Tyrone wants to fire Farrell

uncannymanny

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The eye roll is adorable.

As the Supreme Court once pointed out, you know obscenity when you see it. I have watched enough baseball that I know a bad manger when I see it.

Your bitching and whining about the bitching and whining is just as silly. Given how this team has fared, I'm okay leaving Farrell, but that doesn't mean he's a good manager. It might mean he's been lucky and blessed with excellent talent that can make up for his tactical deficiencies. All managers make mistakes, including Showalter and Maddon, but the multi-year sample is quite impressive with Farrell.
I'm "bitching and whining" because the quality of discussion on the main board of "the best sports forum on the internet" has gone into the toilet because of the manager stuff. It doesn't add anything, it's never backed up and it invades literally every thread.
 

joe dokes

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The eye roll is adorable.
All managers make mistakes, including Showalter and Maddon, but the multi-year sample is quite impressive with Farrell.
And how do his mistakes compare to the mistakes of other managers? This isn't a decathlon, where points are awarded not compared to an athletes' competition, but against some pre-set standard.
 

DennyDoyle'sBoil

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I'm "bitching and whining" because the quality of discussion on the main board of "the best sports forum on the internet" has gone into the toilet because of the manager stuff. It doesn't add anything, it's never backed up and it invades literally every thread.
It's a double whammy too, because it's actually an opportunity for the kind of discussion that we like around here. For example, part of the objection to Farrell last night in game threads was that Barnes sucks on the road. This is the kind of thing we usually dissect to pieces here in a valuable way. Is it a SSS thing? Is it superstition. Do we really want managers making decisions based on these squishy kinds of factors. The problem is that emotion takes over with Farrell, and the discussion goes to crap.

As the Supreme Court once pointed out, you know obscenity when you see it. I have watched enough baseball that I know a bad manger when I see it.
This is garbage. You're wasting my time on a board I care about with this crap. Try harder.
 

uncannymanny

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It's a double whammy too, because it's actually an opportunity for the kind of discussion that we like around here. For example, part of the objection to Farrell last night in game threads was that Barnes sucks on the road. This is the kind of thing we usually dissect to pieces here in a valuable way. Is it a SSS thing? Is it superstition. Do we really want managers making decisions based on these squishy kinds of factors. The problem is that emotion takes over with Farrell, and the discussion goes to crap.
Totally, totally agreed. There's a few posters here that if they spent half the time doing research into it than they do complaining about JF might actually have something interesting to say. It's embarrassing that so many are putting in wonderful effort on the dotcom just to point outsiders to this garbage.
 

Byrdbrain

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I'm pretty much on board with uncannymanny and DDB. I don't think anyone on this board thinks Farrell is a great or even very good manager(I certainly don't), someone recently called him "replacement level" and that might be accurate.

The issue I have is with the kneejerk hindsight crowd who only post when something goes wrong and then only to say what an idiot Farrell is. If something was so obvious why not question it before it goes to hell?

If the Sox underperform the rest of the season and miss the playoffs or are bounced early then there is a good chance those people will get their way, Farrell will be replaced and they will then complain about that idiot.
 

uncannymanny

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The issue I have is with the kneejerk hindsight crowd who only post when something goes wrong and then only to say what an idiot Farrell is. If something was so obvious why not question it before it goes to hell?
Oh, but you forgot the flip side too. Poster criticizes move, it works and success is "in spite of" the manager! If said move had failed it would be because "everyone knew" it was wrong.
 

joe dokes

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It's a double whammy too, because it's actually an opportunity for the kind of discussion that we like around here. For example, part of the objection to Farrell last night in game threads was that Barnes sucks on the road. This is the kind of thing we usually dissect to pieces here in a valuable way. Is it a SSS thing? Is it superstition. Do we really want managers making decisions based on these squishy kinds of factors. The problem is that emotion takes over with Farrell, and the discussion goes to crap.
I would point to the baserunning thread as well, which (for the most part) went beyond "they just get a lot of guys thrown out" to trying to dig for some context.
 

TheoShmeo

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Oh, but you forgot the flip side too. Poster criticizes move, it works and success is "in spite of" the manager! If said move had failed it would be because "everyone knew" it was wrong.
I think you're missing the point. I think most fans understand that Farrell is not an abject fool and that many of his moves work fine. I think some of us appreciate that we only have some of the available information and that Farrell is likely seeing a bigger picture than us. I think some of us appreciate that managing a baseball team is a very hard job. And there's the obvious fact that the 2013 Sox taught us that John Farrell can manage a World Champion.

Still, he makes enough of what appear to be in-game blunders for us to note that he is not an elite Xs and Os guy. And this puts a lot of pressure on his supposed strength, leading men. When we see him make apparent mistakes in the area of his supposed strength, we get to a tipping point.

I know it wont happen but I would love to see a David Blatt type firing. Again, this is not happening and Farrell might yet save his job with a first place finish in the AL East.

So while I can see why you would think that Farrell is being unfairly criticized and is in a bit of a no win position, I think the reality is that he's earned every bit of what he gets. Most fundamentally, he does not seem to be what he has been hyped to be: Great at managing the clubhouse. And I hope I am wrong about that.
 

uncannymanny

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I would point to the baserunning thread as well, which (for the most part) went beyond "they just get a lot of guys thrown out" to trying to dig for some context.
That thread turned a turd into something good for sure. Of course the folks who stepped in to make valuable posts weren't the same folks stamping their feet. The main one of the latter ghosted the thread when his baseless assertions were challenged and that's what I take issue with.

So while I can see why you would think that Farrell is being unfairly criticized and is in a bit of a no win position, I think the reality is that he's earned every bit of what he gets. Most fundamentally, he does not seem to be what he has been hyped to be: Great at managing the clubhouse. And I hope I am wrong about that.
I didn't say unfairly. I said whiny posts with no substance. I don't understand the last sentence...the team looks like they enjoy and support each other quite a bit. Are we referring to the media-created Price nonsense that he deftly squashed by taking all of the heat publicly and letting his players go on a winning tear?

What are you basing "he does not seem to be what he has been hyped to be: Great at managing the clubhouse" on? How much time have you spent in JF's clubhouse?
 

begranter

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I'm not sure leader of men is accurate either. I think his best quality is insulating the clubhouse from the media and taking the heat so players can focus on their jobs, which he does with more grace than the media and some fans deserve.
Have you even been paying attention this year? After the Price/Eck incident (clubhouse vs media, right?) the team was the worst in baseball for about a month. How is that a point in his favor for keeping the team focused on their jobs, exactly?

For reference, go to my post for some measurement of Farrell's performance (120). If you don't agree and want to counter, that's fine and I'll have no gripe with you. But you can't just say no one has attempted to add some measurement to this discussion. I'd also argue it's just as much on you to provide meaningful measurements and discussion points in favor of keeping him as it is for my side of the argument.

The issue I have is with the kneejerk hindsight crowd who only post when something goes wrong and then only to say what an idiot Farrell is. If something was so obvious why not question it before it goes to hell?
This is unfair. I've been banging this drum all year (and the year before that, and the year before that). If I was only making points against when they were a last place team and losing regularly your point would have merit, but it's just not true.
 

shaggydog2000

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So if we don't trust any of the relievers except the closer, and the manager can't manage a bullpen, how the hell do they have the third best ERA, 4th best FIP, and 5th best xFIP in the majors? That can't just be luck. Either this guy is doing an ok job of managing the arms to keep them all performing and placing them in positions to succeed, or they're secretly not as sucky as we think because every reliever puts their team through the ringer. Just look at the big money Chapman performance last night. I tend to side with people who think managers have a small impact on wins and losses and most are pretty neutral. Some are great and get you a few wins, some are really as terrible as the fans think and cost teams a few wins, but there are a pretty small number at those extremes. We're really not optimizing anything by replacing him with somebody who is sitting at home right now in street clothes. The difference makers are all employed if they want to be employed.
 

joe dokes

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Have you even been paying attention this year? After the Price/Eck incident (clubhouse vs media, right?) the team was the worst in baseball for about a month. How is that a point in his favor for keeping the team focused on their jobs, exactly?
The worst stretch I could find was 6-12 starting with TX and TB just before the all-star game. That's the stretch that included the 16 inning loss, a doubleheader, and the 15 inning game. And after a rough 18 games, they became the hottest team in the league. I dont know or care if or how the winning part reflects on the manager. But the "after Eck.......for about a month...." construct seems not to support the premise.
 

TheoShmeo

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I didn't say unfairly. I said whiny posts with no substance. I don't understand the last sentence...the team looks like they enjoy and support each other quite a bit. Are we referring to the media-created Price nonsense that he deftly squashed by taking all of the heat publicly and letting his players go on a winning tear?

What are you basing "he does not seem to be what he has been hyped to be: Great at managing the clubhouse" on? How much time have you spent in JF's clubhouse?
I don't agree with how JF handled the Price nonsense. I am not going to go into detail here (it's been beaten to death elsewhere) but will leave it at my view that a better leader would have contributed to the story dying faster. That the team has gone on a tear doesn't mean that JF handled things the right way. As Bill Lee essentially observed about Darrell Johnston, sometimes folks can fall out of a tree and land on their feet.

That Pedey was so comfortable saying "it's not me, it's them" shows a lack of respect for the manager, in my view. A master manager of men would seemingly garner more respect in the locker room than Dustin's comment revealed.

And last, I think Farrell hasn't handled Reed particularly well. A few bad outings seemingly caused him to use Barnes where Reed would have more naturally fit and Farrell to botch Reed's removal in the 9th. No one could blame Reed for being embarrassed at last night's hijinks or thinking that the manager doesn't much believe in him. Again, I expected a more deft approach.
 

trekfan55

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I don't agree with how JF handled the Price nonsense. I am not going to go into detail here (it's been beaten to death elsewhere) but will leave it at my view that a better leader would have contributed to the story dying faster. That the team has gone on a tear doesn't mean that JF handled things the right way. As Bill Lee essentially observed about Darrell Johnston, sometimes folks can fall out of a tree and land on their feet.

That Pedey was so comfortable saying "it's not me, it's them" shows a lack of respect for the manager, in my view. A master manager of men would seemingly garner more respect in the locker room than Dustin's comment revealed.

And last, I think Farrell hasn't handled Reed particularly well. A few bad outings seemingly caused him to use Barnes where Reed would have more naturally fit and Farrell to botch Reed's removal in the 9th. No one could blame Reed for being embarrassed at last night's hijinks or thinking that the manager doesn't much believe in him. Again, I expected a more deft approach.
For the bolded part, Pedroia's interview where he bascially says: "I am the leader" is also telling about something amiss in the clubhouse. Maybe Farrell is losing his touch, or maybe he's losing the players, we don't know but little things have happened to make us things it's not going too well.

And I do believe he is mishandling Reed but I remember reading Tito's book (the fact that CHB cowrote it made me sick) and he pointed out in several places how he manages the bullpen. Things like putting a star next to a player's name if he threw too many warmup pitches and didn't get into the game, or other factors that made him decide not to use someone or use someone else and he knew he would be criticized. This doesn't really explain Reed though.
 

uncannymanny

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Have you even been paying attention this year? After the Price/Eck incident (clubhouse vs media, right?) the team was the worst in baseball for about a month. How is that a point in his favor for keeping the team focused on their jobs, exactly?
So correlation === causation now on SOSH? When it hit the media for real a month later they responded with excellent baseball despite much effort to drag them down into a media pissing match and the manger kept the clubhouse tight and quiet and it disappeared. Nope, not buying this garbage, thanks. The pitching staff had it's best month of the season in July by ERA. The controversy black hole must be localized right around home plate.

For reference, go to my post for some measurement of Farrell's performance (120). If you don't agree and want to counter, that's fine and I'll have no gripe with you. But you can't just say no one has attempted to add some measurement to this discussion.
I looked at your linked post at the time. I moved past it after you executed the classic double standard where the good things are attributed to the players and the bad to the manager. That's just not how this works. And you close with the old "light a fire under their asses," which sounds great but is meaningless. How long does that fire last? Who's bringing it? How is the bringer at tactical decisions, dealing with the media and clubhouse personalities? We had one of those guys and he sucked at everything but lighting fires. Actually he sucked at lighting fires too, unless they were burning his own team. Forgive me for not being moved by this hand wavey analysis.

Only once has a John Farrell team over-achieved vs its expected pythag
What happened in Toronto I could not care less about. Tito came here with a pretty shitty record too and, for all the revisionist history, only had a +4 net in his 8 year Boston tenure.

They're one game under this season. They were 3 under when they won the WS. Tito's 2007 team, which led the division wire to wire, was 5 games under. "Clearly better" Savior Luvollo's team is 4 games under right now.

How accurate is the Pythag formula exactly? Is Pythag a reflection of management specifically?

The 2017 team has a lack of accountable leadership
This is nonsense and exactly what I'm talking about; you have no idea the dynamics inside the clubhouse. None.

Even when the team was in first place earlier this year, the consensuses seemed to be that they were underachieving on the field
Whose consensus was this? Half the team had the flu to start the season, they lost their #2 pitcher to injury, the Yankees and Rays are much better than anticipated and Baltimore was doing their usual 1st half thing. We're really surprised they weren't living up to "expectations" that were based around those things not being true? And yet, they're in 1st place in a tough division with the 4th best winning % in baseball, on pace to win in the mid-90s. WILDLY underachieving.

I'd also argue it's just as much on you to provide meaningful measurements and discussion points in favor of keeping him as it is for my side of the argument.
No it isn't. I'm not advocating for keeping nor firing the manager. You can own your own posts, TYVM.

Serendipitously, this hit my TV a few minutes ago (apologies about the audio quality):

 

8slim

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Does Farrell get credit for sitting Benintendi for 2 days to get his mind right? Kid's been on fire ever since. And he kinda contributed this weekend.
 

Sprowl

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When it hit the media for real a month later they responded with excellent baseball despite much effort to drag them down into a media pissing match and the manger kept the clubhouse tight and quiet and it disappeared.


Joseph Farrell has done OK, considering that it is BABIP's child.

Does Farrell get credit for sitting Benintendi for 2 days to get his mind right? Kid's been on fire ever since. And he kinda contributed this weekend.
I'm also inclined to give the Jaw credit for resting Devers against a few slop-throwing lefties so that when he did face Chapman, his timing wasn't thrown off. I might even give the Jaw credit for pushing Pedroia onto the DL and resting Bogaerts from time to time, but that would probably be projection.
 
Jun 16, 2017
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Totally, totally agreed. There's a few posters here that if they spent half the time doing research into it than they do complaining about JF might actually have something interesting to say. It's embarrassing that so many are putting in wonderful effort on the dotcom just to point outsiders to this garbage.
Can you point us to some of your posts with research as examples to give us a better sense of what makes for good mainboard material? I was trying to look through but all I saw was some emoji reactions and a bunch of sarcastic one-liners about how bad the manager is.
 

Tyrone Biggums

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For the bolded part, Pedroia's interview where he bascially says: "I am the leader" is also telling about something amiss in the clubhouse. Maybe Farrell is losing his touch, or maybe he's losing the players, we don't know but little things have happened to make us things it's not going too well.

And I do believe he is mishandling Reed but I remember reading Tito's book (the fact that CHB cowrote it made me sick) and he pointed out in several places how he manages the bullpen. Things like putting a star next to a player's name if he threw too many warmup pitches and didn't get into the game, or other factors that made him decide not to use someone or use someone else and he knew he would be criticized. This doesn't really explain Reed though.
The Reed thing baffles me but then I remember how he used Ziegler and this is playing out the exact same way. Maybe he just doesn't like messing with his bullpen structure in season? That's the only reason I can think of that he's misusing Reed as bad as he has. Team is playing great right now. Last night was in spite of him and while I give him all the credit in the world for knowing when to sit Benetendi it's mystifying to me why he'll stick with someone like Barnes in a key situation when he's obviously throwing up all over himself. While giving Reed the short hook at the first sign of trouble.
 

uncannymanny

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Can you point us to some of your posts with research as examples to give us a better sense of what makes for good mainboard material? I was trying to look through but all I saw was some emoji reactions and a bunch of sarcastic one-liners about how bad the manager is.
Like good managing, you'll know it when you see it. If you want to discuss my posting history and not a specific post, take it to PM.
 

streeter88

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Farrelll wasn't purely terrible last night.

Yes, the Reed attempted change was awful and that Reed got Dream Boat out even after that vote of no confidence was fortunate.

And going with Barnes to start the 8th was questionable at best.

Last, I see no reason for Devers to sit more than once a week. Especially with Pedey out, find another spot for Nunez.

But, on the bright side,

- pulling Sale after 7 and not overly taxing him in mid-August was the right move.

- pinch hitting Moreland for the lost at the plate looking Leon, even against a lefty, was the right move. Some managers would have been a slave to the need to maintain a back-up C in case of injury. And the lefty-righty thing.

- pinch hitting Devers for Young so early in the game (6th inning) was again the right move.

All in all, Hapless John has a pretty good night.
Coming to the thread very late - sorry.

This summary of JF's night last night is very good -- I took it from tonight's game thread.

So if we don't trust any of the relievers except the closer, and the manager can't manage a bullpen, how the hell do they have the third best ERA, 4th best FIP, and 5th best xFIP in the majors? That can't just be luck. Either this guy is doing an ok job of managing the arms to keep them all performing and placing them in positions to succeed, or they're secretly not as sucky as we think because every reliever puts their team through the ringer. Just look at the big money Chapman performance last night. I tend to side with people who think managers have a small impact on wins and losses and most are pretty neutral. Some are great and get you a few wins, some are really as terrible as the fans think and cost teams a few wins, but there are a pretty small number at those extremes. We're really not optimizing anything by replacing him with somebody who is sitting at home right now in street clothes. The difference makers are all employed if they want to be employed.
I would be on team Fire Farrell, but for the bolded above. JF does not seem to get much credit for good decisions he makes, as opposed to the obvious bad decisions he has. I don't like the controversy and the leadership void; but again we have no idea whether the void is real or not - just that it looks like a void from how the media portray it.

I think we Red Sox fans expect a lot from our managers.

Edit: I just reread my own post, and the last line is a bit of a cop out. What I am struggling with, and frankly what generates all the debate above is the head scratchers that seem to happen every day, which are juxtaposed with a pretty good record and very good performance by the bullpen and the starting pitching, but unfortunately a big lack of offensive leadership - the last couple of days in the Toilet and the recent winning streak notwithstanding.

I dont know if the answer is Fire Farrell, but there really does seem to be a lot of "seat of the pants" both in managing, in baserunning, and maybe even in being a "Leader of Men".
 
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Buzzkill Pauley

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Totally, totally agreed. There's a few posters here that if they spent half the time doing research into it than they do complaining about JF might actually have something interesting to say. It's embarrassing that so many are putting in wonderful effort on the dotcom just to point outsiders to this garbage.
Give me a goddamn break from this motherfucking sanctimonious bullshit.

The linked thread above lasted all of one full day before it was locked, but I had to set 4-5 regular members on ignore after taking online abuse for a full five months on different boards of this forum thereafter, and in private messages, including having various folks shit-posting about my mother without any actions taken by forum mods.

That happened because I think Farrell is over-rated, researched how to support my opinion from one relevant statistical measure for how the 2016 team's starting pitching was underperforming its talent level through the first two months of the season (just like Farrell-managed teams historically did), and presented some back-of-the-envelope findings to try to kick off a conversation about a subject that had been percolating in the game threads since 2015's lost season. Sure, I intentionally gave it a click-bait title because I was dared to in a game thread, too.

But now you, uncannymanny, don't get to pretend like you yourself weren't around for an attempt to create just the sort of nuanced discussion you say you're looking for here, except that then, when your non-preferred side actually was providing some provisional data and context, your comments were nothing but the type of personal attacks, dismissive one-liners, and pile-ons needed to justify closing down the very type of discussion you're hypocritically posturing that you want.

And yeah, while the Farrell thing was a bit of a distraction, I was also prepping from mlb.tv and fangraphs and pitchFX, and had rough drafts hammered out for a series of much more well-researched articles on how the the Red Sox were starting to utilize some interesting defensive strategies last season. But after taking days...then weeks...then months of online harassment, I decided there was no chance in hell I was going to support the dotcom with any content whatsoever.

Because hey, I don't give a shit anymore.

The Sox are in first place with a .568 winning percentage.

[edit:] And don't bother creating a line-by-line rebuttal, because your responses in this thread already reminded me that I was planning on setting you to ignore last year, as well. I just forgot until now.
 
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Adrian's Dome

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I'm "bitching and whining" because the quality of discussion on the main board of "the best sports forum on the internet" has gone into the toilet because of the manager stuff. It doesn't add anything, it's never backed up and it invades literally every thread.
Meanwhile, quality posters such as yourself shrug off every recent mistake Farrell makes while throwing their arms up in the air in exasperation screaming for anyone who disagrees with their take to do their "fucking homework" and show...well, you haven't exactly outlined what you want people to show, other than a completely unrealistic and juvenile demand for a statistic that outlines the strengths and weaknesses of every manager in MLB compared directly to Farrell.

Yeah, give me a sec, I'll get right on that. I'm sure Farrell won't bone any more games away in the meantime.
 

richgedman'sghost

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IMO, it would be a travesty to lose either Anderson Espinoza or even Michael Kopech from the almost-tapped-out-already pitching pipeline in order to bring aboard the veteran MLB pitchers the 2016 Red Sox "need" to win. But at least one live arm will be included if the Sox acquire a starter, and those are the only two names worth a lottery ticket for other GMs right now


I took the above paragraph from your opening post in that thread from last year, Buzzkill. Would you like a do over on your statement? Seems to me anyways that the Kopech trade was worth it since it yielded us Chris Sale. I don't know but he seems to be on his way to the Cy Young award.
In addition, while Anderson Espinoza has had TJ surgery and is still in single A, Drew Pomerantz has had a great season for the Red Sox. I would do both those trades today and twice on Sunday. Maybe you would not.
Honestly did not mean to pick on you and obviously we have no way to predict the future, but it was still fun to go back one year and compare to what actually happened.
To tie this into the current John Farrell thread, he seems not to have messed up either pitcher. He has just given the ball to Sale and stayed the heck away. I know that might not seem like much, but Joe Kerrigan tried to eff around with Pedro in 2001 So give JF some credit there.
In addition while Pomerantz and Farrell had the infamous dugout dustup in Oakland, Farrell did not completely "lose" Andrew mentally. He stuck with AP through his tired arm and now is reaping the results.

To
 

joe dokes

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Meanwhile, quality posters such as yourself shrug off every recent mistake Farrell makes while throwing their arms up in the air in exasperation screaming for anyone who disagrees with their take to do their "fucking homework" and show...well, you haven't exactly outlined what you want people to show, other than a completely unrealistic and juvenile demand for a statistic that outlines the strengths and weaknesses of every manager in MLB compared directly to Farrell.

Yeah, give me a sec, I'll get right on that. I'm sure Farrell won't bone any more games away in the meantime.
I think *this* is the cop out. Even if we agree that the games you think he "boned away" were truly "boned away," (a subject where there is usually some room for disagreement) it absolutely matters if he is "boning away" fewer games than other managers are "boning away." The discussions about the former ("he cost us last night's game") often get conflated with the latter ("he sucks and should be gone.")
 
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tonyarmasjr

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I agree. I don't think there's anyone who thinks JF is the best manager in history or even a great manager. But to say he sucks and should be fired should be backed up by evidence that shows he is worse than many/most other managers. The onus is on those who want to argue this, given the status quo. To give examples of "boning away" games or other mistakes he's made is not that evidence, because we know that all managers make those same mistakes. So, there has to be some comparison between other managers and ours to show that he should go. In addition, who would replace him? And, what evidence is there that that guy would be better?

To be honest, I don't think this is a realistic task, since there is such a large amount of information we don't have. We have almost zero information on how he handles the clubhouse and his personal relationships with players, coaches, and the FO. We also don't know anything about what data/metrics/analysis the Sox use in advance scouting and JF uses to make decisions. That's two very large chunks of the manager's responsibility, imo, that we just can't judge. So, sure, we can criticize Farrell for many things (and rightly so), but it's a long climb for those criticisms to ever amount to the level of fireable offense, since I'm not privy to much of what he's responsible for. To my recollection, he hasn't cost them a playoff spot/series with his in-game decisions, he hasn't forced their hand into terrible, franchise-hamstringing personnel decisions, there hasn't been a chicken and beer level clubhouse fiasco, and he hasn't embarrassed the organization publicly. Admittedly, that's a pretty low bar. But without evidence showing he's below average at his job, why would you fire him?
 

Adrian's Dome

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I think *this* is the cop out. Even if we agree that the games you think he "boned away" were truly "boned away," (a subject where there is usually some room for disagreement) it absolutely matters if he is "boning away" fewer games than other managers are "boning away." The discussions about the former ("he cost us last night's game") often get conflated with the latter ("he sucks and should be gone.")
*That* isn't the cop-out. Saying we won two out of three from the Yankees and are in first place is a cop-out when realistically they should've easily swept the Yankees and been up by even more games if not for Farrell's mismanagement. He completely blew one game and nearly another if not for some completely improbable heroics on Devers' part. Saying "well we won two out of three" is completely ignoring circumstance.

This is not a new thing. They're not isolated incidents people are overreacting too. We've got a five-year sample size of tactical mismanagement and basic underperformance with Farrell, and yet his defenders always say "well, we don't know if he's worse than anyone else out there, so why don't you prove it?" or "tell me how he's worse than anyone else" knowing damn well there's no statistical way to evaluate or directly compare managers. Those are cop-outs because they're asking questions that are unanswerable in the form presented. We cannot directly compare Farrell to other managers because other managers are not working on the same playing field Farrell is.

Look at the Dodgers this year. *I* could manage that team to 10 games over .500, does that make me a good major league manager, or the beneficiary of a great team with nearly unlimited resources behind it that I underperformed with? Would you have the tools to directly compare my performance with Pete Mackanin's?
 

tonyarmasjr

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*That* isn't the cop-out. Saying we won two out of three from the Yankees and are in first place is a cop-out when realistically they should've easily swept the Yankees and been up by even more games if not for Farrell's mismanagement. He completely blew one game and nearly another if not for some completely improbable heroics on Devers' part. Saying "well we won two out of three" is completely ignoring circumstance.

This is not a new thing. They're not isolated incidents people are overreacting too. We've got a five-year sample size of tactical mismanagement and basic underperformance with Farrell, and yet his defenders always say "well, we don't know if he's worse than anyone else out there, so why don't you prove it?" or "tell me how he's worse than anyone else" knowing damn well there's no statistical way to evaluate or directly compare managers. Those are cop-outs because they're asking questions that are unanswerable in the form presented. We cannot directly compare Farrell to other managers because other managers are not working on the same playing field Farrell is.
I'm not saying you're wrong. But what would you have them do? Fire Farrell and hire whom? The same arguments will be made against that guy when he inevitably mismanages situations. The same arguments were made against every manager the Sox have had. Without being able to quantify these things, how can you be so sure that Farrell is so much worse than any other that he should be fired?
 

Savin Hillbilly

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The wrong side of the bridge....
Those are cop-outs because they're asking questions that are unanswerable in the form presented. We cannot directly compare Farrell to other managers because other managers are not working on the same playing field Farrell is.
Assuming this is true (and I'm not at all sure it is), then it does not support your position.

Let X = Farrell's skill; Y = optimal managerial skill; Z = average managerial skill

You're saying:

If X < Y
and Z = ?
then X < Z

Does. Not. Compute. The fact that you don't have data doesn't magically make those data superfluous. If we truly have no reliable way of comparing Farrell's performance to that of other managers, that means we really have no idea how good he is. It certainly doesn't mean we know he sucks.
 

teddywingman

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We didn't need data to know that Nick Punto was not a good player.

Before you shoot me--I'm not comparing JF to Punto; or anything of the sort. I'm only saying that data is not always a necessity.

Most of us have been watching this game for decades.
 

Savin Hillbilly

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We didn't need data to know that Nick Punto was not a good player.
But we needed data to prove it. Lacking data, if you said "Nick Punto is a crappy player," and I said "no he isn't," we'd just have two opinions, and that would be that.

I don't think Farrell is a crappy manager. I don't think he's great, either. I think he's conspicuously average. Lacking data, I can only assert that as an opinion. AD (or anyone) is certainly entitled to the contrary opinion that Farrell is crappy. But the minute you start talking about specific examples of his crappiness, you're introducing data points. You're saying, "this isn't just my opinion! Look at these examples! They prove that he's crappy!" And at that point, it's perfectly legit to respond, "how do you know those examples prove he's crappy if you don't have a baseline? For all you know, he makes that kind of mistake less often than the average manager." And if you can't respond with data that shows what that baseline really is, and how Farrell's performance compares to it, then we're just back to dueling opinions again.
 

joe dokes

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We didn't need data to know that Nick Punto was not a good player.

Before you shoot me--I'm not comparing JF to Punto; or anything of the sort. I'm only saying that data is not always a necessity.

Most of us have been watching this game for decades.
Maybe you don't need data to know if a guy whose games you watch 150 times a year is any good, but can you tell me without data if Jose Osuna is a better utility player than Punto was?
 

teddywingman

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Don't think I've seen Osuna play.

But I've watched thousands of games and the in-game strategical moves made by dozens of managers.

Of course we have no idea what goes on behind the scenes etc etc...

I don't know why I joined this discussion. It's pointless since the sides were chosen years ago.
 

lexrageorge

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It's not at all clear that Farrell is objectively a "bad" manager, or a "good" manager. As noted, we notice his mistakes, but most good moves tend to go unnoticed, which is typical of the life of a baseball manager. And it certainly is a fair question to ask how Farrell compares in these good/bad moves compared to other managers around the league.

I also think it's hyperbole to suggest that Farrell somehow blew Friday night's game; at some point, the players have to do their job, no matter the circumstances.
 

teddywingman

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It's not at all clear that Farrell is objectively a "bad" manager, or a "good" manager. As noted, we notice his mistakes, but most good moves tend to go unnoticed, which is typical of the life of a baseball manager. And it certainly is a fair question to ask how Farrell compares in these good/bad moves compared to other managers around the league.

I also think it's hyperbole to suggest that Farrell somehow blew Friday night's game; at some point, the players have to do their job, no matter the circumstances.
Well I agree.
You may or may not have noticed that I've never called for him to be fired. But I do think it's clear that he's not very good.
 

lexrageorge

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Well I agree.
You may or may not have noticed that I've never called for him to be fired. But I do think it's clear that he's not very good.
1 World Series win, one Division Title, one "August" Division Title, and 2 last place finishes. Not sure it's clear whether he is or is not very good.
 

grimshaw

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1 World Series win, one Division Title, one "August" Division Title, and 2 last place finishes. Not sure it's clear whether he is or is not very good.
I think he's average overall-
Here are 11 current managers who I doubt would be improvements whether it be perpetual mediocrity, odd strategies, or poor clubhouse management.

Dusty Baker
Mike Scioscia
Rick Renteria
John Gibbons
Bryan Price
Don Mattingly
Terry Collins
Mike Matheny
Pete Mackanin
Jeff Banister
Bob Melvin

That said ,World Series wins don't necessarily make great managers, especially big market teams with large payrolls. I mean he has a lifetime winning percentage of .514.
 
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teddywingman

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You know--there's gotta be dozens of young managers in the minors/college who will one day get their chance. I wonder if there's any scouting of managerial talent?

(Knowing, of course, that in the minors, managers are often chained to the development/rehab goals of the big club.)
 
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richgedman'sghost

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Grimshaw. I agree with most of your list but am curious about why you included Rick Renteria. In my opinion, he has been dealt a very bad hand. He was hired to oversee the rebuilding Cubs and was even guarenteed to return for the 2015 season but was fired when Maddon became available. He then has been managing the rebuilding White Sox this year. What proof do you have that he is mediocre or worse? Can you point to any particular instances of his bad managing? I think he is still held in high regard in baseball circles. In facr, the Cubs even gave Renteria a World Series ring. If they thought he sucked, I don't think the Cubs would give him a ring. In all honesty, I would put Renteria in the incomplete category.
 

Rudy's Curve

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I also think it's hyperbole to suggest that Farrell somehow blew Friday night's game; at some point, the players have to do their job, no matter the circumstances.
It's no guarantee Reed or anyone else would've gotten out of the jam, but bringing in Kelly to face a lefty in a high-leverage spot is about the biggest example of a manager producing negative value with his decision-making that you can find.
 

grimshaw

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Grimshaw. I agree with most of your list but am curious about why you included Rick Renteria. In my opinion, he has been dealt a very bad hand. He was hired to oversee the rebuilding Cubs and was even guarenteed to return for the 2015 season but was fired when Maddon became available. He then has been managing the rebuilding White Sox this year. What proof do you have that he is mediocre or worse? Can you point to any particular instances of his bad managing? I think he is still held in high regard in baseball circles. In facr, the Cubs even gave Renteria a World Series ring. If they thought he sucked, I don't think the Cubs would give him a ring. In all honesty, I would put Renteria in the incomplete category.
Your counterpoint is entirely fair, though they did also give Sveum a ring which is kind of odd. He doesn't have a huge track record. I actually thought he had been managing longer.
 

snowmanny

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As were Philly fans about Francona.
And Cleveland fans about Belichick.

On the other hand, the "the team is winning" argument is insufficient because of the Grady Little experience.

On yet another hand, sometimes the manager is shoved out and Butch Hobson or Bobby Valentine (or Grady Little or Don Zimmer) is hired, and I don't want that either.
 

mt8thsw9th

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On the other hand, the "the team is winning" argument is insufficient because of the Grady Little experience
This is an apt comparison when Farrell has the two best starters in the league, a good back end to the bullpen, a team second in the league in runs scored, third in runs allowed, and finishes with the sixth best record. I can't imagine the Grinning Jackass ever leading a team with a middling offense such as this to anywhere close to first place.
 

Rudy's Curve

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This is an apt comparison when Farrell has the two best starters in the league, a good back end to the bullpen, a team second in the league in runs scored, third in runs allowed, and finishes with the sixth best record. I can't imagine the Grinning Jackass ever leading a team with a middling offense such as this to anywhere close to first place.
Last year's team had the Cy Young winner, an elite hitter, a MVP candidate, three other very good position players, a guy who led the league in innings and pitched reasonably well, a catcher and starter who came out of nowhere to have what will all but certainly be career years and a pretty decent bullpen. They finished first in the league in runs scored (by 101) and third in runs allowed. They won the same number of games (and playoff games) as Gump's '02 team you described.