Yeah but Porcello is 32 now and that’s a totally different story from a 26 year old position player. And yes that was obviously his best year - he’s not immune to decline or getting older by playing to his strengths, but he admittedly didn’t win the award when he was trying to be something other than himself. There’s lots of trends with players - now hitters are chasing the ’launch angle‘ thing. I think if you overthink something that you’re already naturally good at you risk causing unnecessary problems.Consdering Porcello followed up that cy young year with 4 mediocre years and at age 32 still isn't signed, he probably isn't a great comp if you're trying to argue for AB turning back into what as of now is looking like it might have been a one year wonder.
Also not sure how you can determine how likelly the PTBNLs are to become anything or what their potential value is when we still don't even know who they are yet.
They’re not from their ‘top prospect’ selection. They’re still evaluating due to covid, but they’re from a list of prospects deeper in the pile. There could be a superstar in there, I‘m not saying they’ll be bad - all of this is about trying to predict the future which none of us can do. All you can do is formulate odds based on what you see. I put a higher value on Beni and I would have not made the deal, but I do like a lot of what Chaim is doing.
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