Good argument. I would really like to hang on to Marrero until Bogaerts truly proves himself at SS. The idea of having Pedroia & Marrero up the middle with Betts, JBJ and Castillo in the OF and Vazques with Headley at 3B would be a joy to watch defensively.Drek717 said:The main reason I personally would have labelled your previous suggestions preposterous was the assignment of real value to Mujica. He turned his season around pretty well and I don't think he's an albatross at $4.75M for one more year, but no team is giving him real trade value at that price.
Also, Brentz would probably have less value to Cincy with Cespedes than to Boston without Cespedes. At that point the Sox are committing to some form of Nava/Craig/Victorino platoon in LF and Brentz would be valuable depth. Meanwhile Cincy's 2nd and 3rd best prospects on most lists are OFs, and depending on the list Blandino (a SS) and Yorman Rodriguez (a OF) trade places in the top 10. Rodriguez got a taste of the bigs last year as well. They're incredibly poor on IF depth, especially anything in the upper minors (they just drafted Blandino).
I think you'd see a preference for Sean Coyle or Deven Marrero over Brentz. Wendell Rijo would also likely REALLY interest them as he's in an ideal position to pair with Blandino straight up through the minors, developing a strong battery they would have daydreams about breaking in together at the ML level.
If I was to spitball a deal for Cueto I'd guess something like this:
Cueto + Marshall for Cespedes + one of Webster/Ranaudo/RDLR/Barnes + Travis Shaw + Noe Ramirez + Wendell Rijo. You could probably swap Sean Coyle for Rijo, maybe talk them into Asuaje instead of Rijo but I'd doubt that. Shaw would be a nice piece for them as 1B has been a black hole and having Shaw would let them defer some risk by signing a one year vet to fill the gap. Adam LaRoche for example just had his option declined and is 35. A one year deal for nice money could land him and when teamed with Cespedes would massively overhaul their offense. If Mesoraco continues to hit like last year while Bruce and Votto bounce back from very poor seasons they could then have the best offense in the NL in a GFIN move before having to resign some of their pitchers and likely losing Aroldis Chapman to FA after 2016 (hence why they'd probably like Noe Ramirez). When that rebuild does hit they would then have their own in-house OF options to replace Cespedes, Shaw could replace LaRoche, and they would have Blandino/Rijo on the horizon to handle up the middle.
That relies entirely on no other team throwing a blue chipper into the pot for the right to pay Cueto $20M+ per for the next seven years mind you. If some team is willing to do that I don't think the Sox will be game with all the other pitching options available.
The real benefit of the trade would be some sort of agreement for a longer term stay in Boston. If players are going to be flipped for a season then a more straight up trade would be more appropriate. Cespedes, RDLR and Mujica (eat his salary) for Cueto & Marshall would be more balanced. The Reds get a small financial break (Again eat Mujica's salary - $11 - 12million Vs. $17 - 18million in 2015) and walk away in 2016 with a solid starter prospect in RDLR could make it worthwhile for them. If however Cueto is willing to sign an extension (Don't know what that could be ... there are just too many variables to say what is the right years/dollars) then the Sox have a long term benefit that the Reds could leverage into a bigger and better package.
Travis Shaw makes little sense unless the Reds plan on some how unloading Votto's salary. The other players can be useful in as you mentioned that they could address the future. I think a few more young arms would be to the Reds liking.