My sense is that his median is probably a bunch of DNP-CDs too. That's sort of the downside of taking a high risk, high reward guy who slips to 27th. The bottom range of outcomes is disproportionately large.What would be a good median expectation for Williams? Ben Wallace, Clint Capela, and DeAndre Jordan are top tier projections. Obviously a bunch of DNP-CDs and washing out of the league is his low-end. What do you guys think we should expect? The Detroit version of Amir Johnson? A meth-free Birdman?
I also suspect this issue is especially acute for non-shooting bigs like Williams. The line between being Clint Capela and not being able to see the court may be pretty small.