I just listened to a short Zach Lowe pod.
One thing he noted: in the regular season, Steph averaged ~5 catch and shoot three attempts per game versus ~6.5 pull up three attempts.
Thus far through 3 games, he has a total of 7 catch and shoot attempts and 30 pull up attempts. He's getting his threes, but, at least since Q1 game 1, the Celtics are making him work for them.
His big picture view of the Celtics' defense is that they have essentially taken all of the Warriors fancy passing attack away, leaving Golden State left with basically transition offense and Steph pick and rolls.
My worries that GS defense had found a way to shut down the Celtics offense were premature - particularly Tatum but also others sharpened their games after game 2. There is still plenty of room for improvement in the Celtics offense, but this series won;t end as a defensive battle turned GS victory.
The Warriors' best-case scenario now is a win in 7. This Celtic team will not drop 3 straight from games 4 to 6.
The Celtics' best-case scenario is, unlikely though it may be, a win in 5.
A lot depends on Rob. His play in Q4 - the mix of blocks, steals, altered/prevented shots, rebounds, balls kept alive at both ends - was not unusual to see from him during the regular season, but it is the first time he hit that level in the playoffs. How much of THAT Rob will we see for the rest of the finals?
If it comes down to a game 7 in SF, it could go either way. If I had to bet right now on the end I'd say Celtics in 6.