardless, free to quibble on the dollars and years.
Devers’ deal would be inked today and include the 2022 season. Everyone else’s deal would begin after 2022 when their contracts expire. For this exercise, let’s assume everyone stays reasonably healthy and hits their 2022 ZIPS projections.
*I indexed Eovaldi’s extension to Jon Gray’s 4/$56M. Eovaldi’s older with worse injury history but has a higher ceiling. JDM will be as old as McCutchen when he signed his 1/$8.5M deal with Milwaukee, but is a superior hitter.
Last edited: