The reasons I'm picking Taylor:
1. Pavlik is coming off by far the best performance of his career, while Taylor is coming off the ugliest of his career. Because of that, I think people are overrating Pavlik a bit and discounting Taylor.
Not that Pavlik isn't a good fighter, he definitely deserved this title shot and has a very good shot at winning. I just think he's getting extra hype as the Next Big Thing right now, somewhat like Miranda was a few months ago.
2. Taylor's entire attack is based around his great jab, so because of that, he's the last guy who should ever be fighting southpaws. It's incredibly tough for a conventional fighter to land his jab against a southpaw, especially fighters as slick as Winky and Spinks. Taylor can actually use his biggest weapon this time.
As bad as he looked the last couple fights, this is still a guy who went 2-0-1 against Hopkins and Wright, and Kelly Pavlik has done nothing to do this point to convince me he's better than those two opponents.
I'm rooting for Taylor, but this is a win/win situation IMO. As long as it's a good fight, it's a good result for boxing either way. If Taylor wins, it reaffirms all the hype he got after beating Hopkins. If Pavlik wins, there's a new American star on the scene in a glamour weight class. Either scenario is a good thing.
As far as Floyd/Hatton goes, I may have already stated this before so forgive me for the repetition, but this is just an AWFUL style matchup for Hatton. There's always this adage in boxing that the way to be an elite speed fighter is with a relentless body attack, and I've always completely disagreed with it. A long jab is what neutralizes speed. Charging in and trying to wail away to the body, that's not the way to beat someone like Mayweather. Floyd can just back up and counter all night long, while Hatton gets exhausted from chasing him.
Paul Williams could give Floyd all types of problems because of his height, reach and jab (and because of this, I'd be shocked if Floyd ever fights him). A prime Vernon Forrest could have given Floyd similar problems. A short fighter with short arms and no jab has virtually no chance against an opponent with Floyd's style. And that's what Ricky Hatton is, a short fighter with short arms and no jab.
1. Pavlik is coming off by far the best performance of his career, while Taylor is coming off the ugliest of his career. Because of that, I think people are overrating Pavlik a bit and discounting Taylor.
Not that Pavlik isn't a good fighter, he definitely deserved this title shot and has a very good shot at winning. I just think he's getting extra hype as the Next Big Thing right now, somewhat like Miranda was a few months ago.
2. Taylor's entire attack is based around his great jab, so because of that, he's the last guy who should ever be fighting southpaws. It's incredibly tough for a conventional fighter to land his jab against a southpaw, especially fighters as slick as Winky and Spinks. Taylor can actually use his biggest weapon this time.
As bad as he looked the last couple fights, this is still a guy who went 2-0-1 against Hopkins and Wright, and Kelly Pavlik has done nothing to do this point to convince me he's better than those two opponents.
I'm rooting for Taylor, but this is a win/win situation IMO. As long as it's a good fight, it's a good result for boxing either way. If Taylor wins, it reaffirms all the hype he got after beating Hopkins. If Pavlik wins, there's a new American star on the scene in a glamour weight class. Either scenario is a good thing.
As far as Floyd/Hatton goes, I may have already stated this before so forgive me for the repetition, but this is just an AWFUL style matchup for Hatton. There's always this adage in boxing that the way to be an elite speed fighter is with a relentless body attack, and I've always completely disagreed with it. A long jab is what neutralizes speed. Charging in and trying to wail away to the body, that's not the way to beat someone like Mayweather. Floyd can just back up and counter all night long, while Hatton gets exhausted from chasing him.
Paul Williams could give Floyd all types of problems because of his height, reach and jab (and because of this, I'd be shocked if Floyd ever fights him). A prime Vernon Forrest could have given Floyd similar problems. A short fighter with short arms and no jab has virtually no chance against an opponent with Floyd's style. And that's what Ricky Hatton is, a short fighter with short arms and no jab.