A few thoughts:
1.
Sports Orthopedic expert Chris Geary wrote the following on Pedroia's surgery last year:
That being said, the odds are in Pedroia’s favor that following his long rehab, he will be able to return with a knee which should allow him to stay on the field more reliably than in 2017.
The Red Sox and Pedroia obviously play his health close to the vest. But given, Geary's optimistic position and Pedroia traveling with the team throughout the season - I have a hard time believing he retires. The guy loves baseball. And has a ton of money on the table. For better and likely worse they're stuck with him;
2. Regarding Pearce the Sox got Mitch Moreland for 2/13 around Christmas time last year. Moreland is 2-3 years younger than Pearce (who the Red Sox got for nothing from the Jays). He is the definition of a spare part. Just not that much of a market for him. His value may be greatest to the Sox but it's hard to see any overpay here.
3. All that I have heard regarding Price is his teammates love him and he loves his teammates and playing for the Red Sox. At points it has been clear the Twidiots and Mediots have gotten under his skin. But really hard to see him turning down 4/127. And if he thinks he can get more on the open market the Sox should be ecstatic. His comments to me last night struck me of those of many pro athletes who develop chips on their shoulder with enemies real and imagined.
4. Eovaldi is going to be paid a boatload on this market. I think Olney is probably closer to right than people think. He'll be 29 next year. And appears both healthy and good. Would 5/100 shock me? It would not. Pitching is a premium.
5. Kelly on the other hand is a risk the Red Sox should take. He will certainly be cheaper than Eovaldi. And the Sox are going to need arms. Given the amount they are going to have to spend on their homegrown talent, the relative fungibility of closers, and the luxury tax - I'm thinking Kimbrel is certainly elsewhere next season.