Dame Time heading to Milwaukee

TrapperAB

Member
SoSH Member
Nov 25, 2002
3,102
West Hartford, CT
You’d be willing to give up 3-4 years of drafts and Brogdon for Jrue? Not sure who the next target would be but guys always emerge every year.
This is where I’m at — who gives up a solid 6th man and draft capital (never mind Timelord, limited or not) for a 33-year-old defense-first guard whose shooting goes to hell in the playoffs?

We already have a great defensive PG. Have folks forgotten that White was 2nd team all defense? Sure, Jrue was first team, but how wide is the delta, when offense is factored in?
 

DavidTai

Member
SoSH Member
Dec 18, 2003
1,253
Herndon, VA
The more I see coming out of Haynes, the less I get it. If Phoenix wanted Lowry, why was it expected Portland would loop in Phoenix for Miami, instead of Miami doing the legwork themselves? The same for Herro - if Herro was as highly valued as Miami expected, you'd think MIAMI could find takers for Herro and spin that off.

Ultimately, it feels like the Heat front office basically expected Portland to give up Dame without much of a battle and didn't feel like they had to do more work than that.
 

Euclis20

Member
SoSH Member
Aug 3, 2004
8,256
Imaginationland
The more I see coming out of Haynes, the less I get it. If Phoenix wanted Lowry, why was it expected Portland would loop in Phoenix for Miami, instead of Miami doing the legwork themselves? The same for Herro - if Herro was as highly valued as Miami expected, you'd think MIAMI could find takers for Herro and spin that off.

Ultimately, it feels like the Heat front office basically expected Portland to give up Dame without much of a battle and didn't feel like they had to do more work than that.
It really had the same feeling as when everybody knew Anthony Davis was forcing his way to the Lakers and nobody else, but (despite him only being a year away from free agency, I believe) the Pelicans still got a pretty big bounty from the Lakers. Miami really seemed to think that this would just happen without them having to put forward their best offer, or without a real effort to bring in additional teams. For all the draw of Miami, Reilly and Heat Culture, their attempts at big game hunting have not been particularly impressive since Lebron left. Is Jimmy Butler, a borderline top 10 guy for the last 4-5 years, the best player they've acquired over the last decade?
 

lovegtm

Member
SoSH Member
Apr 30, 2013
12,273
It really had the same feeling as when everybody knew Anthony Davis was forcing his way to the Lakers and nobody else, but (despite him only being a year away from free agency, I believe) the Pelicans still got a pretty big bounty from the Lakers. Miami really seemed to think that this would just happen without them having to put forward their best offer, or without a real effort to bring in additional teams. For all the draw of Miami, Reilly and Heat Culture, their attempts at big game hunting have not been particularly impressive since Lebron left. Is Jimmy Butler, a borderline top 10 guy for the last 4-5 years, the best player they've acquired over the last decade?
And even Jimmy has strongly suggested that he would have stayed in Philly if they hadn't chosen Simmons instead.
 

benhogan

Granite Truther
SoSH Member
Nov 2, 2007
20,410
Santa Monica
It really had the same feeling as when everybody knew Anthony Davis was forcing his way to the Lakers and nobody else, but (despite him only being a year away from free agency, I believe) the Pelicans still got a pretty big bounty from the Lakers. Miami really seemed to think that this would just happen without them having to put forward their best offer, or without a real effort to bring in additional teams. For all the draw of Miami, Reilly and Heat Culture, their attempts at big game hunting have not been particularly impressive since Lebron left. Is Jimmy Butler, a borderline top 10 guy for the last 4-5 years, the best player they've acquired over the last decade?
Agree, considering their locale & state tax situation they have whiffed badly with Superstars. Bron "decided" to go there and Jimmy landed on their lap for JRich. They need to turn Lowry + Herro + picks into something, like Jrue or Harden, to answer what Milwaukee & Boston have done.

I know you're not making the comp, and realize Dame/Davis are both All-NBA players but AD (due to age) was a much bigger get than Dame. Age/timeline is probably the main reason why Brad didn't go all-in on Dame & isn't handing over MB+TL+Picks for Jrue (who has been talking retirement)

Miami Culture has evolved into more like a Spoelstra "players work hard approach" than a Riley-making shrewd or bold moves thing. Taking fringe NBA players and turning them into positive role players is what their Culture nets.
 

lexrageorge

Member
SoSH Member
Jul 31, 2007
18,244
I find it hard to criticize Miami for not landing Lillard. They were not going to trade Bam, and without him the assets available simply were not sufficient to make Portland bite. There was no Jrue Holliday equivalent on Miami's roster, and Tyler Herro wasn't going to be enough for Portland. Heat's only play was to wait it out, and of course by waiting they took the risk that the Blazers would find another trade partner, and Portland had no incentive to shop the Bucks offer around the league.

Of course, dunking on Pat Riley and the Miami Heat should never be discouraged ;)
 

bankshot1

Member
SoSH Member
Feb 12, 2003
24,824
where I was last at
I'm not a trade machine maven but it looks like the only 2-team deal for Jrue is Brogdan + either Al or TL + a couple of 1s. Near term C 1s are probably of medium value as they should be high 20s at best. Maybe the Cs get lucky and GS sucks and we land the 5th pick. (doubtful, but there may be decent value there). And 2s are 2s, there may be strategic salary cap value but its unlikely you'll land a stud at 33+.

Given what I believe is no depth at 4-5 due to my concern that the Unicorn, Al and TL can make it through a season and the 3 might be able to patch through a season, IMO trading Al or TL is a mistake. In fact I'd like another 4 ish guy, not trading one away. We could use a guy like GW. Fuck if we had GW we could probably package him with Bro and get a Jruish Holiday. .

Happy New Year!

In any case I'd pass on emptying the bench for Jrue. Unless we can do him for Bro + CJM and then find a real coach.
 

wade boggs chicken dinner

Member
SoSH Member
Mar 26, 2005
30,824
I find it hard to criticize Miami for not landing Lillard. They were not going to trade Bam, and without him the assets available simply were not sufficient to make Portland bite. There was no Jrue Holliday equivalent on Miami's roster, and Tyler Herro wasn't going to be enough for Portland. Heat's only play was to wait it out, and of course by waiting they took the risk that the Blazers would find another trade partner, and Portland had no incentive to shop the Bucks offer around the league.

Of course, dunking on Pat Riley and the Miami Heat should never be discouraged ;)
Well except MIA from what I am seeing (i) didn't really try to get a 3rd team involved for Herro and (ii) didn't make a close to best offer. It's like MIA felt like Dame going there was foreordained so they could get him at a huge discount. Oops!

Always happy to dunk on MIA.
 

lovegtm

Member
SoSH Member
Apr 30, 2013
12,273
I would enjoy the league slightly more if coaches were tradeable assets too.
They kind of are? The Celtics got significant draft comp for Doc when he left early to the Clippers.

The problem is that the market isn't very liquid because teams aren't giving up multiple unprotected 1sts for Spo, and the Heat aren't even thinking about it for less.

Acquiring teams don't **really** believe in coaching alpha that much, when it comes down to it.
 

ManicCompression

Member
SoSH Member
May 14, 2015
1,402
I find it hard to criticize Miami for not landing Lillard. They were not going to trade Bam, and without him the assets available simply were not sufficient to make Portland bite.
It sounds like they weren't willing to add Caleb Martin or Jaime Jacquez either. They probably could have gotten it done in July with Herro, Martin, filler and their picks.
 

Euclis20

Member
SoSH Member
Aug 3, 2004
8,256
Imaginationland
It sounds like they weren't willing to add Caleb Martin or Jaime Jacquez either. They probably could have gotten it done in July with Herro, Martin, filler and their picks.
Yeah that was what I've heard. Maybe if they'd offered everything(short of Bam) it still wouldn't have been enough - Herro isn't as valuable as holiday (to anyone, not just Portland), none of their younger guys look like future stars, and their picks 5-7 years out certainly aren't as valuable as unprotected bucks picks in 2028-2030. Maybe they were hitting the phones to bring another team and assets into the deal and no one wanted to make things easier for them. That's just not how I see it, this is a massive failure by Reilly and the heat.
 

EvilEmpire

paying for his sins
Moderator
SoSH Member
Apr 9, 2007
17,301
Washington
I kind of doubt the Heat were overconfident given the assets they were willing to trade (no Bam) and the pressure the league put on Dame and his agent.

Portland didn't need to rush the process and was willing to wait for other teams to step up. Their discussions with other teams during the summer probably gave them a good baseline of possible deals and gave them confidence that a great deal was out there. And that's what they got from Milwaukee.
 

Auger34

used to be tbb
SoSH Member
Apr 23, 2010
9,704
I kind of doubt the Heat were overconfident given the assets they were willing to trade (no Bam) and the pressure the league put on Dame and his agent.

Portland didn't need to rush the process and was willing to wait for other teams to step up. Their discussions with other teams during the summer probably gave them a good baseline of possible deals and gave them confidence that a great deal was out there. And that's what they got from Milwaukee.
The Haynes article (which 100% has sourcing from Elisburg and Riley) says that the Heat believed that their offer was just as good as the offer Portland ended up accepting but that they never got the chance to negotiate.
 

lexrageorge

Member
SoSH Member
Jul 31, 2007
18,244
The Haynes article (which 100% has sourcing from Elisburg and Riley) says that the Heat believed that their offer was just as good as the offer Portland ended up accepting but that they never got the chance to negotiate.
That's one perspective. The rumored initial offer from Miami back in the summer wasn't anything close to what the Bucks offered. And why would the Blazers negotiate with Miami once Milwaukee made their move? If Miami had an equal package to put together (which is questionable as I don't think Herro is nearly as valued around the league as Holliday), nothing prevented them from offering it earlier in the process.
 

Imbricus

Member
SoSH Member
Jan 26, 2017
4,878
I'm also solidly in the camp of "I hope Brad is inquiring about Jrue just to drive the price up." I'm not so worried about Jrue being a one-year rental and a flight risk -- I think he'd happily stay here -- IF he gets paid. And if he wants $35-$40 million a year, I don't see how the Celtics can justify that, what with Tatum next in line to get paid and Jaylen just inking a record-setting contract, and Porzingis being extended at $30 million a year.

I'm not even excited about the Brogdon + pupu platter + picks trade idea. I'd rather Brad just work on repairing the relationship with Brogdon, and then the team just rides with who they have for a while. They might be staring at, what -- a seven-, eight-year window of being pretty competitive? They'll need some cheap draft talent along the way to help fill out the depth, so let's keep the picks. As for this year, there'll be opportunities later to improve the team. Let's see what we've got first and what the missing pieces are, then make a move before the trade deadline.
 

DavidTai

Member
SoSH Member
Dec 18, 2003
1,253
Herndon, VA
That's one perspective. The rumored initial offer from Miami back in the summer wasn't anything close to what the Bucks offered. And why would the Blazers negotiate with Miami once Milwaukee made their move? If Miami had an equal package to put together (which is questionable as I don't think Herro is nearly as valued around the league as Holliday), nothing prevented them from offering it earlier in the process.
Hell, Herro wasn't even valued by Portland - they had enough guys who did the same thing that they didn't need or want him.

Instead of trying to find a match for Herro via other teams, Miami seemed to have just sat there saying "Tough, you don't want him, that's all we're offering at -our value-. Don't care if you don't value him as highly, you go find someone else."
 

lovegtm

Member
SoSH Member
Apr 30, 2013
12,273
People (nationally, not here) seem to be ridiculously undervaluing controlling Milwaukee's 2028-2030 drafts. Maybe because two of them are "just" swaps?

No more Brook. No more Dame.

High chance of no more Giannis, since the team has zero path to getting better, outside of a crazy draft hit in the late 20s.

No one is signing in Milwaukee.

No good picks before 2028 either, because of the Drew trade.

How is this not worse than Brooklyn's situation post Billy King?
 

JCizzle

Member
SoSH Member
Dec 11, 2006
20,704
People (nationally, not here) seem to be ridiculously undervaluing controlling Milwaukee's 2028-2030 drafts. Maybe because two of them are "just" swaps?

No more Brook. No more Dame.

High chance of no more Giannis, since the team has zero path to getting better, outside of a crazy draft hit in the late 20s.

No one is signing in Milwaukee.

No good picks before 2028 either, because of the Drew trade.

How is this not worse than Brooklyn's situation post Billy King?
Yep, which is why Miami's whining is all the more ridiculous. The Bucks offered the better player and better picks considering Miami is a FA destination. The offers were nowhere close to equivalent.
 

Euclis20

Member
SoSH Member
Aug 3, 2004
8,256
Imaginationland
People (nationally, not here) seem to be ridiculously undervaluing controlling Milwaukee's 2028-2030 drafts. Maybe because two of them are "just" swaps?

No more Brook. No more Dame.

High chance of no more Giannis, since the team has zero path to getting better, outside of a crazy draft hit in the late 20s.

No one is signing in Milwaukee.

No good picks before 2028 either, because of the Drew trade.

How is this not worse than Brooklyn's situation post Billy King?
Honestly I haven't seen too many people (outside of Miami) criticizing Portland's moves here. I think everyone knows that Holiday is more valuable than Herro, Ayton is a better piece that whatever flotsam could've been tossed in with Herro to sweeten the deal, and future Bucks picks are more valuable than future Heat picks. It's pretty unlikely those picks end up as sweet as the Nets picks because of the chance that Giannis is still around (I think if the Bucks win another title he's more likely than not to still be playing there) and playing at a high level (from ages 33-35), and even if he's not, the odds of getting multiple top 3 picks is as slim now as it was back in 2016-2018 (the Celtics really got lucky).

That's from the Blazers side. For the Bucks, most are acknowledging it's a gigantic risk (as big a GFIN move as we've seen since at least Kawhi in Toronto), but it seems like a more clear addition than what Brooklyn did. This will be Dame's age 33 season, and he's still playing at an extremely high level. Pierce and Garnett were 36 and 37 their first years in Brooklyn, and had already begun to show real signs of decline. Brooklyn was 4th in title odds that year, tied with two other teams, and 7th in over/under. The Bucks are pretty solid title favorites, and are either first or second in w/l over/under. This is clearly a better move for Milwaukee than the Pierce/Garnett deal was for Brooklyn, and even if it goes bad, the odds are still small that it ends up being THAT bad.
 
Last edited:

DeJesus Built My Hotrod

Well-Known Member
Lifetime Member
SoSH Member
Dec 24, 2002
48,751
Cronin smashed a lot of takes and, quite frankly, probably, reset the market in situations like this where a star under long term control asks out of a non destination.
 

Just a bit outside

Member
SoSH Member
Apr 6, 2011
8,013
Monument, CO
So Portland is up to 3 firsts, 2 swaps, Ayton, Williams, and Brogdon for Lillard and stuff. Pretty impressive work. Certainly could see them now moving Brogdon to the Clips and maybe seeing what they can get for Williams. Pretty impressive work.
 

lovegtm

Member
SoSH Member
Apr 30, 2013
12,273
Cronin smashed a lot of takes and, quite frankly, probably, reset the market in situations like this where a star under long term control asks out of a non destination.
I particularly like the way he handled getting Jrue.

Pre-trade, people, even smart people, were actually saying things like "Cronin can't do a deal with the Bucks; how will he loop in a 3rd team for Jrue?? Too complicated!"

He simply accepted the very good player and dealt him afterwards.

He'll probably do the same thing with Brogdon and TL now.