Week 10

Tim Salmon

Member
SoSH Member
Oct 24, 2005
3,321
A penalty put the spot at the 1.

Edit: Sorry, you already knew that.
Yeah, I was just wondering what happens to the win expectancy when you take a successful PAT off the board so you can try for 2 in that scenario.
 

j-man

Member
Dec 19, 2012
3,721
Arkansas
Maybe 2023. Schedules not too bad the rest of the way.
true but hard to ask denver to win 4 50/50 games in a row after buff

Minn playing well with a better qb
CLE their def is great
@ hou Denver has played hou well but they hit on their qb and coach
@ lac hard to beat them twice which is what Denver will need to make the playoffs
 

glennhoffmania

meat puppet
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Jul 25, 2005
8,411,772
NY
Games like this make me wonder if the people who claim the league is fixed are as crazy as I think they are.
 

DennyDoyle'sBoil

Found no thrill on Blueberry Hill
SoSH Member
Sep 9, 2008
43,432
AZ
I’m surprised that seemed to be an agreed upon “go for it.” I would have kicked. Broncos get great field position.
 

Mystic Merlin

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Sep 21, 2007
47,244
Hartford, CT

OCST

Sunny von Bulow
SoSH Member
Jan 10, 2004
24,595
The 718
Zach is already the backup. This is not like last year where some games he was sabotaging them. He had over 250 passing yards and just over 50 rushing last night. Jets had 83 yards of penalties and most were on the offense.
Numbers were a bit padded by a couple of great (but desperate) throws in the last-chance power drive.

Maybe he's too cautious and tentative.
 

DennyDoyle'sBoil

Found no thrill on Blueberry Hill
SoSH Member
Sep 9, 2008
43,432
AZ
Near midfield and under five yards to go, that’s gonna be a strong GFI by the numbers. To wit:

View: https://twitter.com/ben_bot_baldwin/status/1724264214959661344?s=46&t=1S4eWjX_rzBBrpPNddRPAg


That doesn’t account for contextual factors like your confidence in your offense, weather, score, the opponent, and so on, of course.
Interesting — but if that was fourth and 1 it was a very long 1. I am very skeptical that the conversion rate there is really 73 percent. Maybe, but yeah, if it really is 73 percent, I agree you go. I would have thought lower.