Olney’s perspective:
“ There's so much at stake for the Dodgers and Boston Red Sox in the potential Mookie Betts swap that you would assume that some way, somehow, the two sides will find a way to push the negotiations across the finish line. The Red Sox probably have too few avenues to offload tens of millions of dollars of salary in the way they can by attaching David Price's contract to Betts, and the Dodgers could really use the emotional jolt after a devastating playoff loss in 2019.
But the longer this takes to finish, anxiety within the Boston leadership seems to be building. At the time that elements of the deal were first reported, a rival executive noted that Derek Falvey, who leads the Twins' baseball operations, has a deep understanding of pitching, and in this exec's eyes, if Falvey is willing to give up Brusdar Graterol, the hardest thrower in the minors, then there must be some doubt about him. The Red Sox might have some concern about that, or Graterol's medical history. Or perhaps it's the natural revulsion some of their fans feel about trading Betts, one of the best players in the game. Or the word going around that Alex Verdugo, the big piece that the Red Sox would get, hasn't been a perfect teammate.
But multiple evaluators with other clubs believe that Boston's end of the proposed deal is pretty good -- adding in the savings on Price's contract, close to $50 million of the $96 million remaining. Price is 34 and pitching with some kind of mitigating condition in his elbow.
"What you have to ask yourself is, what would Price get if he was a free agent today?" said one official. Some estimates on that ranged from one year at $12 million, to $18 million over two years.
If the Betts deal with the Dodgers falls apart, then the Red Sox will be faced with exactly the same quandaries they've had all winter. If you start the season with Betts on the roster and the team is on the fringe of the wild-card contention in July, do you run the risk of angering the fan base even more by dealing him in the middle of a playoff race? Do you run the risk of retaining him and then seeing him walk away for almost nothing when he becomes a free agent next fall? And what do you do with the expensive group of starting pitchers -- Price, Nathan Eovaldi, Chris Sale -- if they struggle in the first half or break down? There are just not going to be a lot of opportunities for the Red Sox to trim their payroll in a meaningful way.”