#DFG: Canceling the Noise

Is there any level of suspension that you would advise Tom to accept?


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Shelterdog

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patinorange said:
It would have been fun for us to see Kraft go all out against the league. But we all knew it wasn't going to happen. His actions today were probably the first smart thing they did in this whole mess. Move on. What the hell are they going to do about the cornerbacks?
 
Play in the AFC East.
 
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Chicken**it coward.    Granted, he has a lot to lose, potentially, but this is sick seeing him like this, especially after the bravado in the beginning. I'm quite surprised he's valuing future ownership of this team (which can't be more than 3-4 years w/Brady with  a potential for Championships) ahead of his legacy. 
 
 
Whether it is true or not, in the court of public opinion, not fighting it is the same as confessing.
 
The 1st rounder is more valuable than Brady for 1, 2, or even 4 pre-Halloweengames, Bob.
 

JimBoSox9

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ragnarok725 said:
 
To be clear, I'm not saying I've lost respect for Kraft... but it really seems like either he made a big blunder last week releasing that website fighting the decision, only to follow it up with a totally contrite retraction, or he's making a big mistake now by making a contrite retraction without so much as a head-nod to his fanbase that's so riled up about the whole situation. The two actions taken together make so little sense.
 
They really don't.  Start with the premise that there was never, not for a moment, a recourse for the team punishments that Kraft was willing to pursue.  Some very good lawyer folks have been talking in this thread for a while now about how bleak that part is for the Pats.  On that level, it's not about right or fair or moral or anything AT ALL besides 1) contracts within billionaire associations, and B) a legal system that has clearly said they're not in the business of regulating those kinds of agreements absent pressing public need.  Maybe he does win in court.  But even testing those waters takes him from being in the top tier of owners to a pariah.  That's real cost.  
 
Add to all that his apparent, conflicting conviction that the Pats are blameless, and the two actions seem to make quite a lot of sense together.  The website was just about the most he could do without taking a wrecking ball to the whole thing.  It, quite simply, ain't even close to being worth taking a wrecking ball to the whole thing.
 

PedroKsBambino

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BigJimEd said:
seems like a pretty safe bet. I don't see anyway Goodell eliminates the suspension. Why give it to him in the first place, then?
 
I think it's possible that as RG's team (meaning the regular outside counsel and others in the league) have gotten deeper into the Wells report the depth of its problems has become a lot more clear than they thought on day 1.  And if that is the case, those advisors would be telling him to avoid having to litigate the powers of the commissioner on THESE facts, which would mean RG would be looking for the escape hatch.
 
Do not know that Brady will accept anything more than zero, however, especially with the union telling him this is the time to get discipline process under control.  And not sure RG will go all the way to zero.
 

Stitch01

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Im assuming its a typo on his part, the terms should be obvious, I pay if the suspension stays at more than 0, he permabans himself if the suspension is zero.
 

pappymojo

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I said this before, but at this point what incentive is there for Kraft to continue to work within NFL committees? 
 

Reverend

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kartvelo said:
That's not how smoking guns work.
In this case, there's not even a murder victim, never mind a smoking gun. Just a firm conviction that the accused must have killed *somebody* because... well, just because.
 
 

JimBoSox9

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E5 Yaz said:
Just a side note ... Anyone so upset with what Kraft did today that they want to give up their season tickets, let me know
 
You guys don't want to give your tickets to E5, he's been pretty much anti-Pats* for all intents and purposes throughout the whole thing.  On the other hand, I'm a pretty good guy and my supportive credentials are well-established.
 
 
 
*amirite?? just trust me.
 

nattysez

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PedroKsBambino said:
The smart move for Goodell is to get rid of Brady's suspension regardless of whatever Kraft did or didn't do today---I've said previously Brady is the single worst guy in the entire NFL for RG to go to war with---literally, the worst possible choice.
 
 
This is playing out in the best possible way for those who want to protect the Shield.
 
Kraft agrees not to appeal.  League stays strong and they avoid Al Davis ugliness.
 
Goodell drops the Brady suspension.  NFLPA has to stand down, and Goodell's mishandling of the case is quickly forgotten.  In a few weeks, Goodell will say "I told my team to base the suspension on the Wells report.  They did so.  However, I've read the report and respectfully disagree that the conclusions Mr. Wells drew merited the penalties Mr. Brady received.  I'm therefore vacating Mr. Brady's suspension."
 
Goodell would be crazy to take any other approach, but we've all said that before...
 

Bob420

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Stitch01 said:
Im assuming its a typo on his part, the terms should be obvious, I pay if the suspension stays at more than 0, he permabans himself if the suspension is zero.
I thought you were willing to lose bet, pay 500 and make him go away. Like A Bronx Tale
 

Stitch01

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PedroKsBambino said:
 
I think it's possible that as RG's team (meaning the regular outside counsel and others in the league) have gotten deeper into the Wells report the depth of its problems has become a lot more clear than they thought on day 1.  And if that is the case, those advisors would be telling him to avoid having to litigate the powers of the commissioner on THESE facts, which would mean RG would be looking for the escape hatch.
 
Do not know that Brady will accept anything more than zero, however, especially with the union telling him this is the time to get discipline process under control.  And not sure RG will go all the way to zero.
What better way to show that the commissioner actually is a neutral arbiter than by throwing out this suspension?
 

Stitch01

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Bob420 said:
I thought you were willing to lose bet, pay 500 and make him go away. Like A Bronx Tale
I probably would, but I dont think that's the bet although Im willing to do the bet as he wrote it instead.
 

glennhoffmania

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I think NE is in a lose-lose here now.  If Goodell reduces or eliminates the suspension it will look like Kraft made a back room deal to get his QB back on the field.  If the suspension is upheld then people will assume Kraft backed down while gaining nothing because he knew they were guilty.  I'm sure that NE executives have thought through all of the possible scenarios but I'm still trying to understand what he gained by making this statement.
 

Average Reds

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canvass ali said:
 
I've suspected for a while that Goodell is out to burnish his reputation, trying to cast himself as the Bart Giamatti of football and handcuffing Tom Brady to the role of Pete Rose.  Next he'll produce a piece of lyric prose called "Green Backs of the Mind"
 
I think you are misreading the tweet.
 

SeanBerry

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Stitch01 said:
Im assuming its a typo on his part, the terms should be obvious, I pay if the suspension stays at more than 0, he permabans himself if the suspension is zero.
 
I fucked up. Sorry. Wasn't trying to be a welch. 
 
Brady suspension gets dropped to zero games by Goodell = I am permabanned.
Brady's suspension does not get dropped to zero games by Goodell = Stitch01 has to pay $500 to Jimmy Fund.
 

Stitch01

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I think NE is in a lose-lose here now.  If Goodell reduces or eliminates the suspension it will look like Kraft made a back room deal to get his QB back on the field.  If the suspension is upheld then people will assume Kraft backed down while gaining nothing because he knew they were guilty.  I'm sure that NE executives have thought through all of the possible scenarios but I'm still trying to understand what he gained by making this statement.
 
 
 
 
Where were they before Krafts statement that wasnt lose-lose?
 

Stitch01

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SeanBerry said:
 
I fucked up. Sorry. Wasn't trying to be a welch. 
 
Brady suspension gets dropped to zero games by Goodell = I am permabanned.
Brady's suspension does not get dropped to zero games by Goodell = Stitch01 has to pay $500 to Jimmy Fund.
Yeah I know, I took you at your word, we're good.
 
M

MentalDisabldLst

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I've typed up a paraphrased version of the Matt Light extended interview from Beetle & Zo earlier this morning, which gave his frank thoughts on the matter.  It was good stuff, thanks for the referral.  You can see the write-up here.
 

Reverend

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BigJimEd said:
seems like a pretty safe bet. I don't see anyway Goodell eliminates the suspension. Why give it to him in the first place, then?
 
He didn't--he assigned Vincent to do so, did not participate, and appointed himself for the appeal.
 
 
JimBoSox9 said:
 
They really don't.  Start with the premise that there was never, not for a moment, a recourse for the team punishments that Kraft was willing to pursue.  Some very good lawyer folks have been talking in this thread for a while now about how bleak that part is for the Pats.  On that level, it's not about right or fair or moral or anything AT ALL besides 1) contracts within billionaire associations, and B) a legal system that has clearly said they're not in the business of regulating those kinds of agreements absent pressing public need.  Maybe he does win in court.  But even testing those waters takes him from being in the top tier of owners to a pariah.  That's real cost.  
 
Add to all that his apparent, conflicting conviction that the Pats are blameless, and the two actions seem to make quite a lot of sense together.  The website was just about the most he could do without taking a wrecking ball to the whole thing.  It, quite simply, ain't even close to being worth taking a wrecking ball to the whole thing.
 
The website may also be interpreted as a violation of said agreement, should push come to shove.
 
 
pappymojo said:
I said this before, but at this point what incentive is there for Kraft to continue to work within NFL committees? 
 
This is a little like asking McBain how he sleeps at night.
 

Shelterdog

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Tyrone Biggums said:
I can't believe this. Why would you crumble?
 
If I'm an NFL owner there's no way I waste my millions on longshot litigations against the NFL: I'd rather spend the money on a combination of malaria nets for kids in Africa, horizontals and verticals of premier cru bourdeauxs, and making Allison Stokke my love slave.  Because I think I could make those things happen with the millions of dollars fighting this would cost and have about the same chance of changing anyone's mind or getting that first round pick back.
 
SeanBerry said:
 
I fucked up. Sorry. Wasn't trying to be a welch. 
 
Brady suspension gets dropped to zero games by Goodell = I am permabanned.
Brady's suspension does not get dropped to zero games by Goodell = Stitch01 has to pay $500 to Jimmy Fund.
 
Why would Goodell drop it to zero?  If it gets dropped it'll be to the court system, not Goodell.
 

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Stitch01 said:
Pats fans are going to have to hear bullshit about cheating from muppet opposing fans looking to strike at their betters for, well, ever because the league is run by incompetent morons.  Maybe give people a little time to blow off steam?
I live in Central PA which is Steelers and Penn State country, everyone here knows that I am an unabashed Patriots Fan, you know how many people have given me shit here?  ZERO
 
1. They acknowledge this whole thing is ridiculously stupid.  2.  I have Roethlisburger and Sandusky to bring up.
 
Move along, nothing to see here, just like Sox Fans do with Yankee Fans, if someone is going to be a hater, no matter what Goodell and the NFL did would make this go away.
 

Zedia

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nattysez said:
Goodell drops the Brady suspension.  NFLPA has to stand down, and Goodell's mishandling of the case is quickly forgotten.  In a few weeks, Goodell will say "I told my team to base the suspension on the Wells report.  They did so.  However, I've read the report and respectfully disagree that the conclusions Mr. Wells drew merited the penalties Mr. Brady received.  I'm therefore vacating Mr. Brady's suspension."
 
Goodell would be crazy to take any other approach, but we've all said that before...
Yep. They're going to cut the legs out from the NFLPA and Kraft is helping them do it. I'd be pissed if I was Brady.
 

DJnVa

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BannedbyNYYFans.com said:
 
Why would Goodell drop it to zero?  If it gets dropped it'll be to the court system, not Goodell.
 
 
Jesus, we even fuck up a simple bet.
 
 
If Brady is eligible to play all 16 games: Berry is gone.
 
If he is not: $500 to Jimmy Fund.
 
 

GregHarris

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He's (Seanberry) gonna loophole out of it because Goodell will never eliminate the entire suspension.  Brady will likely win via the Tags out.
 

moondog80

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Trautwein's Degree said:
 
You can argue causation v. correlation here but Bob Kraft and the NFL owners know they are wealthier today than they were when Goodell took over. Every sports commissioner gets called an idiot by fans. Yet, so long as revenues increase they are bulletproof. 
 
 
 
 
I don't like Goodell but this plot is bullshit.  Purposely expands the scale for NFL revenue to make it seem like a small increase.  Another way to look at it would be to say that revenues went up  about 3.5 billion during his tenure, and he got about 10% of that.
 

BroodsSexton

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Zedia said:
Yep. They're going to cut the legs out from the NFLPA and Kraft is helping them do it. I'd be pissed if I was Brady.
 
If Goodell is smart enough to drop the suspension, then I'm going to have to reassess my position on the league, and consider the possibility that I just love the drama.
 
Of course, there's a bit of a Charlie Brown effect, and I probably won't care as much about the next trumped up scandal.
 

SeanBerry

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GregHarris said:
He's (Seanberry) gonna loophole out of it because Goodell will never eliminate the entire suspension.  Brady will likely win via the Tags out.
 
It's not a loophole. That's what was offered to me! I just took the bet.
 
I'd never bet something like that on the court system. Who knows? Crazy shit happens there.
 

Ed Hillel

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We need Ted Wells to interpret these posts between Berry and Stitch. It looks to me like each has a different idea of what they are.
 

Stitch01

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GregHarris said:
He's (Seanberry) gonna loophole out of it because Goodell will never eliminate the entire suspension.  Brady will likely win via the Tags out.
Thats not fair to Berry, he accepted the bet as written.
 

wibi

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BroodsSexton said:
 
If Goodell is smart enough to drop the suspension, then I'm going to have to reassess my position on the league, and consider the possibility that I just love the drama.
 
Of course, there's a bit of a Charlie Brown effect, and I probably won't care as much about the next trumped up scandal.
 
Why does dropping (implies to zero games) the suspension make him smart?  
 

Ferm Sheller

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IMO, here's the compromise:
 
1.  Pats agree to accept team punishment (loss of picks and fine) for agreeing that evidence tends to suggest that JM/JJ acted wrongfully (negligent supervision on team's part), but it's forever left unstated explicitly that JM/JJ acted wrongfully such as not to further drag him through the mud; and
 
2. NFL agrees to drop Brady's punishment and absolve him of guilt and agree that despite Wells' evidence, the Pats's web site rebuttal (in addition to what comes out in some appeal meeting between Goodell and Brady) tends to suggest more probably than not that he wasn't in fact involved.
 
Brady saves face (as much as he possibly can at this point; there always will be haters) and the organization takes the hit for him, which it was going to have to do anyway.  Organization has been through this before and its not an individual, so it will be OK.  Brady's an individual and is one of the top players in the history of the game and it's not fair to crucify him based on such weak evidence.  League looks like it came down hard and it gets to avoid going to court with Brady.  
 
It's a win/lose for everyone, including Wells and JM/JJ (not that the League or Pats care so much about those parties).
 

NWsoxophile

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Well...here's hoping that Brady and the NFLPA get this into the courts and skewer the league. That was always the more likely avenue for something like real justice to occur here. 
 

Jnai

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moondog80 said:
 
 
I don't like Goodell but this plot is bullshit.  Purposely expands the scale for NFL revenue to make it seem like a small increase.  Another way to look at it would be to say that revenues went up but about 3.5 billion during his tenure, and he got about 10% of that.
 
I'm pretty sure you're off by an order of magnitude.
 

wildeman

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Hoping like hell that the "deal" was to reduce the team penalties - "stand down and we'll let you keep your first rounder"  (maybe that's why the amounts were so astronomical/unreasonable to begin with).  
 

Dr. Gonzo

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E5 Yaz said:
Just a side note ... Anyone so upset with what Kraft did today that they want to give up their season tickets, let me know
 
I'm not giving up my tickets but I did send an email to the ticket office expressing my disappointment.
 

Morgan's Magic Snowplow

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moondog80 said:
 
 
I don't like Goodell but this plot is bullshit.  Purposely expands the scale for NFL revenue to make it seem like a small increase.  Another way to look at it would be to say that revenues went up but about 3.5 billion during his tenure, and he got about 10% of that.
 
1%.
 
Its also inaccurate to say his salary is that high.  His salary is much lower.  He has bonuses belt into his compensation package based on revenue targets that the league has hit.
 

dcmissle

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Why does dropping (implies to zero games) the suspension make him smart?
Because there is a substantial risk that Kessler kicks the NFL's ass, and shows in the process that Wells Report was a bag job.
 

Average Reds

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Zedia said:
Yep. They're going to cut the legs out from the NFLPA and Kraft is helping them do it. I'd be pissed if I was Brady.
 
If by "cutting the legs out from the NFLPA" you mean "dropping the suspension to nothing" then I cannot agree.
 
As we discussed upthread, that's not a complete win for Brady, but it's pretty good.  And the NFLPA just holds their powder until the next player is suspended.
 

pappymojo

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I don't know why, but I am really depressed about this and I still believe the Patriots did nothing wrong. 
 

kartvelo

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Average Reds said:
 
If by "cutting the legs out from the NFLPA" you mean "dropping the suspension to nothing" then I cannot agree.
 
As we discussed upthread, that's not a complete win for Brady, but it's pretty good.  And the NFLPA just holds their powder until the next player is suspended.
The next time a player is suspended it might not be the blatant railroading that we've seen here. I'd think the PA would want this one in particular.
 

Average Reds

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wibi said:
 
Why does dropping (implies to zero games) the suspension make him smart?  
 
If Goodell concludes that he is likely to lose in court and have his authority undermined, the smart play would be to cut his losses by eliminating the suspension.  (Thus eliminating the court case.)
 
Edit:  I don't think Goodell is this smart.  I think he does not vacate the suspension. 
 

Reverend

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moondog80 said:
 
 
I don't like Goodell but this plot is bullshit.  Purposely expands the scale for NFL revenue to make it seem like a small increase.  Another way to look at it would be to say that revenues went up  about 3.5 billion during his tenure, and he got about 10% of that.
 
It's a sketchy plot, but Traut interpreted correctly. I think your math is a bit off too.
 
People are a bit emotion--it's cool and understandable, but no need for everyone to turn on each other. :)
 

BigJimEd

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He didn't--he assigned Vincent to do so, did not participate, and appointed himself for the appeal.
Does anyone think he didn't participate? Did Goodell himself even say he didn't participate?

I just don't see anyway Goodell eliminates the suspension. Reduce, wrote possibly but not eliminate.

I understand why people are saying that. I didn't think Brady would get suspended to begin with because I didn't think the NFL would want to fight this battle. But at this point I don't see them backing down. There is nothing new and nothing has changed so why would they?
 

Ferm Sheller

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cheekydave said:
Sean Berry leaving would make this whole mess palatable
 
On field events typically force him to refrain from coming around these parts during the regular season and post-season anyway.
 

E5 Yaz

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Dr. Gonzo said:
 
I'm not giving up my tickets but I did send an email to the ticket office expressing my disappointment.
 
Your copy of the bedbug letter is in the mail