Kyrie Irving traded to Celtics for IT, Crowder, Zizic, BKN 1st, 2020 2nd

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Red Averages

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This is like agreeing to buy a house and later trying to get a credit for the exterior paint not being in great condition. You already went to the open house and saw that paint... it should have been factored into your purchase price.

Everyone on the Celtics including Danny knew IT was damaged goods. He's been very vocal about it - it's not a secret. They already have planned for this possibility and have it covered in contract language if you ask me. I am not worried in the least
Sounds more like they put in an offer for the house and during the inspection found out they needed to replace the heating system and roof within the next 6 months. Now they are looking for some compensation given the asset they are purchasing is worse than expected.
 

Cellar-Door

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Sounds more like they put in an offer for the house and during the inspection found out they needed to replace the heating system and roof within the next 6 months. Now they are looking for some compensation given the asset they are purchasing is worse than expected.
Yeah, a lot of people are incorrectly downplaying how severe Thomas's injury could be. This could be anything from a minor disagreement on timetable to the basketball equivalent of figuring out a pither who was on the DL for dead arm needs rotator cuff surgery.
 

DJnVa

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If this gets reversed, LondonSox is gonna have whiplash with how fast I'm back on the IT and "Nets suck" bandwagon.
 

Jed Zeppelin

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I definitely don't think the BKN pick is likely to be significantly better if any than a PHX pick if that's still on the table. If their medical team says IT4 is unlikely to return to full health at all this year, well is BKN 1, Crowder, Zizic, and dead money better than the PHX rumor of:
Bledsoe/Bender/PHX 1? That's a better big prospect, a better player (who plays the position you most need) and a likely similar or better pick.
If that's a real offer, sure. Haven't seen anything to suggest that it is, and strikes me as something that would be done already if it were.

There's also the matter of tax payments which is a significant part of any deal for Gilbert. Bledsoe has the biggest contract out of all these players that have been rumored on the table, and a package around him and other players doesn't provide the same relief as the Boston deal.
 
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Eddie Jurak

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Yeah, a lot of people are incorrectly downplaying how severe Thomas's injury could be. This could be anything from a minor disagreement on timetable to the basketball equivalent of figuring out a pither who was on the DL for dead arm needs rotator cuff surgery.
Personally, I'm more downplaying the possibility that Ainge tried to sell the Cabs a bill of goods.
 

CreedBratton

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I am sure it has been said lots but the Cavs wanted Josh Jackson and the Suns kept saying no. The cavs refused all other Suns deals that didn't involve him
 

wade boggs chicken dinner

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Yeah, a lot of people are incorrectly downplaying how severe Thomas's injury could be. This could be anything from a minor disagreement on timetable to the basketball equivalent of figuring out a pither who was on the DL for dead arm needs rotator cuff surgery.
I don't think anyone is downplaying how severe IT's condition could be. We are dumbfounded that the Cavs FO - who hopefully has a few more resources than I do - couldn't begin to understand the potential severity of IT's condition. I mean check out this article from May 21, 2017: https://docflynn.com/2017/05/21/isaiah-thomas-hip-injury/

IT has been managing his hip condition; he has a labral tear; he had to miss two playoff games and could have missed more if he wasn't trying to play through the condition.

I thought the trade was fair (not a fleecing by either team) so I'm okay if it happens and also if it doesn't happen.

I would be shocked if DA gave up anything more of value but I was also shocked that he traded Fultz given IT's situation (though I now understand it).
 

Manzivino

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The most I'd agree to add is swap rights on the Celtics' own pick, which is more a face saving gesture than real asset. The Cavs got full value for Kylie if IT doesn't play a single game, if they demand anything more just walk.
 

Cellar-Door

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I don't think anyone is downplaying how severe IT's condition could be. We are dumbfounded that the Cavs FO - who hopefully has a few more resources than I do - couldn't begin to understand the potential severity of IT's condition. I mean check out this article from May 21, 2017: https://docflynn.com/2017/05/21/isaiah-thomas-hip-injury/

IT has been managing his hip condition; he has a labral tear; he had to miss two playoff games and could have missed more if he wasn't trying to play through the condition.

I thought the trade was fair (not a fleecing by either team) so I'm okay if it happens and also if it doesn't happen.

I would be shocked if DA gave up anything more of value but I was also shocked that he traded Fultz given IT's situation (though I now understand it).
The problem is that you can't do a physical until the trade is completed. Injuries are incredibly complex, and looking at some MRIs and another doctor's report isn't the same as your doctor doing their own tests and examinations.
It's one of the reasons so many athletes go to get second opinions from guys like James Andrews.

Now I do think that Ainge is unlikely to add much if anything if the Cavs want to back out (BOS 1st at most) but I don't think it's at all dumbfounding to think that a second opinion drastically changes the percentages on risk. If the new MRI shows something different than the last one, etc, it could change it from small chance of long term to big chance, or it could also be the scenario of ..... he needs a debridement surgery (Wilson Chandler and Gerald Henderson both ended up needing second surgeries) and will miss most of the year.
 

CreedBratton

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Woj: Sources: Cleveland's evaluation/conversation on status of Irving/Thomas deal has remained internal. So far, team hasn't re-engaged Boston.
 

lars10

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If the IT is out the whole playoffs it would definitely make it more interesting, but I'm just not very impressed with the Irving led Celtics team that many of your are so enamored with. I think a healthy Cavs team will easily defeat that team. I also think that if this trade goes through its likely that Cleveland ends up trading the Nets pick for an impact player that can contribute to a championship run next season.
You're also completely ignoring the other additions the Celtics have made.
 

benhogan

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Unfortunately, Cleveland has the power here.

Cleveland did really well on this trade if IT4 comes fully back after missing a month (close to what Ainge implied)
BUT if IT4 is not making it back they will want some compensation. I'd hate it if the Celtics offer anything more than a couple 2nd rounders.

I think the Cavs will angle for the better of Bklyn pick or LA/Sac pick or another first rounder.

The proverbial "genie is out of the bottle now" and the Celtics are screwed if this trade gets fully rescinded. Whats their next move?
 
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Big John

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I wouldn't pay another farthing to Cleveland. Ainge overpaid. The real prize in the deal was the Brooklyn pick, not IT, and everyone knew that going in.

If the trade gets rescinded, the Celtics have to smooth over some hurt feelings, that's all. Meanwhile the Cavs have to deal with the Kyrie/Lebron drama indefinitely or else take an inferior deal (e.g. Bledsoe or Dragic, without a high lotto pick in a stacked draft).

I'm happy to take Zizic back, too.
 

wilked

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To be fair, the doctors in Ohio are known to be well ahead of doctors in Massachusetts, so their diagnosis will carry a lot of weight
 

RedOctober3829

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I wouldn't pay another farthing to Cleveland. Ainge overpaid. The real prize in the deal was the Brooklyn pick, not IT, and everyone knew that going in.

If the trade gets rescinded, the Celtics have to smooth over some hurt feelings, that's all. Meanwhile the Cavs have to deal with the Kyrie/Lebron drama indefinitely or else take an inferior deal (e.g. Bledsoe or Dragic, without a high lotto pick in a stacked draft).

I'm happy to take Zizic back, too.
Pretty sure the Celtics relationships with IT and Crowder are at the point of no return.
 

Ed Hillel

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Pretty sure the Celtics relationships with IT and Crowder are at the point of no return.
The Celtics are not winning a title this year, with or without IT, and IT was never coming back next year. Who cares? Crowder whatever. He still has plenty of value and can be shipped elsewhere if need be. Neither presents such a significant issue it's worth mortgaging the future over.

The fact that Danny was apparently ready to give up even more from the get-go is disturbing. Let's hope it's very minimal.
 

HomeRunBaker

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That's odd. Does that mean they planned for this?
Now that we know Isaiah's physical WASN'T waived you'd have to assume a contingency plan was in place as both sides had to know that he'd never pass a physical based on him still not being cleared for basketball activities at the time of the trade.

If this is all Gilbert well now you have another reason for Kyrie to want to get the hell away from that organization. I still feel this is pure gamesmanship to extract an extra pick as these types of actions don't take place in this day and age. One more reason why agents are so crucial in this sport......you get a deal like this to go down without their involvement and all hell breaks loose.
 

DJnVa

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Regardless if the pick is the main part, if something you're getting isn't what was thought, it's not really dumb to ask about that.
 

nighthob

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It is hard to know exactly what is going on here. However, it is worth noting that the Celtics are the more vulnerable team here. If the trade falls apart, Cleveland can shovel off Kyrie elsewhere, and maybe teams that thought they lost Kyrie (and regretted it) will even up their offers. Whereas the Celtics are fucked. I'd be happy to have Crowder, Zizic, and the pick back (and I think things could be patched up with Crowder), but IT is an injured lame duck.
If the deal falls apart no one is upping their offer for Irving because they know that Cleveland's only viable option for a big return is now gone. If Ainge walks away the Cavs are fucked because they won't get anything to help them with the post-LeBron rebuild. Do you know who's really happy today? Kevin Pritchard, because his pupu platter return on George is going to look a whole lot better than the deal the Cavs are going to end up making.
In any case, what is the right move for Danny here? Provide additional value? Just walk away?
Tell Lil' Zeke's agent to see if he can find a landing spot for Thomas and when Altman calls back let him know that you've moved on and that he shouldn't be calling you in the future.

Boston was up front about the severity off the injury. We know this because even before the deal happened they were publicly telling us that he hadn't been medically cleared for basketball activities yet and that he wouldn't be ready to start the season. And due to size/stature everyone had to understand that this was the beginning of the end. Regardless of how many Boston fans felt. Smurfs live off of quickness, and once it goes it goes,
 

moondog80

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Unfortunately, Cleveland has the power here.

Cleveland did really well on this trade if IT4 comes fully back after missing a month (close to what Ainge implied)
BUT if IT4 is not making it back they will want some compensation. I'd hate it if the Celtics offer anything more than a couple 2nd rounders.

I think the Cavs will angle for the better of Bklyn pick or LA/Sac pick or another first rounder.

The proverbial "genie is out of the bottle now" and the Celtics are screwed if this trade gets fully rescinded. Whats their next move?
I'm not sure about this. Let Cleveland find a better offer than the Brooklyn pick/Crowder/Zizic.
 

nighthob

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I definitely don't think the BKN pick is likely to be significantly better if any than a PHX pick if that's still on the table. If their medical team says IT4 is unlikely to return to full health at all this year, well is BKN 1, Crowder, Zizic, and dead money better than the PHX rumor of:
Bledsoe/Bender/PHX 1? That's a better big prospect, a better player (who plays the position you most need) and a likely similar or better pick.
Bledsoe, a draft bust, and the Miami #1 is not a better offer. Because Miami is a likely playoff team, despite the fact that they'll probably only win 38 games. And Bledsoe's knees are so bad at this point that he's unlikely to see the far side of 30 in his NBA life (he's bone on bone in one of the knees and close to that in the other).

So the Cavs would be left rebuilding around Bender (who apparently has attitude problems while not being good enough to deserve them) and a mid first round pick in a top heavy draft. On the bright side they would be perfectly positioned for the Zion Williamson lottery and watch him play out his fifth year qualifying offer so that he can escape.

There's a difference in degrees though. IF based on what the Celtics sent over and their medical review it looked like IT would be back after 2-4 weeks little chance of a long term loss of explosiveness, then when they got to do a real medical and their doctors said... half the season.... at least and fairly likely long term degradation of explosiveness. Well there is a huge gap between those values, and even baking something into the trade doesn't cover that gap.
The injury as publicly described meant that Thomas has an arthritic hip. That pretty much always comes with a loss of quickness, it's unavoidable.
 
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nighthob

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Pretty sure the Celtics relationships with IT and Crowder are at the point of no return.
With Thomas, sure, but I think everyone has to admit now that Boston was never re-signing him anyway. I agree that Crowder will be pissed this morning, at the Cavaliers. Boston tried to accommodate him by trading him to a contender, so I doubt he's angry at Boston.
 

HomeRunBaker

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Regardless if the pick is the main part, if something you're getting isn't what was thought, it's not really dumb to ask about that.
You have to be a special kind of stupid to know you just traded for a guy who hasn't yet been physically cleared to play due to an injury the entire internet were told about.

This was all public knowledge that had already been reported. They knew they were getting an expiring contract who wasn't able to play. Now they are getting cold feet because they acquired an expiring contract who couldn't play? Doesn't pass the smell test.
 

DJnVa

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You have to be a special kind of stupid to know you just traded for a guy who hasn't yet been physically cleared to play due to an injury the entire internet were told about.

This was all public knowledge that had already been reported. They knew they were getting an expiring contract who wasn't able to play. Now they are getting cold feet because they acquired an expiring contract who couldn't play? Doesn't pass the smell test.
No, I get that.

But with word the Celtics were prepared for this were likely speaking of degrees. Boston can alert them to what they'll see but they're still gonna want their own look.
 

Marbleheader

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Regardless of the outcome, Altman's credibility lasted about 30 seconds. Teams are going to be extremely wary of doing business with him.
 

bankshot1

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So whats the worst case?

IMO Ainge does not sweeten the pot materially. This trade was about the Nets #1, not IT's injured hip.

If the trade gets rescinded, IT starts the season late, plays with an attitude and with the goal of playing for a huge contract elsewhere. Crowder gets traded to someone for a nice pick. and the Celts probably lose to the Cavs in the ECF, if the Cavs get there with as LBJ thinks about the Lakers and an unhappy Irving is playing in a shadow.

And the Celts still have he Nets '18 pick and are still in the AD lottery.

Celts aren't winning the title in '18 anyway.
 

PaulinMyrBch

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No tweet yet, but Sportscenter just updated, saying Woj is saying the Cavs/Celtics are getting on a call today to discuss the trade. Sounded like it meant to work it out. But again, don't see a tweet about it yet.
 

RedOctober3829

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With Thomas, sure, but I think everyone has to admit now that Boston was never re-signing him anyway. I agree that Crowder will be pissed this morning, at the Cavaliers. Boston tried to accommodate him by trading him to a contender, so I doubt he's angry at Boston.
"For one, the relationship between the Cavs and Irving is said to be damaged beyond repair. Thomas and his camp are equally dismayed with Boston’s front office and do not want to return, sources said."
http://amicohoops.net/nba-rumors-cleveland-cavaliers-boston-celtics-isaiah-thomas-kyrie-irving/
 

DJnVa

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I get it, but if healthy-ish this is IT's best shot at a huge payday.
 

snowmanny

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There is downside for the Celtics in terms of Crowder and Thomas returning with an attitude if the trade falls apart, but I don't see that as worse than the downside for the Cavs. Cleveland would have to give up Crowder, give up the Nets pick, and deal with Irving who definitely doesn't want to be there.

As someone who wasn't a fan of the trade I don't care if it falls apart, and I really don't want Ainge to give up anything else. If the deal was contingent on the Cavs doctors thinking Thomas would be fine by XXX date and they don't think he will be, oh well, so sad, too bad, move on to Plan G.
 

Buster Olney the Lonely

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So whats the worst case?

IMO Ainge does not sweeten the pot materially. This trade was about the Nets #1, not IT's injured hip.

If the trade gets rescinded, IT starts the season late, plays with an attitude and with the goal of playing for a huge contract elsewhere. Crowder gets traded to someone for a nice pick. and the Celts probably lose to the Cavs in the ECF, if the Cavs get there with as LBJ thinks about the Lakers and an unhappy Irving is playing in a shadow.

And the Celts still have he Nets '18 pick and are still in the AD lottery.

Celts aren't winning the title in '18 anyway.
This is where I am. Isaiah can't play for a while. Jae is unhappy. Not ideal, but the Celtics are essentially where they were a week ago.

In a weird way I hope it does fall through especially if the Cavs are asking Ainge to sweeten the pot. Kyrie ain't exactly the picture of health and I really want to see the Cavs rebuild around Dragan Bender.
 

ifmanis5

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No tweet yet, but Sportscenter just updated, saying Woj is saying the Cavs/Celtics are getting on a call today to discuss the trade. Sounded like it meant to work it out. But again, don't see a tweet about it yet.
Woj's story: http://www.espn.com/nba/story/_/id/20465022/cleveland-cavaliers-boston-celtics-discuss-uncertainty-blockbuster-trade

It is possible that Cleveland could request further compensation from Boston before it'll approve the trade, league sources said. Cleveland has until Thursday to make a final decision on approving the trade, sources said. Cleveland can veto the deal based on a failed physical, sending players back to their respective teams.
Thomas took the exam in Cleveland on Friday before flying back home to the West Coast, league sources said.
 

nighthob

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"For one, the relationship between the Cavs and Irving is said to be damaged beyond repair. Thomas and his camp are equally dismayed with Boston’s front office and do not want to return, sources said."
http://amicohoops.net/nba-rumors-cleveland-cavaliers-boston-celtics-isaiah-thomas-kyrie-irving/
Again, who cares? Everyone now knows that Boston never had the intention of re-signing him. His only path to a big contract is to get as healthy as he can and get out on the floor and play well. If he sits out the year the best he does elsewhere is a "show me" deal, by which time he's 30 and nigh on his expiration date.
 

nighthob

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There is downside for the Celtics in terms of Crowder and Thomas returning with an attitude if the trade falls apart, but I don't see that as worse than the downside for the Cavs. Cleveland would have to give up Crowder, give up the Nets pick, and deal with Irving who definitely doesn't want to be there.
It's even worse than that, essentially the Cavs are Lucy, jerking the football away from Irving as he's about to kick it. Yesterday he was a member of a second tier contender with two other all stars, talented young players, and a couple of potential high draft picks. This morning he's back in Cleveland and his next stop is probably a non-contender in the western conference.
 

PedroKsBambino

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Seems like threre's three more-probable scenarios driving this, and a less-probable one...

1) Lebron made clear he hates this deal and Cleveland is trying to adapt to that (by getting more, or getting out). This seems most likely to me.
2) Cleveland is just 'shaking the tree' to see if they can get more, which presumably is driven by Gilbert (since Altman knows he's materially impacting his ability to do future deals if he tries that)
3) Cleveland got cold feet for some reason---another team jumped in after announcement, they got around to projecting the Nets and lowered their valuation of the pick, some other move (a Love trade?) fell apart and now pieces don't fit well for them and they are looking for an excuse to get more/get out

Then the less likely one

4) Ainge really underplayed the injury and Cleveland is legit surprised by the exam. This would require Ainge to be a fool, since the exam was inevitable.

I'd guess Celtics approach to first three is pretty much the same---we'll accept deal as-is and might make a really minor tweak for Cle to save face (conditional second-round pick kind of value) and we'll rip it up and go to war with our pre-trade roster otherwise. If it's the fourth, they may end up stuck adding a real asset which would absolutely suck.
 

E5 Yaz

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If another team jumped in after the announcement, couldn't the C's ask for compensation based on tampering?
 

snowmanny

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Seems like threre's three more-probable scenarios driving this, and a less-probable one...

1) Lebron made clear he hates this deal and Cleveland is trying to adapt to that (by getting more, or getting out). This seems most likely to me.
2) Cleveland is just 'shaking the tree' to see if they can get more, which presumably is driven by Gilbert (since Altman knows he's materially impacting his ability to do future deals if he tries that)
3) Cleveland got cold feet for some reason---another team jumped in after announcement, they got around to projecting the Nets and lowered their valuation of the pick, some other move (a Love trade?) fell apart and now pieces don't fit well for them and they are looking for an excuse to get more/get out

Then the less likely one

4) Ainge really underplayed the injury and Cleveland is legit surprised by the exam. This would require Ainge to be a fool, since the exam was inevitable.

I'd guess Celtics approach to first three is pretty much the same---we'll accept deal as-is and might make a really minor tweak for Cle to save face (conditional second-round pick kind of value) and we'll rip it up and go to war with our pre-trade roster otherwise. If it's the fourth, they may end up stuck adding a real asset which would absolutely suck.
4A - and maybe this is implied in your #4 - is Ainge INTENTIONALLY underplayed the injury but planned ALL ALONG to "add a real asset" if found out, which, yes, would absolutely suck.
 

PedroKsBambino

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4A - and maybe this is implied in your #4 - is Ainge INTENTIONALLY underplayed the injury but planned ALL ALONG to "add a real asset" if found out, which, yes, would absolutely suck.
Possible, but why would you do that? It really undermines your credibility to mislead another team about the health of a guy in a deal, and you lose a lot of leverage negotiating 'out' of that misrepresentation rather than just negotiating on the merits of the guys and their current health initially. The only reason to try is because you think 'maybe they won't figure it out' and that's pretty weak and unlikely. They supposedly already traded medical records, so Cleveland has to be arguing that something in the in-person exam was different or more severe than shown in the records.

Neither team has a great alternative now, unless another team jumped in after the deal. Celtics will deal with massaging IT and Crowder's egos, but it's complicated. Cleveland certainly doesn't want Irving back and now has a thinner market for him than before.
 

snowmanny

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Possible, but why would you do that? It really undermines your credibility to mislead another team about the health of a guy in a deal, and you lose a lot of leverage negotiating 'out' of that misrepresentation rather than just negotiating on the merits of the guys and their current health initially. The only reason to try is because you think 'maybe they won't figure it out' and that's pretty weak and unlikely. They supposedly already traded medical records, so Cleveland has to be arguing that something in the in-person exam was different or more severe than shown in the records.
The only difference in my 4A scenario and your 4 scenario is that in yours Ainge underplayed the IT injury and is a fool for doing so because now he's forced to toss in assets and in mine Ainge isn't a fool for underplaying the injury, he just tried to get away with it and was fully prepared all along to throw in more assets later if need be.

I think Ainge ends up a bit of a fool either way because the cost is too high already, and I think the Cavs are fools if they are really surprised by IT's injury (I think they're lying) but that's another matter.
EDIT: AND i think the Cavs are huge fools if they walk away
 
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